Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 31 29.03% 26.42 93.55% 0.572 0.4547 0.0
Blitz 0 1088 61.35% 26.31 58.73% -0.691 -0.4899 -0.628
Dahan Insurrection 4 1268 36.26% 48.12 60.17% -0.417 -0.6641 0.145
Despicable Theft 2 59 55.93% 32.08 67.8% -0.526 0.1812 -0.942
Elemental Invocation 1 187 65.24% 27.86 64.17% -1.189 -0.4081 -0.814
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3215 22.58% 39.46 68.99% 0.634 -0.0985 0.353
Powers Long Forgotten 1 431 65.58% 30.36 59.16% -0.385 0.1399 -0.756
Rituals of Terror 3 524 67.37% 46.02 46.18% -0.673 -0.7123 0.906
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 254 83.07% 33.52 52.36% -1.064 -0.0068 -0.669
Second Wave 0 4053 49.7% 28.27 73.82% 0.195 0.3087 -0.287
The Great River 3 66 56.06% 30.67 45.45% -0.321 1.0793 -1.181
Varied Terrains 2 25 60.0% 27.76 56.0% -0.517 0.1031 0.206
Ward the Shores 2 358 72.27% 26.27 35.75% -0.834 0.2843 -1.205

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 77823 60.49% 26.92 69.53% 0.802 1.0477 -0.194
1 Thematic 3359 62.62% 32.98 57.4% -0.315 0.3262 -0.531
2 Archipelago 40 47.5% 39.58 75.0% 0.337 0.9142 -0.292
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 23910 60.34% 28.59 69.75% 0.357 0.5529 0.142
2 Coastline 2911 58.63% 28.97 72.17% 0.835 0.9128 0.474
2 Fragment 703 62.71% 24.11 64.72% 0.439 0.3998 -0.01
2 Heart 380 65.92% 23.31 64.47% 0.18 -0.0891 -0.317
2 Opposite Shores 4952 52.69% 29.08 72.44% 0.282 0.4672 -0.232
2 Other 1 100.0% 6.0 0.0% -0.444 0.6876 0.0
2 Thematic 1966 54.33% 36.55 59.05% -0.533 0.0302 -0.306
2 Top to Top 855 58.81% 28.11 67.6% -0.161 -0.0477 -0.675
3 Archipelago 22 63.64% 49.18 77.27% -0.799 -1.4986 0.72
3 Coastline 82 56.79% 30.67 62.2% -0.396 -0.82 0.609
3 Other 477 52.44% 27.31 69.81% 0.538 0.0711 0.416
3 Round (Default) 11628 49.68% 31.01 73.39% 0.299 0.3001 0.037
3 Sunrise 56 50.0% 27.75 75.0% 0.0 0.222 0.129
3 Thematic 536 52.26% 37.6 61.19% 0.189 -0.1473 -0.274
4 Archipelago 30 28.57% 34.4 60.0% -0.308 -0.073 -1.046
4 Coastline 24 33.33% 30.42 83.33% 0.0 0.13 0.14
4 Leaf 46 50.0% 30.91 84.78% 0.254 0.0621 0.0
4 Other 320 49.84% 29.67 77.19% -0.398 -1.0281 0.541
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3013 0.0
4 Snake 6 50.0% 23.33 50.0% 0.0 0.3963 0.0
4 Thematic 1845 43.56% 42.84 70.19% 0.481 0.3107 0.105
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9250 42.38% 32.67 77.01% 0.398 0.2046 0.291
5 Archipelago 10 70.0% 35.5 70.0% 0.0 -1.066 -0.336
5 Coastline 7 0.0% 27.57 100.0% 0.142 -0.1027 -0.292
5 Other 197 36.65% 32.02 79.7% 0.02 -0.3548 0.62
5 Thematic 26 46.15% 39.92 96.15% 0.309 0.0053 1.114
6 Archipelago 12 16.67% 31.67 83.33% 0.457 0.4797 -0.352
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 34.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.5733 -0.171
6 Other 90 28.89% 26.93 76.67% -0.544 -1.0462 -0.345
6 Star 25 52.0% 40.72 68.0% 0.793 1.3403 0.176
6 Thematic 141 32.86% 35.67 75.18% -0.448 -0.0719 -0.354
6 Two Centers (Default) 305 20.93% 27.3 80.0% -0.574 -0.2198 -0.344
7 Archipelago 5 60.0% 36.4 60.0% -0.297 -1.0527 -0.504
7 Other 5 60.0% 34.8 80.0% -0.658 -1.4912 -0.317

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 41473 56.32% 27.7 70.34% -0.831 0.0554 -0.436
B 44132 54.99% 28.61 71.87% -0.517 0.2601 -0.308
C 43254 54.9% 29.01 72.01% -0.405 0.2241 -0.269
D 43397 53.84% 29.45 72.74% -0.277 0.5529 -0.013
E 9705 54.37% 30.23 71.16% -0.408 0.2351 -0.349
F 14821 53.21% 30.1 71.49% -0.378 0.3596 -0.242
G 14762 53.25% 30.35 72.15% -0.522 0.2448 -0.224
H 13482 54.26% 30.09 71.43% -0.171 0.5147 -0.276
East 5738 51.42% 38.38 63.49% 0.145 0.8612 -0.477
Northeast 3952 50.49% 39.65 65.18% -0.713 0.1815 -0.634
Northwest 3349 50.83% 39.78 64.77% 0.276 0.9007 0.24
Southeast 730 46.98% 32.38 66.16% -0.173 0.5097 0.332
Southwest 725 50.0% 31.13 63.59% -0.563 0.7206 0.122
West 5263 52.65% 37.64 62.07% 0.135 1.1583 -0.637

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 7846 0.0% 16.07 60.87% -0.904 -0.0779 -1.637
Not Using Events or Tokens 35367 60.61% 22.81 71.16% -0.344 -0.0284 0.006
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4175 26.2% 33.55 85.03% 0.518 -0.0365 0.946
Start of Game Growth 5472 28.97% 32.25 83.04% 0.34 -0.0908 0.127
Unlimited Undo 13463 50.05% 31.47 76.49% -0.142 -0.2593 0.371
Using Tokens but Not Events 12528 50.91% 25.44 75.68% -0.226 -0.3058 -0.229

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 7375 100.0% 31.59 100.0% 0.154 -0.0465 0.082
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2193 100.0% 29.75 100.0% 0.344 0.14 -0.412
Downpour Drenches the World 247 100.0% 29.55 100.0% -1.14 -0.9883 0.08
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 95 100.0% 32.57 100.0% 0.823 0.2317 0.389
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3452 100.0% 32.15 100.0% 0.457 -0.1932 0.25
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1962 100.0% 31.16 100.0% 0.18 -0.3153 -0.195
Finder of Paths Unseen 177 100.0% 32.36 100.0% 0.145 0.8169 -0.073
Fractured Days Split the Sky 622 100.0% 35.5 100.0% -0.479 0.1335 0.434
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 371 100.0% 31.73 100.0% -0.129 -0.2667 -0.031
Heart of the Wildfire 4397 100.0% 27.54 100.0% -0.875 -0.5365 -0.352
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5401 100.0% 33.59 100.0% 0.054 -0.4665 0.232
Lightning's Swift Strike 6476 107.36% 27.6 103.61% -0.014 0.2356 0.034
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 92 55.06% 33.49 65.22% 0.572 -0.1429 0.392
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 484 48.85% 36.39 75.83% 0.061 -0.3248 0.603
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 347 43.24% 32.67 75.5% 0.257 -0.0185 0.395
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1197 100.0% 32.07 100.0% -0.01 -0.1965 -0.487
Many Minds Move as One 1073 100.0% 33.84 100.0% 0.437 0.0958 0.53
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 19613 100.0% 32.58 100.0% 0.001 -0.0168 0.137
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2082 100.0% 30.91 100.0% 0.219 0.1158 -0.132
River Surges in Sunlight 6732 104.11% 31.59 102.42% -0.06 -0.0914 0.01
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 444 46.83% 32.62 71.62% -0.787 -0.4988 -0.186
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 100 56.7% 33.67 63.0% -0.642 -0.7962 -0.815
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5459 100.0% 34.25 100.0% -0.059 -0.2641 0.293
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5886 108.43% 28.02 103.96% 0.087 0.5837 0.942
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 32 45.16% 30.56 68.75% 0.534 0.5098 -0.467
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 94 37.23% 33.23 78.72% 0.266 0.3611 0.864
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 494 46.11% 29.93 75.51% 0.18 0.1757 -0.649
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 323 50.16% 30.3 74.61% 0.507 0.6025 0.294
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3850 100.21% 32.76 100.13% 0.332 0.1639 0.41
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 14 42.86% 25.36 64.29% 0.262 0.0476 -0.417
Shifting Memory of Ages 374 100.0% 30.05 100.0% 0.032 0.3808 -0.276
Shroud of Silent Mist 959 100.0% 29.36 100.0% -0.33 0.0213 0.028
Starlight Seeks its Form 360 100.0% 32.52 100.0% -0.045 -0.3077 0.869
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1440 100.0% 35.75 100.0% 0.117 -0.4647 -0.186
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2072 100.0% 34.0 100.0% 0.165 0.1932 0.63
Thunderspeaker 6023 100.1% 32.03 100.08% 0.122 0.0568 -0.128
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 9 33.33% 21.44 44.44% -0.63 -0.5595 -0.72
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1177 100.0% 29.24 100.0% 0.023 0.2068 -0.272
Vital Strength of the Earth 4769 102.43% 27.38 102.2% -0.316 0.2299 -0.4
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 52 44.0% 29.13 63.46% 0.109 0.3642 -0.325
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 203 56.65% 28.07 57.64% -0.748 0.1563 -0.664
Volcano Looming High 684 100.0% 29.05 100.0% -0.054 -0.0069 -0.655

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call On Midnight's Dreams 26.83%
Dread Apparitions 86.46%
Dreams Of the Dahan 87.54%
Predatory Nightmares 65.45%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7441 21.5 1.75%
II 26085 31.06 16.92%
III 42084 34.72 68.57%
IV 66481 38.0 99.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 130
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 28140
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3761
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 65748
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 962
Lose: Invader deck ran out 165
Lose: Adversary condition 10244
Win: Sacrifice victory 501
Lose: Scenario condition 1433
Win: Scenario condition 1317
Lose: Blight pool ran out 28379
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1311

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.851 Win Model: -0.131

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.086 Win Model: 0.136
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 81318 60.58% 27.17 69.01%
2 35789 58.89% 29.0 69.55%
3 12800 49.55% 31.76 72.98%
4 11488 42.89% 33.55 75.79%
5 127 33.06% 30.6 70.87%
6 569 25.18% 29.74 79.09%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-21 03:39:51 (Pacific Time)