Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 80 28.75% 21.29 71.25% 0.232 0.426 0.143
Blitz 0 1498 53.49% 22.64 51.8% -1.128 -0.9015 -0.464
Dahan Insurrection 4 1655 34.13% 43.3 55.41% 0.327 0.0628 0.369
Despicable Theft 2 126 41.27% 23.38 49.21% -0.183 0.4494 -1.015
Elemental Invocation 1 266 58.65% 24.76 54.89% 0.069 0.8117 -1.371
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3818 21.54% 37.28 65.56% 0.233 -0.3312 0.687
Powers Long Forgotten 1 583 58.25% 26.38 51.46% -1.125 -0.3068 -0.567
Rituals of Terror 3 788 53.87% 39.53 37.94% -0.963 -0.9357 0.6
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 340 70.59% 28.64 45.29% -0.923 -0.0572 -0.834
Second Wave 0 4944 49.27% 27.12 70.39% 0.128 0.2777 -0.205
The Great River 3 117 45.3% 23.6 34.19% -0.279 0.893 -1.583
Varied Terrains 2 83 50.6% 21.52 42.17% -0.157 0.6074 -0.241
Ward the Shores 2 475 64.89% 22.65 31.37% -0.668 0.4033 -1.382

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 100743 58.17% 24.75 64.47% 0.458 0.8007 0.294
1 Thematic 3992 59.98% 31.38 54.33% -0.109 0.6077 -0.132
2 Archipelago 57 42.11% 34.54 70.18% 0.193 0.8736 -0.294
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 31279 57.58% 26.02 64.39% 0.41 0.5366 0.473
2 Coastline 3742 56.42% 26.02 66.25% 0.242 0.1682 0.592
2 Fragment 976 57.71% 22.24 62.4% 0.657 0.47 0.41
2 Heart 554 61.13% 21.18 58.84% -0.031 -0.2512 -0.339
2 Opposite Shores 6599 50.17% 26.38 66.95% 0.605 0.7529 -0.085
2 Other 1 100.0% 6.0 0.0% 0.0 1.0894 0.0
2 Thematic 2863 46.96% 33.62 52.99% 0.009 0.5416 0.331
2 Top to Top 1155 54.48% 25.21 62.16% -0.15 -0.1686 -0.456
3 Archipelago 36 47.22% 43.14 77.78% -0.107 -1.0161 1.352
3 Coastline 107 53.4% 28.63 60.75% -0.487 -1.1224 1.007
3 Other 607 50.7% 24.17 62.6% 0.544 -0.1729 0.565
3 Round (Default) 15565 47.83% 27.86 66.79% 0.357 0.2607 -0.062
3 Sunrise 66 48.44% 27.09 72.73% 0.0 0.1764 -0.296
3 Thematic 703 45.64% 33.4 56.47% 0.421 0.559 0.033
4 Archipelago 44 24.32% 28.23 52.27% 0.0 -0.6316 -0.327
4 Coastline 34 26.47% 23.97 67.65% -0.441 -0.4982 0.31
4 Leaf 77 48.65% 25.68 71.43% 0.0 -0.1783 0.186
4 Other 453 45.39% 23.62 62.69% 0.039 -0.6808 0.349
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3475 0.0
4 Snake 6 50.0% 23.33 50.0% 0.0 -0.4653 0.0
4 Thematic 2194 39.81% 40.44 64.18% 0.28 0.3799 -0.245
4 Trapezoid (Default) 12452 38.47% 27.92 67.45% 0.611 0.5581 -0.368
5 Archipelago 10 70.0% 35.5 70.0% 0.0 0.2738 -0.31
5 Coastline 9 11.11% 26.56 100.0% 0.0 -0.2056 -0.249
5 Other 424 40.24% 27.87 65.8% -0.425 -1.078 -0.442
5 Thematic 47 36.17% 28.83 70.21% 0.102 -0.0957 -0.085
6 Archipelago 27 12.0% 39.26 62.96% 0.0 -1.1118 0.064
6 Coastline 8 25.0% 21.0 25.0% 0.506 -0.4181 -0.376
6 Other 208 25.0% 22.21 60.1% -0.316 -0.4438 -0.838
6 Star 71 29.58% 22.27 46.48% -0.091 -0.1845 -1.104
6 Thematic 330 24.23% 22.37 46.67% -0.688 -0.3083 -1.381
6 Two Centers (Default) 653 22.38% 21.43 61.26% -0.991 -0.5292 -0.663
7 Archipelago 7 42.86% 26.0 42.86% 0.0 0.0343 -0.415
7 Other 18 23.53% 9.67 22.22% -0.135 -0.6885 -0.81
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6175 28.4 52.94% -0.003 0.2214 0.184
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5055 30.16 55.37% 0.263 0.2058 0.562
All Things Weaken 2703 26.68 46.24% -0.528 -0.1683 0.016
Attenuated Essence 260 25.59 53.85% 0.508 0.5284 0.516
Back Against the Wall 5058 29.08 53.44% 0.028 0.0732 0.484
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 309 25.67 52.1% -0.063 0.1206 0.132
Burn Brightest Before the End 219 22.73 39.73% -0.56 -0.5561 0.32
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6180 26.17 50.92% -0.404 -0.0724 0.112
Downward Spiral 20319 23.37 59.89% 0.343 0.4678 0.471
Erosion of Will 5975 28.21 51.95% 0.34 0.5976 0.079
Intensifying Exploitation 313 23.43 49.2% -0.854 -0.6285 0.274
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 818 31.86 74.69% 0.793 0.1958 0.652
Memory Fades to Dust 20527 22.59 55.08% 0.146 0.4056 0.229
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2731 27.37 54.05% 0.076 0.2832 0.141
Promising Farmlands 6364 28.27 55.39% 0.066 0.3176 0.38
Shattered Fragments of Power 215 26.02 48.84% -0.384 -0.2846 -0.123
Slow Dissolution of Will 296 21.44 42.57% 0.604 0.9971 -0.72
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 635 32.12 81.89% 0.766 0.0441 0.668
The Border of Life and Death 92 25.66 65.22% -0.009 -0.6101 -0.003
Thriving Communities 2724 26.81 51.8% -0.36 -0.1051 0.284
Thriving Crops 154 28.37 71.43% 0.915 0.7432 0.623
Tipping Point 2511 28.3 51.65% 0.0 0.3951 0.146
Unnatural Proliferation 3002 28.6 53.1% 0.075 0.2968 0.144
Untended Land Crumbles 2650 26.92 52.04% -0.308 -0.1164 0.123

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 55132 53.15% 24.64 63.45% -0.168 0.798 -0.497
B 58052 51.71% 25.56 65.06% -0.212 0.6756 -0.418
C 56326 52.04% 26.16 65.87% 0.038 0.7417 -0.302
D 56276 51.1% 26.66 66.91% 0.072 1.0 -0.111
E 14391 51.46% 26.74 64.66% 0.173 0.9579 -0.467
F 20690 50.18% 26.9 65.08% 0.115 0.9605 -0.382
G 20092 50.36% 27.32 65.71% 0.156 0.9649 -0.237
H 18606 51.0% 26.93 64.75% -0.085 0.7316 -0.376
East 7655 45.88% 35.05 57.11% -0.092 0.7242 -0.407
Northeast 5365 43.75% 36.03 57.8% 0.497 1.1852 -0.273
Northwest 4230 46.07% 35.99 57.99% 0.094 0.9487 0.253
Southeast 1091 39.96% 26.62 54.45% -0.112 0.6662 0.287
Southwest 1083 41.23% 24.71 50.6% -0.233 1.0188 -0.141
West 6696 48.39% 34.11 56.02% -0.14 0.7644 -0.829

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 11986 0.0% 13.9 52.24% -0.489 0.258 -1.045
Not Using Events or Tokens 52321 55.94% 19.71 61.73% -0.281 0.0591 -0.512
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5117 25.33% 31.1 79.79% 0.038 -0.5625 0.584
Start of Game Growth 6933 28.07% 29.48 77.4% 0.15 -0.3826 0.391
Unlimited Undo 17794 44.95% 28.01 68.0% 0.044 -0.0409 0.213
Using Tokens but Not Events 16621 48.49% 23.68 69.19% -0.209 -0.2373 -0.135

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 9974 40.07% 28.09 68.07% -0.118 -0.2018 0.24
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 70 27.14% 22.41 51.43% 0.919 0.4665 -0.716
Dances Up Earthquakes 43 48.84% 24.79 62.79% 0.362 0.3203 -0.65
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2731 47.44% 28.06 68.77% 0.227 0.0945 -0.083
Downpour Drenches the World 713 38.02% 20.49 46.14% -0.535 -0.2991 -0.102
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 458 38.85% 28.36 67.9% 0.486 -0.1 -0.078
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4932 34.45% 27.57 70.3% 0.195 -0.1973 -0.234
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2448 44.95% 28.49 69.57% -0.417 -0.8337 0.002
Finder of Paths Unseen 532 40.68% 21.53 43.42% -0.236 0.4917 -0.136
Fractured Days Split the Sky 917 42.6% 30.36 62.27% -0.287 0.3475 0.52
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 809 42.73% 25.08 58.84% 0.298 0.1685 -0.127
Heart of the Wildfire 5440 59.84% 25.0 60.11% -0.508 -0.1689 -0.288
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7065 41.1% 28.79 65.14% -0.232 -0.6443 -0.321
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 70 36.23% 23.0 54.29% 1.03 0.7142 -0.598
Lightning's Swift Strike 8598 47.36% 24.18 64.22% -0.295 -0.0619 -0.02
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 222 48.62% 27.3 54.95% -0.021 -0.4189 0.878
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 691 46.35% 32.89 70.77% 0.967 0.6388 0.748
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 503 42.39% 28.15 66.4% 0.183 0.0997 0.366
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1742 46.62% 28.78 67.34% -0.371 -0.5657 -0.168
Many Minds Move as One 1528 43.05% 30.02 73.3% 0.516 0.3123 0.486
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 26334 48.79% 29.1 65.98% 0.314 0.4481 0.323
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 141 43.88% 22.81 59.57% 0.262 0.3353 -0.159
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2609 47.81% 28.39 67.96% -0.426 -0.5124 0.136
River Surges in Sunlight 8581 46.36% 28.0 65.35% -0.295 -0.1646 0.125
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 27 37.04% 20.04 40.74% 0.481 0.6325 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 714 42.37% 27.26 60.5% -0.053 0.2272 -0.183
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 307 56.86% 27.38 52.12% -0.178 -0.3172 -0.207
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6680 44.26% 31.3 66.6% 0.092 -0.0354 0.289
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 27 48.15% 34.3 66.67% 0.058 -0.0639 1.08
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 7508 57.36% 24.82 63.65% -0.444 0.0897 0.697
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 99 39.18% 27.39 65.66% -0.549 -0.596 0.574
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 82 58.54% 25.78 64.63% 0.144 -0.3307 0.763
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 243 38.02% 26.37 64.61% 0.861 0.7192 0.266
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 629 44.53% 27.31 68.04% -0.529 -0.5899 -0.657
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 434 45.86% 26.26 66.13% -0.262 -0.1299 0.455
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4773 43.61% 28.89 66.77% -0.345 -0.2635 -0.255
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 188 26.6% 21.46 55.85% 0.178 -0.0118 -0.806
Shifting Memory of Ages 721 47.2% 25.79 60.06% -0.996 -0.7337 -0.153
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 77 33.77% 27.87 67.53% 1.305 1.2128 -0.136
Shroud of Silent Mist 1714 50.95% 23.24 59.1% -0.374 -0.0423 -0.129
Starlight Seeks its Form 771 41.39% 26.46 59.92% 0.034 -0.071 0.552
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1985 47.85% 33.84 65.94% 0.841 0.3278 0.253
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2567 40.19% 31.39 72.85% 0.279 0.4206 0.833
Thunderspeaker 8262 43.59% 26.98 63.53% -0.328 -0.2874 -0.338
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 74 40.28% 22.26 54.05% 0.079 0.1299 -0.427
Towering Roots of the Jungle 93 38.71% 13.92 37.63% 0.04 0.1598 -1.022
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1673 60.36% 26.13 61.09% -0.148 -0.0528 0.034
Vital Strength of the Earth 6244 43.32% 23.67 63.07% -0.182 0.4207 -0.532
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 223 26.94% 16.04 41.26% -1.508 -1.0259 -0.362
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 323 47.68% 23.9 52.32% -0.626 0.0605 -0.251
Volcano Looming High 1138 51.89% 25.1 61.16% -0.227 -0.1833 -0.659
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 204 42.65% 27.86 62.75% 0.434 0.1296 0.379

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call On Midnight's Dreams 31.59%
Dread Apparitions 87.18%
Dreams Of the Dahan 88.38%
Predatory Nightmares 67.78%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 20617 13.46 0.72%
II 33986 30.14 15.24%
III 51759 34.84 67.85%
IV 79874 38.67 99.59%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 149
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 34300
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4451
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 78994
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 16652
Lose: Invader deck ran out 193
Lose: Adversary condition 11995
Win: Sacrifice victory 606
Lose: Scenario condition 1590
Win: Scenario condition 1492
Lose: Blight pool ran out 34233
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1581

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.254 Win Model: -0.103

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.126 Win Model: 0.066
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 105050 58.19% 24.98 64.0%
2 47237 55.84% 26.46 64.19%
3 17105 47.42% 28.65 66.45%
4 15171 39.09% 28.83 66.74%
5 394 38.64% 26.21 56.09%
6 1279 22.38% 21.68 57.15%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-31 04:00:51 (Pacific Time)