Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 74 31.08% 21.34 72.97% 0.322 0.4157 0.139
Blitz 0 1479 53.89% 22.9 52.33% -0.648 -0.4324 -0.466
Dahan Insurrection 4 1626 34.38% 43.62 55.54% 0.145 -0.1585 0.367
Despicable Theft 2 124 41.94% 23.35 49.19% -0.67 0.1136 -0.995
Elemental Invocation 1 263 58.94% 24.73 54.75% -0.678 -0.0187 -1.381
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3788 21.61% 37.39 65.76% 0.225 -0.4043 0.671
Powers Long Forgotten 1 579 58.65% 26.52 51.64% -0.551 0.3579 -0.576
Rituals of Terror 3 784 54.15% 39.37 37.88% -1.436 -1.3236 0.566
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 336 71.13% 28.91 45.83% -0.401 0.4884 -0.829
Second Wave 0 4911 49.23% 27.15 70.43% 0.01 0.2185 -0.182
The Great River 3 115 46.09% 23.86 34.78% -0.294 0.755 -1.6
Varied Terrains 2 80 50.0% 21.79 42.5% 0.346 1.1424 -0.251
Ward the Shores 2 465 65.43% 22.51 31.4% -0.661 0.534 -1.277

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 99693 58.28% 24.84 64.63% 0.255 0.6012 0.298
1 Thematic 3958 60.01% 31.44 54.5% -0.345 0.2549 -0.134
2 Archipelago 57 42.11% 34.54 70.18% -0.023 0.8349 -0.283
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 30786 57.64% 26.12 64.55% 0.122 0.2656 0.482
2 Coastline 3709 56.47% 26.13 66.33% -0.102 -0.2125 0.586
2 Fragment 963 57.62% 22.24 62.31% 0.29 0.0889 0.361
2 Heart 549 61.37% 21.29 59.02% -0.37 -0.8267 -0.34
2 Opposite Shores 6531 50.34% 26.44 66.97% 0.512 0.6034 -0.095
2 Other 1 100.0% 6.0 0.0% 0.0 1.5282 0.0
2 Thematic 2798 47.62% 33.88 53.61% -0.064 0.3277 0.352
2 Top to Top 1128 55.06% 25.51 62.85% 0.371 0.2789 -0.427
3 Archipelago 36 47.22% 43.14 77.78% -0.085 -1.1565 1.355
3 Coastline 103 54.46% 29.53 63.11% 0.329 -0.5968 0.991
3 Other 600 50.62% 24.25 62.83% 0.69 0.0796 0.554
3 Round (Default) 15362 47.95% 27.99 67.0% 0.418 0.3438 -0.066
3 Sunrise 66 48.44% 27.09 72.73% 0.0 -0.2484 -0.311
3 Thematic 693 45.86% 33.65 56.71% 0.855 0.7672 0.026
4 Archipelago 44 24.32% 28.23 52.27% 0.264 0.0741 -0.348
4 Coastline 33 27.27% 24.7 69.7% 0.0 0.0598 0.294
4 Leaf 77 48.65% 25.68 71.43% 0.763 0.5491 0.173
4 Other 449 45.39% 23.83 63.25% -0.32 -1.0453 0.334
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.7176 0.0
4 Snake 6 50.0% 23.33 50.0% 0.0 0.2513 0.0
4 Thematic 2162 40.08% 40.64 64.71% 0.31 0.0849 -0.235
4 Trapezoid (Default) 12348 38.47% 28.01 67.61% 0.616 0.4363 -0.376
5 Archipelago 10 70.0% 35.5 70.0% 0.0 1.2771 -0.315
5 Coastline 9 11.11% 26.56 100.0% 0.0 -0.4224 -0.25
5 Other 401 40.05% 28.05 66.83% -0.753 -1.5443 -0.44
5 Thematic 43 34.88% 30.3 72.09% -0.024 -0.268 0.019
6 Archipelago 27 12.0% 39.26 62.96% 0.0 -0.7668 0.034
6 Coastline 8 25.0% 21.0 25.0% 0.314 -0.4851 -0.39
6 Other 203 24.63% 22.21 59.61% -1.034 -1.2776 -0.855
6 Star 68 29.41% 22.16 45.59% 0.347 0.5005 -1.129
6 Thematic 322 24.53% 22.59 46.89% -0.977 -0.9384 -1.409
6 Two Centers (Default) 638 22.59% 21.65 61.91% -0.761 -0.4095 -0.691
7 Archipelago 7 42.86% 26.0 42.86% 0.0 -0.2408 -0.42
7 Other 17 25.0% 10.24 23.53% 0.21 -0.6229 -0.838
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.9415 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6137 28.42 52.97% -0.25 -0.1338 0.174
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5027 30.16 55.38% 0.013 -0.0788 0.556
All Things Weaken 2679 26.75 46.32% -0.333 -0.0705 0.012
Attenuated Essence 254 25.73 53.94% 0.577 0.5454 0.506
Back Against the Wall 5031 29.11 53.41% 0.11 0.1412 0.467
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 302 25.78 52.65% 0.483 0.634 0.148
Burn Brightest Before the End 212 23.05 40.09% -0.105 -0.1443 0.303
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6142 26.25 51.06% -0.08 0.1357 0.107
Downward Spiral 20078 23.4 59.87% 0.322 0.4232 0.449
Erosion of Will 5938 28.23 51.9% 0.171 0.3675 0.067
Intensifying Exploitation 303 23.72 49.83% -0.214 -0.0342 0.275
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 814 31.85 74.57% 0.85 0.2553 0.64
Memory Fades to Dust 20273 22.62 55.15% 0.078 0.2934 0.213
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2707 27.41 54.08% 0.094 0.2961 0.135
Promising Farmlands 6317 28.28 55.37% -0.332 -0.1123 0.371
Shattered Fragments of Power 207 26.03 49.76% -0.41 -0.4001 -0.105
Slow Dissolution of Will 288 21.36 41.67% 0.741 1.014 -0.732
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 631 32.17 81.93% 1.023 0.3224 0.651
The Border of Life and Death 85 25.47 63.53% 0.188 -0.2603 -0.012
Thriving Communities 2707 26.85 51.87% -0.294 -0.0961 0.276
Thriving Crops 145 28.7 71.03% 0.769 0.4834 0.61
Tipping Point 2511 28.3 51.65% 0.0 0.4219 0.134
Unnatural Proliferation 2980 28.64 53.09% 0.143 0.2939 0.124
Untended Land Crumbles 2620 26.99 52.06% 0.05 0.2394 0.112

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 54478 53.24% 24.74 63.64% -0.207 0.7642 -0.488
B 57367 51.8% 25.66 65.24% -0.201 0.6813 -0.417
C 55704 52.12% 26.26 66.03% -0.036 0.659 -0.304
D 55612 51.17% 26.76 67.09% 0.191 1.1065 -0.103
E 14161 51.7% 26.86 64.81% 0.147 0.9077 -0.47
F 20391 50.26% 27.0 65.27% 0.178 1.0299 -0.378
G 19838 50.46% 27.41 65.87% 0.007 0.8088 -0.235
H 18351 51.01% 27.04 64.97% -0.091 0.7176 -0.369
East 7520 46.24% 35.26 57.58% -0.75 0.1148 -0.439
Northeast 5249 44.21% 36.32 58.37% 0.749 1.5526 -0.252
Northwest 4163 46.29% 36.21 58.44% 0.411 1.2189 0.279
Southeast 1071 40.43% 26.95 55.09% 0.03 0.9093 0.32
Southwest 1061 41.52% 25.03 51.08% -0.534 0.7932 -0.154
West 6602 48.6% 34.29 56.38% -0.152 0.9091 -0.816

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 11766 0.0% 13.97 52.46% -0.653 0.0466 -1.065
Not Using Events or Tokens 51304 56.09% 19.79 61.96% -0.405 -0.012 -0.499
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5070 25.41% 31.29 80.24% 0.538 -0.1791 0.579
Start of Game Growth 6848 28.23% 29.68 77.82% 0.208 -0.2836 0.403
Unlimited Undo 17585 45.1% 28.12 68.32% 0.146 0.0654 0.213
Using Tokens but Not Events 16390 48.78% 23.81 69.55% -0.12 -0.1525 -0.127

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 9832 40.22% 28.26 68.46% 0.076 -0.013 0.228
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 62 29.03% 22.03 50.0% 0.743 0.2291 -0.737
Dances Up Earthquakes 30 50.0% 26.57 63.33% 0.712 0.6364 0.0
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2708 47.68% 28.08 68.91% 0.098 -0.0989 -0.119
Downpour Drenches the World 693 38.55% 20.66 46.61% 0.188 0.4798 -0.168
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 446 38.32% 28.56 68.16% 1.202 0.6392 -0.102
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4879 34.57% 27.65 70.4% -0.177 -0.5975 -0.258
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2433 45.22% 28.61 69.79% -0.381 -0.8138 -0.008
Finder of Paths Unseen 522 40.43% 21.47 43.49% -0.79 -0.1122 -0.125
Fractured Days Split the Sky 912 42.73% 30.42 62.39% -0.238 0.3351 0.492
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 788 43.19% 25.24 59.39% 0.99 0.8946 -0.153
Heart of the Wildfire 5397 59.87% 25.08 60.24% -0.912 -0.5968 -0.312
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7021 41.05% 28.86 65.23% -0.032 -0.4455 -0.336
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 56 29.09% 21.93 50.0% 0.352 0.0573 -0.606
Lightning's Swift Strike 8503 47.49% 24.29 64.39% -0.298 -0.0656 -0.04
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 209 50.24% 28.04 56.46% 0.09 -0.223 0.844
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 680 46.36% 32.95 70.74% 0.334 0.0173 0.734
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 480 42.55% 28.31 66.88% 0.375 0.401 0.338
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1720 46.87% 28.85 67.56% -0.513 -0.7087 -0.197
Many Minds Move as One 1508 43.09% 30.12 73.47% 0.479 0.2813 0.452
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 25900 48.8% 29.25 66.22% 0.153 0.3073 0.308
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 104 46.15% 24.38 61.54% 0.093 0.1055 -0.169
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2585 48.05% 28.54 68.32% -0.067 -0.1786 0.122
River Surges in Sunlight 8482 46.47% 28.12 65.61% -0.296 -0.264 0.142
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 25 32.0% 17.56 36.0% -0.477 -0.2108 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 702 42.61% 27.48 60.83% 0.261 0.4464 -0.203
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 296 57.44% 27.67 52.7% 0.053 -0.14 -0.167
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6632 44.2% 31.34 66.66% -0.107 -0.2741 0.266
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 23 43.48% 32.43 60.87% -0.158 -0.4693 0.865
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 7436 57.48% 24.94 63.91% -0.529 0.0406 0.685
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 93 40.66% 28.66 68.82% -0.39 -0.4647 0.618
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 75 61.33% 27.08 66.67% 0.43 -0.0256 0.747
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 234 38.63% 26.35 64.1% 0.863 0.8163 0.285
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 616 44.99% 27.34 68.99% -0.125 -0.1874 -0.516
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 423 46.36% 26.56 66.43% -0.264 -0.0896 0.438
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4750 43.57% 28.93 66.91% 0.213 0.2758 -0.283
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 174 26.44% 21.68 56.32% 0.278 0.1381 -0.828
Shifting Memory of Ages 712 47.23% 26.0 60.53% -1.245 -0.8891 -0.133
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 59 28.81% 25.14 62.71% 1.129 1.1467 -0.144
Shroud of Silent Mist 1665 51.49% 23.53 59.52% -0.019 0.3164 -0.131
Starlight Seeks its Form 743 41.34% 26.67 60.03% -0.299 -0.384 0.592
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1950 47.88% 33.87 66.21% 0.442 -0.0499 0.241
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2547 40.23% 31.49 73.07% 0.523 0.7194 0.811
Thunderspeaker 8167 43.69% 27.12 63.73% -0.303 -0.245 -0.343
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 69 38.81% 22.32 53.62% 0.219 0.3785 -0.459
Towering Roots of the Jungle 84 41.67% 12.82 34.52% -0.138 -0.0158 -1.031
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1651 60.56% 26.19 61.24% -0.454 -0.4188 0.018
Vital Strength of the Earth 6184 43.41% 23.78 63.21% -0.277 0.3126 -0.554
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 215 26.07% 16.38 42.79% -1.999 -1.5132 -0.296
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 312 46.79% 24.33 53.53% 0.039 0.6619 -0.269
Volcano Looming High 1118 52.01% 25.23 61.27% -0.422 -0.375 -0.67
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 197 43.15% 28.16 62.44% 0.627 0.2881 0.354

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call On Midnight's Dreams 31.46%
Dread Apparitions 87.11%
Dreams Of the Dahan 88.36%
Predatory Nightmares 67.74%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 19972 13.69 0.74%
II 33629 30.18 15.29%
III 51272 34.82 67.85%
IV 79147 38.64 99.59%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 148
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 33981
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4418
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 78273
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 15891
Lose: Invader deck ran out 192
Lose: Adversary condition 11900
Win: Sacrifice victory 601
Lose: Scenario condition 1586
Win: Scenario condition 1475
Lose: Blight pool ran out 33982
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1573

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.135 Win Model: -0.11

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.193 Win Model: 0.04
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 103955 58.3% 25.07 64.16%
2 46540 55.96% 26.57 64.36%
3 16876 47.55% 28.79 66.68%
4 15033 39.11% 28.93 66.96%
5 369 38.55% 26.44 56.91%
6 1247 22.47% 21.86 57.5%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-17 03:38:37 (Pacific Time)