Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 77 29.87% 21.31 71.43% 0.102 0.2683 0.141
Blitz 0 1486 53.77% 22.79 52.09% -0.995 -0.7165 -0.46
Dahan Insurrection 4 1645 34.28% 43.42 55.44% 0.359 0.1328 0.363
Despicable Theft 2 125 41.6% 23.17 48.8% -0.669 0.0745 -1.027
Elemental Invocation 1 265 58.49% 24.67 54.72% -0.703 0.0129 -1.374
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3808 21.57% 37.36 65.68% 0.519 -0.0815 0.678
Powers Long Forgotten 1 581 58.45% 26.43 51.46% -0.947 0.0021 -0.574
Rituals of Terror 3 786 54.01% 39.47 37.91% -1.268 -1.143 0.582
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 339 70.8% 28.72 45.43% -0.618 0.2964 -0.839
Second Wave 0 4927 49.23% 27.14 70.41% -0.08 0.0879 -0.194
The Great River 3 115 46.09% 23.86 34.78% -0.322 0.7823 -1.592
Varied Terrains 2 82 51.22% 21.78 42.68% 0.028 0.7431 -0.241
Ward the Shores 2 468 65.44% 22.52 31.41% -0.703 0.4765 -1.275

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 100244 58.23% 24.79 64.53% 0.374 0.627 0.294
1 Thematic 3979 60.07% 31.4 54.41% -0.2 0.3975 -0.133
2 Archipelago 57 42.11% 34.54 70.18% 0.063 0.6882 -0.292
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 31024 57.62% 26.08 64.5% 0.221 0.3043 0.477
2 Coastline 3729 56.45% 26.06 66.29% 0.096 -0.0474 0.588
2 Fragment 969 57.75% 22.24 62.33% 0.448 0.18 0.361
2 Heart 552 61.37% 21.21 58.88% -0.113 -0.5254 -0.34
2 Opposite Shores 6559 50.29% 26.42 66.98% 0.611 0.656 -0.094
2 Other 1 100.0% 6.0 0.0% 0.0 1.4831 0.0
2 Thematic 2836 47.26% 33.75 53.28% 0.113 0.5912 0.328
2 Top to Top 1138 54.83% 25.38 62.57% 0.243 0.1075 -0.427
3 Archipelago 36 47.22% 43.14 77.78% -0.151 -0.9501 1.35
3 Coastline 105 54.46% 29.01 61.9% 0.07 -0.5521 1.0
3 Other 603 50.53% 24.24 62.85% 0.667 -0.0154 0.557
3 Round (Default) 15461 47.92% 27.94 66.94% 0.376 0.2662 -0.063
3 Sunrise 66 48.44% 27.09 72.73% 0.0 -0.2865 -0.314
3 Thematic 698 45.82% 33.53 56.59% 0.585 0.6341 0.013
4 Archipelago 44 24.32% 28.23 52.27% 0.0 -0.2946 -0.341
4 Coastline 34 26.47% 23.97 67.65% -0.389 -0.4525 0.301
4 Leaf 77 48.65% 25.68 71.43% 0.0 -0.2038 0.178
4 Other 449 45.39% 23.83 63.25% -0.042 -0.8177 0.338
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3528 0.0
4 Snake 6 50.0% 23.33 50.0% 0.0 -0.7436 0.0
4 Thematic 2180 39.93% 40.53 64.4% 0.268 0.2395 -0.243
4 Trapezoid (Default) 12397 38.49% 27.98 67.57% 0.692 0.5461 -0.375
5 Archipelago 10 70.0% 35.5 70.0% 0.0 0.1484 -0.314
5 Coastline 9 11.11% 26.56 100.0% 0.0 -0.3001 -0.246
5 Other 413 40.1% 27.88 65.86% -0.463 -1.0817 -0.459
5 Thematic 43 34.88% 30.3 72.09% 0.042 -0.0627 0.027
6 Archipelago 27 12.0% 39.26 62.96% 0.0 -1.0157 0.047
6 Coastline 8 25.0% 21.0 25.0% 0.409 -0.2188 -0.383
6 Other 206 25.24% 22.33 60.19% -0.767 -1.0302 -0.842
6 Star 69 30.43% 22.64 46.38% 0.168 0.2774 -1.13
6 Thematic 323 24.76% 22.59 47.06% -0.523 -0.2358 -1.385
6 Two Centers (Default) 648 22.55% 21.54 61.57% -0.647 -0.1658 -0.695
7 Archipelago 7 42.86% 26.0 42.86% 0.0 -0.2064 -0.425
7 Other 18 23.53% 9.67 22.22% -0.281 -0.7929 -0.835
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.9477 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6156 28.42 52.99% -0.012 0.1647 0.178
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5045 30.17 55.4% 0.165 0.0855 0.56
All Things Weaken 2692 26.76 46.4% -0.284 -0.0054 0.014
Attenuated Essence 257 25.71 54.09% 0.521 0.53 0.509
Back Against the Wall 5047 29.1 53.46% 0.306 0.3478 0.472
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 307 25.76 52.44% 0.274 0.4719 0.125
Burn Brightest Before the End 214 22.89 39.72% -0.393 -0.3467 0.308
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6165 26.21 50.97% -0.213 0.0593 0.106
Downward Spiral 20202 23.38 59.88% 0.394 0.4914 0.453
Erosion of Will 5959 28.21 51.9% 0.206 0.4631 0.073
Intensifying Exploitation 309 23.56 49.51% -0.342 -0.106 0.267
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 816 31.89 74.63% 1.023 0.4075 0.645
Memory Fades to Dust 20398 22.62 55.12% 0.126 0.3594 0.227
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2724 27.36 54.04% 0.274 0.4992 0.137
Promising Farmlands 6343 28.28 55.4% -0.001 0.2313 0.373
Shattered Fragments of Power 210 25.96 49.05% -0.697 -0.5964 -0.102
Slow Dissolution of Will 293 21.48 42.32% 0.84 1.1836 -0.727
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 632 32.12 81.8% 0.56 -0.1295 0.658
The Border of Life and Death 87 25.39 64.37% 0.485 -0.0633 -0.011
Thriving Communities 2718 26.85 51.84% -0.112 0.1167 0.278
Thriving Crops 150 28.47 71.33% 0.959 0.6796 0.615
Tipping Point 2511 28.3 51.65% 0.0 0.6368 0.137
Unnatural Proliferation 2992 28.63 53.14% 0.351 0.536 0.136
Untended Land Crumbles 2640 26.95 52.05% -0.181 0.0572 0.115

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 54800 53.19% 24.7 63.54% -0.221 0.7664 -0.494
B 57689 51.78% 25.62 65.17% -0.171 0.72 -0.415
C 56013 52.09% 26.22 65.97% 0.015 0.7201 -0.306
D 55928 51.14% 26.72 67.01% 0.155 1.082 -0.111
E 14280 51.59% 26.82 64.8% 0.207 0.9774 -0.471
F 20559 50.22% 26.96 65.2% 0.171 1.0285 -0.382
G 19975 50.46% 27.37 65.78% 0.067 0.8824 -0.238
H 18482 51.05% 27.0 64.87% -0.093 0.7264 -0.378
East 7592 46.11% 35.17 57.35% -0.081 0.7334 -0.405
Northeast 5309 44.05% 36.18 58.09% 0.439 1.1673 -0.255
Northwest 4195 46.27% 36.12 58.24% 0.354 1.1976 0.273
Southeast 1076 40.34% 26.85 54.93% -0.277 0.5474 0.285
Southwest 1069 41.39% 24.89 50.89% 0.011 1.2619 -0.149
West 6650 48.53% 34.21 56.2% -0.162 0.7854 -0.815

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 11868 0.0% 13.94 52.37% -0.435 0.2673 -1.056
Not Using Events or Tokens 51792 56.03% 19.76 61.84% -0.376 -0.004 -0.508
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5090 25.35% 31.19 80.0% 0.309 -0.3371 0.592
Start of Game Growth 6886 28.13% 29.59 77.61% 0.129 -0.3896 0.391
Unlimited Undo 17707 45.02% 28.06 68.13% 0.131 0.0381 0.212
Using Tokens but Not Events 16515 48.64% 23.74 69.31% -0.228 -0.2339 -0.134

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 9897 40.17% 28.19 68.26% -0.167 -0.2492 0.23
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 64 29.69% 23.0 51.56% 1.157 0.6511 -0.732
Dances Up Earthquakes 35 48.57% 24.14 60.0% 0.066 0.0058 -0.652
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2722 47.54% 28.11 68.85% 0.162 -0.0162 -0.093
Downpour Drenches the World 706 38.41% 20.57 46.46% 0.038 0.2904 -0.16
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 449 38.06% 28.55 68.15% 1.076 0.4968 -0.088
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4899 34.55% 27.67 70.46% 0.071 -0.375 -0.244
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2436 45.16% 28.59 69.75% -0.155 -0.6233 0.004
Finder of Paths Unseen 527 40.8% 21.69 43.83% -0.346 0.3568 -0.13
Fractured Days Split the Sky 913 42.68% 30.41 62.43% -0.297 0.4025 0.507
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 797 43.26% 25.2 59.22% 0.529 0.3876 -0.142
Heart of the Wildfire 5417 59.85% 25.04 60.22% -0.742 -0.4005 -0.295
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7042 41.05% 28.83 65.21% -0.19 -0.5854 -0.324
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 61 33.33% 22.75 54.1% 0.608 0.2796 -0.6
Lightning's Swift Strike 8555 47.39% 24.24 64.35% -0.12 0.1035 -0.026
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 217 48.83% 27.51 55.3% -0.211 -0.5297 0.902
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 690 46.41% 32.94 70.87% 0.935 0.6263 0.737
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 494 42.56% 28.35 67.0% 0.362 0.3791 0.356
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1732 46.83% 28.85 67.49% -0.52 -0.7367 -0.18
Many Minds Move as One 1517 43.09% 30.11 73.5% 0.559 0.3389 0.466
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 26109 48.81% 29.18 66.12% 0.3 0.4703 0.318
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 125 48.78% 23.84 62.4% 0.104 0.169 -0.163
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2602 47.92% 28.42 68.1% -0.278 -0.392 0.134
River Surges in Sunlight 8531 46.48% 28.07 65.48% -0.383 -0.3283 0.134
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 27 37.04% 20.04 40.74% -0.191 -0.0502 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 710 42.41% 27.3 60.42% 0.083 0.3366 -0.194
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 299 57.53% 27.48 52.17% -0.277 -0.4434 -0.194
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6660 44.24% 31.33 66.65% -0.042 -0.1766 0.278
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 27 48.15% 34.3 66.67% 0.161 -0.0543 1.071
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 7465 57.4% 24.9 63.82% -0.512 0.0477 0.693
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 95 39.78% 28.26 68.42% -0.121 -0.2665 0.635
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 77 59.74% 26.38 64.94% 0.261 -0.2205 0.758
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 241 37.92% 26.47 64.73% 0.806 0.7314 0.305
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 624 44.73% 27.3 68.43% -0.427 -0.4891 -0.59
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 428 46.52% 26.33 65.89% -0.711 -0.5127 0.449
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4765 43.58% 28.92 66.84% -0.22 -0.1302 -0.269
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 179 27.93% 21.92 56.98% 0.395 0.2614 -0.823
Shifting Memory of Ages 714 47.24% 26.0 60.5% -1.094 -0.7862 -0.117
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 73 32.88% 28.15 68.49% 1.829 1.7997 -0.134
Shroud of Silent Mist 1684 51.35% 23.5 59.62% 0.286 0.6082 -0.121
Starlight Seeks its Form 761 41.54% 26.61 60.32% 0.202 0.1005 0.605
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1967 47.83% 33.87 66.04% 0.58 0.093 0.247
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2559 40.24% 31.41 72.84% 0.115 0.2711 0.828
Thunderspeaker 8208 43.67% 27.05 63.62% -0.302 -0.2636 -0.333
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 71 40.58% 22.45 54.93% -0.077 0.0258 -0.449
Towering Roots of the Jungle 89 39.33% 13.91 37.08% -0.034 0.073 -1.018
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1664 60.45% 26.18 61.12% -0.544 -0.4707 0.019
Vital Strength of the Earth 6207 43.41% 23.72 63.11% -0.419 0.1842 -0.54
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 218 26.64% 16.17 42.2% -1.914 -1.4425 -0.316
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 315 46.98% 24.1 53.02% -0.303 0.3394 -0.258
Volcano Looming High 1123 52.05% 25.21 61.26% -0.36 -0.2926 -0.656
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 202 43.07% 27.93 62.38% 0.379 0.0224 0.369

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call On Midnight's Dreams 31.52%
Dread Apparitions 87.14%
Dreams Of the Dahan 88.36%
Predatory Nightmares 67.75%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 20285 13.57 0.73%
II 33805 30.15 15.27%
III 51518 34.83 67.83%
IV 79533 38.65 99.59%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 149
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 34132
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4433
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 78658
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 16266
Lose: Invader deck ran out 193
Lose: Adversary condition 11951
Win: Sacrifice victory 602
Lose: Scenario condition 1589
Win: Scenario condition 1485
Lose: Blight pool ran out 34105
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1578

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.208 Win Model: -0.105

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.108 Win Model: 0.077
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 104531 58.25% 25.02 64.06%
2 46880 55.91% 26.52 64.29%
3 16988 47.51% 28.74 66.61%
4 15098 39.11% 28.9 66.88%
5 381 38.65% 26.31 56.17%
6 1263 22.67% 21.83 57.48%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-24 03:18:25 (Pacific Time)