Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 82 29.27% 21.77 70.73% 0.199 0.1718 0.142
Blitz 0 1510 53.23% 22.49 51.39% -1.311 -1.0602 -0.462
Dahan Insurrection 4 1659 34.11% 43.25 55.39% 0.283 0.0346 0.378
Despicable Theft 2 130 41.54% 23.37 48.46% -0.303 0.1591 -0.786
Elemental Invocation 1 266 58.65% 24.76 54.89% 0.529 1.2317 -1.367
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3829 21.48% 37.27 65.53% 0.206 -0.3471 0.689
Powers Long Forgotten 1 587 58.02% 26.28 51.28% -0.893 -0.2691 -0.561
Rituals of Terror 3 804 54.04% 38.89 37.44% -0.926 -0.7334 0.6
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 340 70.59% 28.64 45.29% -0.682 0.2406 -0.827
Second Wave 0 4964 49.34% 27.1 70.29% 0.119 0.2362 -0.193
The Great River 3 117 45.3% 23.6 34.19% -0.431 0.6365 -1.586
Varied Terrains 2 86 50.0% 20.87 40.7% -0.541 0.2001 -0.253
Ward the Shores 2 480 64.21% 22.61 31.46% -0.246 0.8376 -1.395

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 101422 58.11% 24.69 64.34% 0.44 0.9667 0.289
1 Thematic 4008 59.88% 31.31 54.19% -0.224 0.6307 -0.147
2 Archipelago 61 39.34% 32.93 67.21% -0.506 0.5493 -0.3
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 31599 57.48% 25.91 64.14% 0.45 0.7276 0.46
2 Coastline 3777 56.35% 25.96 66.08% 0.492 0.5943 0.612
2 Fragment 982 57.66% 22.21 62.42% 0.86 0.8729 0.419
2 Heart 558 61.05% 21.09 58.78% -0.356 -0.2447 -0.337
2 Opposite Shores 6658 49.96% 26.28 66.84% 0.512 0.8484 -0.083
2 Other 1 100.0% 6.0 0.0% 0.0 1.1553 0.0
2 Thematic 2884 46.82% 33.56 52.91% 0.035 0.725 0.329
2 Top to Top 1163 54.59% 25.17 62.34% 0.052 0.2944 -0.454
3 Archipelago 36 47.22% 43.14 77.78% 0.246 -0.4742 1.374
3 Coastline 108 53.4% 28.36 60.19% 0.218 -0.1225 1.019
3 Other 613 50.96% 23.98 62.15% 0.328 -0.2743 0.571
3 Round (Default) 15707 47.79% 27.78 66.75% 0.449 0.4545 -0.05
3 Sunrise 66 48.44% 27.09 72.73% 0.0 -0.0616 -0.303
3 Thematic 704 45.57% 33.35 56.39% 0.062 0.1465 0.053
4 Archipelago 47 23.08% 26.43 48.94% -0.472 -0.3213 -0.311
4 Coastline 34 26.47% 23.97 67.65% -0.455 -1.213 0.338
4 Leaf 77 48.65% 25.68 71.43% 0.0 0.1371 0.202
4 Other 455 45.39% 23.51 62.42% 0.018 -0.6011 0.365
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3265 0.0
4 Snake 6 50.0% 23.33 50.0% 0.0 -0.3905 0.0
4 Thematic 2200 39.75% 40.37 64.14% 0.443 0.7102 -0.209
4 Trapezoid (Default) 12530 38.5% 27.81 67.22% 0.234 0.3981 -0.341
5 Archipelago 10 70.0% 35.5 70.0% 0.0 -0.8784 -0.301
5 Coastline 9 11.11% 26.56 100.0% 0.0 0.0963 -0.241
5 Other 429 40.48% 28.07 65.97% 0.182 -0.2036 -0.446
5 Thematic 51 33.33% 28.69 72.55% 0.54 -0.2574 -0.077
6 Archipelago 28 11.54% 37.86 60.71% -0.072 -1.1823 -0.29
6 Coastline 8 25.0% 21.0 25.0% 0.615 -0.2224 -0.364
6 Other 208 25.0% 22.21 60.1% -0.617 -0.6476 -0.801
6 Star 71 29.58% 22.27 46.48% 0.022 0.0048 -1.067
6 Thematic 335 23.87% 22.18 46.27% -0.792 -0.689 -1.338
6 Two Centers (Default) 667 22.21% 21.18 60.42% -1.062 -0.4968 -0.675
7 Archipelago 7 42.86% 26.0 42.86% 0.0 -0.0747 -0.405
7 Other 18 23.53% 9.67 22.22% -0.513 -0.9475 -0.778
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6193 28.4 52.96% 0.136 0.3857 0.193
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5070 30.13 55.35% -0.06 -0.178 0.566
All Things Weaken 2712 26.66 46.24% -0.434 -0.0966 0.023
Attenuated Essence 273 25.42 53.85% 0.528 0.5549 0.541
Back Against the Wall 5074 29.06 53.41% 0.165 0.1666 0.497
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 316 25.81 52.53% 0.268 0.4849 0.14
Burn Brightest Before the End 227 23.39 40.97% -0.012 -0.0305 0.454
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6202 26.14 50.87% -0.414 -0.0211 0.119
Downward Spiral 20465 23.33 59.86% 0.468 0.5763 0.486
Erosion of Will 5986 28.19 51.9% 0.41 0.7623 0.087
Intensifying Exploitation 318 23.3 50.0% -0.436 -0.1909 0.282
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 823 31.76 74.48% 0.652 0.1282 0.654
Memory Fades to Dust 20690 22.56 55.06% 0.277 0.5249 0.244
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2746 27.29 53.9% -0.207 0.0152 0.14
Promising Farmlands 6387 28.25 55.41% 0.324 0.6073 0.393
Shattered Fragments of Power 218 25.89 48.17% -0.636 -0.5591 -0.135
Slow Dissolution of Will 304 21.73 43.42% 0.477 0.8739 -0.721
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 639 32.15 81.85% 0.908 0.213 0.675
The Border of Life and Death 95 25.91 65.26% 0.468 -0.1332 -0.084
Thriving Communities 2742 26.8 51.71% -0.376 -0.0196 0.297
Thriving Crops 156 28.3 71.15% 0.813 0.6167 0.649
Tipping Point 2511 28.3 51.65% 0.0 0.4341 0.155
Unnatural Proliferation 3018 28.63 53.18% 0.223 0.3848 0.151
Untended Land Crumbles 2660 26.92 52.03% -0.074 0.1576 0.126

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 55607 53.09% 24.54 63.25% -0.2 0.8052 -0.502
B 58513 51.64% 25.48 64.92% -0.095 0.8245 -0.422
C 56770 51.98% 26.06 65.68% 0.03 0.7641 -0.308
D 56753 51.04% 26.56 66.72% 0.125 1.103 -0.117
E 14532 51.36% 26.67 64.49% 0.177 0.9966 -0.467
F 20844 50.14% 26.85 64.96% 0.053 0.9272 -0.388
G 20246 50.32% 27.28 65.61% 0.116 0.9248 -0.23
H 18743 50.98% 26.86 64.62% -0.135 0.6799 -0.392
East 7698 45.75% 34.98 57.05% -0.036 0.8669 -0.411
Northeast 5400 43.59% 35.94 57.72% 0.482 1.2899 -0.266
Northwest 4254 45.92% 35.9 57.95% -0.071 0.8288 0.259
Southeast 1101 39.6% 26.52 54.41% 0.166 1.0169 0.28
Southwest 1091 40.92% 24.57 50.32% -0.603 0.7729 -0.143
West 6733 48.26% 34.02 55.92% -0.158 0.7966 -0.839

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 12196 0.0% 13.8 51.85% -0.522 0.1854 -1.017
Not Using Events or Tokens 53065 55.79% 19.61 61.46% -0.31 0.0581 -0.526
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5147 25.44% 31.02 79.7% 0.168 -0.4169 0.593
Start of Game Growth 6970 28.09% 29.4 77.27% 0.065 -0.4489 0.392
Unlimited Undo 17912 44.89% 27.94 67.92% 0.119 0.0098 0.221
Using Tokens but Not Events 16729 48.46% 23.64 69.02% -0.275 -0.3005 -0.142

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 10060 40.03% 27.95 67.77% -0.116 -0.222 0.225
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 74 28.38% 22.23 52.7% 0.807 0.3271 -0.725
Dances Up Earthquakes 63 42.86% 22.89 60.32% 0.076 0.1132 -0.402
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2744 47.47% 28.01 68.73% 0.386 0.2489 -0.089
Downpour Drenches the World 721 37.87% 20.61 46.6% -0.29 -0.0835 -0.095
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 462 39.39% 28.41 68.18% 0.574 -0.0373 -0.05
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4975 34.38% 27.53 70.25% 0.496 0.1202 -0.221
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2463 44.88% 28.45 69.47% -0.669 -1.0594 -0.004
Finder of Paths Unseen 538 40.6% 21.59 43.49% -0.072 0.6471 -0.129
Fractured Days Split the Sky 923 42.65% 30.24 61.97% -0.783 -0.1724 0.524
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 812 42.82% 25.06 58.62% -0.094 -0.1936 -0.143
Heart of the Wildfire 5473 59.59% 24.9 59.91% -0.715 -0.3777 -0.283
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7079 41.15% 28.8 65.16% 0.36 -0.0706 -0.321
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 71 37.14% 23.0 53.52% 0.722 0.4078 -0.743
Lightning's Swift Strike 8670 47.34% 24.05 63.94% -0.291 -0.0611 -0.024
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 232 48.46% 26.27 53.45% -0.351 -0.7951 0.81
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 695 46.66% 32.94 70.94% 0.644 0.3331 0.752
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 507 42.45% 28.14 66.47% -0.008 -0.1507 0.369
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1754 46.64% 28.76 67.27% -0.205 -0.4331 -0.174
Many Minds Move as One 1548 43.07% 29.95 73.06% 0.308 0.0656 0.486
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 26563 48.72% 29.0 65.83% 0.125 0.2336 0.327
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 159 46.15% 22.51 57.23% 0.102 0.2208 0.036
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2624 47.8% 28.3 67.8% -0.562 -0.6079 0.121
River Surges in Sunlight 8651 46.32% 27.89 65.21% -0.057 0.0734 0.113
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 31 41.94% 20.29 48.39% 1.517 1.6929 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 723 42.12% 27.27 60.72% -0.013 0.2853 -0.201
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 319 56.27% 26.83 52.04% 0.056 -0.0273 -0.232
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6712 44.16% 31.25 66.52% 0.08 -0.031 0.286
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 33 42.42% 31.36 60.61% 0.109 -0.009 1.087
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 7584 57.18% 24.67 63.32% -0.5 -0.0057 0.684
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 100 38.78% 27.12 65.0% -0.772 -0.8232 0.583
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 84 57.14% 25.67 64.29% -0.043 -0.5534 0.778
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 245 38.11% 26.46 64.9% 1.089 0.9617 0.271
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 635 44.59% 27.16 67.87% -0.62 -0.6078 -0.656
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 435 45.75% 26.2 65.98% -0.301 -0.1651 0.454
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4795 43.58% 28.82 66.65% -0.437 -0.3889 -0.261
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 189 26.46% 21.34 55.56% 0.121 -0.0941 -0.813
Shifting Memory of Ages 725 47.35% 25.74 60.28% -0.584 -0.2899 -0.137
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 82 36.59% 28.5 68.29% 1.459 1.3408 -0.16
Shroud of Silent Mist 1739 50.79% 23.22 59.11% -0.023 0.305 -0.128
Starlight Seeks its Form 788 41.77% 26.28 59.64% 0.366 0.2666 0.55
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1994 47.83% 33.74 65.7% 0.465 -0.0658 0.234
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2576 40.2% 31.34 72.83% 0.339 0.416 0.832
Thunderspeaker 8364 43.48% 26.74 63.01% -0.453 -0.4168 -0.382
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 78 42.11% 21.51 52.56% -0.306 -0.2477 -0.493
Towering Roots of the Jungle 98 36.73% 14.83 40.82% 0.188 0.3377 -1.043
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1685 60.42% 26.1 61.01% -0.245 -0.099 0.038
Vital Strength of the Earth 6293 43.24% 23.6 62.97% 0.017 0.585 -0.529
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 227 27.35% 15.76 40.53% -1.616 -1.0952 -0.4
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 323 47.68% 23.9 52.32% -0.52 0.2213 -0.253
Volcano Looming High 1151 51.66% 24.9 60.64% -0.603 -0.5887 -0.655
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 210 42.86% 28.14 63.33% 0.94 0.6476 0.38

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call On Midnight's Dreams 31.7%
Dread Apparitions 87.19%
Dreams Of the Dahan 88.4%
Predatory Nightmares 67.84%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 21053 13.33 0.71%
II 34249 30.1 15.18%
III 52060 34.83 67.84%
IV 80296 38.67 99.59%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 149
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 34497
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4468
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 79413
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 17165
Lose: Invader deck ran out 194
Lose: Adversary condition 12045
Win: Sacrifice victory 609
Lose: Scenario condition 1593
Win: Scenario condition 1496
Lose: Blight pool ran out 34441
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1588

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.251 Win Model: -0.106

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.109 Win Model: 0.079
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 105754 58.12% 24.92 63.87%
2 47689 55.73% 26.37 64.0%
3 17256 47.39% 28.56 66.38%
4 15257 39.09% 28.72 66.53%
5 403 38.52% 26.44 56.82%
6 1299 22.19% 21.49 56.58%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)