Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 34 26.47% 24.68 88.24% -0.119 -0.3075 0.0
Blitz 0 1117 60.72% 26.13 58.37% -0.521 -0.3367 -0.641
Dahan Insurrection 4 1302 36.31% 47.64 59.45% -0.614 -0.9287 0.073
Despicable Theft 2 66 54.55% 30.56 63.64% -0.582 0.1629 -0.885
Elemental Invocation 1 198 63.64% 27.73 63.64% -0.514 0.2582 -0.86
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3283 22.32% 39.16 68.53% 0.651 0.0304 0.234
Powers Long Forgotten 1 436 65.29% 30.09 58.49% -0.731 -0.1883 -0.764
Rituals of Terror 3 533 66.98% 45.3 45.4% -1.188 -1.0814 0.823
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 258 82.56% 33.15 51.94% -0.858 0.1128 -0.644
Second Wave 0 4140 49.51% 28.21 73.53% 0.212 0.2802 -0.23
The Great River 3 70 54.29% 29.96 42.86% -0.838 0.46 -1.179
Varied Terrains 2 29 55.17% 28.55 58.62% -0.198 0.3759 -0.287
Ward the Shores 2 367 71.58% 25.88 34.88% -1.489 -0.3559 -1.303

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 79458 60.34% 26.77 69.1% 0.9 1.013 -0.169
1 Thematic 3387 62.53% 32.9 57.25% 0.171 0.7359 -0.507
2 Archipelago 40 47.5% 39.58 75.0% 0.0 0.3246 -0.189
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 24428 60.13% 28.41 69.26% 0.455 0.5501 0.156
2 Coastline 2989 58.23% 28.57 71.33% 0.566 0.5061 0.383
2 Fragment 721 62.22% 24.19 65.05% 1.17 1.0163 0.173
2 Heart 389 65.3% 23.4 64.78% 0.652 0.3301 -0.145
2 Opposite Shores 5063 52.38% 28.87 72.01% 0.466 0.5265 -0.232
2 Other 1 100.0% 6.0 0.0% -0.334 0.797 0.0
2 Thematic 2012 53.78% 36.34 58.75% 0.106 0.6657 -0.251
2 Top to Top 870 59.15% 27.98 67.24% -0.236 -0.3129 -0.668
3 Archipelago 23 60.87% 50.35 78.26% 0.231 -1.3682 0.89
3 Coastline 85 54.76% 30.12 60.0% -1.147 -1.5928 0.62
3 Other 486 51.97% 27.08 69.34% 0.693 1.2298 0.397
3 Round (Default) 11921 49.57% 30.79 72.79% 0.303 0.1435 0.016
3 Sunrise 56 50.0% 27.75 75.0% 0.0 0.1671 0.169
3 Thematic 550 51.83% 37.04 60.0% -0.817 -0.7508 -0.239
4 Archipelago 32 26.67% 34.53 59.38% 0.151 -0.5059 -0.613
4 Coastline 25 32.0% 29.2 80.0% -0.271 -0.0472 0.122
4 Leaf 53 47.17% 29.62 84.91% 0.748 0.2072 0.0
4 Other 333 50.47% 29.23 75.68% 0.077 -1.0401 0.514
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 6 50.0% 23.33 50.0% 0.0 -0.388 0.0
4 Thematic 1852 43.47% 42.72 70.03% 0.323 0.1494 0.11
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9403 42.14% 32.45 76.52% 0.321 0.1191 0.222
5 Archipelago 10 70.0% 35.5 70.0% 0.225 -0.9152 -0.374
5 Coastline 7 0.0% 27.57 100.0% 0.292 -0.1468 -0.297
5 Other 212 35.44% 31.16 78.3% 0.297 -0.1679 0.409
5 Thematic 27 44.44% 38.44 92.59% -0.123 -0.099 1.033
6 Archipelago 14 14.29% 28.79 78.57% -0.008 0.3608 -0.35
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 34.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.6195 -0.21
6 Other 98 26.53% 25.43 73.47% -1.273 -1.6409 -0.323
6 Star 26 53.85% 39.92 69.23% 0.779 0.9559 0.127
6 Thematic 159 31.65% 33.0 69.81% -1.135 -0.6624 -0.414
6 Two Centers (Default) 343 20.94% 26.5 75.8% -0.725 -0.6438 -0.707
7 Archipelago 5 60.0% 36.4 60.0% -0.341 -0.4454 -0.429
7 Other 8 37.5% 21.75 50.0% -1.505 -2.268 -0.617

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5468 28.9 53.69% 0.367 0.5658 -0.397
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4494 30.6 56.03% 0.187 0.121 -0.023
All Things Weaken 2121 27.74 47.34% 0.22 0.5882 -0.54
Attenuated Essence 55 28.84 58.18% 0.651 0.7214 0.064
Back Against the Wall 4447 29.57 53.59% 0.093 0.1619 -0.085
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 66 26.17 42.42% 0.122 0.3785 -0.361
Burn Brightest Before the End 45 27.27 44.44% 0.143 0.3175 -0.801
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5423 27.0 51.93% 0.176 0.6148 -0.434
Downward Spiral 16328 24.52 62.03% 0.384 0.6304 -0.185
Erosion of Will 5251 28.49 51.82% 0.19 0.5075 -0.473
Intensifying Exploitation 68 25.65 55.88% 0.644 0.913 -0.368
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 628 34.01 77.71% 1.208 0.6981 0.304
Memory Fades to Dust 16472 23.74 57.18% 0.073 0.4369 -0.434
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2195 28.46 55.17% 0.21 0.4462 -0.346
Promising Farmlands 5568 28.84 55.94% -0.079 0.381 -0.124
Shattered Fragments of Power 48 26.79 47.92% 0.139 0.1937 0.058
Slow Dissolution of Will 66 20.27 27.27% -0.651 -0.2428 -0.842
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 527 33.25 83.68% 0.244 -0.3982 0.065
The Border of Life and Death 22 22.0 63.64% 0.465 0.0778 -0.097
Thriving Communities 2162 28.34 53.93% 0.365 0.7227 -0.224
Thriving Crops 31 32.42 77.42% 1.387 1.2715 0.852
Tipping Point 2510 28.31 51.67% 0.0 -0.1815 -0.433
Unnatural Proliferation 2417 29.44 53.17% 0.402 0.575 -0.372
Untended Land Crumbles 2122 27.93 53.82% 0.42 0.6683 -0.382

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 42305 56.08% 27.51 69.85% -0.675 0.1578 -0.391
B 45002 54.76% 28.41 71.36% -0.456 0.3436 -0.297
C 44109 54.69% 28.83 71.55% -0.25 0.4068 -0.242
D 44229 53.59% 29.26 72.31% -0.08 0.7133 -0.003
E 10127 53.88% 29.82 70.27% -0.336 0.2922 -0.375
F 15292 53.02% 29.81 70.7% -0.432 0.2807 -0.229
G 15224 53.09% 30.14 71.51% -0.287 0.4513 -0.189
H 13870 54.07% 29.84 70.79% -0.169 0.4896 -0.244
East 5835 51.08% 38.1 63.03% -0.57 0.0383 -0.533
Northeast 4031 50.05% 39.3 64.62% -0.184 0.5647 -0.593
Northwest 3391 50.63% 39.49 64.41% 0.077 0.8929 0.223
Southeast 756 46.29% 31.77 64.95% 0.118 0.8469 0.418
Southwest 750 49.0% 30.49 62.4% -0.735 0.3301 0.027
West 5332 52.47% 37.37 61.68% -0.181 0.7687 -0.684

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 8089 0.0% 15.97 60.3% -0.737 0.0759 -1.811
Not Using Events or Tokens 36141 60.35% 22.66 70.52% -0.411 -0.0743 -0.006
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4242 26.35% 33.43 84.58% 0.291 -0.342 0.761
Start of Game Growth 5583 28.98% 32.07 82.61% 0.481 0.1909 0.135
Unlimited Undo 13790 49.69% 31.3 75.93% 0.116 0.1183 0.379
Using Tokens but Not Events 12889 50.67% 25.3 75.08% 0.011 -0.063 -0.21

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 7552 100.0% 31.26 100.0% 0.135 -0.016 0.017
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2239 100.0% 29.63 100.0% 0.343 0.1871 -0.409
Downpour Drenches the World 279 100.0% 27.39 100.0% -0.824 -0.6354 -0.03
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 158 100.0% 31.44 100.0% 1.18 0.3468 0.234
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3540 100.0% 31.93 100.0% 0.649 0.0485 0.26
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1998 100.0% 30.78 100.0% -0.167 -0.6516 -0.224
Finder of Paths Unseen 204 100.0% 31.06 100.0% -0.27 0.3991 0.003
Fractured Days Split the Sky 658 100.0% 34.53 100.0% -0.206 0.4143 0.349
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 420 100.0% 30.72 100.0% 0.308 0.2176 0.031
Heart of the Wildfire 4489 100.0% 27.3 100.0% -0.689 -0.4392 -0.305
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5467 100.0% 33.45 100.0% 0.274 -0.1528 0.232
Lightning's Swift Strike 6587 107.6% 27.39 103.95% -0.016 0.2091 0.07
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 113 55.45% 32.89 62.83% 0.646 0.01 0.812
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 503 49.4% 36.29 75.55% 0.387 0.24 0.693
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 360 43.06% 32.09 73.61% -0.228 -0.3492 0.259
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1261 100.0% 31.48 100.0% -0.108 -0.2479 -0.371
Many Minds Move as One 1106 100.0% 33.57 100.0% 0.612 0.4145 0.481
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 20010 100.0% 32.32 100.0% -0.063 -0.0571 0.126
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2118 100.0% 30.77 100.0% 0.229 0.0881 -0.093
River Surges in Sunlight 6824 104.33% 31.39 102.77% -0.065 0.0008 0.018
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 466 46.55% 32.2 70.39% -0.197 0.0383 -0.256
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 121 59.32% 31.45 57.85% -0.328 -0.4461 -0.788
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5562 100.0% 33.98 100.0% 0.0 -0.2422 0.237
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5996 108.8% 27.83 104.34% -0.048 0.4562 0.829
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 37 38.89% 29.35 67.57% 0.108 0.0517 -0.493
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 105 36.19% 32.15 75.24% -0.086 -0.1182 0.815
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 516 46.27% 29.57 74.22% -0.118 -0.1716 -0.669
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 331 48.92% 29.66 73.11% -0.76 -0.6307 0.378
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3896 100.44% 32.63 100.23% -0.033 -0.1753 0.284
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 25 32.0% 22.88 64.0% 0.56 0.11 -0.363
Shifting Memory of Ages 410 100.0% 29.27 100.0% -0.039 0.3457 -0.426
Shroud of Silent Mist 1021 100.0% 28.63 100.0% -0.307 -0.0241 0.116
Starlight Seeks its Form 400 100.0% 32.1 100.0% 0.409 0.175 0.816
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1482 100.0% 35.4 100.0% 0.321 -0.1795 -0.211
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2113 100.0% 33.73 100.0% 0.165 0.2138 0.642
Thunderspeaker 6133 100.21% 31.8 100.16% 0.025 0.0171 -0.068
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 22 40.91% 22.68 54.55% -0.113 -0.2387 -0.509
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1218 100.0% 28.67 100.0% -0.667 -0.5848 -0.241
Vital Strength of the Earth 4829 102.63% 27.25 102.4% -0.005 0.5446 -0.363
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 61 44.07% 26.93 59.02% 0.259 0.4865 -0.514
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 211 55.45% 27.51 56.87% -0.711 0.1642 -0.704
Volcano Looming High 740 100.0% 28.22 100.0% -0.344 -0.3609 -0.609

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call On Midnight's Dreams 27.12%
Dread Apparitions 86.5%
Dreams Of the Dahan 87.58%
Predatory Nightmares 65.66%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8272 20.63 1.58%
II 26669 31.02 16.74%
III 42744 34.75 68.53%
IV 67458 38.05 99.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 131
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 28577
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3804
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 66710
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1929
Lose: Invader deck ran out 166
Lose: Adversary condition 10408
Win: Sacrifice victory 510
Lose: Scenario condition 1452
Win: Scenario condition 1328
Lose: Blight pool ran out 28797
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1331

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.277 Win Model: -0.133

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.054 Win Model: 0.198
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 82995 60.43% 27.03 68.59%
2 36585 58.64% 28.81 69.09%
3 13113 49.42% 31.51 72.35%
4 11669 42.7% 33.33 75.36%
5 142 30.88% 28.96 69.01%
6 639 24.45% 28.19 74.49%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-07 04:03:52 (Pacific Time)