Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 94 28.72% 20.47 68.09% -0.631 -0.6608 -0.121
Blitz 0 1605 52.16% 22.12 51.09% 0.228 0.4713 -0.798
Dahan Insurrection 4 1811 32.94% 41.33 52.79% -1.164 -1.151 -0.744
Despicable Theft 2 143 38.46% 22.2 46.15% -0.985 -0.2186 0.077
Elemental Invocation 1 288 56.6% 24.43 53.82% 0.001 0.7539 0.175
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4024 21.23% 36.84 64.66% -0.151 -0.7472 1.096
Powers Long Forgotten 1 619 56.47% 25.4 49.43% -0.659 0.0889 -0.366
Rituals of Terror 3 876 51.27% 39.47 37.79% -0.905 -0.4268 1.034
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 364 68.13% 27.85 44.51% -0.176 0.5121 -0.223
Second Wave 0 5178 49.27% 26.94 69.83% 0.59 0.5851 0.182
The Great River 3 127 42.52% 22.3 32.28% -0.384 0.7452 -0.283
Varied Terrains 2 102 47.06% 20.83 38.24% -0.059 0.7205 0.41
Ward the Shores 2 502 63.58% 22.24 31.27% -1.332 -0.4631 -0.936

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 107456 57.73% 24.28 63.34% 0.23 0.4338 -0.192
1 Thematic 4199 59.01% 30.91 53.42% 0.001 0.61 -0.046
2 Archipelago 62 40.32% 33.53 67.74% 0.0 0.1705 0.505
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 33437 57.08% 25.4 63.07% 0.077 0.1576 -0.297
2 Coastline 4008 56.18% 25.4 64.82% 0.472 0.3765 0.005
2 Fragment 1042 57.31% 21.74 61.04% -0.001 -0.0441 0.236
2 Heart 583 61.34% 20.75 57.63% -0.249 -0.7097 0.507
2 Opposite Shores 7096 49.18% 25.71 65.39% 0.253 0.3846 -0.1
2 Other 1 100.0% 6.0 0.0% 0.0 0.2838 0.0
2 Thematic 3097 45.28% 33.14 51.76% 0.588 0.9463 -0.182
2 Top to Top 1245 54.16% 24.63 61.04% -0.031 -0.1203 -0.193
3 Archipelago 36 47.22% 43.14 77.78% 0.0 -0.1698 0.0
3 Coastline 109 53.85% 28.42 60.55% 0.0 -0.1724 0.0
3 Other 659 52.05% 23.49 60.7% 0.778 0.3926 0.577
3 Round (Default) 16692 47.64% 27.28 65.92% 0.021 0.0265 0.061
3 Sunrise 71 46.38% 27.63 74.65% 0.0 -0.6066 0.0
3 Thematic 734 45.07% 32.73 55.31% -0.421 -0.8524 -0.726
4 Archipelago 48 23.08% 25.88 47.92% -0.258 -0.4982 0.0
4 Coastline 37 27.03% 23.49 67.57% 0.177 -0.4214 0.0
4 Leaf 81 46.15% 24.83 70.37% 0.279 -0.7436 0.0
4 Other 492 46.5% 22.51 59.76% -0.061 -0.9041 -0.048
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.5784 0.0
4 Snake 6 50.0% 23.33 50.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 2337 38.24% 39.87 62.22% -0.124 -0.3265 0.587
4 Trapezoid (Default) 13310 38.02% 27.18 65.94% -0.463 -0.2735 -0.253
5 Archipelago 10 70.0% 35.5 70.0% 0.0 0.5989 0.0
5 Coastline 11 9.09% 24.0 90.91% 0.371 -0.2884 0.0
5 Other 480 41.28% 27.74 65.63% -0.347 -0.507 0.512
5 Thematic 61 31.15% 28.21 73.77% 0.032 0.3701 -0.037
6 Archipelago 37 8.57% 34.84 62.16% 0.21 -0.4436 -0.122
6 Coastline 8 25.0% 21.0 25.0% 0.0 -0.4503 0.0
6 Other 227 25.55% 21.49 59.03% 0.865 0.8256 -0.149
6 Star 78 28.21% 21.36 44.87% -0.405 0.0608 -0.198
6 Thematic 383 22.16% 21.27 45.69% -0.474 -0.2258 -0.176
6 Two Centers (Default) 786 21.9% 20.76 57.76% -0.613 0.5882 -0.374
7 Archipelago 7 42.86% 26.0 42.86% 0.0 1.1557 0.0
7 Other 21 20.0% 8.29 19.05% 0.0 0.1814 -0.145
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6365 28.36 52.96% 0.702 0.8504 0.809
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5201 29.99 55.09% 0.184 0.0712 0.895
All Things Weaken 2864 26.36 45.74% -0.622 -0.2467 0.099
Attenuated Essence 363 25.56 51.79% 0.596 0.7218 0.117
Back Against the Wall 5236 29.0 53.57% 0.641 0.6822 1.725
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 399 24.65 50.13% -0.107 0.0991 0.137
Burn Brightest Before the End 283 23.75 44.17% 0.326 0.3706 0.406
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6426 25.93 50.68% -0.019 0.4788 0.174
Downward Spiral 21615 23.18 59.47% 0.604 0.8543 1.407
Erosion of Will 6185 28.09 51.69% 0.259 0.5167 0.844
Intensifying Exploitation 388 23.24 48.45% -0.448 -0.2286 0.037
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 890 31.13 73.6% 1.082 0.6956 0.344
Memory Fades to Dust 21885 22.31 54.64% 0.138 0.343 0.773
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2907 27.0 53.11% -0.419 -0.2213 0.223
Promising Farmlands 6603 28.02 54.84% -0.635 -0.2784 0.579
Shattered Fragments of Power 282 24.74 47.87% 0.649 0.8663 0.158
Slow Dissolution of Will 381 21.73 44.09% -0.493 -0.0638 -0.252
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 675 31.7 81.04% -0.075 -0.6996 0.654
The Border of Life and Death 130 26.47 65.38% 0.398 0.0776 -0.146
Thriving Communities 2887 26.48 51.4% -0.059 0.2605 0.986
Thriving Crops 190 26.76 67.89% 0.841 0.7221 -0.377
Tipping Point 2511 28.3 51.65% 0.0 0.6615 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 3180 28.3 52.92% 0.72 0.8096 0.144
Untended Land Crumbles 2825 26.69 51.61% -0.148 0.077 0.506

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 58931 52.56% 24.04 62.08% -0.22 0.5799 -0.178
B 62036 51.13% 24.95 63.66% -0.365 0.3657 0.013
C 60183 51.54% 25.58 64.62% 0.177 0.7813 0.076
D 60133 50.63% 26.04 65.63% 0.245 1.0017 0.142
E 15771 51.07% 26.16 63.55% -0.097 0.4873 0.017
F 22275 49.85% 26.36 63.97% 0.171 0.8738 -0.353
G 21650 50.05% 26.75 64.59% -0.003 0.7539 0.535
H 20049 50.63% 26.34 63.71% 0.072 0.7029 -0.149
East 8218 44.37% 34.42 55.82% -0.994 -0.2104 -0.258
Northeast 5811 41.94% 35.25 56.12% 0.286 1.0478 -0.474
Northwest 4539 44.15% 35.25 56.47% 0.186 1.0281 0.696
Southeast 1200 38.08% 25.84 53.58% -0.44 0.1998 -0.03
Southwest 1177 39.54% 24.11 49.87% 0.608 1.653 -0.067
West 7146 46.95% 33.47 54.67% -0.045 0.7304 -0.446

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 13204 0.0% 13.45 50.45% -0.737 0.1362 -0.282
Not Using Events or Tokens 57873 54.91% 19.15 59.94% -0.352 0.0245 -0.573
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5410 25.35% 30.46 78.1% -0.628 -0.9197 -0.4
Start of Game Growth 7344 27.98% 28.88 75.93% 0.603 0.0464 -0.525
Unlimited Undo 18972 44.11% 27.33 66.7% 0.274 0.3375 1.191
Using Tokens but Not Events 17684 48.16% 23.4 67.91% -0.015 -0.1422 0.274

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 10719 39.24% 27.37 66.21% 0.492 0.3962 0.256
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 124 32.26% 24.81 56.45% -0.338 -0.6636 -0.203
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 5 0.0% 27.0 80.0% 0.377 0.115 0.0
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 80 22.08% 20.35 55.0% 0.248 -0.4722 -0.491
Dances Up Earthquakes 116 40.87% 21.0 50.86% 0.552 0.7334 0.464
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2939 46.27% 27.12 67.03% -0.19 -0.3684 -0.356
Downpour Drenches the World 810 39.02% 20.38 46.67% -1.339 -0.9802 1.109
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 521 40.12% 27.79 67.56% 0.511 0.0712 -0.093
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5415 33.77% 26.67 68.14% -0.796 -1.1458 0.096
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2613 44.43% 27.99 69.19% 0.258 -0.1421 -0.53
Finder of Paths Unseen 614 40.79% 21.57 44.46% 0.082 1.1569 0.294
Fractured Days Split the Sky 967 41.53% 29.54 60.91% 0.105 0.5607 -0.339
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 909 42.32% 24.0 56.33% -1.149 -1.2399 0.26
Heart of the Wildfire 5742 58.99% 24.42 58.79% -0.386 0.045 -0.261
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7389 40.72% 28.19 64.0% 0.008 -0.4341 -0.585
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 88 35.63% 20.91 50.0% 0.634 0.1249 -0.241
Lightning's Swift Strike 9164 47.53% 23.56 62.76% -0.88 -0.7167 -0.464
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 263 48.06% 25.91 55.51% 0.427 -0.2517 -0.29
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 738 47.06% 32.42 70.05% -0.476 -0.8354 0.772
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 541 43.31% 27.69 66.17% 1.17 1.0237 0.038
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1884 46.02% 28.45 66.67% 1.355 1.1781 -0.006
Many Minds Move as One 1661 42.06% 29.33 72.07% 0.144 0.0091 0.635
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 28033 48.14% 28.44 64.64% 0.008 -0.0692 0.569
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 341 43.58% 22.4 55.13% -0.032 0.1597 -0.478
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2747 47.75% 27.93 67.24% -0.187 -0.2461 -0.153
River Surges in Sunlight 9187 45.64% 27.12 63.63% -0.286 -0.2413 -1.218
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 39 41.03% 19.46 46.15% -0.703 -0.4729 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 770 41.49% 26.98 61.69% 0.902 0.9507 0.571
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 362 55.65% 26.28 51.93% -0.399 -0.2328 -0.135
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7104 43.3% 30.58 65.26% -0.183 -0.3764 -0.343
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 60 36.67% 26.33 55.0% -0.303 -0.317 0.006
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 8019 56.41% 24.02 61.83% -0.394 0.2303 0.406
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 116 42.98% 27.36 64.66% 0.073 0.0882 0.616
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 113 46.02% 25.88 66.37% 0.318 -0.1167 1.214
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 271 39.41% 26.25 62.73% 0.046 0.0682 0.342
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 677 44.03% 26.57 65.88% -1.364 -1.4515 -0.263
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 460 46.1% 25.85 65.22% 0.153 0.5615 -0.14
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4943 43.54% 28.48 65.91% -0.401 -0.3439 0.034
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 3 0.0% 18.0 66.67% 0.279 -0.2253 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 228 29.39% 21.04 53.95% -0.57 -0.6071 -0.001
Shifting Memory of Ages 781 46.25% 25.32 59.92% 0.015 0.3769 -0.477
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 187 49.73% 31.25 72.73% 1.249 1.2314 0.699
Shroud of Silent Mist 1895 50.08% 22.79 58.05% 0.079 0.6028 0.161
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 4 50.0% 21.0 25.0% -0.674 -1.0142 0.0
Starlight Seeks its Form 891 41.09% 25.45 58.36% 0.347 0.1483 -0.344
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2100 47.51% 33.93 65.24% 0.822 0.2067 0.92
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2712 39.98% 30.89 71.83% -0.235 -0.0021 0.734
Thunderspeaker 8873 42.95% 26.1 61.82% 0.199 0.1819 -0.755
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 128 47.62% 26.17 63.28% 0.54 0.7401 -0.187
Towering Roots of the Jungle 144 38.19% 17.43 46.53% 0.535 0.7021 -0.45
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1857 59.45% 25.82 60.8% 0.004 0.0538 -0.481
Vital Strength of the Earth 6745 42.72% 23.01 61.54% 0.272 0.7422 -0.807
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 263 29.34% 15.84 41.44% -0.407 0.0024 0.048
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 341 46.92% 23.85 53.08% 0.541 1.2074 -0.138
Volcano Looming High 1251 51.12% 24.45 60.75% 0.588 0.5719 0.093
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 258 43.41% 27.52 63.95% -1.363 -1.6428 -0.317

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call On Midnight's Dreams 32.54%
Dread Apparitions 87.38%
Dreams Of the Dahan 88.49%
Predatory Nightmares 68.15%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 24422 12.44 0.63%
II 36375 29.94 14.88%
III 54641 34.9 67.72%
IV 83649 38.84 99.59%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 153
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 36162
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4658
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 82727
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 21200
Lose: Invader deck ran out 200
Lose: Adversary condition 12509
Win: Sacrifice victory 636
Lose: Scenario condition 1638
Win: Scenario condition 1539
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 36016
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1649

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.584 Win Model: -0.149

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.043 Win Model: 0.259
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 112028 57.72% 24.5 62.88%
2 50557 55.22% 25.86 62.84%
3 18334 47.27% 28.13 65.58%
4 16199 38.51% 28.01 65.09%
5 462 39.56% 26.17 57.36%
6 1507 21.44% 20.91 54.94%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-10-18 23:57:56 (Pacific Time)