Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 72 30.56% 21.6 73.61% 0.74 0.4633 0.137
Blitz 0 1450 54.51% 23.13 52.83% -0.445 -0.1384 -0.469
Dahan Insurrection 4 1610 34.47% 43.64 55.53% -0.639 -1.0428 0.329
Despicable Theft 2 123 42.28% 23.54 49.59% -1.403 -0.7592 -0.954
Elemental Invocation 1 262 59.16% 24.82 54.96% -0.773 -0.1319 -1.399
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3752 21.7% 37.5 65.91% 0.535 -0.0815 0.659
Powers Long Forgotten 1 572 59.02% 26.78 52.1% 0.477 1.1354 -0.583
Rituals of Terror 3 764 55.19% 40.03 38.74% -0.505 -0.4423 0.591
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 328 71.34% 29.27 46.34% 0.075 0.9552 -0.824
Second Wave 0 4866 49.21% 27.23 70.65% 0.183 0.3064 -0.102
The Great River 3 114 46.49% 23.73 34.21% -0.726 0.3183 -1.607
Varied Terrains 2 77 50.65% 21.78 41.56% 0.211 1.0651 -0.25
Ward the Shores 2 456 65.85% 22.61 31.36% -1.257 -0.2199 -1.288

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 98085 58.39% 24.96 64.91% 0.338 0.6734 0.306
1 Thematic 3912 60.1% 31.51 54.73% -0.245 0.374 -0.126
2 Archipelago 55 40.0% 35.09 70.91% 0.0 0.7427 -0.274
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 30175 57.7% 26.31 64.88% 0.106 0.2491 0.491
2 Coastline 3643 56.7% 26.36 66.81% 0.212 0.0114 0.6
2 Fragment 943 57.55% 22.34 62.67% 0.388 0.2962 0.386
2 Heart 541 62.03% 21.43 59.33% -0.389 -0.7776 -0.346
2 Opposite Shores 6411 50.39% 26.59 67.26% 0.55 0.6016 -0.092
2 Other 1 100.0% 6.0 0.0% 0.0 1.4411 0.0
2 Thematic 2745 47.85% 33.86 53.88% -0.143 0.3624 0.329
2 Top to Top 1111 55.17% 25.77 63.28% 0.692 0.5546 -0.427
3 Archipelago 32 53.13% 46.56 81.25% 0.0 -0.7497 1.343
3 Coastline 101 55.56% 29.58 62.38% 0.0 -0.9263 0.976
3 Other 593 50.63% 24.35 63.07% 0.123 -0.6101 0.549
3 Round (Default) 15085 48.23% 28.23 67.44% 0.407 0.3698 -0.041
3 Sunrise 66 48.44% 27.09 72.73% 0.298 -0.2831 -0.312
3 Thematic 681 45.79% 33.78 56.68% 0.637 0.3286 0.014
4 Archipelago 44 24.32% 28.23 52.27% 0.437 0.6866 -0.353
4 Coastline 33 27.27% 24.7 69.7% 0.0 -0.1427 0.285
4 Leaf 77 48.65% 25.68 71.43% -0.096 0.508 0.155
4 Other 439 45.94% 24.37 64.69% -0.155 -0.8721 0.294
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.0824 0.0
4 Snake 6 50.0% 23.33 50.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 2123 40.57% 41.02 65.24% -0.011 0.0171 -0.203
4 Trapezoid (Default) 12231 38.59% 28.11 67.77% 0.072 -0.0373 -0.39
5 Archipelago 10 70.0% 35.5 70.0% 0.0 0.4711 -0.311
5 Coastline 9 11.11% 26.56 100.0% 0.0 -0.6953 -0.263
5 Other 387 40.74% 28.32 67.7% -0.306 -0.6295 -0.383
5 Thematic 41 36.59% 29.68 73.17% -0.101 -0.2395 0.019
6 Archipelago 27 12.0% 39.26 62.96% 0.0 -1.0432 0.025
6 Coastline 7 28.57% 18.43 14.29% 0.0 -1.2001 -0.395
6 Other 198 24.24% 22.49 60.61% -0.946 -1.1206 -0.881
6 Star 68 29.41% 22.16 45.59% -0.03 0.7406 -1.144
6 Thematic 307 25.0% 23.38 48.21% -0.379 -0.4506 -1.404
6 Two Centers (Default) 605 22.33% 22.22 63.47% -0.424 -0.1582 -0.773
7 Archipelago 7 42.86% 26.0 42.86% 0.0 -0.2637 -0.433
7 Other 15 28.57% 11.6 26.67% 0.0 -0.8421 -0.733
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.9203 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6081 28.48 53.07% 0.336 0.3803 0.17
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4991 30.2 55.46% 0.044 -0.0915 0.544
All Things Weaken 2632 26.87 46.54% 0.165 0.2992 -0.004
Attenuated Essence 238 25.5 52.94% -0.1 -0.0989 0.44
Back Against the Wall 4983 29.17 53.46% 0.005 -0.0173 0.464
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 292 25.47 52.4% -0.235 -0.0691 0.153
Burn Brightest Before the End 198 23.15 40.4% 0.462 0.4914 0.317
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6087 26.34 51.16% 0.001 0.2074 0.102
Downward Spiral 19750 23.49 60.03% 0.386 0.4337 0.436
Erosion of Will 5890 28.25 51.9% 0.384 0.558 0.062
Intensifying Exploitation 286 24.41 51.05% 0.084 0.204 0.286
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 803 32.02 74.72% 0.59 0.0583 0.644
Memory Fades to Dust 19940 22.69 55.26% 0.099 0.2904 0.199
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2666 27.5 54.28% 0.458 0.544 0.148
Promising Farmlands 6255 28.38 55.52% -0.037 0.1892 0.366
Shattered Fragments of Power 192 26.44 50.52% 0.769 0.8288 -0.141
Slow Dissolution of Will 267 21.61 40.07% 0.611 0.9709 -0.663
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 622 32.27 82.15% 1.025 0.3373 0.66
The Border of Life and Death 82 25.98 65.85% 0.938 0.505 0.045
Thriving Communities 2665 27.01 52.05% 0.331 0.5394 0.266
Thriving Crops 138 28.83 70.29% 0.015 -0.2551 0.682
Tipping Point 2511 28.3 51.65% -0.139 0.4353 0.123
Unnatural Proliferation 2928 28.68 53.07% 0.098 0.1363 0.11
Untended Land Crumbles 2585 27.08 52.26% 0.489 0.7126 0.104

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 53519 53.39% 24.92 64.03% -0.202 0.7452 -0.478
B 56394 51.91% 25.84 65.61% -0.204 0.6594 -0.421
C 54789 52.26% 26.43 66.38% -0.179 0.518 -0.298
D 54765 51.27% 26.91 67.4% 0.309 1.1682 -0.099
E 13857 51.8% 27.03 65.04% 0.21 0.8967 -0.453
F 20015 50.4% 27.17 65.53% -0.016 0.7709 -0.379
G 19516 50.6% 27.56 66.15% -0.109 0.6572 -0.237
H 18049 51.25% 27.22 65.34% -0.112 0.6294 -0.352
East 7384 46.59% 35.41 57.88% -0.277 0.5175 -0.427
Northeast 5143 44.66% 36.5 58.74% 0.323 1.1499 -0.28
Northwest 4083 46.6% 36.54 59.0% 0.721 1.4652 0.299
Southeast 1041 40.79% 27.16 55.43% -0.855 0.0278 0.323
Southwest 1028 41.64% 25.35 51.75% -0.499 0.8186 -0.149
West 6484 48.78% 34.54 56.83% 0.344 1.2663 -0.814

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 11447 0.0% 14.11 52.91% -0.864 -0.22 -1.084
Not Using Events or Tokens 50008 56.24% 19.95 62.43% -0.52 -0.04 -0.491
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5011 25.48% 31.46 80.56% 0.691 -0.0895 0.58
Start of Game Growth 6760 28.38% 29.86 78.17% -0.139 -0.5599 0.398
Unlimited Undo 17286 45.31% 28.28 68.72% 0.206 0.1718 0.215
Using Tokens but Not Events 16045 49.06% 23.96 70.0% -0.001 -0.1064 -0.115

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 9682 40.2% 28.44 68.86% 0.072 -0.0468 0.264
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 53 30.19% 20.02 45.28% 0.306 -0.2297 -0.967
Dances Up Earthquakes 27 48.15% 26.78 62.96% 0.08 -0.0963 0.0
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2664 47.81% 28.17 69.11% -0.034 -0.2786 -0.112
Downpour Drenches the World 667 38.53% 21.17 47.68% 0.459 0.7901 -0.177
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 430 38.35% 28.47 67.91% 0.669 0.168 -0.098
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4763 35.0% 27.98 71.19% 0.425 0.0262 -0.224
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2406 45.29% 28.77 70.2% -0.542 -0.9469 0.008
Finder of Paths Unseen 495 39.8% 21.78 44.04% -1.538 -0.8541 -0.151
Fractured Days Split the Sky 890 43.12% 30.86 63.03% -0.616 -0.1431 0.511
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 770 43.16% 25.25 59.48% 0.872 0.8158 -0.147
Heart of the Wildfire 5344 60.17% 25.21 60.55% -0.402 -0.0789 -0.303
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6919 41.28% 29.12 65.8% -0.049 -0.531 -0.316
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 48 34.04% 18.63 45.83% 0.401 -0.0131 -0.587
Lightning's Swift Strike 8358 47.55% 24.49 64.86% 0.181 0.3869 -0.017
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 203 50.25% 28.31 56.16% -0.723 -1.0944 0.879
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 666 46.52% 33.11 70.72% 0.44 0.1371 0.728
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 460 42.13% 28.71 67.39% -0.02 0.196 0.347
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1697 46.68% 28.96 67.94% -0.154 -0.3437 -0.207
Many Minds Move as One 1476 42.94% 30.33 73.71% 0.874 0.6551 0.47
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 25365 48.93% 29.46 66.56% 0.013 0.1427 0.314
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 72 43.06% 26.9 65.28% 0.126 0.2094 0.388
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2552 48.26% 28.65 68.53% 0.293 0.1989 0.128
River Surges in Sunlight 8340 46.65% 28.39 66.09% -0.119 -0.1558 0.206
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 24 33.33% 16.29 33.33% -0.694 -0.4178 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 689 42.77% 27.73 61.1% 0.855 0.9809 -0.189
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 284 58.12% 27.93 52.82% -0.164 -0.3342 -0.15
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6569 44.41% 31.47 66.92% -0.168 -0.3348 0.259
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 19 47.37% 37.05 68.42% 0.561 0.0529 0.859
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 7317 57.74% 25.17 64.33% -0.204 0.2848 0.708
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 91 39.33% 28.55 69.23% -0.105 -0.0822 0.611
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 70 64.29% 27.13 67.14% 1.329 0.8803 0.432
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 228 38.33% 26.38 63.6% 0.404 0.6747 0.29
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 609 44.85% 27.48 69.46% -0.123 -0.1764 -0.515
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 413 46.4% 26.83 67.07% 0.076 0.2936 0.45
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4724 43.62% 28.99 67.02% 0.344 0.2166 -0.285
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 163 28.22% 21.74 55.83% -0.372 -0.5038 -0.807
Shifting Memory of Ages 697 47.1% 26.2 61.26% -0.62 -0.2455 -0.118
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 47 23.4% 22.81 57.45% 0.529 0.623 -0.611
Shroud of Silent Mist 1643 51.66% 23.67 59.65% -0.547 -0.1249 -0.133
Starlight Seeks its Form 720 42.11% 27.14 61.11% 0.076 0.005 0.636
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1916 48.11% 34.0 66.23% 0.129 -0.3823 0.216
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2518 40.42% 31.58 73.19% 0.003 0.0762 0.804
Thunderspeaker 8044 43.84% 27.35 64.15% 0.086 0.0713 -0.329
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 67 38.46% 22.39 53.73% -0.056 0.289 -0.463
Towering Roots of the Jungle 72 41.67% 12.25 34.72% -0.361 -0.1832 -0.995
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1627 61.09% 26.33 61.4% -1.026 -1.0109 0.02
Vital Strength of the Earth 6080 43.76% 24.01 63.68% -0.191 0.3102 -0.534
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 206 27.23% 16.93 44.17% -1.376 -0.8737 -0.254
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 303 47.85% 24.54 53.47% 0.017 0.6921 -0.278
Volcano Looming High 1101 52.27% 25.37 61.76% -0.362 -0.3179 -0.638
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 186 44.62% 27.9 62.37% 1.043 0.7463 0.289

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call On Midnight's Dreams 31.22%
Dread Apparitions 87.06%
Dreams Of the Dahan 88.31%
Predatory Nightmares 67.65%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 19098 14.03 0.77%
II 33045 30.25 15.42%
III 50595 34.83 67.92%
IV 78188 38.62 99.58%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 147
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 33563
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4378
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 77321
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 14790
Lose: Invader deck ran out 190
Lose: Adversary condition 11779
Win: Sacrifice victory 596
Lose: Scenario condition 1583
Win: Scenario condition 1463
Lose: Blight pool ran out 33567
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1549

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.008 Win Model: -0.105

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.084 Win Model: 0.075
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 102290 58.41% 25.19 64.44%
2 45647 56.04% 26.73 64.69%
3 16575 47.83% 29.02 67.1%
4 14870 39.28% 29.07 67.2%
5 353 39.47% 26.57 57.51%
6 1191 22.42% 22.42 58.86%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-01 17:07:50 (Pacific Time)