Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 48 27.08% 21.23 75.0% -0.288 -0.4829 0.0
Blitz 0 1246 58.09% 25.05 56.74% 0.149 0.3223 -0.467
Dahan Insurrection 4 1428 36.11% 46.1 57.84% -0.274 -0.5194 0.211
Despicable Theft 2 90 46.67% 27.39 57.78% 0.318 0.8937 -0.982
Elemental Invocation 1 226 63.27% 26.48 58.85% -0.185 0.6322 -1.49
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3492 22.34% 38.37 67.44% 0.311 -0.4641 0.485
Powers Long Forgotten 1 491 62.04% 27.94 53.77% -0.49 0.4244 -0.753
Rituals of Terror 3 606 63.44% 43.94 43.73% 0.359 0.3617 0.865
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 295 76.61% 31.2 49.15% -1.176 -0.049 -0.683
Second Wave 0 4474 49.2% 27.71 72.13% -0.111 0.0046 -0.099
The Great River 3 89 48.31% 27.12 40.45% -0.818 0.4273 -1.372
Varied Terrains 2 57 49.12% 23.32 43.86% -0.11 0.6544 -0.197
Ward the Shores 2 403 69.5% 24.17 33.25% -0.914 0.0787 -1.275

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 87572 59.43% 25.86 67.02% 0.272 0.4833 0.248
1 Thematic 3590 61.51% 32.34 56.41% -0.042 0.625 -0.124
2 Archipelago 46 47.83% 38.59 73.91% 0.0 0.4156 -0.186
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 26941 58.97% 27.41 67.17% 0.212 0.2422 0.406
2 Coastline 3309 57.26% 27.32 68.42% -0.175 -0.133 0.582
2 Fragment 810 60.26% 23.53 64.57% 0.205 -0.0093 0.469
2 Heart 452 62.95% 22.58 63.5% 0.067 -0.1014 -0.029
2 Opposite Shores 5578 51.83% 28.07 70.51% 0.437 0.5295 0.03
2 Other 1 100.0% 6.0 0.0% 0.0 0.7368 0.0
2 Thematic 2228 51.36% 35.34 56.73% 0.429 0.7017 0.163
2 Top to Top 967 57.0% 27.08 65.46% 0.273 0.2302 -0.461
3 Archipelago 29 55.17% 46.97 79.31% 0.283 -0.3139 1.209
3 Coastline 95 55.91% 30.03 62.11% 1.489 0.6874 0.906
3 Other 542 50.98% 25.27 65.31% 0.128 -0.185 0.441
3 Round (Default) 13424 48.5% 29.31 69.67% 0.327 0.0133 -0.062
3 Sunrise 62 50.0% 27.42 72.58% 0.426 0.5072 -0.274
3 Thematic 580 50.69% 36.05 58.62% -0.685 -0.8889 -0.205
4 Archipelago 38 26.47% 31.95 57.89% 0.012 -0.424 -0.251
4 Coastline 27 29.63% 27.04 74.07% 0.173 -0.5631 0.229
4 Leaf 57 46.43% 27.88 78.95% -0.134 -0.067 -0.443
4 Other 383 48.45% 26.99 70.76% -0.16 -1.5479 0.344
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 0.213 0.0
4 Snake 6 50.0% 23.33 50.0% 0.0 0.102 0.0
4 Thematic 1926 43.2% 42.42 68.9% -0.091 -0.2438 -0.082
4 Trapezoid (Default) 10593 40.25% 30.28 71.95% -0.174 -0.3175 -0.27
5 Archipelago 10 70.0% 35.5 70.0% 0.0 0.8973 -0.318
5 Coastline 8 12.5% 27.13 100.0% 0.0 -0.4255 -0.306
5 Other 310 40.07% 30.04 74.19% 1.086 -0.0591 0.061
5 Thematic 32 37.5% 34.06 81.25% -0.092 -0.3485 0.329
6 Archipelago 23 13.64% 39.65 65.22% 0.718 -0.4406 -0.04
6 Coastline 2 0.0% 17.0 0.0% -0.03 -0.5346 -0.39
6 Other 135 28.15% 26.14 70.37% -0.945 -1.2996 -0.397
6 Star 48 37.5% 26.42 52.08% -0.529 -0.6568 -1.02
6 Thematic 214 30.19% 28.37 57.48% -1.435 -0.6237 -1.242
6 Two Centers (Default) 470 21.08% 23.56 68.3% -0.956 -1.4549 -0.878
7 Archipelago 7 42.86% 26.0 42.86% -0.853 -0.541 -0.555
7 Other 14 30.77% 12.43 28.57% 0.024 -0.0628 -1.062

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5742 28.67 53.24% 0.218 0.3639 -0.066
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4719 30.48 55.82% 0.575 0.4533 0.332
All Things Weaken 2365 27.35 47.27% -0.387 -0.1045 -0.176
Attenuated Essence 154 26.34 52.6% 0.159 0.2195 0.418
Back Against the Wall 4690 29.37 53.62% 0.233 0.2508 0.248
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 167 25.2 47.9% 1.13 1.2907 -0.236
Burn Brightest Before the End 127 24.91 41.73% 0.004 0.1431 -0.082
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5705 26.72 51.55% 0.078 0.418 -0.078
Downward Spiral 17712 24.03 61.21% 0.495 0.6392 0.156
Erosion of Will 5545 28.37 51.87% 0.499 0.7075 -0.143
Intensifying Exploitation 159 24.87 52.83% 0.169 0.4067 -0.039
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 713 33.09 76.44% 1.13 0.5647 0.51
Memory Fades to Dust 17873 23.2 56.39% 0.36 0.6154 -0.087
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2414 27.88 54.64% 0.114 0.2752 -0.047
Promising Farmlands 5873 28.63 55.88% 0.697 1.0041 0.171
Shattered Fragments of Power 110 27.69 49.09% 0.529 0.6306 -0.349
Slow Dissolution of Will 170 21.21 35.29% -0.169 0.2042 -0.729
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 571 33.25 83.36% 1.471 0.7028 0.533
The Border of Life and Death 58 27.26 65.52% 0.332 -0.1719 0.283
Thriving Communities 2390 27.48 52.38% -0.64 -0.3461 0.101
Thriving Crops 84 29.75 70.24% -0.004 -0.122 0.627
Tipping Point 2510 28.31 51.67% 0.0 0.5517 -0.083
Unnatural Proliferation 2641 29.08 53.01% 0.386 0.5319 -0.045
Untended Land Crumbles 2324 27.45 52.8% -0.118 0.1287 -0.087

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 47076 54.85% 26.26 66.99% -0.539 0.5916 -0.432
B 49928 53.26% 27.13 68.49% -0.279 0.7589 -0.347
C 48730 53.42% 27.68 69.04% -0.126 0.771 -0.277
D 48664 52.45% 28.14 69.91% -0.137 0.9057 -0.061
E 11865 52.48% 28.3 67.48% -0.346 0.5533 -0.427
F 17542 51.63% 28.35 67.83% -0.253 0.7689 -0.326
G 17263 51.75% 28.7 68.58% -0.195 0.7829 -0.229
H 15897 52.32% 28.41 67.71% -0.372 0.6219 -0.306
East 6323 49.68% 37.12 61.14% -0.756 0.217 -0.464
Northeast 4405 48.55% 38.24 62.38% 0.197 1.1556 -0.404
Northwest 3603 49.54% 38.53 62.59% 0.01 1.0308 0.214
Southeast 860 44.11% 29.67 60.12% -0.071 0.9264 0.332
Southwest 854 45.89% 28.23 57.14% -0.953 0.4254 -0.029
West 5667 51.41% 36.42 60.0% -0.343 0.7101 -0.811

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 9587 0.0% 15.1 56.6% -0.492 0.1197 -1.438
Not Using Events or Tokens 41600 58.48% 21.31 66.8% -0.433 0.0819 -0.182
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4581 26.24% 32.46 82.49% 0.175 -0.5267 0.606
Start of Game Growth 6113 29.01% 30.99 80.45% 0.673 0.3238 0.324
Unlimited Undo 15469 47.46% 29.56 71.78% -0.228 -0.2562 0.21
Using Tokens but Not Events 14370 49.86% 24.41 72.32% -0.265 -0.2013 -0.174

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 8418 41.56% 29.92 72.0% 0.539 0.4688 0.226
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2463 48.13% 28.86 70.48% 0.773 0.5582 -0.188
Downpour Drenches the World 440 41.86% 23.96 49.77% -0.382 -0.1259 -0.279
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 316 39.1% 29.13 66.46% 0.547 0.0475 -0.179
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4019 37.94% 30.47 77.56% 0.536 0.0708 0.037
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2213 46.53% 29.67 72.16% -0.187 -0.5995 -0.088
Finder of Paths Unseen 326 47.37% 27.0 52.76% 0.028 0.8716 0.026
Fractured Days Split the Sky 759 43.28% 32.9 66.53% -0.718 -0.127 0.423
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 572 44.86% 27.89 64.16% -0.335 -0.3554 -0.062
Heart of the Wildfire 4819 61.71% 26.31 62.94% -0.216 0.1752 -0.226
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6264 43.08% 30.72 69.3% -0.382 -0.8165 -0.275
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 13 69.23% 26.23 61.54% 0.542 -0.0094 0.0
Lightning's Swift Strike 7265 49.42% 26.26 68.92% 0.0 0.2126 0.061
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 166 49.08% 28.96 57.83% -0.082 -0.6986 0.817
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 587 45.96% 34.09 72.74% 0.557 0.2597 0.806
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 396 42.93% 30.55 71.72% -0.808 -0.9243 0.407
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1453 47.05% 30.4 70.47% 0.425 0.2059 -0.225
Many Minds Move as One 1285 43.33% 31.42 75.64% 0.099 -0.0807 0.413
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 22216 50.52% 31.02 69.77% 0.139 0.1434 0.215
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2326 48.41% 29.67 70.59% 0.297 0.0841 0.085
River Surges in Sunlight 7425 47.79% 30.09 69.14% 0.228 0.2484 0.208
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 566 45.02% 29.72 64.66% 0.069 0.3837 -0.103
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 206 62.38% 30.32 56.8% 0.603 0.5979 -0.387
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6019 45.89% 32.81 69.53% 0.12 -0.0134 0.2
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 6525 59.18% 26.63 67.75% -0.234 0.3753 0.847
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 62 42.62% 28.18 66.13% -0.33 -0.2944 0.005
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 12 66.67% 29.08 58.33% 0.004 -0.5479 0.104
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 178 34.46% 27.32 65.73% 0.798 1.0554 0.164
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 564 44.98% 28.34 71.99% -1.472 -1.5731 -0.565
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 371 46.96% 27.56 68.73% -1.153 -0.9507 0.428
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4457 43.5% 29.5 67.51% 0.013 0.0473 -0.598
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 90 34.44% 25.67 60.0% 0.591 0.2819 -0.653
Shifting Memory of Ages 580 49.04% 28.02 63.97% 0.323 0.5497 -0.175
Shroud of Silent Mist 1330 53.78% 25.56 62.93% -0.187 0.1281 -0.154
Starlight Seeks its Form 551 41.91% 28.52 61.89% 0.43 0.2081 0.659
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1674 49.31% 34.25 67.62% -0.169 -0.5811 -0.044
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2319 40.85% 32.54 75.42% 0.589 0.7352 0.73
Thunderspeaker 6916 45.52% 29.64 68.45% -0.193 -0.1787 -0.26
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 44 39.53% 20.93 47.73% -0.732 -0.5579 -0.578
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1387 63.81% 27.18 61.72% -0.423 -0.2598 -0.12
Vital Strength of the Earth 5333 45.73% 25.66 67.5% -0.402 0.1676 -0.377
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 114 33.64% 22.49 55.26% -0.873 -0.4115 -0.137
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 257 50.19% 25.71 56.03% -0.331 0.4485 -0.327
Volcano Looming High 890 53.32% 26.84 63.6% 0.369 0.3691 -0.576
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 40 40.0% 32.5 70.0% 1.066 0.4724 -0.041

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call On Midnight's Dreams 29.18%
Dread Apparitions 86.86%
Dreams Of the Dahan 87.94%
Predatory Nightmares 66.66%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 12988 17.05 1.04%
II 29422 30.62 16.07%
III 46028 34.74 68.23%
IV 72164 38.26 99.57%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 135
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 30658
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4038
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 71362
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 7529
Lose: Invader deck ran out 177
Lose: Adversary condition 11025
Win: Sacrifice victory 544
Lose: Scenario condition 1507
Win: Scenario condition 1386
Lose: Blight pool ran out 30820
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1421

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.834 Win Model: -0.138

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.137 Win Model: 0.077
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 91364 59.48% 26.11 66.55%
2 40391 57.48% 27.85 67.1%
3 14728 48.37% 30.06 69.33%
4 12980 41.04% 31.3 71.36%
5 256 38.06% 29.45 66.02%
6 883 24.0% 24.81 65.35%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-02-13 04:10:55 (Pacific Time)