Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 31 29.03% 26.42 93.55% 0.629 0.5458 0.0
Blitz 0 1095 61.23% 26.17 58.45% -0.889 -0.7147 -0.632
Dahan Insurrection 4 1277 36.16% 48.07 60.14% -0.354 -0.503 0.11
Despicable Theft 2 61 55.74% 31.82 67.21% -0.248 0.4066 -0.893
Elemental Invocation 1 191 64.4% 27.88 64.4% -0.671 0.0342 -0.834
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3238 22.61% 39.35 68.75% 0.512 -0.0931 0.203
Powers Long Forgotten 1 434 65.36% 30.21 58.76% -0.37 0.1241 -0.774
Rituals of Terror 3 524 67.37% 46.02 46.18% -0.436 -0.5186 0.862
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 254 83.07% 33.52 52.36% -0.976 -0.0496 -0.627
Second Wave 0 4072 49.69% 28.26 73.75% 0.189 0.2512 -0.241
The Great River 3 69 53.62% 29.99 43.48% -0.827 0.5506 -1.208
Varied Terrains 2 27 55.56% 27.04 55.56% -0.271 0.3061 -0.266
Ward the Shores 2 358 72.27% 26.27 35.75% -0.982 0.2137 -1.224

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 78276 60.46% 26.88 69.4% 0.985 1.233 -0.129
1 Thematic 3369 62.55% 32.96 57.32% -0.223 0.4295 -0.469
2 Archipelago 40 47.5% 39.58 75.0% 0.0 0.5108 -0.147
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 24033 60.31% 28.54 69.61% 0.506 0.6922 0.187
2 Coastline 2931 58.38% 28.91 72.13% 1.057 1.1108 0.497
2 Fragment 705 62.52% 24.11 64.82% 0.859 0.7255 0.044
2 Heart 382 65.56% 23.32 64.66% 0.445 0.2269 -0.291
2 Opposite Shores 4985 52.66% 29.01 72.26% 0.439 0.6265 -0.202
2 Other 1 100.0% 6.0 0.0% -0.399 0.9089 0.0
2 Thematic 1978 54.15% 36.48 58.95% -0.332 0.2575 -0.294
2 Top to Top 859 58.84% 28.08 67.52% -0.061 0.034 -0.645
3 Archipelago 22 63.64% 49.18 77.27% -0.683 -1.6287 0.817
3 Coastline 85 54.76% 30.12 60.0% -0.82 -1.2037 0.654
3 Other 481 52.32% 27.17 69.44% 0.528 0.2599 0.4
3 Round (Default) 11701 49.7% 30.95 73.24% 0.321 0.3188 0.033
3 Sunrise 56 50.0% 27.75 75.0% 0.0 0.38 0.151
3 Thematic 541 52.14% 37.3 60.63% -0.117 -0.2279 -0.282
4 Archipelago 31 27.59% 33.29 58.06% -0.484 -0.2563 -1.069
4 Coastline 24 33.33% 30.42 83.33% 0.0 0.1021 0.127
4 Leaf 46 50.0% 30.91 84.78% 0.49 0.1953 0.0
4 Other 322 50.16% 29.63 76.71% -0.372 -1.2324 0.608
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3212 0.0
4 Snake 6 50.0% 23.33 50.0% 0.0 0.0384 0.0
4 Thematic 1846 43.54% 42.82 70.15% 0.311 0.2768 0.089
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9294 42.27% 32.61 76.86% 0.472 0.3019 0.252
5 Archipelago 10 70.0% 35.5 70.0% 0.0 -1.1617 -0.37
5 Coastline 7 0.0% 27.57 100.0% 0.141 -0.0079 -0.303
5 Other 202 36.73% 31.88 79.7% 0.217 -0.3559 0.582
5 Thematic 26 46.15% 39.92 96.15% 0.296 -0.1106 1.024
6 Archipelago 12 16.67% 31.67 83.33% 0.353 -0.02 -0.382
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 34.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.7284 -0.193
6 Other 92 28.26% 26.35 75.0% -0.738 -1.2169 -0.362
6 Star 25 52.0% 40.72 68.0% 0.798 1.1904 0.146
6 Thematic 144 32.17% 34.92 73.61% -0.694 -0.284 -0.385
6 Two Centers (Default) 316 21.15% 27.14 79.11% -0.413 -0.2005 -0.391
7 Archipelago 5 60.0% 36.4 60.0% -0.243 -0.7568 -0.449
7 Other 7 42.86% 24.86 57.14% -0.925 -1.8289 -0.68

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5421 28.97 53.79% 0.353 0.6674 -0.43
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4459 30.68 56.2% 0.275 0.4086 -0.055
All Things Weaken 2082 27.8 47.6% 0.075 0.5967 -0.57
Attenuated Essence 29 33.72 62.07% 0.531 0.8915 0.415
Back Against the Wall 4408 29.64 53.56% -0.094 0.1557 -0.109
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 43 24.72 41.86% -0.273 0.2803 -0.283
Burn Brightest Before the End 29 27.55 48.28% 0.008 0.4422 -0.438
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5376 27.04 51.95% 0.075 0.6745 -0.482
Downward Spiral 16140 24.52 62.18% 0.072 0.4774 -0.221
Erosion of Will 5200 28.5 51.81% -0.185 0.351 -0.515
Intensifying Exploitation 41 23.05 60.98% 0.263 0.7776 -0.707
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 622 34.02 77.81% 0.955 0.5129 0.28
Memory Fades to Dust 16303 23.79 57.35% -0.216 0.3175 -0.469
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2159 28.45 55.35% -0.125 0.2275 -0.416
Promising Farmlands 5521 28.94 56.15% 0.015 0.6887 -0.145
Shattered Fragments of Power 31 28.9 54.84% 0.118 0.4197 -0.498
Slow Dissolution of Will 44 20.16 29.55% -0.947 -0.2996 -1.23
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 518 33.36 84.17% 0.406 -0.2599 0.016
The Border of Life and Death 17 21.06 58.82% 0.055 0.0295 -0.129
Thriving Communities 2125 28.28 53.79% -0.117 0.4598 -0.304
Thriving Crops 18 29.67 77.78% 0.903 1.1512 0.547
Tipping Point 2510 28.31 51.67% 0.0 -0.1252 -0.472
Unnatural Proliferation 2372 29.55 53.37% 0.115 0.4921 -0.412
Untended Land Crumbles 2092 28.01 53.87% 0.007 0.4369 -0.42

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 41673 56.27% 27.65 70.2% -0.799 0.0609 -0.416
B 44369 54.92% 28.56 71.72% -0.506 0.2736 -0.299
C 43496 54.86% 28.96 71.87% -0.334 0.3183 -0.25
D 43607 53.79% 29.39 72.61% -0.269 0.5461 -0.011
E 9824 54.26% 30.1 70.92% -0.375 0.2659 -0.335
F 14947 53.19% 30.04 71.25% -0.34 0.3916 -0.218
G 14898 53.2% 30.29 71.97% -0.458 0.2984 -0.203
H 13577 54.2% 30.02 71.27% -0.271 0.3966 -0.269
East 5763 51.3% 38.29 63.34% -0.092 0.5356 -0.525
Northeast 3974 50.33% 39.52 64.97% -0.226 0.671 -0.651
Northwest 3357 50.77% 39.73 64.7% 0.24 0.8845 0.213
Southeast 733 46.79% 32.25 65.89% -0.162 0.5199 0.364
Southwest 730 49.66% 30.91 63.15% -1.074 0.1064 0.072
West 5280 52.59% 37.57 61.93% 0.093 1.0855 -0.691

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 7916 0.0% 16.04 60.69% -0.915 0.0477 -1.873
Not Using Events or Tokens 35537 60.59% 22.77 71.0% -0.329 -0.0294 0.024
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4192 26.3% 33.52 84.88% 0.541 0.0065 0.816
Start of Game Growth 5503 29.01% 32.18 82.86% 0.234 -0.1198 0.117
Unlimited Undo 13559 49.97% 31.4 76.22% -0.137 -0.1704 0.341
Using Tokens but Not Events 12638 50.86% 25.39 75.49% -0.081 -0.1429 -0.226

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 7412 100.0% 31.52 100.0% 0.14 -0.0016 0.029
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2211 100.0% 29.74 100.0% 0.384 0.1998 -0.406
Downpour Drenches the World 255 100.0% 28.96 100.0% -0.941 -0.7395 -0.043
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 109 100.0% 32.75 100.0% 1.065 0.4019 0.355
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3476 100.0% 32.1 100.0% 0.513 -0.0784 0.246
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1971 100.0% 31.06 100.0% 0.138 -0.309 -0.204
Finder of Paths Unseen 180 100.0% 31.84 100.0% 0.172 0.8689 -0.097
Fractured Days Split the Sky 629 100.0% 35.34 100.0% -0.236 0.4854 0.369
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 382 100.0% 31.82 100.0% 0.195 0.0835 0.063
Heart of the Wildfire 4432 100.0% 27.46 100.0% -0.776 -0.5128 -0.259
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5426 100.0% 33.55 100.0% 0.109 -0.3629 0.244
Lightning's Swift Strike 6497 107.48% 27.58 103.71% 0.211 0.427 0.059
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 97 55.32% 33.74 65.98% 0.626 -0.1101 0.595
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 492 48.46% 36.28 75.61% 0.167 -0.1637 0.675
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 350 43.44% 32.49 74.86% 0.114 -0.081 0.405
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1219 100.0% 31.84 100.0% 0.009 -0.1758 -0.42
Many Minds Move as One 1079 100.0% 33.78 100.0% 0.577 0.3394 0.547
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 19700 100.0% 32.51 100.0% -0.059 -0.0846 0.13
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2092 100.0% 30.86 100.0% 0.278 0.1603 -0.085
River Surges in Sunlight 6743 104.15% 31.58 102.49% -0.003 -0.0232 -0.009
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 448 46.86% 32.45 71.21% -0.627 -0.4047 -0.232
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 102 56.57% 33.11 61.76% -0.619 -0.7777 -0.825
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5495 100.0% 34.12 100.0% -0.282 -0.4856 0.245
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5917 108.5% 27.94 104.06% 0.009 0.4475 0.88
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 33 43.75% 29.64 66.67% 0.201 0.176 -0.521
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 97 36.08% 32.93 78.35% 0.027 0.0676 0.903
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 500 46.56% 29.86 75.2% 0.325 0.3039 -0.692
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 325 49.84% 30.11 74.15% 0.093 0.1705 0.355
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3864 100.31% 32.72 100.16% 0.252 0.1092 0.354
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 18 33.33% 23.94 66.67% 0.345 0.0446 -0.418
Shifting Memory of Ages 382 100.0% 29.64 100.0% 0.03 0.4062 -0.236
Shroud of Silent Mist 975 100.0% 29.04 100.0% -0.419 -0.0942 0.064
Starlight Seeks its Form 375 100.0% 32.06 100.0% 0.003 -0.258 0.84
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1449 100.0% 35.68 100.0% 0.216 -0.2909 -0.191
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2085 100.0% 33.91 100.0% 0.074 0.1195 0.648
Thunderspeaker 6054 100.17% 31.94 100.12% -0.0 -0.0344 -0.115
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 14 28.57% 20.0 50.0% -0.485 -0.4742 -0.786
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1191 100.0% 29.01 100.0% -0.407 -0.3628 -0.223
Vital Strength of the Earth 4783 102.47% 27.35 102.26% -0.248 0.3067 -0.374
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 55 45.28% 27.55 60.0% -0.071 0.1677 -0.507
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 204 56.37% 28.07 57.84% -0.868 0.037 -0.629
Volcano Looming High 702 100.0% 28.86 100.0% -0.056 -0.0509 -0.678

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call On Midnight's Dreams 26.91%
Dread Apparitions 86.48%
Dreams Of the Dahan 87.55%
Predatory Nightmares 65.5%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7664 21.26 1.71%
II 26244 31.05 16.85%
III 42261 34.73 68.54%
IV 66740 38.01 99.58%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 131
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 28250
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3765
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 66004
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1233
Lose: Invader deck ran out 166
Lose: Adversary condition 10285
Win: Sacrifice victory 503
Lose: Scenario condition 1439
Win: Scenario condition 1322
Lose: Blight pool ran out 28492
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1319

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.627 Win Model: -0.131

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.062 Win Model: 0.172
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 81785 60.55% 27.14 68.88%
2 35987 58.83% 28.95 69.43%
3 12884 49.54% 31.68 72.79%
4 11534 42.81% 33.49 75.66%
5 132 33.33% 30.43 71.21%
6 587 24.91% 29.26 77.68%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-25 04:12:57 (Pacific Time)