Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 55 27.27% 20.58 69.09% -0.374 -0.5943 0.415
Blitz 0 1338 56.46% 24.07 54.71% -0.967 -0.6802 -0.526
Dahan Insurrection 4 1496 34.98% 45.34 57.35% 0.064 -0.0514 0.251
Despicable Theft 2 108 44.44% 26.27 55.56% 0.033 0.7715 -0.933
Elemental Invocation 1 245 60.0% 25.19 55.92% -0.287 0.4692 -1.49
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3606 21.95% 37.91 66.72% 0.13 -0.4519 0.559
Powers Long Forgotten 1 536 59.81% 27.25 52.61% -0.895 -0.0418 -0.704
Rituals of Terror 3 678 59.4% 42.4 41.45% -1.235 -1.4056 0.724
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 311 74.6% 30.27 47.59% -0.964 -0.0531 -0.764
Second Wave 0 4689 49.22% 27.41 71.27% -0.214 -0.1346 -0.049
The Great River 3 102 48.04% 25.35 36.27% -0.348 1.0152 -1.609
Varied Terrains 2 66 48.48% 22.15 42.42% -0.895 -0.0153 -0.176
Ward the Shores 2 432 66.9% 23.25 31.94% -1.475 -0.4935 -1.298

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 91829 59.02% 25.46 66.08% 0.095 0.4393 0.267
1 Thematic 3748 60.64% 31.92 55.66% -0.389 0.1384 -0.142
2 Archipelago 48 45.83% 36.98 70.83% -0.703 -0.2039 -0.178
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 28391 58.3% 26.91 66.12% -0.111 0.1736 0.464
2 Coastline 3469 56.92% 26.94 67.74% 0.648 0.6773 0.581
2 Fragment 876 59.95% 22.79 63.01% 0.468 0.2311 0.331
2 Heart 500 62.77% 21.74 60.6% -0.659 -0.8062 -0.253
2 Opposite Shores 5917 51.09% 27.53 69.6% 0.391 0.4502 0.043
2 Other 1 100.0% 6.0 0.0% 0.0 0.4338 0.0
2 Thematic 2445 49.53% 34.84 55.71% -0.251 0.1189 0.268
2 Top to Top 1034 55.4% 26.17 63.73% -1.54 -1.4166 -0.45
3 Archipelago 32 53.13% 46.56 81.25% 0.391 -0.4061 1.241
3 Coastline 98 55.21% 29.32 61.22% -0.118 -0.6671 0.962
3 Other 564 50.57% 24.9 64.18% -0.037 -0.575 0.527
3 Round (Default) 14217 48.32% 28.77 68.53% 0.273 0.1804 -0.009
3 Sunrise 63 49.18% 27.35 73.02% 0.524 0.6752 -0.275
3 Thematic 654 46.62% 34.11 56.73% 0.115 -0.4032 -0.132
4 Archipelago 42 25.71% 28.9 52.38% -0.452 -0.0192 -0.175
4 Coastline 30 30.0% 26.13 73.33% 0.506 -0.2542 0.277
4 Leaf 68 50.0% 25.71 70.59% 1.006 0.7946 -0.152
4 Other 414 46.58% 25.53 67.39% -0.382 -0.3747 0.362
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 0.9371 0.0
4 Snake 6 50.0% 23.33 50.0% 0.0 -0.0705 0.0
4 Thematic 1999 42.43% 42.26 67.88% 0.584 0.717 -0.043
4 Trapezoid (Default) 11549 39.16% 28.81 69.13% 0.093 0.1999 -0.344
5 Archipelago 10 70.0% 35.5 70.0% 0.0 0.168 -0.298
5 Coastline 8 12.5% 27.13 100.0% 0.0 -0.5066 -0.257
5 Other 344 40.6% 29.09 70.35% 0.453 -0.0615 -0.187
5 Thematic 36 38.89% 31.81 75.0% -0.159 -1.1415 0.18
6 Archipelago 25 13.04% 36.48 60.0% 0.0 -0.7298 -0.071
6 Coastline 5 40.0% 18.4 20.0% 0.0 -1.0392 -0.422
6 Other 163 26.99% 24.71 66.87% 0.38 1.0155 -0.412
6 Star 49 36.73% 26.2 53.06% 0.157 0.4019 -0.973
6 Thematic 267 26.89% 25.14 51.31% -0.533 -0.2094 -1.412
6 Two Centers (Default) 527 20.31% 22.68 64.71% -1.092 -1.1959 -0.784
7 Archipelago 7 42.86% 26.0 42.86% 0.0 0.5915 -0.49
7 Other 14 30.77% 12.43 28.57% 0.0 -1.4367 -1.002
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5923 28.59 53.18% 0.545 0.6482 0.066
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4841 30.33 55.55% 0.614 0.469 0.442
All Things Weaken 2494 27.14 46.91% 0.193 0.5587 -0.076
Attenuated Essence 195 26.31 52.31% 0.347 0.3451 0.402
Back Against the Wall 4802 29.34 53.58% 0.233 0.2982 0.358
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 205 24.4 48.29% -0.12 0.1151 -0.17
Burn Brightest Before the End 167 23.14 41.32% -0.467 -0.3069 0.02
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5898 26.57 51.36% 0.312 0.6882 0.02
Downward Spiral 18564 23.8 60.79% 0.565 0.6368 0.298
Erosion of Will 5697 28.34 51.87% 0.291 0.5476 -0.033
Intensifying Exploitation 199 24.97 50.75% 0.165 0.4391 0.254
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 751 32.65 75.63% 0.586 0.0998 0.584
Memory Fades to Dust 18720 22.99 56.01% 0.316 0.4985 0.057
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2533 27.6 54.17% -0.361 -0.1478 0.026
Promising Farmlands 6047 28.44 55.61% 0.177 0.4999 0.278
Shattered Fragments of Power 139 25.88 48.2% -0.28 -0.11 -0.37
Slow Dissolution of Will 202 20.9 36.63% -0.175 0.209 -0.628
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 598 32.49 82.44% 0.418 -0.2577 0.599
The Border of Life and Death 65 27.0 64.62% 0.157 -0.3595 0.117
Thriving Communities 2547 27.17 52.22% 0.079 0.4033 0.186
Thriving Crops 108 28.94 71.3% 0.838 0.8395 0.714
Tipping Point 2510 28.31 51.67% 0.0 0.0 0.037
Unnatural Proliferation 2784 28.93 53.3% 0.252 0.4384 0.058
Untended Land Crumbles 2436 27.35 52.34% 0.179 0.5177 0.035

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 49973 54.05% 25.6 65.57% -0.554 0.3093 -0.441
B 52902 52.57% 26.48 67.03% -0.41 0.4112 -0.364
C 51525 52.85% 27.07 67.77% -0.248 0.4504 -0.278
D 51464 51.8% 27.51 68.61% -0.31 0.5463 -0.078
E 12758 52.17% 27.59 66.08% -0.347 0.3412 -0.437
F 18765 50.92% 27.63 66.37% -0.253 0.5649 -0.365
G 18370 50.99% 28.04 67.17% -0.389 0.4911 -0.208
H 16959 51.53% 27.73 66.37% -0.366 0.4141 -0.326
East 6811 47.99% 36.4 59.83% -0.031 0.7621 -0.395
Northeast 4759 46.46% 37.5 60.87% 0.5 1.3813 -0.304
Northwest 3840 48.18% 37.63 60.89% 0.001 0.872 0.258
Southeast 961 42.11% 28.19 57.44% 0.334 1.1929 0.358
Southwest 951 43.35% 26.39 53.63% -1.037 0.1724 -0.15
West 6048 50.08% 35.53 58.45% -0.401 0.6594 -0.78

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 10353 0.0% 14.66 55.1% -0.511 0.2047 -1.305
Not Using Events or Tokens 45058 57.35% 20.72 65.06% -0.456 0.0182 -0.287
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4804 25.85% 31.91 81.58% 0.534 -0.0328 0.668
Start of Game Growth 6457 28.73% 30.39 79.36% 0.37 -0.2939 0.378
Unlimited Undo 16421 46.08% 28.76 69.82% -0.0 0.0231 0.197
Using Tokens but Not Events 15101 49.42% 24.26 71.45% 0.176 0.224 -0.085

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 9063 40.89% 29.17 70.41% 0.696 0.4996 0.253
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 12 41.67% 11.25 25.0% -0.622 -1.3367 -0.5
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2559 47.78% 28.46 69.64% -0.14 -0.271 -0.111
Downpour Drenches the World 563 40.58% 22.59 48.13% -0.449 -0.1792 -0.166
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 364 40.11% 28.65 66.76% 0.576 0.1447 -0.024
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4532 35.34% 28.43 72.26% 0.171 -0.2519 -0.194
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2305 46.06% 29.23 71.28% 0.611 0.1654 0.032
Finder of Paths Unseen 410 43.95% 23.91 47.8% 0.005 0.6625 0.041
Fractured Days Split the Sky 813 42.71% 31.96 65.07% -0.927 -0.1187 0.534
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 670 44.33% 26.12 60.45% 0.47 0.3526 -0.122
Heart of the Wildfire 5067 60.68% 25.8 62.01% -0.221 0.0656 -0.264
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6733 41.34% 29.3 66.09% -0.661 -1.0544 -0.358
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 32 32.26% 14.84 40.63% -0.755 -1.1592 -0.576
Lightning's Swift Strike 7829 48.29% 25.22 66.39% 0.071 0.3384 -0.015
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 184 50.28% 29.1 58.15% 0.465 0.1135 0.973
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 616 45.9% 33.47 71.92% -0.267 -0.7078 0.82
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 422 42.86% 29.63 69.91% -0.692 -0.7348 0.397
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1573 47.15% 29.8 69.23% -0.035 -0.2856 -0.203
Many Minds Move as One 1370 43.34% 30.96 74.89% -0.086 -0.3159 0.517
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 23736 49.75% 30.24 68.21% 0.126 0.0216 0.293
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2462 48.37% 29.01 69.09% -0.024 -0.1799 0.102
River Surges in Sunlight 7828 47.26% 29.29 67.8% 0.083 0.1724 0.295
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 3 33.33% 5.33 0.0% -0.876 -0.9875 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 626 44.37% 28.58 62.46% 0.3 0.6902 -0.01
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 246 60.33% 29.35 55.28% -0.291 -0.1538 -0.166
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6277 45.35% 32.29 68.57% 0.389 0.196 0.344
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 6864 58.31% 25.92 66.24% -0.074 0.4118 0.854
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 72 40.85% 30.1 68.06% 1.345 1.4001 0.336
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 35 60.0% 21.69 54.29% 0.39 -0.0786 -0.184
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 200 35.68% 26.8 64.5% -0.544 -0.3289 0.226
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 581 45.22% 27.88 71.08% 0.307 0.3364 -0.488
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 398 46.27% 27.12 67.84% 0.417 0.5897 0.507
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4601 43.63% 29.19 67.14% -0.041 -0.1939 -0.341
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 112 32.14% 25.42 64.29% 1.122 0.9231 -0.674
Shifting Memory of Ages 660 47.47% 26.75 62.58% -0.186 0.2626 -0.13
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 19 21.05% 19.79 57.89% 0.135 -0.1699 -0.209
Shroud of Silent Mist 1490 52.21% 24.42 60.81% -0.168 0.1684 -0.133
Starlight Seeks its Form 633 41.76% 27.91 62.4% 0.392 0.3368 0.742
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1795 48.82% 34.21 66.85% 1.094 0.4713 0.094
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2401 40.85% 32.13 74.51% -0.418 -0.2241 0.803
Thunderspeaker 7464 44.83% 28.49 66.17% -0.411 -0.4645 -0.201
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 58 39.29% 22.5 51.72% -0.06 0.0737 -0.511
Towering Roots of the Jungle 22 40.91% 12.09 18.18% -0.82 -0.8107 -0.863
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1496 61.62% 26.63 61.83% 0.287 0.3697 -0.038
Vital Strength of the Earth 5676 44.66% 24.83 65.59% 0.064 0.6583 -0.423
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 164 31.87% 18.94 48.17% -1.28 -0.841 -0.18
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 283 47.7% 24.83 54.42% -0.312 0.3789 -0.259
Volcano Looming High 986 52.18% 25.93 62.47% 0.229 0.3324 -0.591
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 101 40.59% 27.32 61.39% 0.538 0.2861 -0.047

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call On Midnight's Dreams 30.31%
Dread Apparitions 86.95%
Dreams Of the Dahan 88.14%
Predatory Nightmares 67.23%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 15808 15.45 0.92%
II 30977 30.45 15.9%
III 47971 34.8 68.1%
IV 74781 38.47 99.58%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 145
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 31895
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4223
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 73952
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10771
Lose: Invader deck ran out 182
Lose: Adversary condition 11347
Win: Sacrifice victory 570
Lose: Scenario condition 1534
Win: Scenario condition 1422
Lose: Blight pool ran out 32022
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1474

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.115 Win Model: -0.112

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.216 Win Model: -0.046
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 95822 59.05% 25.69 65.61%
2 42719 56.75% 27.36 66.06%
3 15636 47.96% 29.53 68.14%
4 14039 40.02% 29.89 68.77%
5 307 39.86% 27.61 59.93%
6 1014 22.49% 23.51 61.74%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)