Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 54 25.93% 20.85 70.37% 0.361 0.3761 0.415
Blitz 0 1305 56.85% 24.44 55.48% -0.453 -0.1648 -0.492
Dahan Insurrection 4 1479 35.39% 45.69 57.74% 0.361 0.1841 0.271
Despicable Theft 2 104 45.19% 26.03 54.81% -0.179 0.6819 -0.93
Elemental Invocation 1 243 60.49% 25.21 55.97% -0.293 0.6396 -1.521
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3585 21.99% 37.95 66.83% -0.3 -0.9464 0.547
Powers Long Forgotten 1 526 60.19% 27.48 53.04% -0.347 0.5987 -0.703
Rituals of Terror 3 654 60.68% 42.9 42.2% -0.832 -0.7556 0.819
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 306 75.49% 30.62 48.04% -0.868 0.247 -0.756
Second Wave 0 4651 49.22% 27.49 71.49% 0.078 0.1088 -0.036
The Great River 3 101 48.51% 25.6 36.63% -1.277 0.1479 -1.606
Varied Terrains 2 66 48.48% 22.15 42.42% -0.257 0.5181 -0.167
Ward the Shores 2 428 67.29% 23.43 32.24% -1.51 -0.4652 -1.286

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 90985 59.11% 25.53 66.24% 0.192 0.4519 0.304
1 Thematic 3704 60.82% 32.01 55.94% -0.474 -0.0078 -0.095
2 Archipelago 48 45.83% 36.98 70.83% -0.506 -0.0324 -0.152
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 28134 58.43% 26.99 66.34% 0.212 0.3974 0.475
2 Coastline 3433 57.13% 26.99 67.75% 0.172 0.1555 0.595
2 Fragment 866 59.8% 22.87 63.05% 0.349 0.0323 0.347
2 Heart 497 63.04% 21.79 60.56% -1.058 -1.1524 -0.227
2 Opposite Shores 5837 51.27% 27.63 69.66% 0.282 0.2428 0.061
2 Other 1 100.0% 6.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 2378 49.92% 35.04 55.97% 0.046 0.3326 0.265
2 Top to Top 1029 55.48% 26.25 63.95% -0.543 -0.5869 -0.426
3 Archipelago 31 51.61% 46.9 80.65% 0.0 -1.1399 1.236
3 Coastline 98 55.21% 29.32 61.22% 0.381 -0.3688 0.961
3 Other 559 51.05% 25.02 64.4% 0.209 -0.2539 0.538
3 Round (Default) 14078 48.32% 28.85 68.69% 0.547 0.3274 -0.011
3 Sunrise 63 49.18% 27.35 73.02% 0.537 0.6126 -0.264
3 Thematic 634 47.62% 34.41 56.15% -0.455 -0.7475 -0.158
4 Archipelago 40 25.71% 30.35 55.0% -0.089 0.1036 -0.17
4 Coastline 29 31.03% 25.62 72.41% 0.472 0.1126 0.261
4 Leaf 65 49.21% 24.95 69.23% -0.594 -0.7024 -0.429
4 Other 407 46.65% 25.72 67.81% -0.122 -0.3789 0.372
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 0.2463 0.0
4 Snake 6 50.0% 23.33 50.0% 0.0 -1.136 0.0
4 Thematic 1975 42.8% 42.2 68.15% 0.27 0.5225 -0.081
4 Trapezoid (Default) 11284 39.48% 29.24 69.97% 0.543 0.7577 -0.333
5 Archipelago 10 70.0% 35.5 70.0% 0.0 0.2735 -0.299
5 Coastline 8 12.5% 27.13 100.0% 0.0 -0.1045 -0.271
5 Other 333 40.43% 29.35 71.17% -0.14 -0.7054 -0.166
5 Thematic 36 38.89% 31.81 75.0% -0.202 -0.622 0.163
6 Archipelago 25 13.04% 36.48 60.0% -0.478 -1.4106 -0.06
6 Coastline 5 40.0% 18.4 20.0% -0.155 -0.9524 -0.426
6 Other 154 27.27% 24.46 66.88% 0.201 0.6265 -0.278
6 Star 49 36.73% 26.2 53.06% 0.179 0.2921 -1.003
6 Thematic 258 27.84% 25.65 51.94% -0.179 -0.0775 -1.404
6 Two Centers (Default) 515 20.59% 23.03 65.44% -0.45 -0.7068 -0.809
7 Archipelago 7 42.86% 26.0 42.86% 0.0 1.0709 -0.527
7 Other 14 30.77% 12.43 28.57% 0.0 -1.0157 -1.012
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5889 28.57 53.12% 0.345 0.5202 0.037
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4815 30.31 55.53% 0.003 -0.0506 0.421
All Things Weaken 2470 27.15 46.8% -0.119 0.1739 -0.086
Attenuated Essence 185 26.18 51.89% 0.385 0.4685 0.358
Back Against the Wall 4777 29.36 53.57% 0.06 0.107 0.337
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 197 23.92 48.22% 0.157 0.3604 -0.189
Burn Brightest Before the End 158 23.08 40.51% -0.517 -0.329 0.011
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5851 26.58 51.36% -0.065 0.3435 0.008
Downward Spiral 18391 23.85 60.84% 0.296 0.424 0.267
Erosion of Will 5675 28.36 51.98% 0.732 1.0151 -0.041
Intensifying Exploitation 187 25.52 51.87% 0.465 0.7125 0.309
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 747 32.69 75.64% 0.495 -0.0204 0.57
Memory Fades to Dust 18566 23.04 56.11% 0.248 0.4847 0.028
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2513 27.67 54.32% -0.058 0.1602 0.017
Promising Farmlands 6009 28.48 55.6% -0.005 0.2902 0.26
Shattered Fragments of Power 133 26.45 48.87% -0.317 -0.1159 -0.31
Slow Dissolution of Will 193 20.98 35.75% -0.363 0.0208 -0.64
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 591 32.65 82.57% 0.026 -0.5549 0.589
The Border of Life and Death 64 27.11 64.06% 0.204 -0.313 0.097
Thriving Communities 2524 27.21 52.14% 0.276 0.6154 0.174
Thriving Crops 103 28.89 69.9% 0.641 0.5982 0.544
Tipping Point 2510 28.31 51.67% 0.0 0.0 0.02
Unnatural Proliferation 2751 28.96 53.14% 0.376 0.5159 0.048
Untended Land Crumbles 2408 27.38 52.37% 0.333 0.7817 0.015

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 49376 54.25% 25.73 65.83% -0.707 0.1545 -0.436
B 52247 52.72% 26.63 67.38% -0.446 0.3712 -0.373
C 50953 53.01% 27.19 68.01% -0.407 0.2716 -0.289
D 50872 51.95% 27.64 68.85% -0.314 0.4903 -0.077
E 12581 52.22% 27.69 66.23% -0.525 0.1431 -0.433
F 18510 51.11% 27.8 66.69% -0.24 0.558 -0.369
G 18116 51.19% 28.2 67.48% -0.407 0.4188 -0.217
H 16707 51.77% 27.88 66.67% -0.467 0.3061 -0.33
East 6680 48.42% 36.53 60.04% -0.036 0.8103 -0.405
Northeast 4670 47.04% 37.63 61.16% 0.615 1.3854 -0.291
Northwest 3775 48.56% 37.75 61.19% -0.383 0.4246 0.24
Southeast 937 42.55% 28.42 57.52% 0.098 0.967 0.337
Southwest 933 43.76% 26.72 54.13% -1.263 0.019 -0.104
West 5934 50.42% 35.67 58.73% -0.505 0.4906 -0.817

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 10208 0.0% 14.74 55.34% -0.698 0.0976 -1.337
Not Using Events or Tokens 44346 57.62% 20.86 65.45% -0.14 0.248 -0.261
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4773 25.96% 32.0 81.69% 0.815 0.2005 0.637
Start of Game Growth 6410 28.88% 30.48 79.45% 0.42 -0.1617 0.385
Unlimited Undo 16215 46.47% 28.94 70.22% -0.152 -0.108 0.196
Using Tokens but Not Events 14914 49.57% 24.27 71.58% 0.214 0.1564 -0.084

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 8917 41.15% 29.28 70.58% 0.347 0.203 0.249
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 6 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -1.138 -1.8515 -0.517
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2531 47.88% 28.67 70.13% 0.731 0.5666 -0.124
Downpour Drenches the World 546 39.81% 22.8 48.53% -0.307 -0.0334 -0.179
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 352 39.48% 28.91 67.05% 1.234 0.8075 -0.01
Eyes Watch From the Trees 4402 36.13% 28.91 73.51% 0.424 0.0644 -0.178
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2293 46.13% 29.27 71.35% 0.509 0.0646 0.004
Finder of Paths Unseen 400 44.3% 24.14 48.0% -0.009 0.6792 0.003
Fractured Days Split the Sky 807 42.91% 32.06 65.06% -0.765 -0.1763 0.523
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 654 44.19% 26.07 60.09% -0.522 -0.5863 -0.136
Heart of the Wildfire 5023 60.84% 25.9 62.17% -0.24 0.0878 -0.259
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 6603 41.84% 29.66 66.97% -0.778 -1.0727 -0.362
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 28 33.33% 15.54 39.29% -0.971 -1.3421 -0.579
Lightning's Swift Strike 7694 48.44% 25.41 66.81% -0.19 0.1503 -0.026
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 184 50.28% 29.1 58.15% 1.17 0.6962 0.968
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 613 45.96% 33.56 72.1% -0.347 -0.7073 0.847
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 421 42.96% 29.7 70.07% -0.111 -0.1044 0.376
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1554 47.22% 29.91 69.37% 0.077 -0.218 -0.196
Many Minds Move as One 1354 43.56% 30.92 74.89% 0.135 -0.0108 0.508
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 23413 49.9% 30.37 68.46% 0.066 0.0077 0.274
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2438 48.63% 29.17 69.32% -0.09 -0.2541 0.1
River Surges in Sunlight 7732 47.38% 29.51 68.17% 0.034 0.1323 0.299
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 2 50.0% 8.0 0.0% -0.68 -0.8149 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 616 44.28% 28.59 62.5% 0.243 0.7191 -0.015
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 236 59.91% 29.79 55.93% -0.252 -0.2871 -0.184
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6198 45.62% 32.44 68.96% 0.5 0.2447 0.342
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 6781 58.62% 26.11 66.61% -0.453 0.0685 0.874
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 70 40.58% 29.31 67.14% 1.176 1.3173 0.314
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 28 57.14% 21.96 46.43% -0.324 -0.9021 -0.183
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 196 35.38% 26.96 64.29% -0.504 -0.1535 0.211
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 578 44.93% 27.9 70.93% -0.445 -0.4609 -0.495
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 389 47.11% 27.17 67.35% -0.234 0.0151 0.502
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4565 43.7% 29.28 67.21% 0.198 0.0885 -0.364
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 102 35.29% 25.33 61.76% 0.489 0.3275 -0.689
Shifting Memory of Ages 639 47.87% 27.12 62.91% -0.215 0.1289 -0.149
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 11 27.27% 22.18 54.55% -0.065 -0.3742 -0.215
Shroud of Silent Mist 1463 52.29% 24.5 60.9% 0.124 0.4554 -0.162
Starlight Seeks its Form 620 41.99% 27.97 62.42% 1.149 0.9747 0.701
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1767 48.92% 34.07 66.84% 0.726 0.0162 0.039
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2374 41.01% 32.25 74.89% -0.275 -0.0633 0.801
Thunderspeaker 7322 45.04% 28.82 66.88% -0.114 -0.1346 -0.229
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 57 40.0% 21.61 50.88% -0.58 -0.3821 -0.527
Towering Roots of the Jungle 13 23.08% 8.46 23.08% -0.522 -0.5505 -0.559
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1488 61.68% 26.72 61.96% 1.029 1.0954 -0.043
Vital Strength of the Earth 5562 45.21% 25.16 66.47% 0.021 0.5557 -0.328
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 161 31.85% 19.17 49.07% -0.464 0.1036 -0.184
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 278 47.84% 24.86 54.68% -0.555 0.2038 -0.269
Volcano Looming High 964 52.65% 26.06 62.45% 0.065 0.2023 -0.603
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 92 39.13% 28.16 60.87% 0.576 0.2654 0.03

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call On Midnight's Dreams 30.04%
Dread Apparitions 86.92%
Dreams Of the Dahan 88.1%
Predatory Nightmares 67.11%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 15225 15.74 0.95%
II 30662 30.48 15.91%
III 47584 34.79 68.12%
IV 74211 38.41 99.58%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 145
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 31643
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4176
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 73384
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 10074
Lose: Invader deck ran out 180
Lose: Adversary condition 11284
Win: Sacrifice victory 567
Lose: Scenario condition 1530
Win: Scenario condition 1418
Lose: Blight pool ran out 31813
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1468

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.092 Win Model: -0.122

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.102 Win Model: -0.091
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 94925 59.15% 25.77 65.77%
2 42265 56.92% 27.44 66.24%
3 15469 48.04% 29.59 68.27%
4 13743 40.33% 30.28 69.5%
5 295 39.44% 27.87 60.34%
6 985 22.95% 23.77 62.34%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)