Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 32 28.13% 25.59 90.63% 0.394 0.3325 0.0
Blitz 0 1101 60.98% 26.17 58.4% -0.631 -0.4917 -0.628
Dahan Insurrection 4 1278 36.13% 48.03 60.09% -0.298 -0.4712 0.116
Despicable Theft 2 62 54.84% 31.31 66.13% -0.324 0.3423 -0.899
Elemental Invocation 1 195 63.59% 27.7 63.59% -0.689 0.0419 -0.869
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3250 22.52% 39.31 68.71% 0.621 -0.0113 0.215
Powers Long Forgotten 1 435 65.21% 30.14 58.62% -0.432 0.0388 -0.771
Rituals of Terror 3 526 67.5% 45.87 46.01% -0.477 -0.4646 0.841
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 255 83.14% 33.54 52.55% -0.8 0.1484 -0.626
Second Wave 0 4084 49.64% 28.26 73.75% 0.236 0.3131 -0.234
The Great River 3 69 53.62% 29.99 43.48% -0.806 0.5606 -1.199
Varied Terrains 2 28 57.14% 28.07 57.14% -0.24 0.3293 -0.292
Ward the Shores 2 360 72.42% 26.23 35.56% -1.047 0.1884 -1.246

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 78629 60.41% 26.85 69.31% 1.02 1.2538 -0.13
1 Thematic 3371 62.55% 32.96 57.31% -0.07 0.5565 -0.469
2 Archipelago 40 47.5% 39.58 75.0% 0.0 0.3893 -0.155
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 24116 60.27% 28.51 69.55% 0.562 0.7398 0.178
2 Coastline 2941 58.39% 28.86 72.02% 1.05 1.1141 0.485
2 Fragment 706 62.58% 24.09 64.73% 0.996 0.9086 0.027
2 Heart 384 65.75% 23.36 64.58% 0.429 0.2428 -0.133
2 Opposite Shores 5005 52.59% 28.97 72.13% 0.465 0.6275 -0.214
2 Other 1 100.0% 6.0 0.0% -0.388 0.8711 0.0
2 Thematic 1989 54.05% 36.38 58.82% -0.189 0.4175 -0.282
2 Top to Top 860 58.89% 28.07 67.44% -0.2 -0.139 -0.661
3 Archipelago 22 63.64% 49.18 77.27% -0.701 -1.702 0.814
3 Coastline 85 54.76% 30.12 60.0% -0.828 -1.2485 0.649
3 Other 481 52.32% 27.17 69.44% 0.62 0.4239 0.394
3 Round (Default) 11766 49.54% 30.89 73.11% 0.298 0.2803 0.023
3 Sunrise 56 50.0% 27.75 75.0% 0.0 0.2286 0.157
3 Thematic 544 51.85% 37.24 60.48% -0.146 -0.1288 -0.282
4 Archipelago 32 26.67% 34.53 59.38% 0.102 -0.0843 -0.648
4 Coastline 24 33.33% 30.42 83.33% 0.0 0.1611 0.119
4 Leaf 46 50.0% 30.91 84.78% 0.483 0.1186 0.0
4 Other 324 50.32% 29.54 76.23% -0.484 -1.3424 0.553
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.3626 0.0
4 Snake 6 50.0% 23.33 50.0% 0.0 -0.0065 0.0
4 Thematic 1847 43.52% 42.8 70.11% 0.305 0.3156 0.083
4 Trapezoid (Default) 9331 42.26% 32.56 76.73% 0.379 0.1954 0.229
5 Archipelago 10 70.0% 35.5 70.0% 0.0 -1.1911 -0.378
5 Coastline 7 0.0% 27.57 100.0% 0.0 -0.0111 -0.306
5 Other 204 36.36% 31.71 79.41% 0.208 -0.2533 0.57
5 Thematic 26 46.15% 39.92 96.15% 0.297 -0.1057 1.008
6 Archipelago 12 16.67% 31.67 83.33% 0.292 0.0422 -0.368
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 34.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.6889 -0.21
6 Other 92 28.26% 26.35 75.0% -0.776 -1.2394 -0.378
6 Star 25 52.0% 40.72 68.0% 0.784 1.2694 0.117
6 Thematic 151 31.33% 33.46 70.86% -1.109 -0.6598 -0.472
6 Two Centers (Default) 325 20.56% 26.87 77.54% -0.599 -0.4934 -0.612
7 Archipelago 5 60.0% 36.4 60.0% -0.182 -0.7723 -0.454
7 Other 8 37.5% 21.75 50.0% -1.377 -2.0568 -0.69

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5426 28.96 53.78% 0.424 0.6967 -0.423
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4465 30.67 56.17% 0.278 0.3416 -0.052
All Things Weaken 2091 27.81 47.54% 0.166 0.6348 -0.565
Attenuated Essence 38 31.32 57.89% 0.54 0.799 0.107
Back Against the Wall 4420 29.6 53.53% 0.02 0.2018 -0.11
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 47 24.91 44.68% -0.118 0.3458 -0.278
Burn Brightest Before the End 29 27.55 48.28% 0.092 0.4156 -0.436
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5388 27.03 51.91% 0.036 0.5805 -0.474
Downward Spiral 16186 24.53 62.13% 0.195 0.5524 -0.213
Erosion of Will 5213 28.5 51.83% 0.029 0.4823 -0.509
Intensifying Exploitation 48 26.02 62.5% 0.568 0.9768 -0.179
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 623 34.04 77.85% 1.178 0.666 0.286
Memory Fades to Dust 16348 23.77 57.32% -0.13 0.37 -0.467
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2168 28.46 55.3% -0.054 0.2561 -0.395
Promising Farmlands 5530 28.92 56.09% 0.072 0.658 -0.143
Shattered Fragments of Power 37 28.16 54.05% 0.083 0.2857 -0.499
Slow Dissolution of Will 54 20.31 27.78% -0.889 -0.3283 -1.044
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 520 33.31 84.04% 0.298 -0.4239 0.019
The Border of Life and Death 18 21.61 61.11% 0.145 0.0371 -0.121
Thriving Communities 2138 28.26 53.65% -0.181 0.3259 -0.293
Thriving Crops 21 32.62 80.95% 1.18 1.2971 0.684
Tipping Point 2510 28.31 51.67% 0.0 -0.1361 -0.466
Unnatural Proliferation 2384 29.52 53.44% 0.295 0.6134 -0.408
Untended Land Crumbles 2100 27.99 53.9% 0.161 0.5404 -0.406

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 41847 56.22% 27.61 70.08% -0.762 0.108 -0.405
B 44543 54.87% 28.51 71.6% -0.491 0.3123 -0.299
C 43669 54.81% 28.92 71.76% -0.312 0.3683 -0.254
D 43766 53.7% 29.36 72.52% -0.204 0.6256 -0.011
E 9900 54.11% 30.03 70.77% -0.335 0.3201 -0.337
F 15035 53.08% 29.98 71.13% -0.309 0.4353 -0.215
G 14978 53.12% 30.25 71.85% -0.45 0.3299 -0.195
H 13657 54.12% 29.99 71.16% -0.197 0.4899 -0.26
East 5786 51.2% 38.2 63.2% -0.19 0.4321 -0.529
Northeast 3995 50.22% 39.4 64.78% -0.236 0.6732 -0.645
Northwest 3369 50.71% 39.61 64.56% 0.025 0.6978 0.213
Southeast 742 46.35% 31.95 65.36% -0.1 0.5963 0.372
Southwest 738 49.25% 30.61 62.6% -0.832 0.3683 0.075
West 5296 52.51% 37.48 61.82% -0.01 0.9728 -0.698

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 7962 0.0% 16.02 60.56% -0.823 0.0836 -1.862
Not Using Events or Tokens 35693 60.54% 22.74 70.86% -0.402 -0.0863 0.022
Skip Initial Invader Actions 4202 26.29% 33.5 84.75% 0.386 -0.1755 0.743
Start of Game Growth 5523 28.93% 32.15 82.73% 0.28 -0.0319 0.114
Unlimited Undo 13614 49.88% 31.37 76.13% -0.058 -0.0841 0.34
Using Tokens but Not Events 12723 50.72% 25.35 75.34% -0.104 -0.1692 -0.214

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 7446 100.0% 31.45 100.0% 0.129 -0.023 0.032
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2219 100.0% 29.67 100.0% 0.399 0.2387 -0.405
Downpour Drenches the World 266 100.0% 28.09 100.0% -0.983 -0.8014 -0.046
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 123 100.0% 32.22 100.0% 1.16 0.4437 0.254
Eyes Watch From the Trees 3491 100.0% 32.02 100.0% 0.44 -0.1442 0.248
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 1976 100.0% 31.01 100.0% -0.039 -0.5175 -0.201
Finder of Paths Unseen 186 100.0% 31.2 100.0% 0.028 0.7306 -0.006
Fractured Days Split the Sky 640 100.0% 35.13 100.0% -0.142 0.5522 0.36
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 389 100.0% 31.31 100.0% 0.102 0.0045 0.086
Heart of the Wildfire 4445 100.0% 27.43 100.0% -0.72 -0.4617 -0.252
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 5435 100.0% 33.52 100.0% 0.151 -0.3041 0.251
Lightning's Swift Strike 6521 107.48% 27.52 103.8% 0.155 0.3576 0.064
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 102 57.58% 32.66 62.75% 0.519 -0.1894 0.634
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 493 48.36% 36.21 75.46% 0.143 -0.1665 0.676
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 351 43.31% 32.4 74.64% -0.01 -0.1857 0.399
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1228 100.0% 31.74 100.0% -0.02 -0.1758 -0.411
Many Minds Move as One 1086 100.0% 33.67 100.0% 0.447 0.23 0.552
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 19797 100.0% 32.44 100.0% -0.062 -0.0809 0.135
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2097 100.0% 30.84 100.0% 0.401 0.2641 -0.078
River Surges in Sunlight 6762 104.26% 31.53 102.63% 0.106 0.1102 -0.003
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 459 46.39% 32.29 70.59% -0.339 -0.0852 -0.241
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 107 58.65% 32.46 59.81% -0.782 -0.9132 -0.871
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 5517 100.0% 34.1 100.0% -0.134 -0.3462 0.247
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 5933 108.58% 27.92 104.11% 0.032 0.4807 0.864
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 35 41.18% 29.51 68.57% 0.28 0.2606 -0.529
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 97 36.08% 32.93 78.35% 0.253 0.2682 0.926
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 503 46.48% 29.78 74.95% 0.337 0.2788 -0.689
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 327 49.53% 29.93 73.7% -0.166 -0.0983 0.359
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 3874 100.31% 32.68 100.18% 0.062 -0.0659 0.32
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 19 36.84% 22.68 63.16% 0.365 0.0168 -0.416
Shifting Memory of Ages 390 100.0% 29.44 100.0% -0.1 0.2691 -0.267
Shroud of Silent Mist 983 100.0% 28.96 100.0% -0.424 -0.1086 0.086
Starlight Seeks its Form 387 100.0% 32.27 100.0% 0.342 0.0757 0.85
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 1454 100.0% 35.59 100.0% 0.184 -0.3036 -0.18
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2100 100.0% 33.87 100.0% 0.243 0.2822 0.65
Thunderspeaker 6076 100.16% 31.9 100.12% 0.039 0.0118 -0.1
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 16 37.5% 20.5 56.25% -0.104 -0.1506 -0.783
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1198 100.0% 28.9 100.0% -0.468 -0.4076 -0.236
Vital Strength of the Earth 4793 102.5% 27.32 102.3% -0.201 0.3607 -0.368
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 56 44.44% 27.05 58.93% -0.052 0.2044 -0.619
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 205 56.1% 27.94 57.56% -1.185 -0.3004 -0.612
Volcano Looming High 713 100.0% 28.78 100.0% -0.179 -0.1553 -0.62

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call On Midnight's Dreams 26.97%
Dread Apparitions 86.49%
Dreams Of the Dahan 87.55%
Predatory Nightmares 65.53%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 7841 21.09 1.67%
II 26364 31.04 16.82%
III 42381 34.73 68.54%
IV 66934 38.01 99.58%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 131
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 28332
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 3778
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 66197
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1446
Lose: Invader deck ran out 166
Lose: Adversary condition 10317
Win: Sacrifice victory 504
Lose: Scenario condition 1441
Win: Scenario condition 1322
Lose: Blight pool ran out 28564
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1322

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.584 Win Model: -0.127

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.078 Win Model: 0.193
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 82144 60.49% 27.11 68.8%
2 36112 58.79% 28.92 69.35%
3 12951 49.39% 31.62 72.66%
4 11575 42.8% 33.44 75.55%
5 134 32.81% 30.2 70.9%
6 604 24.37% 28.73 75.99%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-28 03:51:06 (Pacific Time)