Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 98 28.57% 21.0 68.37% 0.505 0.8749 0.336
Blitz 0 1621 51.82% 22.01 50.96% 0.044 0.4759 -0.867
Dahan Insurrection 4 1833 32.76% 41.12 52.54% -0.026 -0.0514 -0.358
Despicable Theft 2 145 37.93% 21.9 45.52% -0.566 0.0934 -0.101
Elemental Invocation 1 292 56.16% 24.37 53.77% -0.626 -0.1778 0.133
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 4065 21.16% 36.76 64.55% 0.419 -0.1803 1.104
Powers Long Forgotten 1 630 56.28% 25.38 49.21% 0.167 0.7753 -0.644
Rituals of Terror 3 899 50.62% 39.01 37.37% -1.115 -0.9901 1.609
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 367 68.12% 27.92 44.69% -0.222 0.5162 -0.299
Second Wave 0 5226 49.23% 26.91 69.69% 0.006 0.1127 0.102
The Great River 3 128 42.19% 22.13 32.03% -0.311 0.8637 -0.133
Varied Terrains 2 106 47.17% 20.71 38.68% -0.371 0.3656 0.453
Ward the Shores 2 509 63.69% 22.11 31.43% -0.42 0.2626 -0.309

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 108996 57.62% 24.19 63.13% 0.76 0.9848 0.467
1 Thematic 4242 58.9% 30.86 53.35% 0.622 1.172 0.654
2 Archipelago 62 40.32% 33.53 67.74% 0.0 -0.3536 0.528
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 33867 56.93% 25.28 62.81% 0.345 0.4563 0.466
2 Coastline 4065 56.07% 25.3 64.65% 0.956 0.8664 0.161
2 Fragment 1056 57.1% 21.63 60.8% 0.532 0.193 -0.428
2 Heart 589 61.4% 20.8 57.56% 0.823 0.4959 0.739
2 Opposite Shores 7182 49.13% 25.64 65.25% 0.888 0.9241 0.203
2 Other 1 100.0% 6.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 3145 45.29% 33.02 51.51% 0.674 1.2026 -0.145
2 Top to Top 1265 54.34% 24.53 60.71% -0.407 -0.6141 0.007
3 Archipelago 36 47.22% 43.14 77.78% 0.0 0.1006 0.0
3 Coastline 112 53.27% 28.13 60.71% 0.352 -0.1689 0.513
3 Other 670 52.34% 23.42 60.75% 0.107 -0.6347 0.632
3 Round (Default) 16900 47.51% 27.21 65.8% 0.352 0.2555 -0.014
3 Sunrise 74 47.22% 27.42 74.32% 0.0 -0.7396 0.0
3 Thematic 740 45.11% 32.59 55.0% -0.305 -0.0628 -0.549
4 Archipelago 48 23.08% 25.88 47.92% 0.0 0.0808 0.0
4 Coastline 37 27.03% 23.49 67.57% 0.0 0.2598 0.0
4 Leaf 83 45.0% 24.82 71.08% 0.513 -0.0417 0.0
4 Other 503 46.45% 22.11 58.65% -1.528 -2.0754 0.0
4 Reverse Snake 3 100.0% 27.33 66.67% -0.322 -0.0899 0.0
4 Snake 6 50.0% 23.33 50.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 2386 37.74% 39.37 61.32% -0.698 -0.2243 -0.095
4 Trapezoid (Default) 13590 37.73% 26.93 65.27% -0.593 -0.7818 -1.446
5 Archipelago 10 70.0% 35.5 70.0% 0.0 1.4461 0.0
5 Coastline 11 9.09% 24.0 90.91% 0.0 -0.6104 0.0
5 Other 512 41.43% 27.52 65.23% -0.954 -1.2809 0.328
5 Thematic 66 36.36% 28.95 75.76% 0.407 -0.0839 0.0
6 Archipelago 38 11.11% 34.66 63.16% 0.065 -0.8607 -0.236
6 Coastline 8 25.0% 21.0 25.0% 0.0 0.3287 0.0
6 Other 231 25.97% 21.43 59.31% -0.272 -0.0028 -0.534
6 Star 78 28.21% 21.36 44.87% 0.0 0.7961 -0.189
6 Thematic 391 21.71% 21.09 45.27% -0.522 0.0586 -0.525
6 Two Centers (Default) 809 21.77% 20.61 57.48% -0.941 -0.964 -0.724
7 Archipelago 7 42.86% 26.0 42.86% 0.0 0.4064 0.0
7 Other 23 18.18% 7.57 17.39% -0.882 -1.137 -0.393
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6415 28.34 52.92% 0.199 0.51 1.183
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5240 30.01 55.17% 0.943 0.9563 1.586
All Things Weaken 2899 26.29 45.57% -1.057 -0.5836 -0.087
Attenuated Essence 387 25.44 52.45% 0.921 1.0675 0.317
Back Against the Wall 5291 28.93 53.6% 0.36 0.4891 1.426
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 413 24.47 49.64% -0.493 -0.1725 0.016
Burn Brightest Before the End 302 23.64 44.04% -0.715 -0.5384 0.061
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6472 25.87 50.54% -0.81 -0.4291 0.328
Downward Spiral 21926 23.13 59.35% 0.356 0.5495 1.174
Erosion of Will 6238 28.05 51.64% 0.42 0.7579 0.794
Intensifying Exploitation 403 23.12 48.14% -0.302 0.0509 0.147
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 909 30.77 72.94% 0.319 -0.0438 -0.267
Memory Fades to Dust 22145 22.29 54.61% 0.386 0.7157 0.991
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2955 26.94 53.03% 0.202 0.4683 0.55
Promising Farmlands 6647 28.0 54.76% -0.318 0.1295 0.449
Shattered Fragments of Power 298 24.78 48.99% 0.381 0.3803 1.051
Slow Dissolution of Will 393 21.74 44.53% -0.211 0.2002 -0.219
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 690 31.74 81.16% 1.08 0.5216 1.011
The Border of Life and Death 132 26.7 65.91% 0.499 0.2538 -0.008
Thriving Communities 2927 26.42 51.42% 0.036 0.3134 0.685
Thriving Crops 195 26.59 67.69% 0.378 0.2831 -0.264
Tipping Point 2511 28.3 51.65% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 3225 28.23 52.81% -0.107 0.0974 0.604
Untended Land Crumbles 2868 26.69 51.74% 0.853 1.1527 0.665

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 59787 52.37% 23.92 61.79% -0.341 0.651 -0.284
B 62990 50.92% 24.81 63.33% 0.013 0.8784 -0.077
C 61023 51.38% 25.45 64.35% 0.03 0.7817 0.046
D 60934 50.49% 25.92 65.34% 0.001 0.9454 0.292
E 16072 51.02% 26.03 63.28% -0.344 0.4107 -0.1
F 22681 49.66% 26.22 63.7% -0.047 0.827 -0.36
G 22037 49.83% 26.64 64.4% 0.403 1.2658 0.275
H 20417 50.47% 26.19 63.38% 0.077 0.8844 0.248
East 8354 44.2% 34.21 55.43% -0.09 0.6555 -0.615
Northeast 5920 41.73% 34.99 55.64% 0.299 1.1922 -0.145
Northwest 4618 43.91% 34.98 55.98% -0.035 0.7082 0.769
Southeast 1223 38.1% 25.67 53.07% -0.016 0.9924 -0.027
Southwest 1204 39.48% 24.0 49.75% -0.505 0.6513 -0.09
West 7249 46.75% 33.29 54.37% 0.526 1.5084 -0.552

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 13384 0.0% 13.38 50.13% -1.053 -0.3335 -0.357
Not Using Events or Tokens 58949 54.73% 19.06 59.64% -0.286 0.1889 -0.671
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5465 25.24% 30.41 78.04% 1.137 0.3322 -0.371
Start of Game Growth 7424 28.01% 28.78 75.73% 0.416 -0.1507 -0.55
Unlimited Undo 19293 43.88% 27.15 66.23% 0.299 0.3261 1.146
Using Tokens but Not Events 18054 47.98% 23.33 67.5% -0.304 -0.3313 0.438

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 10902 39.08% 27.25 65.92% 0.493 0.0749 0.476
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 127 31.5% 24.76 55.91% -0.255 -0.9116 0.102
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 12 41.67% 32.42 83.33% 0.785 0.6269 0.0
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 127 29.84% 22.09 58.27% 0.695 -0.1655 0.002
Dances Up Earthquakes 118 41.03% 20.64 50.0% -0.832 -0.8685 0.191
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2976 46.27% 27.04 67.0% 0.05 -0.3041 -0.154
Downpour Drenches the World 824 38.71% 20.29 46.48% -0.624 -0.4999 0.591
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 528 39.96% 27.67 67.61% 0.591 0.0203 -0.146
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5589 33.36% 26.33 67.08% 0.369 -0.2772 0.071
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2644 44.29% 27.88 68.99% 0.136 -0.3581 -0.726
Finder of Paths Unseen 629 40.45% 21.45 44.2% -0.115 0.473 0.189
Fractured Days Split the Sky 988 40.94% 29.23 60.43% 0.509 0.9553 0.147
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 924 42.39% 23.84 55.95% -0.445 -0.6301 0.11
Heart of the Wildfire 5814 58.74% 24.32 58.55% -0.192 -0.0489 0.226
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7463 40.84% 28.13 63.86% 0.375 -0.299 -0.145
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 92 36.26% 21.5 51.09% 0.518 -0.0094 -0.111
Lightning's Swift Strike 9287 47.34% 23.43 62.45% -0.275 -0.242 -0.231
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 271 48.12% 25.82 55.35% -0.187 -0.8393 -0.305
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 747 46.76% 32.24 69.75% 0.051 -0.4442 0.503
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 547 43.02% 27.55 65.81% -0.441 -0.6809 -0.114
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1929 46.29% 28.35 66.46% 0.105 -0.321 -0.389
Many Minds Move as One 1685 41.76% 29.21 71.87% 0.999 0.4904 -0.419
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 28412 47.99% 28.32 64.38% 0.005 -0.2644 0.408
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 358 42.9% 22.02 54.47% -0.239 -0.3529 -1.006
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2837 46.92% 27.54 66.2% -0.138 -0.4322 -0.117
River Surges in Sunlight 9311 45.51% 26.97 63.36% -0.358 -0.5291 -0.988
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 46 43.48% 18.65 43.48% -0.567 -0.6782 -0.087
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 779 41.27% 26.86 61.49% -0.692 -0.7578 0.748
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 367 55.15% 26.27 51.77% 0.723 0.5926 0.262
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 7286 42.73% 30.12 64.15% -0.69 -0.9544 -0.182
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 63 34.92% 26.37 57.14% 0.673 0.2426 -0.223
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 8131 56.21% 23.85 61.47% -0.315 0.1135 0.255
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 136 41.79% 25.79 61.76% 0.0 0.0041 0.578
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 121 45.45% 24.69 63.64% -0.119 -0.8716 1.284
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 283 39.5% 26.44 63.25% 0.038 -0.2804 1.079
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 689 44.05% 26.34 65.31% -0.565 -0.7442 -0.022
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 463 46.24% 25.89 65.23% 0.518 0.4756 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 5001 43.38% 28.31 65.51% -0.058 -0.4241 0.298
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 5 20.0% 19.4 60.0% 0.001 -0.5399 -0.278
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 230 29.13% 20.97 53.91% 0.419 0.1746 -0.014
Shifting Memory of Ages 796 46.13% 25.16 59.55% -0.277 0.0176 -0.576
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 204 49.02% 31.39 73.53% 0.749 0.5861 0.042
Shroud of Silent Mist 1937 50.13% 22.63 57.56% -0.378 -0.1959 -0.008
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 12 50.0% 14.42 41.67% -0.367 -0.7768 -0.124
Starlight Seeks its Form 908 41.54% 25.33 57.82% -1.073 -1.3148 -0.872
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2136 47.46% 33.8 65.17% 0.854 -0.098 0.49
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2744 39.96% 30.9 71.9% 1.621 1.6631 1.149
Thunderspeaker 8994 42.74% 25.94 61.45% -0.331 -0.526 -0.386
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 146 47.92% 26.9 66.44% 0.496 0.3273 -0.208
Towering Roots of the Jungle 151 38.41% 17.53 46.36% -0.32 -0.4304 -0.502
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1887 59.19% 25.81 60.84% 0.353 0.2027 -0.611
Vital Strength of the Earth 6860 42.29% 22.85 61.02% -0.265 0.0931 -0.301
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 268 29.17% 15.62 40.67% -0.61 -0.3663 0.445
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 347 46.69% 23.51 52.45% -0.623 0.0579 -0.218
Volcano Looming High 1277 51.18% 24.36 60.77% 0.337 0.0129 0.307
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 272 44.12% 26.84 62.13% -0.736 -1.2533 -0.293

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call On Midnight's Dreams 32.76%
Dread Apparitions 87.44%
Dreams Of the Dahan 88.54%
Predatory Nightmares 68.25%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 25293 12.25 0.6%
II 36891 29.91 14.81%
III 55295 34.94 67.7%
IV 84502 38.9 99.59%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 153
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 36585
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4705
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 83570
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 22301
Lose: Invader deck ran out 204
Lose: Adversary condition 12601
Win: Sacrifice victory 644
Lose: Scenario condition 1646
Win: Scenario condition 1549
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 36354
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1669

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.014 Win Model: -0.11

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.115 Win Model: 0.347
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 113617 57.61% 24.41 62.67%
2 51214 55.11% 25.75 62.61%
3 18568 47.18% 28.06 65.45%
4 16540 38.19% 27.73 64.39%
5 500 40.37% 26.03 57.6%
6 1542 21.41% 20.8 54.8%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)