Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 93 29.03% 20.69 68.82% -0.14 -0.4025 0.162
Blitz 0 1582 52.55% 22.23 51.26% -0.298 0.0668 -0.467
Dahan Insurrection 4 1758 33.55% 42.12 53.81% -0.37 -0.5019 0.324
Despicable Theft 2 136 39.71% 22.93 47.79% -0.352 0.2718 -0.78
Elemental Invocation 1 281 56.94% 24.26 54.09% -1.336 -0.387 -1.408
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 3950 21.22% 37.05 65.01% 0.651 0.1906 0.724
Powers Long Forgotten 1 611 56.89% 25.48 49.43% -1.411 -0.4082 -0.622
Rituals of Terror 3 850 52.39% 39.81 38.24% 0.335 0.4718 0.693
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 358 68.72% 28.17 44.97% -0.813 0.07 -0.813
Second Wave 0 5110 49.34% 27.0 69.94% 0.327 0.3772 -0.2
The Great River 3 122 43.44% 22.63 32.79% -1.183 0.109 -1.604
Varied Terrains 2 95 48.42% 20.25 37.89% 0.335 1.2746 -0.048
Ward the Shores 2 494 63.6% 22.5 31.78% -0.63 0.3283 -1.403

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 105395 57.86% 24.41 63.69% 0.006 0.4878 0.265
1 Thematic 4137 59.25% 31.0 53.64% -0.08 0.7686 -0.176
2 Archipelago 62 40.32% 33.53 67.74% 0.549 1.2471 -0.139
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 32869 57.29% 25.56 63.39% -0.048 0.2556 0.439
2 Coastline 3913 56.25% 25.58 65.07% -0.068 0.0633 0.55
2 Fragment 1025 57.49% 21.92 61.56% -0.213 -0.2269 0.402
2 Heart 570 61.14% 20.85 58.25% -0.392 -0.6321 -0.357
2 Opposite Shores 6963 49.48% 25.86 65.76% 0.02 0.2816 -0.148
2 Other 1 100.0% 6.0 0.0% 0.0 0.8849 0.0
2 Thematic 3026 45.84% 33.24 52.12% 0.001 0.7868 0.279
2 Top to Top 1220 54.24% 24.78 61.39% -0.136 -0.0292 -0.478
3 Archipelago 36 47.22% 43.14 77.78% 0.0 -1.2338 1.346
3 Coastline 109 53.85% 28.42 60.55% 0.0 -0.4904 1.025
3 Other 640 51.44% 23.59 61.41% -0.264 -0.8784 0.577
3 Round (Default) 16382 47.72% 27.46 66.27% 0.065 0.0554 -0.029
3 Sunrise 71 46.38% 27.63 74.65% 0.841 0.7371 -0.295
3 Thematic 719 45.45% 32.95 55.77% -0.232 0.0372 0.014
4 Archipelago 47 23.08% 26.43 48.94% 0.336 -0.6206 -0.269
4 Coastline 35 28.57% 23.49 65.71% 0.478 0.0775 0.368
4 Leaf 77 48.65% 25.68 71.43% 0.0 -0.2486 0.228
4 Other 481 46.06% 22.73 60.29% -0.84 -1.7134 0.362
4 Reverse Snake 2 100.0% 41.0 100.0% 0.0 0.5257 0.0
4 Snake 6 50.0% 23.33 50.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 2292 38.99% 40.26 63.0% -0.139 0.1934 -0.249
4 Trapezoid (Default) 12938 38.47% 27.54 66.82% 0.242 0.1593 -0.305
5 Archipelago 10 70.0% 35.5 70.0% 0.0 -1.128 -0.281
5 Coastline 10 10.0% 23.9 90.0% 0.0 -0.1898 -0.236
5 Other 462 41.59% 28.06 65.58% 1.147 0.4019 -0.289
5 Thematic 59 32.2% 28.15 72.88% 0.401 -0.1127 -0.01
6 Archipelago 34 9.38% 35.0 61.76% 0.084 -0.7499 -0.206
6 Coastline 8 25.0% 21.0 25.0% 0.0 0.9661 -0.345
6 Other 218 24.31% 21.78 59.63% -0.92 -0.6903 -0.866
6 Star 75 29.33% 21.6 44.0% -0.642 -0.3549 -1.157
6 Thematic 366 22.1% 21.84 46.45% -0.362 0.0166 -1.297
6 Two Centers (Default) 752 21.95% 20.77 58.24% -0.45 -0.0201 -0.769
7 Archipelago 7 42.86% 26.0 42.86% 0.0 -0.0462 -0.41
7 Other 21 20.0% 8.29 19.05% -0.103 0.0245 -1.034
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.4732 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6298 28.34 52.83% 0.065 0.2418 0.252
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5165 30.05 55.14% -0.104 -0.2082 0.606
All Things Weaken 2819 26.47 45.94% -0.201 0.0279 0.069
Attenuated Essence 330 25.28 52.73% -0.749 -0.7146 0.306
Back Against the Wall 5179 29.03 53.58% 0.433 0.4111 0.568
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 369 24.76 50.68% 0.286 0.391 0.143
Burn Brightest Before the End 263 23.19 42.59% 0.796 0.9357 0.421
Disintegrating Ecosystem 6347 26.03 50.76% 0.304 0.6629 0.158
Downward Spiral 21247 23.25 59.66% 0.487 0.5697 0.558
Erosion of Will 6117 28.13 51.74% 0.124 0.3784 0.156
Intensifying Exploitation 371 23.11 49.06% -0.053 0.204 0.339
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 871 31.21 74.05% 0.517 0.1138 0.675
Memory Fades to Dust 21511 22.38 54.77% 0.26 0.5392 0.31
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2864 27.11 53.39% -0.401 -0.1296 0.187
Promising Farmlands 6532 28.1 55.11% -0.169 0.124 0.431
Shattered Fragments of Power 256 25.05 47.66% -0.298 -0.163 -0.073
Slow Dissolution of Will 353 22.09 45.33% 0.318 0.6796 -0.651
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 664 31.81 81.63% 0.954 0.3941 0.743
The Border of Life and Death 117 26.09 64.96% 0.233 -0.1337 -0.257
Thriving Communities 2827 26.58 51.57% -0.122 0.1954 0.358
Thriving Crops 178 26.83 68.54% -0.344 -0.4663 0.49
Tipping Point 2511 28.3 51.65% 0.0 1.2729 0.213
Unnatural Proliferation 3119 28.38 52.87% 0.19 0.2796 0.195
Untended Land Crumbles 2766 26.77 51.7% 0.058 0.3263 0.183

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 57802 52.8% 24.21 62.48% -0.233 0.916 -0.526
B 60726 51.39% 25.16 64.2% -0.093 0.9749 -0.437
C 59028 51.76% 25.75 65.03% -0.032 0.8863 -0.337
D 58914 50.86% 26.23 66.03% 0.158 1.2207 -0.139
E 15375 51.28% 26.33 63.87% -0.037 0.9167 -0.497
F 21815 50.02% 26.52 64.29% -0.06 0.9423 -0.427
G 21152 50.3% 26.97 65.04% 0.125 1.094 -0.244
H 19518 50.87% 26.59 64.23% -0.032 0.9263 -0.406
East 8035 44.91% 34.67 56.3% 0.31 1.3141 -0.422
Northeast 5668 42.59% 35.54 56.7% 0.099 0.9672 -0.286
Northwest 4455 44.76% 35.54 56.99% 0.352 1.1937 0.281
Southeast 1163 38.51% 26.19 54.17% 0.144 1.2012 0.3
Southwest 1147 39.7% 24.32 50.13% -0.363 1.0255 -0.149
West 7018 47.4% 33.71 55.12% -0.953 0.2603 -0.814

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 12909 0.0% 13.56 50.87% -0.681 0.1001 -0.932
Not Using Events or Tokens 56301 55.24% 19.3 60.46% -0.42 -0.0985 -0.576
Skip Initial Invader Actions 5316 25.33% 30.61 78.74% 0.268 -0.3729 0.58
Start of Game Growth 7210 28.02% 29.01 76.42% 0.343 -0.2363 0.355
Unlimited Undo 18541 44.59% 27.61 67.37% 0.425 0.2122 0.252
Using Tokens but Not Events 17353 48.33% 23.48 68.25% -0.056 -0.1385 -0.117

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 10465 39.55% 27.64 66.83% 0.031 -0.3481 0.225
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 118 31.36% 24.87 57.63% 1.064 0.2861 -0.601
Dances Up Earthquakes 97 43.3% 21.82 51.55% -1.495 -1.6639 0.01
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 2823 47.12% 27.75 68.44% -0.055 -0.3895 -0.05
Downpour Drenches the World 788 38.96% 20.65 47.46% -0.888 -0.886 0.036
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 507 40.24% 27.93 67.85% -0.579 -1.3988 -0.046
Eyes Watch From the Trees 5189 34.43% 27.32 69.82% 0.561 -0.2242 -0.182
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 2569 44.57% 28.14 69.44% 0.476 -0.1153 0.024
Finder of Paths Unseen 576 40.18% 21.48 44.1% 0.133 0.6498 -0.119
Fractured Days Split the Sky 954 41.68% 29.6 60.9% -0.206 0.1065 0.541
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 885 42.91% 24.29 56.84% -0.478 -0.7472 -0.066
Heart of the Wildfire 5640 59.24% 24.58 59.2% -0.053 0.1602 -0.26
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 7208 41.17% 28.6 64.93% 0.356 -0.3926 -0.317
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 79 38.46% 21.39 48.1% -0.968 -1.7178 -0.882
Lightning's Swift Strike 9017 47.56% 23.74 63.18% -0.185 -0.1866 -0.019
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 250 48.57% 25.93 55.6% 0.407 -0.3979 0.861
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 719 46.77% 32.7 70.65% 0.777 0.0132 0.778
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 530 42.12% 27.71 65.85% -0.235 -0.4765 0.346
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 1848 46.59% 28.5 66.5% -0.237 -0.683 -0.165
Many Minds Move as One 1622 42.21% 29.58 72.38% -0.021 -0.492 0.479
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 27554 48.39% 28.64 65.05% 0.067 -0.0982 0.36
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 280 39.71% 22.02 56.43% 0.327 0.2116 -1.141
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 2714 47.53% 28.04 67.46% 0.182 -0.137 0.124
River Surges in Sunlight 8953 46.27% 27.5 64.49% -0.121 -0.3134 0.104
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 37 40.54% 19.76 45.95% -0.159 -0.1618 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 756 41.73% 26.95 61.51% 0.955 0.7899 -0.132
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 345 56.68% 26.56 51.88% -0.299 -0.557 -0.199
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 6980 43.67% 30.83 65.85% -0.043 -0.3391 0.275
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 49 42.86% 28.31 57.14% -0.119 -0.3649 0.98
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 7874 56.8% 24.24 62.41% -0.477 -0.1283 0.683
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 109 42.06% 26.94 64.22% 0.549 0.4557 0.61
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 103 49.51% 25.61 64.08% 0.476 -0.2662 1.062
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 266 39.39% 26.25 62.78% 0.026 -0.1692 0.33
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 669 44.11% 26.66 66.37% -0.39 -0.6748 -0.616
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 451 45.91% 25.94 65.63% -0.343 -0.5063 0.429
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 4902 43.69% 28.59 66.14% -0.635 -0.9715 -0.202
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 210 27.62% 21.6 55.71% 0.214 -0.1271 -0.819
Shifting Memory of Ages 773 46.34% 25.4 60.16% 0.116 0.2544 -0.147
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 155 47.74% 31.8 73.55% 0.425 0.0996 -0.18
Shroud of Silent Mist 1844 50.66% 22.89 58.3% -0.815 -0.5969 -0.138
Starlight Seeks its Form 862 41.67% 25.59 58.47% -0.33 -0.5985 0.492
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 2058 47.61% 34.04 65.31% 0.731 -0.1331 0.326
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 2655 40.01% 31.06 72.24% -0.122 -0.1649 0.841
Thunderspeaker 8698 43.25% 26.34 62.24% -0.347 -0.5079 -0.395
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 107 44.76% 24.64 59.81% 0.317 0.2609 -0.518
Towering Roots of the Jungle 131 40.46% 17.21 44.27% -0.378 -0.6145 -1.136
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 1811 59.63% 25.85 60.63% 0.165 0.0797 0.032
Vital Strength of the Earth 6624 42.89% 23.16 61.9% -0.27 0.1011 -0.533
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 250 29.27% 15.81 42.4% -0.069 0.2235 -0.334
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 331 48.04% 23.8 51.96% 0.372 0.8562 -0.256
Volcano Looming High 1220 51.27% 24.58 60.25% 0.482 0.2367 -0.623
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 240 43.33% 28.1 66.25% 1.115 0.4655 0.285

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Call On Midnight's Dreams 32.39%
Dread Apparitions 87.34%
Dreams Of the Dahan 88.46%
Predatory Nightmares 68.08%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 23195 12.75 0.66%
II 35639 30.01 14.95%
III 53798 34.87 67.78%
IV 82540 38.76 99.59%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 153
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 35628
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 4579
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 81632
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 19735
Lose: Invader deck ran out 198
Lose: Adversary condition 12328
Win: Sacrifice victory 625
Lose: Scenario condition 1619
Win: Scenario condition 1529
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 35511
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1635

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.222 Win Model: -0.111

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.11 Win Model: 0.023
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 109891 57.85% 24.64 63.22%
2 49643 55.45% 26.01 63.17%
3 17986 47.34% 28.3 65.95%
4 15770 39.0% 28.39 65.94%
5 440 39.95% 26.44 56.82%
6 1442 21.37% 21.09 55.41%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-10-09 13:08:08 (Pacific Time)