Results with Adversaries

Adversary Level Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 0 2 323 27.95% 23.24 1.106 62.85% -0.289 0.0769
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 1 3 346 37.39% 23.68 -2.444 54.91% -0.958 -0.6426
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 2 5 366 47.53% 31.75 1.947 54.1% -0.008 0.7585
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 3 6 372 33.6% 43.45 3.287 49.46% -1.404 -0.4468
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 4 8 102 61.76% 35.18 10.337 45.1% 0.187 1.4931
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 5 9 48 60.42% 26.44 -3.346 22.92% -0.631 1.0379
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 6 10 492 44.83% 41.99 -0.537 39.23% -1.566 0.4112
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 0 1 1275 37.12% 20.97 -3.14 68.24% -0.611 -0.3968
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 1 2 1107 38.21% 24.7 -1.157 68.47% -0.258 -0.1488
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 2 4 1148 46.07% 33.44 2.123 71.17% -0.177 -0.1011
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 3 6 1011 51.11% 38.74 5.539 70.43% 0.068 0.249
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 4 7 659 44.44% 41.59 4.314 69.35% -0.371 0.0195
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 5 9 440 70.77% 39.93 -1.572 50.23% -0.633 -0.0967
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 6 10 1042 58.13% 44.5 8.863 52.78% -0.349 0.9381
The Kingdom of England 0 1 1276 38.06% 19.46 -3.189 63.4% -0.683 -0.2703
The Kingdom of England 1 3 972 40.33% 27.27 1.5 64.3% 0.057 0.3368
The Kingdom of England 2 4 987 49.02% 28.13 -0.876 55.32% -0.697 -0.1179
The Kingdom of England 3 6 629 47.86% 32.76 -2.874 47.38% -1.14 0.0136
The Kingdom of England 4 7 585 44.39% 37.86 4.925 47.69% -0.692 0.3978
The Kingdom of England 5 9 296 50.17% 38.01 10.129 40.2% 0.153 1.5485
The Kingdom of England 6 11 2107 33.37% 48.1 7.874 47.98% -0.461 1.5213
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 0 2 628 42.42% 22.74 -0.366 60.19% -0.065 0.3995
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 1 3 608 50.33% 24.45 -0.212 55.26% -0.325 0.3296
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 2 5 685 32.16% 20.9 -2.327 18.39% -1.678 -0.6913
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 3 7 486 28.45% 33.94 0.997 28.6% -1.73 -0.3705
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 4 8 198 27.27% 27.84 0.9 19.7% -1.208 0.1373
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 5 9 180 29.44% 33.65 5.954 25.0% -0.533 0.4455
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 6 10 1185 34.69% 42.64 5.756 30.72% -1.099 0.3232
The Kingdom of Scotland 0 1 113 20.35% 18.08 0.237 46.02% 0.05 0.1895
The Kingdom of Scotland 1 3 147 21.09% 16.85 -3.206 38.1% -1.08 -0.6569
The Kingdom of Scotland 2 4 120 25.83% 25.48 -0.619 45.0% -0.744 -0.3583
The Kingdom of Scotland 3 6 148 20.95% 48.53 2.07 58.78% 0.457 0.8456
The Kingdom of Scotland 4 7 172 13.37% 50.13 2.07 45.35% -1.194 -0.5217
The Kingdom of Scotland 5 8 98 17.35% 62.23 16.241 69.39% 0.101 0.7359
The Kingdom of Scotland 6 10 387 20.41% 55.42 7.776 58.4% -0.15 0.9019
The Kingdom of Sweden 0 1 1019 38.83% 19.66 -2.645 66.14% -0.628 -0.3251
The Kingdom of Sweden 1 2 837 45.2% 22.53 -2.834 62.6% -0.704 -0.6364
The Kingdom of Sweden 2 3 1029 48.68% 25.95 -0.868 61.81% -0.327 -0.2041
The Kingdom of Sweden 3 5 701 55.32% 32.44 1.789 60.63% -0.364 0.0122
The Kingdom of Sweden 4 6 437 60.65% 35.11 5.433 51.26% -0.378 0.2091
The Kingdom of Sweden 5 7 255 62.9% 28.4 3.491 38.04% -0.284 0.8047
The Kingdom of Sweden 6 8 817 56.82% 40.49 7.442 51.9% -0.269 0.6758
The Tsardom of Russia 0 1 303 27.24% 20.11 -3.458 64.03% -0.602 -0.5383
The Tsardom of Russia 1 3 253 41.9% 20.66 -6.135 45.85% -1.899 -1.1038
The Tsardom of Russia 2 4 326 38.34% 30.69 -3.932 56.44% -1.252 -0.7448
The Tsardom of Russia 3 6 208 46.15% 36.88 11.11 39.42% -0.078 0.8748
The Tsardom of Russia 4 7 94 65.96% 24.11 -6.252 23.4% -1.343 -0.4658
The Tsardom of Russia 5 9 37 64.86% 28.95 0.06 21.62% -1.138 0.2332
The Tsardom of Russia 6 11 349 59.13% 44.35 -4.187 35.24% -1.808 0.012

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 21478 41.58 26.74 61.85% -0.396 -0.0519 -0.893
1 Thematic 3873 46.72 28.63 51.59% -0.406 0.1214 -1.076
2 Archipelago 27 38.46 28.04 74.07% -0.361
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3878 39.36 27.17 65.68% -0.104 0.1802 0.031
2 Coastline 534 44.15 27.01 63.48% 0.75 0.7794 0.138
2 Fragment 85 45.88 26.44 74.12% 0.607 0.3693 0.17
2 Heart 56 34.55 27.38 80.36% 0.819
2 Opposite Shores 767 41.33 29.68 66.1% 0.411 0.4706 -0.575
2 Thematic 827 41.22 28.79 57.8% -0.441 -0.0712 -0.696
2 Top to Top 98 43.75 32.54 71.43% 1.283 1.4059 -0.117
3 Archipelago 7 42.86 45.0 100.0%
3 Coastline 9 28.57 34.33 66.67% -0.805
3 Other 48 37.21 24.73 64.58% 0.481 -0.0571 -0.2
3 Round (Default) 1523 35.48 27.67 66.97% 0.402 0.3093 -0.109
3 Sunrise 7 71.43 22.0 42.86% -0.269 -0.1175 -0.151
3 Thematic 204 43.07 26.31 40.2% -0.553 -1.0715 0.27
4 Archipelago 6 50.0 62.67 100.0% 0.525
4 Coastline 6 0.0 20.5 66.67% 0.574 -0.186 0.438
4 Leaf 1 0.0 25.0 100.0%
4 Other 59 32.2 38.97 67.8% -0.132 -0.1238 0.416
4 Thematic 438 45.37 33.56 73.52% 0.223 0.3561 -0.593
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1295 20.9 37.86 80.31% 1.326 1.4327 1.198
5 Archipelago 5 80.0 48.0 100.0%
5 Coastline 3 0.0 29.33 100.0% -0.298
5 Other 47 23.08 24.79 68.09% -0.671 -1.1854 -0.602
5 Thematic 12 50.0 27.25 58.33% -0.285 -1.2673 -0.199
6 Archipelago 17 50.0 33.12 94.12% -0.134
6 Coastline 50 0.0 27.82 100.0%
6 Other 99 32.93 29.21 46.46% -1.283 -0.6482 -0.634
6 Star 26 38.46 25.23 30.77% -0.552 -0.3076 -0.271
6 Thematic 19 47.37 25.63 52.63% -0.052 0.2711 0.709
6 Two Centers (Default) 102 7.81 23.08 79.41% -0.641 -0.7449 -0.822
7 Archipelago 1 0.0 0.0 0.0%
7 Other 1 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.761

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 582 22.95 43.47% 0.012 0.1157 -0.148
Aid From Lesser Spirits 690 22.17 33.19% -0.394 -0.5388 -0.464
All Things Weaken 317 25.21 40.38% 0.136 0.5019 -0.284
Attenuated Essence 59 23.76 52.54% -0.434 -0.4352 -0.899
Back Against the Wall 656 22.97 33.54% -0.166 -0.101 -0.281
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 77 29.27 53.25% -0.526 -0.2913 0.356
Burn Brightest Before the End 55 27.18 45.45% 0.062 0.2224 -0.386
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1060 20.7 38.3% -0.17 0.206 -0.679
Downward Spiral 2787 21.18 48.4% 0.579 0.6512 -0.498
Erosion of Will 569 22.36 40.77% 0.027 0.2831 -0.279
Intensifying Exploitation 82 21.7 41.46% -0.395 -0.1207 -1.13
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 275 31.0 72.73% 0.556 0.069 -0.043
Memory Fades to Dust 2817 19.54 41.43% -0.38 -0.1971 -0.605
Power Corrodes the Spirit 667 25.13 44.23% 0.119 0.3319 -0.405
Promising Farmlands 1074 23.34 42.74% 0.534 0.8573 -0.149
Shattered Fragments of Power 59 22.42 25.42% -0.757 -0.5867 -1.086
Slow Dissolution of Will 37 26.24 37.84% -0.755 -0.3707 0.213
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 162 31.78 82.72% 0.902 0.2254 0.777
The Border of Life and Death 23 28.57 56.52% -0.607 -1.1235 0.148
Thriving Communities 675 25.5 44.15% -0.328 -0.0038 -0.259
Thriving Crops 37 33.76 70.27% 0.068 0.0698 1.471
Tipping Point 254 22.98 41.73% -0.272
Unnatural Proliferation 465 28.17 46.02% -0.033 0.1533 -0.432
Untended Land Crumbles 665 24.09 44.06% -0.544 -0.2053 -0.331

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 7305 39.9% 26.91 64.0% -0.584 0.2791 -0.446
B 7383 38.1% 28.08 65.77% -0.415 0.4058 -0.311
C 7566 38.52% 28.28 65.29% -0.482 0.2156 -0.182
D 6957 37.49% 27.86 64.31% -0.647 0.2096 -0.359
E 3270 35.42% 30.35 66.15% -0.438 0.2505 -0.435
F 4421 37.87% 28.6 66.37% -0.917 -0.0995 -0.339
G 3922 35.13% 29.43 67.41% -0.58 0.3002 -0.357
H 4050 35.81% 29.92 68.84% -0.367 0.4132 -0.445
East 3283 43.35% 30.14 57.97% -0.543 0.2501 -0.204
Northeast 1899 44.76% 30.75 60.08% -0.395 0.4855 -0.085
Northwest 1439 43.01% 30.36 59.21% -0.497 0.374 -0.201
Southeast 625 41.6% 26.57 53.92% -0.592 0.267 -0.533
Southwest 651 46.15% 25.73 55.91% -0.262 0.9475 -0.196
West 2937 45.54% 28.27 54.03% -1.505 -0.4445 -1.193

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 1003 0.0% 25.16 72.68% 0.13 0.8454 -0.422
Not Using Events or Tokens 7265 45.13% 23.24 61.62% -0.347 0.1266 0.05
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3913 11.81% 50.02 79.33% 0.98 0.4127 0.76
Start of Game Growth 4973 14.96% 47.43 77.5% 0.783 0.1183 1.167
Unlimited Undo 5074 28.74% 37.96 69.39% -0.252 -0.2287 0.095
Using Tokens but Not Events 4274 33.95% 29.86 74.38% -0.155 -0.1069 0.342

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8934 15.45 7.99%
II 11386 30.45 63.92%
III 10653 34.8 89.46%
IV 4669 38.47 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.024 Win Model: 0.226
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 25657 42.35% 26.96 60.01%
2 6079 40.53% 27.99 65.82%
3 1737 35.91% 27.76 65.05%
4 1814 27.23% 36.82 78.5%
5 45 31.43% 26.09 64.44%
6 310 24.88% 26.65 67.42%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 713
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9462
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7247
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4614
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3346
Lose: Invader deck ran out 283
Lose: Adversary condition 3252
Win: Sacrifice victory 155
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6203
Lose: Spirit destroyed 367

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)