Results with Adversaries

Adversary Level Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 0 2 303 28.48% 23.54 -3.961 64.36% -1.13 -0.7473
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 1 3 326 37.85% 24.41 -0.647 56.75% -0.721 -0.3947
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 2 5 357 47.89% 31.99 0.986 54.34% -0.364 0.418
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 3 6 277 39.71% 40.05 -2.41 50.9% -1.544 -0.6017
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 4 8 101 61.39% 34.94 -2.932 44.55% -1.422 0.0247
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 5 9 45 60.0% 27.71 -6.507 24.44% -1.407 0.0129
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 6 10 454 47.31% 42.36 3.704 40.09% -0.977 1.0822
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 0 1 1224 37.72% 21.38 -1.709 69.61% 0.024 0.2461
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 1 2 1063 39.04% 25.11 -0.853 69.52% -0.119 -0.0122
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 2 4 1097 45.37% 33.76 2.143 72.2% -0.257 -0.1363
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 3 6 990 51.29% 38.91 5.905 70.81% 0.148 0.3509
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 4 7 647 44.5% 41.93 6.452 70.02% -0.049 0.2524
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 5 9 437 71.03% 40.15 4.984 50.57% -0.695 -0.1386
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 6 10 1017 58.9% 44.43 5.925 52.7% -0.907 0.5539
The Kingdom of England 0 1 1208 38.48% 19.97 -0.57 65.31% -0.083 0.2464
The Kingdom of England 1 3 929 40.39% 27.56 -0.693 64.91% -0.619 -0.3428
The Kingdom of England 2 4 952 49.47% 28.61 0.208 56.2% -0.553 0.181
The Kingdom of England 3 6 614 48.4% 33.21 -4.577 47.88% -1.353 -0.2111
The Kingdom of England 4 7 539 46.72% 37.02 0.134 47.5% -1.539 -0.3038
The Kingdom of England 5 9 278 51.64% 37.37 7.748 39.21% -0.269 1.4009
The Kingdom of England 6 11 1915 35.39% 47.57 5.977 47.62% -0.845 1.212
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 0 2 604 42.79% 23.07 -0.105 61.09% 0.025 0.5778
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 1 3 577 50.61% 24.83 -3.399 55.98% -1.468 -0.807
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 2 5 653 32.21% 21.27 -1.786 18.68% -1.876 -0.8409
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 3 7 467 29.18% 33.52 8.991 28.69% -0.448 0.922
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 4 8 191 27.75% 27.98 -2.167 20.42% -1.066 0.3799
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 5 9 175 30.29% 33.69 0.341 25.14% -0.978 0.0897
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 6 10 1135 35.16% 42.76 8.323 30.48% -0.628 0.8023
The Kingdom of Scotland 0 1 94 20.21% 17.98 -1.523 43.62% -0.439 -0.1924
The Kingdom of Scotland 1 3 119 22.69% 18.25 0.323 42.02% -0.403 0.221
The Kingdom of Scotland 2 4 107 25.23% 26.48 -1.561 46.73% -0.897 -0.3893
The Kingdom of Scotland 3 6 140 19.29% 49.93 7.553 60.0% -0.698 -0.2601
The Kingdom of Scotland 4 7 123 13.82% 49.5 5.259 45.53% -0.895 -0.0991
The Kingdom of Scotland 5 8 92 16.3% 61.51 7.61 68.48% -0.766 -0.2782
The Kingdom of Scotland 6 10 300 22.33% 58.31 10.374 61.67% -0.409 0.5614
The Kingdom of Sweden 0 1 974 40.12% 20.07 -2.754 67.76% -0.403 -0.2152
The Kingdom of Sweden 1 2 801 46.25% 23.0 0.048 64.04% -0.027 -0.0051
The Kingdom of Sweden 2 3 984 48.88% 26.36 -0.86 62.91% -0.364 -0.1841
The Kingdom of Sweden 3 5 673 56.44% 32.87 0.352 61.52% -0.618 -0.2935
The Kingdom of Sweden 4 6 420 61.93% 34.85 3.926 51.43% -0.91 -0.2086
The Kingdom of Sweden 5 7 248 63.9% 28.67 -6.685 38.31% -1.594 -0.7752
The Kingdom of Sweden 6 8 777 57.85% 40.24 3.959 51.74% -0.757 0.3238
The Tsardom of Russia 0 1 286 28.17% 20.53 -2.662 65.73% -0.578 -0.4341
The Tsardom of Russia 1 3 228 43.86% 22.27 -3.246 50.0% -0.912 -0.1009
The Tsardom of Russia 2 4 316 38.61% 31.35 -0.021 57.91% -0.611 -0.3731
The Tsardom of Russia 3 6 185 50.81% 33.94 4.096 36.22% -0.827 0.2724
The Tsardom of Russia 4 7 89 67.42% 25.1 0.0 24.72%
The Tsardom of Russia 5 9 33 63.64% 28.36 -0.908 21.21% -1.01 0.6133
The Tsardom of Russia 6 11 333 59.57% 45.11 8.935 36.04% -0.541 1.1633

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 20524 42.1 26.77 62.67% 0.203 0.2818 -0.806
1 Thematic 3773 47.33 28.94 52.05% -0.524 -0.0693 -0.967
2 Archipelago 27 38.46 28.04 74.07% 0.458 0.9627 -0.396
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3717 39.85 27.55 66.61% 0.065 0.044 -0.049
2 Coastline 510 44.67 27.27 63.14% -0.29 -0.3868 0.131
2 Fragment 84 45.24 26.54 73.81% -0.146 -0.5552 0.242
2 Heart 56 34.55 27.38 80.36% 0.303 0.1558 0.851
2 Opposite Shores 728 42.06 29.36 66.07% 0.369 0.2075 -0.691
2 Thematic 789 41.56 29.44 59.06% -0.236 0.0004 -0.653
2 Top to Top 91 42.7 32.11 69.23% 0.139 -0.0166 -0.162
3 Archipelago 5 20.0 40.2 100.0% 0.73 -0.5425
3 Coastline 9 28.57 34.33 66.67% -0.843
3 Other 42 27.03 24.29 66.67% -0.789 -1.1052 -0.195
3 Round (Default) 1452 36.5 28.21 68.11% 0.147 -0.1342 -0.332
3 Sunrise 6 83.33 22.0 50.0% -0.18
3 Thematic 184 45.6 28.6 43.48% -0.279 -0.6121 0.279
4 Archipelago 6 50.0 62.67 100.0% 0.745 0.2991 0.431
4 Coastline 6 0.0 20.5 66.67% -0.372 -1.0231 0.351
4 Leaf 1 0.0 25.0 100.0%
4 Other 57 31.58 39.3 68.42% -0.094 -0.7573 0.396
4 Thematic 426 46.56 34.35 75.12% 0.611 1.0186 -0.416
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1239 21.61 37.8 81.19% 0.599 0.8969 1.231
5 Archipelago 5 80.0 48.0 100.0% 1.006 0.9448
5 Coastline 3 0.0 29.33 100.0% -0.391
5 Other 44 19.44 26.02 72.73% -0.862 -1.4669 -0.594
5 Thematic 11 54.55 29.73 63.64% -0.493 -0.2039 -0.317
6 Archipelago 17 50.0 33.12 94.12% -0.189
6 Coastline 50 0.0 27.82 100.0%
6 Other 66 42.86 35.18 60.61% -0.306
6 Star 25 40.0 26.24 32.0% -0.48
6 Thematic 16 50.0 26.38 50.0% -0.15 -0.1588 0.682
6 Two Centers (Default) 94 7.02 24.61 84.04% -0.718 -0.807 -0.408
7 Archipelago 1 0.0 0.0 0.0% -0.811 0.0667
7 Other 1 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.704

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 567 23.07 43.39% 0.709 0.904 -0.181
Aid From Lesser Spirits 670 21.94 33.28% -0.247 -0.2554 -0.443
All Things Weaken 310 25.17 40.0% -0.419 -0.066 -0.345
Attenuated Essence 48 22.44 56.25% -0.222 -0.0704 -0.825
Back Against the Wall 640 23.09 33.59% -1.348 -1.2551 -0.277
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 68 30.69 55.88% 0.005 0.2231 0.252
Burn Brightest Before the End 48 25.56 45.83% 0.073 0.251 -0.392
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1031 20.65 38.31% -0.823 -0.4343 -0.718
Downward Spiral 2704 21.31 48.41% 0.158 0.3502 -0.506
Erosion of Will 555 22.42 40.72% -0.38 -0.0788 -0.343
Intensifying Exploitation 63 22.13 44.44% 0.231 0.5174 -1.479
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 270 31.08 72.96% 0.082 -0.4789 -0.08
Memory Fades to Dust 2744 19.68 41.8% -0.301 0.028 -0.592
Power Corrodes the Spirit 650 25.26 44.31% -0.328 -0.0191 -0.492
Promising Farmlands 1054 23.25 42.6% 0.168 0.5287 -0.156
Shattered Fragments of Power 48 24.27 27.08% 0.03 0.1735 -0.94
Slow Dissolution of Will 35 27.74 40.0% -1.271 -0.8188 0.047
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 157 31.39 82.8% 1.493 0.9368 0.899
The Border of Life and Death 20 31.45 65.0% -0.132 -0.4265 0.757
Thriving Communities 655 25.68 44.43% 0.473 0.8011 -0.291
Thriving Crops 33 35.15 72.73% 1.102 1.0586 1.397
Tipping Point 254 22.98 41.73% -0.27
Unnatural Proliferation 454 28.17 45.81% 0.703 0.8903 -0.371
Untended Land Crumbles 637 24.33 44.58% -0.076 0.2539 -0.367

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 6973 40.58% 27.13 64.98% -0.524 0.3707 -0.4
B 7048 38.81% 28.27 66.8% -0.478 0.3436 -0.239
C 7226 39.03% 28.38 66.07% -0.579 0.0909 -0.176
D 6622 38.11% 28.13 65.43% -0.491 0.3373 -0.305
E 3073 36.08% 30.63 67.26% -0.227 0.4662 -0.509
F 4214 38.49% 28.84 67.73% -0.405 0.3734 -0.303
G 3720 35.82% 29.54 68.68% -0.56 0.2045 -0.16
H 3848 36.24% 30.28 70.09% -0.413 0.3448 -0.317
East 3169 44.05% 30.69 58.91% -0.593 0.2536 -0.237
Northeast 1832 45.56% 31.36 61.14% 0.051 0.7261 -0.042
Northwest 1385 44.02% 31.06 60.43% -0.327 0.4874 -0.283
Southeast 594 42.42% 27.21 55.05% -0.788 -0.102 -0.577
Southwest 619 46.93% 26.19 56.7% -0.191 1.1859 -0.178
West 2824 46.37% 28.92 55.21% -0.907 0.0505 -1.127

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 976 0.0% 25.51 73.26% -0.061 0.7782 -0.388
Not Using Events or Tokens 6961 45.8% 23.63 62.71% -0.391 0.0583 -0.032
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3642 12.17% 49.32 80.7% 0.68 0.1122 0.911
Start of Game Growth 4685 15.46% 46.85 78.51% 1.713 1.1924 1.099
Unlimited Undo 4780 29.9% 37.19 70.33% -0.497 -0.4585 0.112
Using Tokens but Not Events 4153 34.06% 30.2 75.25% -0.416 -0.4489 0.286

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8228 16.17 8.47%
II 10990 30.54 64.0%
III 10350 34.77 89.41%
IV 4528 38.39 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 1.19 Win Model: 0.768
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 24570 42.92% 27.06 60.79%
2 5827 40.91% 28.23 66.36%
3 1649 36.58% 28.35 66.4%
4 1743 28.09% 37.0 79.58%
5 40 30.0% 27.23 67.5%
6 267 26.38% 28.65 75.28%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 696
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9190
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 7004
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4477
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2780
Lose: Invader deck ran out 278
Lose: Adversary condition 3120
Win: Sacrifice victory 146
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6046
Lose: Spirit destroyed 359

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-03-16 05:27:44 (Pacific Time)