Results with Adversaries

Adversary Level Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Score Model Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 0 2 301 28.33% 23.7 -3.892 64.78% -1.171 -0.7262
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 1 3 324 37.77% 24.4 -1.801 56.79% -1.043 -0.7354
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 2 5 356 48.02% 32.08 1.345 54.49% -0.393 0.3819
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 3 6 276 39.86% 39.88 -3.482 50.72% -1.855 -0.8877
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 4 8 101 61.39% 34.94 -2.889 44.55% -1.412 0.014
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 5 9 45 60.0% 27.71 0.069 24.44% -1.112 0.324
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony) 6 10 454 47.31% 42.36 1.532 40.09% -1.355 0.741
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 0 1 1217 37.91% 21.47 -1.12 69.93% 0.23 0.4696
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 1 2 1061 39.02% 25.14 -0.678 69.65% -0.129 -0.0132
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 2 4 1092 45.3% 33.79 2.85 72.25% -0.279 -0.1704
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 3 6 988 51.39% 38.94 4.973 70.85% 0.039 0.2613
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 4 7 647 44.5% 41.93 5.736 70.02% -0.07 0.2188
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 5 9 437 71.03% 40.15 6.046 50.57% -0.584 0.0101
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia 6 10 1011 58.85% 44.54 7.103 52.92% -0.847 0.639
The Kingdom of England 0 1 1200 38.57% 20.03 -0.344 65.5% -0.051 0.2769
The Kingdom of England 1 3 923 40.55% 27.64 -0.352 65.11% -0.673 -0.3697
The Kingdom of England 2 4 948 49.68% 28.64 0.035 56.22% -0.621 0.1067
The Kingdom of England 3 6 614 48.4% 33.21 -3.97 47.88% -1.299 -0.1036
The Kingdom of England 4 7 532 47.15% 37.47 3.165 48.12% -1.204 0.0132
The Kingdom of England 5 9 275 51.84% 37.06 5.454 38.91% -0.757 0.9154
The Kingdom of England 6 11 1899 35.64% 47.48 6.192 47.45% -0.881 1.1791
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 0 2 601 42.83% 23.05 -1.001 61.06% -0.312 0.2425
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 1 3 572 50.18% 24.9 -3.635 56.29% -1.268 -0.5863
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 2 5 652 32.26% 21.23 -3.029 18.56% -2.341 -1.2392
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 3 7 465 29.31% 33.4 9.579 28.6% -0.361 1.0309
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 4 8 190 27.37% 28.03 -4.148 20.53% -0.978 0.4884
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 5 9 175 30.29% 33.69 -0.95 25.14% -1.146 -0.0749
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony) 6 10 1131 35.2% 42.82 10.667 30.5% -0.552 0.8683
The Kingdom of Scotland 0 1 94 20.21% 17.98 -1.023 43.62% -0.451 -0.2053
The Kingdom of Scotland 1 3 115 20.87% 17.87 -0.254 40.87% -0.59 0.0409
The Kingdom of Scotland 2 4 104 25.96% 27.24 -0.027 48.08% -0.85 -0.3884
The Kingdom of Scotland 3 6 139 19.42% 49.93 6.01 59.71% -1.006 -0.5403
The Kingdom of Scotland 4 7 118 14.41% 48.69 3.908 44.92% -0.96 -0.1595
The Kingdom of Scotland 5 8 91 15.38% 61.11 6.327 68.13% -0.859 -0.2952
The Kingdom of Scotland 6 10 294 22.11% 58.3 11.571 61.9% -0.285 0.682
The Kingdom of Sweden 0 1 972 40.21% 20.11 -2.23 67.9% -0.256 -0.0518
The Kingdom of Sweden 1 2 801 46.25% 23.0 -0.426 64.04% -0.18 -0.144
The Kingdom of Sweden 2 3 978 49.18% 26.42 -1.144 62.99% -0.54 -0.3264
The Kingdom of Sweden 3 5 671 56.61% 32.9 1.227 61.55% -0.667 -0.3075
The Kingdom of Sweden 4 6 418 61.99% 34.97 5.562 51.67% -0.755 -0.0573
The Kingdom of Sweden 5 7 247 63.75% 28.7 -6.837 38.46% -1.471 -0.6745
The Kingdom of Sweden 6 8 776 57.93% 40.22 4.459 51.68% -0.7 0.4062
The Tsardom of Russia 0 1 275 28.94% 20.99 -3.307 67.64% -0.696 -0.5263
The Tsardom of Russia 1 3 228 43.86% 22.27 -2.847 50.0% -0.999 -0.1595
The Tsardom of Russia 2 4 315 38.41% 31.45 0.014 58.1% -0.707 -0.4877
The Tsardom of Russia 3 6 184 51.09% 33.64 3.976 35.87% -0.941 0.1548
The Tsardom of Russia 4 7 89 67.42% 25.1 0.0 24.72%
The Tsardom of Russia 5 9 33 63.64% 28.36 -0.395 21.21% -1.033 0.6343
The Tsardom of Russia 6 11 327 59.44% 45.46 12.381 36.39% -0.256 1.4121

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 20450 42.14 26.78 62.74% 0.513 0.5439 -0.804
1 Thematic 3763 47.43 28.97 52.09% -0.315 0.1172 -0.963
2 Archipelago 27 38.46 28.04 74.07% 0.481 0.9737 -0.386
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 3691 39.97 27.62 66.73% 0.175 0.1261 -0.039
2 Coastline 506 44.83 27.45 63.64% -0.392 -0.4924 0.116
2 Fragment 84 45.24 26.54 73.81% -0.486 -0.8992 0.235
2 Heart 56 34.55 27.38 80.36% 0.257 0.1675 0.854
2 Opposite Shores 726 42.18 29.41 66.12% 0.471 0.2913 -0.691
2 Thematic 783 41.49 29.48 59.26% -0.159 0.0274 -0.683
2 Top to Top 90 42.05 32.28 68.89% -0.273 -0.4725 -0.157
3 Archipelago 5 20.0 40.2 100.0% 0.586 -0.5345
3 Coastline 9 28.57 34.33 66.67% -0.839
3 Other 41 27.78 24.88 68.29% -0.202
3 Round (Default) 1441 36.29 28.24 68.22% 0.024 -0.2418 -0.286
3 Sunrise 6 83.33 22.0 50.0% -0.181
3 Thematic 183 45.86 28.52 43.17% -0.317 -0.7635 0.27
4 Archipelago 6 50.0 62.67 100.0% 0.715 0.1577 0.458
4 Coastline 6 0.0 20.5 66.67% -0.361 -0.9789 0.36
4 Leaf 1 0.0 25.0 100.0%
4 Other 56 30.36 39.89 69.64% -0.627 -1.3641 0.381
4 Thematic 426 46.56 34.35 75.12% 0.585 0.7889 -0.429
4 Trapezoid (Default) 1231 21.67 37.65 81.15% 0.276 0.6164 1.187
5 Archipelago 5 80.0 48.0 100.0% 0.985 0.9844
5 Coastline 3 0.0 29.33 100.0% -0.38
5 Other 43 17.14 26.19 74.42% -0.766 -1.4874 -0.595
5 Thematic 11 54.55 29.73 63.64% -0.585 -0.4251 -0.327
6 Archipelago 17 50.0 33.12 94.12% -0.195
6 Coastline 50 0.0 27.82 100.0%
6 Other 66 42.86 35.18 60.61% -0.308
6 Star 25 40.0 26.24 32.0% -0.512
6 Thematic 16 50.0 26.38 50.0% -0.165 -0.1399 0.702
6 Two Centers (Default) 93 7.14 24.87 84.95% -0.356 -0.2583 -0.371
7 Archipelago 1 0.0 0.0 0.0% -0.875 -0.3482
7 Other 1 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.699

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 565 23.11 43.54% 0.935 1.0738 -0.186
Aid From Lesser Spirits 667 21.99 33.28% -0.317 -0.3764 -0.445
All Things Weaken 310 25.17 40.0% -0.624 -0.2698 -0.344
Attenuated Essence 47 22.62 55.32% -0.66 -0.5495 -0.83
Back Against the Wall 638 23.09 33.7% -1.21 -1.1342 -0.253
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 65 30.09 53.85% -0.704 -0.4928 0.111
Burn Brightest Before the End 47 25.89 46.81% 0.53 0.6507 -0.41
Disintegrating Ecosystem 1031 20.65 38.31% -1.017 -0.6483 -0.717
Downward Spiral 2696 21.29 48.44% 0.201 0.3974 -0.501
Erosion of Will 552 22.45 40.94% -0.002 0.265 -0.308
Intensifying Exploitation 63 22.13 44.44% 0.525 0.7952 -1.48
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 270 31.08 72.96% 0.134 -0.3771 -0.081
Memory Fades to Dust 2739 19.69 41.84% -0.181 0.1306 -0.59
Power Corrodes the Spirit 648 25.27 44.29% -0.577 -0.2823 -0.498
Promising Farmlands 1051 23.21 42.53% 0.301 0.637 -0.166
Shattered Fragments of Power 47 24.53 27.66% 0.166 0.2751 -0.938
Slow Dissolution of Will 34 28.56 41.18% -1.27 -0.8699 0.139
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 154 31.47 82.47% 1.321 0.7082 0.901
The Border of Life and Death 19 32.0 63.16% -0.607 -0.8998 0.76
Thriving Communities 654 25.72 44.5% 0.781 1.1134 -0.29
Thriving Crops 33 35.15 72.73% 0.896 0.8089 1.391
Tipping Point 254 22.98 41.73% -0.271
Unnatural Proliferation 452 28.13 45.8% 0.613 0.7609 -0.436
Untended Land Crumbles 635 24.3 44.57% 0.134 0.441 -0.349

Results Using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 6929 40.68% 27.12 65.06% -0.69 0.2145 -0.401
B 7011 38.83% 28.3 66.88% -0.608 0.2207 -0.229
C 7186 39.02% 28.39 66.24% -0.566 0.1146 -0.169
D 6589 38.15% 28.14 65.52% -0.604 0.2497 -0.314
E 3053 36.15% 30.64 67.34% -0.151 0.5506 -0.5
F 4200 38.5% 28.86 67.79% -0.46 0.3209 -0.296
G 3707 35.84% 29.54 68.71% -0.689 0.0829 -0.161
H 3827 36.22% 30.33 70.21% -0.539 0.2295 -0.326
East 3157 44.09% 30.72 58.98% -0.733 0.1292 -0.23
Northeast 1826 45.66% 31.39 61.17% -0.057 0.6903 -0.039
Northwest 1383 44.01% 31.08 60.45% -0.34 0.4933 -0.286
Southeast 592 42.23% 27.11 55.07% -0.882 -0.1068 -0.613
Southwest 616 46.83% 26.14 56.82% 0.009 1.3283 -0.203
West 2813 46.44% 28.94 55.24% -1.158 -0.1522 -1.117

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 975 0.0% 25.53 73.33% 0.109 0.9397 -0.388
Not Using Events or Tokens 6931 45.88% 23.6 62.75% -0.494 -0.0526 -0.037
Skip Initial Invader Actions 3628 12.19% 49.26 80.76% 0.555 -0.007 0.912
Start of Game Growth 4670 15.49% 46.8 78.54% 1.671 1.1325 1.103
Unlimited Undo 4765 30.01% 37.15 70.41% -0.385 -0.3441 0.111
Using Tokens but Not Events 4140 34.15% 30.23 75.29% -0.412 -0.4356 0.275

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 8165 16.23 8.51%
II 10963 30.54 64.04%
III 10309 34.77 89.42%
IV 4512 38.37 100.0%

Number of Players

Score Model: 1.247 Win Model: 1.036
Num. Completed Blight Flipped Average Score Win Rate
1 24483 42.98% 27.07 60.85%
2 5791 40.97% 28.29 66.52%
3 1635 36.4% 28.38 66.48%
4 1735 28.17% 36.91 79.6%
5 38 28.57% 28.16 71.05%
6 267 26.38% 28.65 75.28%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 694
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 9154
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 6991
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 4461
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2729
Lose: Invader deck ran out 278
Lose: Adversary condition 3114
Win: Sacrifice victory 146
Lose: Blight pool ran out 6025
Lose: Spirit destroyed 357

Notes

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity.

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. model.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)