Spirit Island Digital

Detailed Statistics:
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous

Games Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
1468	49.76%	31.52	75.48%

Results vs. Adversaries

Adversary	Level	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Score Model	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential
No Adversary	—	0	654	31.83%	22.72	0.000	90.21%	0.000	0.0000
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	0	2	16	37.5%	31.94	-0.622	81.25%	-0.192	0.3214
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	1	3	13	30.77%	34.69	2.511	69.23%	-0.288	0.1819
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	2	5	10	80.0%	37.3	4.14	70.0%	-0.24	0.7373
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	3	6	6	83.33%	36.83	1.895	66.67%	-0.203	1.1193
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	4	8	8	62.5%	50.25	7.99	62.5%	-0.18	1.5406
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	5	9	4	100.0%	44.75	-4.113	50.0%	-0.589	0.7874
The Habsburg Monarchy (Livestock Colony)	6	10	12	91.67%	38.5	9.399	33.33%	-0.381	1.7939
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	0	1	26	30.77%	28.92	-1.154	96.15%	0.482	0.6577
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	1	2	31	51.61%	35.84	2.272	96.77%	0.677	0.4019
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	2	4	50	48.0%	41.06	3.529	84.0%	-0.128	0.121
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	3	6	47	53.19%	47.04	6.979	80.85%	-0.139	0.3284
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	4	7	39	61.54%	44.33	3.745	71.79%	-0.839	-0.3471
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	5	9	7	42.86%	58.57	9.423	71.43%	-0.058	1.263
The Kingdom of Brandenburg-Prussia	6	10	32	90.63%	42.03	5.966	46.88%	-0.917	0.5781
The Kingdom of England	0	1	19	26.32%	30.21	1.69	89.47%	0.899	1.3928
The Kingdom of England	1	3	12	50.0%	43.08	4.8	83.33%	0.368	1.1174
The Kingdom of England	2	4	5	60.0%	24.8	-8.524	40.0%	-1.05	0.085
The Kingdom of England	3	6	13	69.23%	26.77	-2.242	30.77%	-1.558	0.1304
The Kingdom of England	4	7	11	90.91%	34.27	3.568	45.45%	-0.255	1.3042
The Kingdom of England	5	9	1	100.0%	25.0	0.0	0.0%	0.0	2.0917
The Kingdom of England	6	11	11	100.0%	44.64	14.659	45.45%	0.19	2.7281
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	0	2	10	20.0%	33.8	-3.359	60.0%	-1.356	-0.6152
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	1	3	9	77.78%	24.56	2.102	44.44%	-0.058	0.8568
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	2	5	17	76.47%	32.88	-2.64	47.06%	-1.803	0.5068
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	3	7	12	75.0%	35.33	4.821	33.33%	-1.194	1.0919
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	4	8	14	78.57%	37.57	16.092	35.71%	0.417	2.8052
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	5	9	13	76.92%	32.46	-2.684	15.38%	-2.497	-0.5791
The Kingdom of France (Plantation Colony)	6	10	62	51.61%	57.48	9.087	50.0%	-1.468	0.6874
The Kingdom of Scotland	0	1	34	32.35%	29.26	-0.518	85.29%	-0.056	0.075
The Kingdom of Scotland	1	3	33	45.45%	32.42	-2.258	72.73%	-0.619	0.3456
The Kingdom of Scotland	2	4	22	59.09%	38.0	3.978	86.36%	0.391	1.3965
The Kingdom of Scotland	3	6	28	71.43%	37.14	2.961	57.14%	-0.905	-0.0521
The Kingdom of Scotland	4	7	16	87.5%	40.5	4.617	62.5%	-0.332	1.0166
The Kingdom of Scotland	5	8	7	85.71%	35.0	1.476	42.86%	-0.424	0.818
The Kingdom of Scotland	6	10	53	90.57%	38.21	8.682	32.08%	-0.716	0.7586
The Kingdom of Sweden	0	1	19	42.11%	32.32	-1.035	94.74%	0.669	0.8691
The Kingdom of Sweden	1	2	3	33.33%	36.0	3.298	100.0%	0.27	0.421
The Kingdom of Sweden	2	3	13	53.85%	37.54	5.138	76.92%	0.478	0.8176
The Kingdom of Sweden	3	5	9	55.56%	41.89	-5.935	77.78%	-0.407	-0.0513
The Kingdom of Sweden	4	6	9	88.89%	42.67	7.82	88.89%	0.938	1.7123
The Kingdom of Sweden	5	7	1	100.0%	55.0	11.538	100.0%	0.072	0.8319
The Kingdom of Sweden	6	8	48	91.67%	36.31	3.779	39.58%	-0.541	0.6254
The Tsardom of Russia	0	1	11	36.36%	38.09	-1.317	72.73%	-0.14	-0.4191
The Tsardom of Russia	1	3	14	71.43%	32.79	0.778	71.43%	-0.014	0.9363
The Tsardom of Russia	2	4	5	60.0%	44.6	5.984	100.0%	0.366	0.705
The Tsardom of Russia	3	6	8	87.5%	41.5	6.296	62.5%	-0.194	0.8067
The Tsardom of Russia	4	7	8	75.0%	41.75	-0.705	50.0%	-1.2	-0.005
The Tsardom of Russia	5	9	1	100.0%	63.0	0.0	100.0%	0.0	1.8813
The Tsardom of Russia	6	11	17	88.24%	46.41	14.355	35.29%	-0.545	1.2732

Results in Scenarios

Scenario	Difficulty	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits	0	33	69.7%	23.12	45.45%	-1.342	-0.9015	0.0
Blitz	0	12	18.18%	30.58	91.67%	0.099	0.3555	0.0
Dahan Insurrection	4	27	33.33%	77.41	81.48%	-0.013	0.2893	0.488
Despicable Theft	2	6	50.0%	33.67	66.67%	0.486	1.031	-0.219
Elemental Invocation	1	7	71.43%	45.43	57.14%	0.413	1.0241	0.15
Guard the Isle's Heart	0	77	18.18%	42.1	84.42%	-0.364	-0.1699	0.774
Powers Long Forgotten	1	6	0.0%	49.83	100.0%	0.31	0.5553	0.498
Rituals of Terror	3	3	66.67%	41.67	33.33%	0.0	-0.8362	-0.125
Rituals of the Destroying Flame	3	1	100.0%	20.0	0.0%	0.0	0.5254	-0.208
Second Wave	0	25	64.0%	29.2	72.0%	-0.967	-0.3943	0.0
The Great River	3	1	0.0%	32.0	100.0%	0.0	1.6389	0.0
Varied Terrains	2	15	66.67%	33.93	73.33%	0.429	1.1742	-0.424
Ward the Shores	2	12	75.0%	36.33	58.33%	-0.25	0.8047	0.579

Results using Layouts

# Boards	Layout	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
1	Single Board	809	53.55%	29.92	72.93%	-0.122	0.3239	-0.207
1	Thematic	16	62.5%	31.88	56.25%	-0.568	0.064	0.097
2	Archipelago	2	0.0%	39.0	100.0%	0.0	0.0128	0.0
2	Bottom to Bottom (Default)	211	55.34%	30.99	72.04%	-0.474	-0.1291	0.002
2	Coastline	21	23.81%	34.43	95.24%	0.68	0.7628	-0.275
2	Fragment	4	75.0%	28.25	100.0%	0.222	0.3098	0.0
2	Heart	6	83.33%	32.83	83.33%	0.187	0.7986	0.0
2	Opposite Shores	71	49.3%	25.83	84.51%	0.097	0.4753	-0.244
2	Thematic	8	75.0%	44.88	62.5%	-0.788	-0.2711	0.411
2	Top to Top	7	14.29%	27.14	85.71%	0.44	0.5793	-0.413
3	Archipelago	3	0.0%	50.0	100.0%	0.0	-0.9775	0.0
3	Coastline	6	16.67%	26.67	83.33%	0.224	-0.4246	0.0
3	Other	12	0.0%	25.83	91.67%	0.359	-0.7125	-0.344
3	Round (Default)	126	46.4%	31.32	80.16%	-0.006	0.186	0.904
3	Thematic	2	100.0%	39.0	100.0%	0.238	-0.0071	0.0
4	Archipelago	3	33.33%	19.0	33.33%	-0.601	-1.0033	0.0
4	Coastline	1	0.0%	31.0	100.0%	0.0	0.1977	0.0
4	Other	6	16.67%	20.5	100.0%	0.165	-0.3756	0.0
4	Thematic	4	50.0%	38.25	75.0%	0.104	0.11	0.0
4	Trapezoid (Default)	76	28.95%	46.75	85.53%	0.045	-0.0963	0.513
5	Archipelago	1	100.0%	34.0	100.0%	0.103	-0.2138	0.0
5	Other	4	50.0%	23.75	75.0%	0.137	-0.038	-0.336
6	Other	23	52.17%	40.0	60.87%	0.291	0.9879	-0.379
6	Star	6	33.33%	38.33	66.67%	-0.481	0.0518	-0.184
6	Thematic	21	33.33%	49.52	76.19%	-0.48	0.0183	-0.112
6	Two Centers (Default)	18	23.53%	33.67	100.0%	0.264	0.4895	0.557
7	Other	1	0.0%	39.0	100.0%	0.0	-0.7715	0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land	58	31.55	62.07%	-1.076	0.8337	0.037
Aid From Lesser Spirits	51	37.8	72.55%	0.168	1.8532	0.441
All Things Weaken	37	24.62	48.65%	-1.188	0.8119	-0.772
Back Against the Wall	48	34.65	50.0%	-1.208	0.7398	0.165
Disintegrating Ecosystem	47	26.32	48.94%	-1.092	0.973	-0.448
Downward Spiral	67	30.19	61.19%	-1.21	0.7528	0.084
Erosion of Will	48	30.38	50.0%	-1.367	0.7407	-0.392
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking	23	33.7	82.61%	0.296	0.9126	0.742
Memory Fades to Dust	65	26.05	55.38%	-0.992	1.0654	-0.022
Power Corrodes the Spirit	47	31.19	53.19%	-1.09	0.889	-0.272
Promising Farmlands	39	28.21	48.72%	-0.801	1.3007	-0.593
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly	10	40.4	80.0%	0.679	1.0086	0.453
Thriving Communities	70	25.94	57.14%	-1.279	0.7705	-0.791
Unnatural Proliferation	67	31.22	55.22%	-1.172	0.7717	-0.184
Untended Land Crumbles	47	29.11	57.45%	-1.089	0.9376	0.152

Results using Boards

Board	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A	334	43.03%	32.26	78.44%	0.238	0.9976	0.381
B	349	43.1%	31.88	76.5%	-0.259	0.4172	0.135
C	390	46.63%	32.45	78.97%	0.326	0.8516	0.023
D	346	42.35%	33.59	80.92%	0.262	0.9889	0.898
E	345	52.05%	31.8	73.04%	-0.04	0.5204	-0.992
F	261	49.42%	34.9	77.39%	0.911	1.6007	0.014
G	271	48.13%	33.28	77.12%	-0.403	0.2922	0.145
H	255	39.92%	33.31	79.22%	0.495	1.1554	-1.013
East	43	51.16%	43.26	69.77%	-0.134	0.545	0.0
Northeast	34	44.12%	44.21	70.59%	-0.126	0.4438	0.0
Northwest	31	41.94%	45.74	74.19%	-0.827	0.0149	0.429
Southeast	29	44.83%	47.31	75.86%	-0.371	0.1552	0.075
Southwest	25	44.0%	48.76	76.0%	0.238	1.1796	-0.208
West	39	48.72%	45.21	71.79%	-0.274	0.726	0.101

Results Using Options

Option	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card	13	0.0%	16.92	61.54%	-1.671	0.4479	0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens	29	28.57%	21.17	75.86%	-0.124	0.117	0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions	30	4.0%	31.1	93.33%	-0.192	-0.5613	0.0
Start of Game Growth	54	20.83%	40.46	90.74%	0.129	-0.4939	-0.112
Unlimited Undo	93	40.23%	35.41	83.87%	0.23	-0.4007	-0.033
Using Tokens but Not Events	139	40.3%	23.81	82.73%	-0.24	-0.1967	0.243

Results With Allies

Option	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Model	Differential	Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green	68	100.0%	35.09	100.0%	0.546	0.4981	0.569
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares	11	100.0%	32.27	100.0%	-0.08	-0.0162	0.0
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot	26	100.0%	37.0	100.0%	0.006	-0.2324	-0.522
Downpour Drenches the World	71	100.0%	31.82	100.0%	0.488	0.8793	0.332
Eyes Watch From the Trees	27	100.0%	37.15	100.0%	0.96	0.5453	0.262
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp	28	100.0%	36.89	100.0%	-0.463	-1.0572	0.36
Finder of Paths Unseen	40	100.0%	32.55	100.0%	0.21	0.6148	0.703
Fractured Days Split the Sky	16	100.0%	29.94	100.0%	0.282	0.3241	-0.03
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble	28	100.0%	45.86	100.0%	0.202	0.1849	0.645
Heart of the Wildfire	18	100.0%	28.17	100.0%	-0.842	-0.5135	-0.569
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds	74	100.0%	39.74	100.0%	0.999	0.3649	0.124
Lightning's Swift Strike	14	535.71%	31.43	157.14%	-0.547	-0.2739	-0.144
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense	74	40.54%	33.01	91.89%	0.467	-0.3653	-0.166
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium	14	35.71%	35.86	92.86%	0.836	0.2637	0.272
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind	9	11.11%	30.0	88.89%	-0.122	-0.5469	0.0
Lure of the Deep Wilderness	59	100.0%	40.2	100.0%	-0.091	-0.2977	-0.361
Many Minds Move as One	15	100.0%	33.93	100.0%	-0.301	-0.8131	-0.389
Ocean's Hungry Grasp	53	100.0%	54.47	100.0%	0.474	0.1909	0.79
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand	38	100.0%	40.0	100.0%	0.604	0.6365	0.256
River Surges in Sunlight	22	472.73%	33.68	222.73%	0.706	0.7121	0.083
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine	10	40.0%	32.5	90.0%	-0.282	0.1627	0.1
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel	129	41.09%	38.53	79.84%	-0.135	-0.3785	-0.378
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island	27	100.0%	35.78	100.0%	-0.405	-0.5487	-0.062
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves	20	100.0%	52.55	100.0%	0.138	-0.1242	-0.387
Shifting Memory of Ages	24	100.0%	34.5	100.0%	0.157	0.1792	-0.749
Shroud of Silent Mist	17	100.0%	26.35	100.0%	-0.391	-0.1462	-0.649
Starlight Seeks its Form	45	100.0%	34.47	100.0%	-0.761	-0.9732	0.291
Stone's Unyielding Defiance	43	100.0%	35.42	100.0%	-0.277	-0.4467	0.286
Sun-Bright Whirlwind	28	100.0%	29.79	100.0%	-0.943	-0.832	-0.651
Thunderspeaker	25	100.0%	46.56	100.0%	0.579	0.4839	0.679
Vengeance as a Burning Plague	20	100.0%	36.65	100.0%	-0.844	-0.9416	-0.027
Vital Strength of the Earth	13	584.62%	16.54	246.15%	-0.524	0.3587	0.0
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might	81	30.86%	30.46	86.42%	0.145	0.5456	-0.625
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience	19	63.16%	32.32	57.89%	-0.374	0.6681	0.0
Volcano Looming High	48	100.0%	30.65	100.0%	-0.326	-0.341	0.152

Minor Power Cards

Power Card	Kept	Average Difficulty	Average Score	Win Rate
Absorb Corruption	15	2.6	22.2	60.0%
Animated Wrackroot	109	3.89	35.083	82.57%
Bats Scout for Raids by Darkness	46	3.957	34.457	78.26%
Birds Cry Warning	21	4.286	32.571	71.43%
Blood Draws Predators	15	4.133	31.2	66.67%
Call of the Dahan Ways	111	2.982	31.18	78.38%
Call To Bloodshed	30	2.867	31.567	80.0%
Call to Ferocity	33	3.788	35.97	84.85%
Call to Guard	69	3.058	31.0	73.91%
Call To Isolation	44	4.864	33.068	70.45%
Call To Migrate	29	3.345	35.966	82.76%
Call To Tend	7	4.286	42.571	100.0%
Call to Trade	9	4.667	33.667	77.78%
Carapaced Land	59	2.932	29.0	81.36%
Confounding Mists	65	2.831	26.292	69.23%
Cycles of Time and Tide	68	4.382	33.0	72.06%
Dark and Tangled Woods	100	2.71	29.46	77.0%
Delusions of Danger	42	2.833	29.571	83.33%
Dessicating Winds	23	1.913	29.478	91.3%
Devouring Ants	5	1.8	21.0	80.0%
Dire Metamorphosis	13	4.077	34.077	84.62%
Disorienting Landscape	56	3.429	34.429	82.14%
Domesticated Animals Go Berserk	164	3.329	32.591	81.71%
Drift Down Into Slumber	59	3.305	28.78	76.27%
Drought	2	7.0	31.5	50.0%
Dry Wood Explodes In Smoldering Splinters	24	1.5	32.292	100.0%
Elemental Boon	62	3.242	34.565	88.71%
Elusive Ambushes	63	2.762	31.413	84.13%
Encompassing Ward	31	2.0	24.548	70.97%
Enticing Splendor	42	3.738	32.19	80.95%
Entrancing Apparitions	76	2.382	30.737	85.53%
Entrap the Forces of Corruption	10	3.4	28.2	70.0%
Favor of the Sun and Star-Lit Dark	74	2.865	31.243	82.43%
Fire in the Sky	84	2.738	29.214	76.19%
Fleshrot Fever	17	2.824	31.471	82.35%
Flow Downriver, Blow Downwind	5	2.8	27.4	80.0%
Gift of Constancy	52	3.788	34.135	82.69%
Gift of Living Energy	29	3.552	31.621	79.31%
Gift of Nature's Connection	52	3.615	30.962	80.77%
Gift of Power	59	2.983	32.763	88.14%
Gift of Twinned Days	46	3.196	33.609	86.96%
Gnawing Rootbiters	11	3.182	27.727	63.64%
Gold's Allure	29	2.69	26.931	72.41%
Guardian Serpents	88	4.227	33.0	76.14%
Haunted by Primal Memories	113	3.77	34.097	82.3%
Hazards Spread Across the Island	44	4.386	38.614	84.09%
Here There be Monsters	60	3.817	31.467	75.0%
Infested Aquifers	14	4.429	31.786	64.29%
Inflame the Fires of Life	106	3.443	35.821	88.68%
Land of Haunts and Embers	101	3.257	30.614	73.27%
Like Calls to Like	2	3.5	37.5	100.0%
Lure of the Unknown	153	3.876	34.111	81.05%
Mesmerized Tranquility	41	4.951	36.073	73.17%
Nature's Resilience	98	2.745	27.571	74.49%
Pact of the Joined Hunt	20	3.8	35.45	85.0%
Poisoned Dew	10	2.3	30.4	80.0%
Portents of Disaster	62	3.71	34.839	85.48%
Promises of Protection	32	5.25	33.563	65.63%
Prowling Panthers	70	2.9	32.243	85.71%
Pull Beneath the Hungry Earth	22	1.545	26.136	86.36%
Purifying Flame	29	2.172	26.586	75.86%
Quicken the Earth's Struggles	197	3.635	33.69	82.23%
Rain of Blood	20	3.45	33.45	80.0%
Razor-Sharp Undergrowth	35	3.229	38.743	94.29%
Reaching Grasp	9	3.0	33.444	100.0%
Renewing Boon	13	3.538	31.077	76.92%
Renewing Rain	11	4.273	34.091	81.82%
Rites of the Land's Rejection	114	3.675	33.351	78.95%
Roiling Bog and Snagging Thorn	134	3.097	32.627	85.07%
Rouse the Trees and Stones	28	3.0	32.036	82.14%
Sap the Strength of Multitudes	95	3.537	28.421	68.42%
Savage Mawbeasts	17	3.059	30.235	82.35%
Scour the Land	8	3.5	23.75	62.5%
Scream Disease Into the Wind	9	4.0	29.222	55.56%
Sear Anger into the Wild Lands	17	1.765	25.059	88.24%
Set Them on an Ever-Twisting Trail	19	2.0	29.158	89.47%
Shadows of the Burning Forest	157	4.045	35.962	79.62%
Skies Herald the Season of Return	37	4.946	34.378	70.27%
Sky Stretches to Shore	31	3.581	31.581	74.19%
Song of Sanctity	4	3.25	33.75	100.0%
Spur On with Words of Fire	49	4.061	35.694	85.71%
Steam Vents	44	2.205	29.909	86.36%
Strong and Constant Currents	12	5.833	42.167	75.0%
Sucking Ooze	34	3.559	32.676	79.41%
Sunset's Fire Flows Across the Land	69	3.116	31.841	82.61%
Swarming Wasps	45	3.289	31.267	82.22%
Teeming Rivers	17	2.765	30.0	82.35%
Territorial Strife	27	3.963	28.963	70.37%
Terror Turns to Madness	50	3.32	33.1	86.0%
The Shore Seethes with Hatred	15	5.2	35.933	73.33%
Thriving Chokefungus	19	3.579	37.105	89.47%
Tormenting Rotflies	5	3.8	27.0	60.0%
Treacherous Waterways	21	4.762	40.524	85.71%
Twilight Fog Brings Madness	42	3.452	31.69	76.19%
Uncanny Melting	24	4.458	38.667	79.17%
Unquenchable Flames	123	3.228	31.163	80.49%
Veil the Night's Hunt	107	3.262	32.29	81.31%
Visions of Fiery Doom	144	3.271	33.188	85.42%
Voracious Growth	6	3.5	44.0	100.0%
Weep for What is Lost	16	4.875	36.625	75.0%

Major Power Cards

Power Card	Kept	Average Difficulty	Average Score	Win Rate
Accelerated Rot	9	1.889	30.0	77.78%
Angry Bears	14	1.357	27.429	92.86%
Bargains of Power and Protection	8	6.25	43.375	75.0%
Blazing Renewal	28	4.143	33.714	75.0%
Bloodwrack Plague	19	4.632	32.158	63.16%
Cast Down into the Briny Deep	8	4.125	27.75	62.5%
Cleansing Floods	6	1.833	31.167	83.33%
Death Falls Gently from Open Blossoms	15	3.267	31.0	73.33%
Dissolve the Bonds of Kinship	3	1.667	31.333	100.0%
Draw Towards a Consuming Void	10	4.8	35.0	80.0%
Dream of the Untouched Land	18	1.444	21.444	66.67%
Entwined Power	17	2.412	25.118	64.71%
Fire and Flood	11	3.182	26.636	72.73%
Flow Like Water, Reach Like Air	15	5.667	40.733	80.0%
Focus the Land's Anguish	6	5.5	33.5	66.67%
Forests of Living Obsidian	29	3.517	29.034	72.41%
Grant Hatred a Ravenous Form	44	2.455	29.091	79.55%
Indomitable Claim	61	4.984	36.803	75.41%
Infestation of Venomous Spiders	25	4.52	33.48	80.0%
Infinite Vitality	17	3.765	25.059	64.71%
Insatiable Hunger of the Swarm	10	5.2	32.9	60.0%
Instruments of Their Own Ruin	36	3.944	28.972	72.22%
Irresistible Call	14	4.5	34.286	64.29%
Manifest Incarnation	9	4.778	28.444	44.44%
Melt Earth Into Quicksand	10	4.6	40.9	90.0%
Mists of Oblivion	20	3.3	31.55	70.0%
Paralyzing Fright	54	4.278	30.481	64.81%
Pent-Up Calamity	83	4.084	35.361	81.93%
Pillar of Living Flame	23	4.087	35.0	78.26%
Poisoned Land	9	1.667	23.556	77.78%
Powerstorm	36	3.472	35.417	88.89%
Pyroclastic Flow	35	4.943	33.457	65.71%
Savage Transformation	17	3.941	32.941	70.59%
Sea Monsters	20	3.25	27.9	70.0%
Settle Into Hunting-Grounds	16	4.25	31.875	68.75%
Sleep and Never Waken	71	5.028	34.986	70.42%
Smothering Infestation	8	0.375	17.75	75.0%
Spill Bitterness Into the Earth	12	4.833	32.0	66.67%
Storm-Swath	12	3.083	29.167	66.67%
Strangling Firevine	15	3.2	31.333	73.33%
Sweep into the Sea	7	2.857	28.0	71.43%
Talons of Lightning	48	3.583	31.563	79.17%
Terrifying Nightmares	79	2.418	27.228	74.68%
The Jungle Hungers	68	2.706	26.515	66.18%
The Land Thrashes in Furious Pain	23	3.304	27.609	73.91%
The Trees and Stones Speak of War	33	4.242	34.212	78.79%
The Wounded Wild Turns on Its Assailants	12	2.083	29.583	91.67%
Thickets Erupt with Every Touch of Breeze	25	3.16	29.64	80.0%
Tigers Hunting	42	3.262	31.405	83.33%
Transform To a Murderous Darkness	14	3.286	28.929	78.57%
Trees Radiate Celestial Brilliance	25	3.12	30.64	80.0%
Tsunami	10	1.3	27.3	90.0%
Twisted Flowers Murmur Ultimatums	23	3.087	32.435	86.96%
Unleash a Torrent of the Self's Own Essence	64	4.094	35.531	81.25%
Unlock the Gates of Deepest Power	16	4.563	33.75	62.5%
Unrelenting Growth	17	2.176	26.765	82.35%
Utter a Curse of Dread and Bone	31	3.129	33.968	90.32%
Vanish Softlw Away, Forgotten by All	19	4.632	32.0	63.16%
Vengeance of the Dead	20	2.55	29.2	85.0%
Vigor of the Breaking Dawn	53	3.981	31.755	77.36%
Voice of Command	22	4.455	36.773	81.82%
Volcanic Eruption	6	3.667	25.167	66.67%
Walls of Rock and Thorn	27	4.556	23.889	44.44%
Weave Together the Fabric of Place	18	4.889	39.333	77.78%
Winds of Rust and Atrophy	56	3.661	27.268	69.64%
Wrap in Wings of Sunlight	49	4.939	29.122	61.22%

Unique Power Cards

Power Card	Kept
Concealing Shadows	75.54%
Crops Wither and Fade	87.81%
Favors Called Due	87.74%
Mantle of Dread	88.49%

Terror Level

Terror Level	Completed	Average Score	Win Rate
I	115	22.62	8.7%
II	478	31.05	61.51%
III	666	34.62	89.49%
IV	209	37.86	99.52%

Results

Result	Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I)	10
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III)	576
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II)	279
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV)	208
Lose: Invader deck ran out	8
Lose: Adversary condition	105
Win: Sacrifice victory	6
Lose: Scenario condition	11
Win: Scenario condition	29
Lose: Blight pool ran out	225
Lose: Spirit destroyed	11

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.735 Win Model: -0.165

Diff.	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate	Win Likelihood
-3	19	0.0%	27.84	94.74%	89.69%
-2	6	0.0%	23.33	83.33%	88.06%
-1	14	38.46%	24.36	85.71%	86.21%
0	583	33.16%	22.11	90.57%	84.12%
1	87	20.69%	27.39	96.55%	81.79%
2	55	43.64%	31.45	92.73%	79.2%
3	85	50.59%	31.25	74.12%	76.34%
4	80	50.0%	36.41	78.75%	73.23%
5	40	62.5%	39.38	75.0%	69.87%
6	106	65.09%	41.11	71.7%	66.28%
7	90	74.44%	38.92	57.78%	62.5%
8	71	88.73%	35.0	38.03%	58.55%
9	27	74.07%	40.33	40.74%	54.49%
10	133	87.22%	39.21	34.59%	50.38%
11	41	75.61%	51.27	48.78%	46.25%
12	5	60.0%	70.2	80.0%	42.18%
13	1	100.0%	32.0	0.0%	38.21%
14	22	27.27%	82.59	77.27%	34.39%
15	3	66.67%	55.33	33.33%	30.77%

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.444 Win Model: 0.127

Num.	Completed	Blight Flip Rate	Average Score	Win Rate
1	828	53.65%	30.04	72.58%
2	333	51.52%	30.38	77.48%
3	143	42.25%	30.76	81.12%
4	90	28.89%	43.52	84.44%
5	5	60.0%	25.8	80.0%
6	69	36.76%	41.09	76.81%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.