Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 79 49.37% 22.99 56.96% 0.304 0.6739 0.221
Blitz 0 79 25.64% 13.99 37.97% 0.418 0.8502 0.0
Dahan Insurrection 4 110 27.27% 42.37 54.55% 0.0 -0.0259 0.141
Despicable Theft 2 45 40.0% 26.78 57.78% 0.0 0.6595 0.0
Elemental Invocation 1 56 33.93% 23.52 50.0% 0.598 1.0461 0.0
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 375 14.67% 38.93 71.2% 0.326 -0.2732 0.952
Powers Long Forgotten 1 79 44.3% 22.37 54.43% -0.283 0.3251 -0.141
Rituals of Terror 3 45 42.22% 32.42 46.67% 0.0 0.1245 0.0
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 17 29.41% 16.47 29.41% -0.229 0.5092 0.37
Second Wave 0 260 46.34% 26.45 68.46% 0.59 0.6959 0.0
The Great River 3 32 28.13% 16.41 34.38% -0.389 0.7861 0.0
Varied Terrains 2 79 50.63% 23.0 48.1% 0.445 1.1817 -0.251
Ward the Shores 2 52 42.31% 21.19 48.08% 0.0 0.6824 0.0

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 4609 50.4% 22.98 58.41% 0.029 0.2538 0.393
1 Thematic 228 44.2% 24.52 41.67% -0.197 0.3536 -0.178
2 Archipelago 11 27.27% 31.55 72.73% 0.618 0.2641 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1345 47.38% 23.89 59.33% -0.242 -0.1305 0.362
2 Coastline 216 37.02% 24.26 63.89% -0.448 -0.5369 0.568
2 Fragment 35 51.43% 27.91 77.14% 0.0 -0.3387 0.0
2 Heart 22 68.18% 29.41 68.18% 0.0 -0.3272 0.0
2 Opposite Shores 312 37.74% 23.22 66.99% 0.899 0.9354 -0.576
2 Thematic 127 43.65% 26.72 53.54% -0.627 -0.0984 -0.165
2 Top to Top 57 50.0% 21.77 64.91% 0.459 0.2525 0.0
3 Archipelago 10 30.0% 37.2 80.0% 0.0 0.1006 0.0
3 Coastline 12 33.33% 29.67 75.0% 0.0 -0.5211 0.0
3 Other 42 28.57% 19.76 57.14% 0.0 -0.742 -0.195
3 Round (Default) 923 40.39% 27.46 69.34% 0.497 0.4015 -0.231
3 Sunrise 16 18.75% 14.75 37.5% 0.0 -0.7396 0.0
3 Thematic 41 52.63% 19.76 36.59% -0.32 -0.0782 0.0
4 Archipelago 12 50.0% 27.83 58.33% 0.0 0.0808 0.0
4 Coastline 8 62.5% 23.88 25.0% 0.0 0.2598 -0.439
4 Leaf 6 83.33% 10.0 33.33% 0.0 -0.5543 0.0
4 Other 18 64.71% 22.56 72.22% 0.0 -0.5473 0.0
4 Thematic 39 33.33% 24.03 51.28% -0.227 0.2464 0.0
4 Trapezoid (Default) 464 33.33% 27.04 64.22% 0.134 -0.0544 -0.064
5 Archipelago 6 50.0% 27.83 50.0% 0.0 1.4461 0.0
5 Coastline 4 25.0% 26.5 100.0% 0.0 -0.6104 0.0
5 Other 70 35.71% 23.17 61.43% -0.587 -0.9138 -0.12
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.4906 0.0
6 Archipelago 13 7.69% 37.62 76.92% 0.0 -0.9253 0.0
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.3287 0.0
6 Other 61 44.26% 33.98 67.21% 0.0 0.2695 0.314
6 Star 31 16.13% 30.32 77.42% 0.0 0.7961 0.0
6 Thematic 101 21.78% 32.88 53.47% -0.229 0.3515 0.0
6 Two Centers (Default) 143 17.73% 24.26 65.03% 0.492 0.4689 0.321
7 Other 8 0.0% 4.88 12.5% -0.232 -0.4878 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 245 26.07 50.61% 0.02 0.3311 -0.161
Aid From Lesser Spirits 190 32.49 58.95% 0.356 0.3688 0.317
All Things Weaken 204 25.32 46.08% -0.396 0.0774 -0.581
Attenuated Essence 122 24.16 50.82% -0.818 -0.6717 -0.339
Back Against the Wall 183 31.6 59.02% 0.659 0.7887 0.265
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 104 22.83 50.0% 0.05 0.3696 0.422
Burn Brightest Before the End 81 28.27 60.49% -0.287 -0.1098 1.071
Disintegrating Ecosystem 226 25.16 52.21% -0.175 0.2052 -0.427
Downward Spiral 385 22.92 53.51% -0.2 -0.0068 0.276
Erosion of Will 226 27.32 51.77% 0.295 0.6332 0.413
Intensifying Exploitation 116 24.76 48.28% 0.0 0.3526 -0.112
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 70 26.79 74.29% -0.688 -1.0512 0.0
Memory Fades to Dust 365 24.02 53.42% 0.193 0.5227 0.841
Power Corrodes the Spirit 203 26.2 50.74% 0.451 0.7178 0.13
Promising Farmlands 199 24.53 47.74% -0.199 0.2482 -0.309
Shattered Fragments of Power 87 24.89 47.13% -0.216 -0.2166 -0.393
Slow Dissolution of Will 111 26.04 52.25% 0.099 0.5107 -0.48
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 64 25.97 68.75% 0.368 -0.1905 0.0
The Border of Life and Death 32 25.56 65.63% -0.167 -0.412 0.0
Thriving Communities 229 24.85 56.77% 0.68 0.9579 -0.003
Thriving Crops 46 21.83 58.7% 0.0 -0.0953 -0.227
Unnatural Proliferation 240 28.73 59.58% 0.075 0.2793 0.709
Untended Land Crumbles 222 23.82 48.2% -0.112 0.187 -0.472

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 2193 41.16% 24.44 61.29% 0.055 1.0468 0.149
B 2192 40.71% 24.63 61.77% 0.064 0.9295 -0.217
C 2387 42.71% 25.35 63.64% -0.042 0.7099 -0.509
D 2008 40.9% 24.66 62.05% 0.415 1.3599 0.773
E 1887 42.59% 25.2 62.85% -0.104 0.6504 0.496
F 1758 42.7% 25.23 62.86% -0.135 0.7393 0.348
G 1570 42.89% 24.25 62.17% 0.814 1.6759 0.016
H 1576 41.08% 25.71 64.34% 0.553 1.3603 -0.722
East 417 38.44% 27.63 48.92% -0.548 0.1971 -0.071
Northeast 264 36.29% 29.02 50.76% -0.177 0.7158 -0.165
Northwest 238 32.34% 27.49 48.74% -0.098 0.6456 0.0
Southeast 194 34.02% 28.69 50.52% 0.01 1.0185 0.0
Southwest 170 32.94% 27.35 48.24% 0.0 1.1567 0.0
West 369 37.19% 25.29 46.07% -0.786 0.1966 -0.107

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 319 0.0% 15.37 45.45% -0.889 -0.1695 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 522 44.6% 14.73 45.98% -0.656 -0.182 0.009
Skip Initial Invader Actions 232 7.83% 28.38 78.88% 0.154 -0.6505 0.0
Start of Game Growth 353 16.73% 32.16 80.17% 1.223 0.6564 0.0
Unlimited Undo 768 37.87% 22.96 55.34% 0.222 0.249 -0.292
Using Tokens but Not Events 1045 35.85% 21.63 67.94% -0.09 -0.1174 -0.402

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 306 34.45% 28.05 72.88% 0.313 -0.1052 0.158
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 56 35.71% 23.46 60.71% -0.887 -1.5429 0.48
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 7 28.57% 16.71 42.86% -0.099 -0.2568 0.0
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 34 20.59% 23.5 64.71% 0.225 -0.6353 -0.21
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 136 41.79% 25.79 61.76% 0.474 0.6122 0.475
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 74 36.49% 22.82 64.86% -0.396 -1.4253 0.0
Dances Up Earthquakes 36 40.0% 21.31 47.22% 0.245 0.209 -0.288
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 215 30.73% 21.99 58.14% -0.212 -0.5663 0.0
Downpour Drenches the World 248 33.18% 25.02 66.94% 0.171 0.2947 0.702
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 185 40.0% 29.84 71.89% 0.245 -0.3261 0.221
Eyes Watch From the Trees 287 31.7% 27.02 67.25% 0.017 -0.6292 0.229
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 246 29.92% 26.24 59.76% -0.221 -0.7151 -0.17
Finder of Paths Unseen 148 33.78% 24.28 63.51% -0.349 0.2388 -0.442
Fractured Days Split the Sky 90 30.34% 24.57 57.78% -0.326 0.1208 -0.473
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 186 36.02% 28.87 58.06% 0.0 -0.1849 -0.296
Heart of the Wildfire 128 50.4% 22.77 50.78% 0.418 0.561 -0.347
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 281 35.02% 33.67 75.09% 0.734 0.0592 0.377
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 98 20.41% 24.47 55.1% 0.137 -0.3908 0.357
Lightning's Swift Strike 135 40.48% 23.15 67.41% 0.0 0.0327 0.443
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 281 40.36% 27.27 73.31% 0.679 0.0269 0.381
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 115 44.25% 25.77 73.04% 0.067 -0.4286 0.0
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 111 22.73% 24.75 71.17% 0.276 0.0368 -0.298
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 271 37.08% 29.77 64.21% -0.12 -0.5455 -0.291
Many Minds Move as One 136 39.26% 25.57 58.82% 0.0 -0.509 0.0
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 331 28.4% 31.94 67.98% 0.176 -0.0938 0.238
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 68 41.54% 24.29 63.24% -0.795 -0.9087 0.156
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 235 40.28% 25.13 60.43% 0.263 -0.0312 -0.296
River Surges in Sunlight 141 29.13% 23.92 61.7% 0.812 0.6409 -0.041
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 81 24.05% 16.72 44.44% -0.731 -0.8417 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 136 28.36% 21.11 63.24% 0.219 0.1536 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 393 35.14% 32.17 72.52% 0.35 0.2197 0.314
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 191 42.54% 25.72 59.16% -0.329 -0.5931 0.0
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 36 41.67% 21.25 52.78% 0.0 -0.4304 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 165 32.92% 32.28 61.82% 0.353 -0.0131 0.438
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 4 0.0% 25.75 75.0% 0.0 -0.5409 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 104 33.01% 27.2 62.5% -0.204 -0.4483 0.0
Shifting Memory of Ages 162 45.06% 25.17 58.02% 0.392 0.6868 -0.103
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 38 25.0% 18.32 50.0% -0.423 -0.5865 0.37
Shroud of Silent Mist 136 40.0% 20.23 53.68% -0.497 -0.3145 -0.62
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 7 14.29% 14.57 42.86% -0.227 -0.637 0.0
Starlight Seeks its Form 185 41.53% 30.02 69.19% 0.0 -0.2422 -0.074
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 176 49.43% 26.6 58.52% 0.0 -0.9522 0.412
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 203 30.41% 23.61 59.11% 0.112 0.1545 0.332
Thunderspeaker 224 38.07% 29.31 58.93% -0.144 -0.3394 -0.276
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 129 32.56% 26.19 62.79% 0.0 -0.1684 0.0
Towering Roots of the Jungle 65 29.69% 20.74 60.0% -0.308 -0.4187 0.187
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 123 57.72% 23.63 50.41% -0.025 -0.1754 -0.295
Vital Strength of the Earth 101 26.32% 21.3 62.38% -0.326 0.0327 -0.02
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 292 32.87% 22.41 63.36% -0.467 -0.2232 -0.9
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 109 41.12% 22.37 53.21% -0.275 0.4062 0.0
Volcano Looming High 156 52.9% 25.79 57.05% 0.413 0.0891 -0.18
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 86 34.88% 24.41 63.95% 0.026 -0.4915 -0.127

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Concealing Shadows 78.45%
Crops Wither and Fade 90.65%
Favors Called Due 88.9%
Mantle of Dread 89.37%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 2029 12.25 2.51%
II 2660 29.91 53.46%
III 3180 34.94 88.55%
IV 1123 38.9 99.29%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 51
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2769
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1368
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1104
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1915
Lose: Invader deck ran out 16
Lose: Adversary condition 424
Win: Sacrifice victory 27
Lose: Scenario condition 62
Win: Scenario condition 85
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1114
Lose: Spirit destroyed 57

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.042 Win Model: -0.151

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.027 Win Model: -0.222
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 4871 49.96% 23.04 57.52%
2 2116 45.22% 24.19 61.44%
3 1028 39.45% 26.66 67.22%
4 547 35.7% 26.58 62.71%
5 76 38.16% 22.96 63.16%
6 354 21.88% 28.95 62.15%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-08 23:57:51 (Pacific Time)