Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 68 50.0% 23.15 55.88% 0.13 -0.4285 0.0
Blitz 0 62 27.87% 13.24 33.87% -0.633 -0.2098 -0.556
Dahan Insurrection 4 91 30.77% 42.54 50.55% -0.039 -0.5215 0.553
Despicable Theft 2 35 37.14% 25.29 54.29% -0.42 0.123 -0.602
Elemental Invocation 1 41 36.59% 24.44 48.78% -0.14 0.5983 -0.08
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 286 16.43% 39.12 69.58% 0.001 -0.6555 1.35
Powers Long Forgotten 1 53 45.28% 25.58 60.38% -0.472 0.0899 0.733
Rituals of Terror 3 37 40.54% 38.05 56.76% -0.846 -0.9882 0.106
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 12 25.0% 14.67 25.0% 0.164 0.913 -0.122
Second Wave 0 192 45.9% 27.9 71.88% -0.772 -0.6776 0.0
The Great River 3 25 32.0% 17.72 36.0% -0.305 0.9405 0.0
Varied Terrains 2 60 51.67% 25.55 55.0% -0.474 0.3942 0.216
Ward the Shores 2 35 45.71% 24.2 48.57% 0.0 0.8543 0.605

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 3325 50.92% 23.76 59.49% -0.428 -0.0545 -0.078
1 Thematic 163 44.72% 25.02 41.72% 0.085 0.7995 -0.575
2 Archipelago 7 14.29% 35.0 85.71% 0.0 0.5238 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 975 48.16% 25.43 62.56% -0.388 -0.2271 0.584
2 Coastline 126 39.5% 25.02 63.49% 0.124 -0.0696 -0.493
2 Fragment 25 56.0% 28.48 76.0% 0.574 0.5256 0.0
2 Heart 14 64.29% 33.57 78.57% 0.0 -0.2122 -0.082
2 Opposite Shores 214 36.79% 25.16 72.9% -0.101 0.0317 0.051
2 Thematic 84 45.78% 29.9 58.33% -0.27 0.4507 0.292
2 Top to Top 32 48.39% 26.34 71.88% 0.41 0.325 -0.225
3 Archipelago 10 30.0% 37.2 80.0% 0.0 -0.5435 0.466
3 Coastline 12 33.33% 29.67 75.0% 0.225 -0.4057 0.0
3 Other 28 21.43% 23.0 78.57% -0.015 -0.8911 -0.089
3 Round (Default) 638 39.33% 28.5 70.38% 0.93 0.9072 0.773
3 Sunrise 14 21.43% 15.71 35.71% 0.181 -0.2658 0.0
3 Thematic 29 57.69% 24.93 51.72% -0.868 -0.8604 -0.068
4 Archipelago 10 60.0% 30.2 60.0% 0.259 0.1074 0.441
4 Coastline 3 0.0% 10.33 33.33% -0.209 -0.0801 0.0
4 Leaf 4 75.0% 14.0 50.0% 0.0 0.4354 0.0
4 Other 13 50.0% 22.31 69.23% -0.37 -0.9382 0.394
4 Thematic 27 37.04% 22.89 44.44% 0.0 0.063 0.173
4 Trapezoid (Default) 328 33.44% 29.69 66.77% -0.189 -0.1836 0.545
5 Archipelago 6 50.0% 27.83 50.0% 0.0 -0.2088 -0.463
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 21.0 100.0% 0.0 -1.0209 0.186
5 Other 48 22.92% 20.23 60.42% 0.272 -0.0523 -1.135
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.1429 0.0
6 Archipelago 12 8.33% 40.75 83.33% 0.0 -1.0381 0.261
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -1.0581 0.0
6 Other 57 47.37% 32.6 64.91% 0.002 -0.0424 -0.115
6 Star 23 17.39% 26.13 73.91% 0.109 0.7418 0.019
6 Thematic 85 21.18% 34.53 54.12% 0.0 0.2039 -1.358
6 Two Centers (Default) 97 19.79% 26.93 75.26% -0.189 0.2852 0.477
7 Other 5 0.0% 7.8 20.0% -0.123 -0.7988 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 194 26.05 48.97% -0.566 -0.4951 -0.302
Aid From Lesser Spirits 147 33.17 59.18% -0.032 -0.1422 0.865
All Things Weaken 150 25.63 46.67% -0.647 -0.4703 0.343
Attenuated Essence 81 25.25 53.09% -0.282 -0.2303 -0.6
Back Against the Wall 146 33.31 58.9% 0.023 0.0073 0.386
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 61 22.02 42.62% 0.018 0.2017 -0.617
Burn Brightest Before the End 53 29.23 64.15% 0.167 0.2541 0.966
Disintegrating Ecosystem 162 25.49 53.09% 0.569 0.8603 0.697
Downward Spiral 266 24.97 55.64% 0.251 0.3571 -0.088
Erosion of Will 162 27.06 49.38% -0.001 0.1653 -0.402
Intensifying Exploitation 77 25.3 46.75% 0.65 0.8381 0.317
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 56 28.61 80.36% 0.238 -0.1897 1.236
Memory Fades to Dust 246 25.02 55.28% 0.403 0.6379 0.492
Power Corrodes the Spirit 154 26.12 47.4% 0.46 0.556 -0.118
Promising Farmlands 136 26.34 49.26% -0.151 0.2136 0.162
Shattered Fragments of Power 50 26.1 52.0% -0.067 -0.0019 -0.647
Slow Dissolution of Will 68 26.06 48.53% 0.429 0.892 -0.012
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 43 26.49 65.12% -0.336 -0.9373 0.305
The Border of Life and Death 23 32.22 82.61% 0.348 -0.1272 1.298
Thriving Communities 188 24.71 56.91% -0.536 -0.3101 0.314
Thriving Crops 35 21.51 57.14% -0.429 -0.6539 -0.591
Unnatural Proliferation 189 29.69 57.67% -0.823 -0.7014 0.372
Untended Land Crumbles 159 26.21 52.2% 0.006 0.2384 -0.14

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 1555 41.48% 25.57 63.41% 0.666 1.5848 0.294
B 1538 41.24% 26.26 64.69% -0.454 0.3868 0.244
C 1677 42.05% 26.03 65.47% -0.09 0.5931 0.621
D 1435 40.46% 26.36 65.3% 0.783 1.6251 0.317
E 1372 43.57% 26.3 64.5% 0.144 0.7952 -0.124
F 1282 42.15% 26.26 64.12% -0.441 0.3193 0.229
G 1116 43.65% 26.01 64.78% -0.016 0.7419 0.012
H 1102 39.96% 26.89 67.15% 0.481 1.1991 -0.077
East 305 39.13% 29.54 50.82% 0.024 0.838 -0.509
Northeast 202 35.53% 30.22 52.48% -0.49 0.1778 -1.055
Northwest 178 30.86% 29.47 50.56% -0.517 0.2874 0.696
Southeast 151 33.77% 30.64 50.99% 0.209 0.9149 0.14
Southwest 133 31.58% 29.03 48.87% 0.466 1.8563 -0.82
West 269 37.74% 27.36 48.33% -0.745 0.0482 0.012

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 205 0.0% 15.59 45.37% 0.09 0.8084 0.199
Not Using Events or Tokens 295 40.0% 14.11 48.81% -0.854 -0.3691 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 149 7.5% 29.62 80.54% 0.512 -0.2185 0.0
Start of Game Growth 236 16.84% 34.75 80.93% 0.712 0.2662 0.782
Unlimited Undo 577 38.24% 23.35 55.11% -0.993 -1.0261 0.193
Using Tokens but Not Events 725 35.0% 21.98 69.93% 0.546 0.3832 -0.718

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 248 32.37% 29.52 75.0% 0.851 0.7446 0.814
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 28 39.29% 23.96 64.29% -0.251 -0.7392 0.207
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 90 39.33% 28.76 70.0% -0.143 -0.0002 0.091
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 34 32.35% 25.06 58.82% 0.015 -0.7335 0.394
Dances Up Earthquakes 4 50.0% 15.75 50.0% -0.468 -0.6447 0.0
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 167 28.75% 22.66 59.88% -0.42 -0.627 -1.114
Downpour Drenches the World 184 33.91% 25.78 69.02% -0.185 0.1352 0.497
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 121 39.82% 29.61 70.25% -0.22 -0.6607 -0.39
Eyes Watch From the Trees 189 30.9% 26.32 70.9% -0.205 -0.5483 -0.508
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 175 30.06% 28.11 66.29% -0.193 -0.5474 0.344
Finder of Paths Unseen 119 35.29% 27.2 69.75% -0.571 0.2137 0.099
Fractured Days Split the Sky 69 32.35% 27.16 63.77% 0.15 0.5977 0.271
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 143 34.27% 29.73 55.94% -1.158 -1.1812 0.165
Heart of the Wildfire 83 42.5% 24.16 53.01% -0.883 -0.5556 -0.638
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 238 33.76% 34.12 75.63% 0.908 0.4125 0.263
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 58 17.24% 18.79 48.28% 0.587 0.0247 -0.642
Lightning's Swift Strike 94 39.08% 25.07 68.09% -0.394 -0.1959 0.011
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 222 38.81% 28.11 75.23% 0.191 -0.2564 -0.235
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 82 44.44% 27.29 76.83% -0.127 -0.4462 0.584
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 75 20.0% 24.81 69.33% -0.763 -0.6381 0.472
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 209 36.41% 31.56 65.55% -0.581 -0.7367 0.033
Many Minds Move as One 107 36.79% 26.47 57.94% 0.431 0.2247 0.45
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 254 25.1% 35.09 71.26% 0.697 0.8266 0.723
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 6 50.0% 25.33 66.67% 0.299 0.4044 0.0
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 173 42.59% 26.86 64.74% 0.327 0.2777 0.072
River Surges in Sunlight 96 25.0% 26.01 69.79% 0.425 0.4577 0.148
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 26 29.17% 28.62 73.08% 0.293 0.5009 0.062
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 96 26.32% 19.36 63.54% -0.264 -0.1128 -0.521
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 316 34.08% 33.78 73.73% 0.207 0.2167 0.518
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 153 42.67% 27.14 59.48% 0.294 0.1954 0.267
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 3 0.0% 28.33 66.67% 0.067 -0.4238 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 125 35.54% 31.84 59.2% 0.437 0.339 -0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 88 32.18% 28.5 62.5% -0.073 -0.2673 -0.107
Shifting Memory of Ages 132 43.18% 28.08 62.12% 0.667 1.057 -0.106
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 17 0.0% 15.24 52.94% 0.288 0.2365 -0.029
Shroud of Silent Mist 88 42.53% 21.47 54.55% 1.103 1.5172 -0.11
Starlight Seeks its Form 138 40.44% 30.56 68.84% 0.985 0.9445 0.14
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 140 50.71% 27.73 59.29% -0.343 -0.8459 -0.19
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 146 33.33% 25.25 65.07% 0.144 0.2266 -0.336
Thunderspeaker 140 42.96% 33.02 65.0% -0.137 -0.1423 0.63
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 98 30.61% 26.7 62.24% -0.264 0.1244 -0.074
Towering Roots of the Jungle 25 28.0% 18.52 60.0% -0.451 -0.2407 -0.329
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 88 57.95% 24.52 46.59% -1.123 -1.0459 -0.515
Vital Strength of the Earth 68 28.57% 21.53 64.71% -0.134 0.3152 -0.75
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 225 31.36% 24.43 69.33% 0.077 0.571 -0.279
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 86 41.18% 24.49 54.65% -1.018 -0.3253 -0.417
Volcano Looming High 130 55.81% 25.72 56.92% 0.41 0.4746 0.119
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 59 37.29% 24.69 62.71% 0.323 0.0734 0.073

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Concealing Shadows 77.43%
Crops Wither and Fade 89.62%
Favors Called Due 88.67%
Mantle of Dread 88.92%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1341 14.25 2.68%
II 1937 30.3 54.67%
III 2326 34.84 89.17%
IV 813 38.61 99.02%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 36
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2039
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1018
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 798
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1196
Lose: Invader deck ran out 12
Lose: Adversary condition 324
Win: Sacrifice victory 20
Lose: Scenario condition 58
Win: Scenario condition 63
Lose: Blight pool ran out 810
Lose: Spirit destroyed 43

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.597 Win Model: -0.129

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.01 Win Model: -0.171
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 3516 50.41% 23.83 58.59%
2 1470 46.16% 25.89 64.97%
3 712 38.18% 27.93 69.38%
4 391 35.36% 28.59 64.45%
5 52 28.85% 19.98 61.54%
6 276 24.0% 30.63 65.58%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-21 21:43:18 (Pacific Time)