Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 70 50.0% 23.17 57.14% 0.371 0.4153 0.0
Blitz 0 64 28.57% 14.23 35.94% -0.163 0.0516 -0.517
Dahan Insurrection 4 95 30.53% 41.98 50.53% 0.1 -0.1879 0.695
Despicable Theft 2 37 37.84% 26.08 56.76% 0.315 1.0252 -0.529
Elemental Invocation 1 42 35.71% 23.86 47.62% -0.388 0.3127 -0.042
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 297 16.16% 38.55 68.69% 0.054 -0.5459 1.319
Powers Long Forgotten 1 59 47.46% 25.69 61.02% 0.142 0.9792 0.317
Rituals of Terror 3 37 40.54% 38.05 56.76% -0.311 -0.2503 0.072
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 14 21.43% 12.57 21.43% -0.363 0.6244 -0.17
Second Wave 0 204 46.15% 27.3 70.59% -0.761 -0.5113 0.0
The Great River 3 27 29.63% 17.96 37.04% -0.191 0.8749 0.0
Varied Terrains 2 65 47.69% 24.12 52.31% -0.765 0.0647 0.215
Ward the Shores 2 37 43.24% 24.84 51.35% 0.508 1.6913 0.595

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 3567 50.71% 23.58 59.35% -0.038 0.235 -0.042
1 Thematic 178 44.89% 25.76 42.7% -0.043 0.532 -0.31
2 Archipelago 9 11.11% 27.22 66.67% -0.746 -0.0691 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1019 48.24% 25.27 62.22% 0.139 0.2079 0.591
2 Coastline 144 39.71% 25.36 66.67% 0.921 0.7018 -0.549
2 Fragment 29 51.72% 29.21 79.31% 1.057 0.7906 0.0
2 Heart 15 66.67% 32.47 73.33% -0.238 -0.7084 -0.129
2 Opposite Shores 227 37.33% 24.95 73.13% 0.613 0.5908 0.135
2 Thematic 93 44.57% 30.01 60.22% 0.456 0.8296 0.22
2 Top to Top 33 46.88% 25.55 69.7% -1.041 -1.2988 -0.219
3 Archipelago 10 30.0% 37.2 80.0% 0.0 -0.923 0.496
3 Coastline 12 33.33% 29.67 75.0% 0.215 -0.7485 0.0
3 Other 30 26.67% 22.93 73.33% -0.81 -1.5735 -0.295
3 Round (Default) 683 39.73% 28.29 69.84% 0.104 -0.0492 0.857
3 Sunrise 14 21.43% 15.71 35.71% 0.0 -0.078 0.0
3 Thematic 30 59.26% 24.73 50.0% -0.519 -0.6667 -0.107
4 Archipelago 10 60.0% 30.2 60.0% 0.0 -0.5272 0.427
4 Coastline 4 25.0% 21.75 50.0% 0.31 0.2538 0.0
4 Leaf 4 75.0% 14.0 50.0% 0.0 -0.0909 0.0
4 Other 13 50.0% 22.31 69.23% 0.0 -0.6847 0.367
4 Thematic 33 39.39% 21.55 45.45% 0.056 -0.1213 0.114
4 Trapezoid (Default) 344 33.63% 29.01 64.83% -0.795 -1.1241 0.399
5 Archipelago 6 50.0% 27.83 50.0% 0.0 1.2714 -0.426
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 21.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.5305 0.23
5 Other 48 22.92% 20.23 60.42% 0.372 -0.378 -1.196
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.3865 0.0
6 Archipelago 12 8.33% 40.75 83.33% 0.0 -0.9706 0.272
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.5799 0.0
6 Other 58 46.55% 32.47 65.52% 0.286 -0.1308 -0.036
6 Star 23 17.39% 26.13 73.91% 0.0 0.3354 -0.033
6 Thematic 88 20.45% 34.81 54.55% 0.536 0.4878 -0.98
6 Two Centers (Default) 105 19.23% 25.04 70.48% -0.824 -0.6089 0.194
7 Other 5 0.0% 7.8 20.0% 0.0 -1.0813 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 204 26.51 49.51% 0.195 0.2673 -0.312
Aid From Lesser Spirits 152 33.14 59.21% 0.688 0.6171 0.718
All Things Weaken 162 25.51 46.91% -0.529 -0.2702 0.274
Attenuated Essence 85 26.41 55.29% 0.348 0.3126 -0.207
Back Against the Wall 151 32.72 58.94% -0.264 -0.2104 0.447
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 72 22.01 48.61% 0.927 1.0722 -0.737
Burn Brightest Before the End 59 28.86 64.41% 0.242 0.2578 0.798
Disintegrating Ecosystem 172 26.41 54.07% 0.289 0.4774 1.086
Downward Spiral 281 25.09 56.94% 0.595 0.6694 -0.064
Erosion of Will 186 27.65 50.0% 0.505 0.6602 -0.258
Intensifying Exploitation 83 25.04 45.78% -0.085 0.0506 0.292
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 57 28.11 78.95% -0.494 -1.1076 1.248
Memory Fades to Dust 264 25.2 56.44% 0.732 0.9356 0.439
Power Corrodes the Spirit 158 25.93 46.84% -0.54 -0.3651 -0.151
Promising Farmlands 144 25.7 47.92% -0.479 -0.2812 0.128
Shattered Fragments of Power 53 26.43 54.72% 0.796 0.7983 -0.636
Slow Dissolution of Will 74 26.14 50.0% 0.337 0.635 -0.063
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 47 25.17 63.83% -0.123 -0.8199 0.362
The Border of Life and Death 26 29.35 76.92% -0.388 -0.8858 1.236
Thriving Communities 194 24.96 58.25% 1.197 1.3535 0.353
Thriving Crops 36 21.53 58.33% -0.019 -0.3314 -0.553
Unnatural Proliferation 201 29.13 57.71% -0.298 -0.1897 0.367
Untended Land Crumbles 171 25.65 52.63% 0.338 0.5198 -0.126

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 1652 41.61% 25.25 62.71% -0.103 0.8725 0.157
B 1633 41.11% 25.73 63.75% -0.313 0.5767 0.287
C 1776 41.78% 25.95 65.37% 0.266 0.9588 0.452
D 1518 40.68% 26.07 64.76% 0.114 1.009 0.239
E 1446 43.43% 26.15 64.04% 0.57 1.299 0.011
F 1356 42.67% 26.03 63.79% -0.318 0.5138 0.103
G 1192 44.07% 25.32 63.42% -0.638 0.1415 -0.013
H 1175 40.16% 26.58 66.47% -0.054 0.7292 -0.195
East 333 39.45% 29.85 51.65% 0.678 1.4873 -0.678
Northeast 220 36.28% 30.99 53.18% 0.269 1.0671 -0.443
Northwest 191 30.85% 29.2 50.79% -0.419 0.3143 0.668
Southeast 164 33.54% 30.29 51.83% -0.236 0.6572 0.045
Southwest 143 31.47% 28.87 49.65% 0.431 1.6887 -0.464
West 289 37.54% 27.1 48.79% -0.236 0.762 -0.192

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 231 0.0% 16.15 46.32% -0.86 -0.1916 0.245
Not Using Events or Tokens 317 41.51% 14.37 49.84% -0.143 0.2783 0.0
Skip Initial Invader Actions 158 7.44% 29.65 81.01% 1.004 0.2351 0.0
Start of Game Growth 260 17.54% 34.3 80.0% 0.374 -0.0638 0.852
Unlimited Undo 617 38.09% 23.45 55.43% -0.099 -0.1648 0.254
Using Tokens but Not Events 789 35.14% 21.95 69.58% 0.546 0.5027 -0.683

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 256 33.33% 29.26 75.0% 0.597 0.5025 0.61
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 29 37.93% 25.21 65.52% 0.178 -0.3301 0.255
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 93 40.66% 28.66 68.82% -0.268 -0.0706 0.166
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 38 36.84% 25.5 63.16% 0.731 -0.1419 0.367
Dances Up Earthquakes 8 37.5% 10.38 37.5% -0.82 -0.9589 0.0
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 173 30.12% 22.81 60.12% 0.449 0.2265 -1.095
Downpour Drenches the World 201 34.97% 25.47 67.66% -0.953 -0.647 0.42
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 134 40.68% 29.34 70.15% 0.572 0.0177 -0.286
Eyes Watch From the Trees 204 30.57% 26.28 69.61% -0.378 -0.8051 -0.348
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 188 30.65% 26.86 61.7% -1.211 -1.6243 -0.216
Finder of Paths Unseen 122 35.25% 27.13 69.67% 0.403 1.0585 0.132
Fractured Days Split the Sky 73 30.56% 25.9 61.64% 0.018 0.5633 0.213
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 149 34.9% 29.18 55.7% -0.64 -0.7244 -0.078
Heart of the Wildfire 87 42.86% 23.47 52.87% 0.1 0.415 -0.618
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 246 35.12% 34.12 75.61% 0.177 -0.2663 0.226
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 64 20.31% 20.03 48.44% 0.69 0.3968 -0.841
Lightning's Swift Strike 95 39.77% 24.81 67.37% -0.156 0.1057 -0.193
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 229 38.94% 27.72 74.67% -0.019 -0.3468 -0.242
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 92 43.96% 26.43 73.91% -0.047 -0.423 0.514
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 78 19.23% 25.18 70.51% 0.268 0.3678 0.442
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 217 35.68% 30.68 64.06% -1.006 -1.2047 0.14
Many Minds Move as One 107 36.79% 26.47 57.94% 0.0 -0.2146 0.482
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 266 25.87% 33.82 69.55% -0.096 0.0521 0.538
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 25 40.91% 33.2 64.0% 0.45 0.495 0.573
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 179 41.92% 26.37 63.69% -0.079 -0.1815 0.114
River Surges in Sunlight 99 24.14% 25.22 67.68% -0.288 -0.2901 0.193
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 29 33.33% 29.62 72.41% 0.692 0.9806 -0.031
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 104 26.21% 19.37 63.46% 0.202 0.405 -0.411
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 328 33.44% 33.45 73.48% 0.25 0.0361 0.706
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 165 42.77% 26.48 59.39% 0.014 -0.1436 0.329
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 10 40.0% 28.6 60.0% 0.519 0.1365 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 134 35.38% 31.25 58.96% 0.23 0.262 -0.029
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 91 33.33% 28.19 62.64% 1.057 0.9115 -0.236
Shifting Memory of Ages 136 44.12% 27.43 61.76% -0.319 0.0055 -0.082
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 21 5.0% 16.52 52.38% 0.455 0.5029 -0.02
Shroud of Silent Mist 91 43.33% 20.95 52.75% -0.624 -0.2564 -0.265
Starlight Seeks its Form 144 40.85% 30.16 68.75% 0.702 0.6354 0.229
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 146 50.0% 26.99 57.53% -0.263 -0.7466 -0.381
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 155 31.33% 24.61 62.58% -1.263 -1.1036 -0.086
Thunderspeaker 143 42.75% 33.33 65.73% 0.444 0.4739 0.81
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 106 30.19% 27.4 62.26% 0.202 0.3925 -0.021
Towering Roots of the Jungle 29 24.14% 15.97 51.72% -1.142 -0.9959 -0.301
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 90 57.78% 24.71 47.78% 0.27 0.2899 -0.388
Vital Strength of the Earth 72 26.87% 21.24 63.89% 0.184 0.7649 -0.7
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 234 31.0% 24.65 68.8% 0.049 0.5326 -0.092
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 92 39.56% 23.34 53.26% -0.833 -0.2141 -0.41
Volcano Looming High 132 55.73% 25.48 56.06% 0.121 0.1569 -0.001
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 62 38.71% 24.77 64.52% 0.29 -0.0277 0.07

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Concealing Shadows 77.76%
Crops Wither and Fade 89.85%
Favors Called Due 88.74%
Mantle of Dread 88.87%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1458 13.76 2.67%
II 2060 30.19 54.61%
III 2470 34.82 89.27%
IV 861 38.63 99.07%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 39
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2168
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1081
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 844
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1322
Lose: Invader deck ran out 13
Lose: Adversary condition 337
Win: Sacrifice victory 23
Lose: Scenario condition 59
Win: Scenario condition 67
Lose: Blight pool ran out 850
Lose: Spirit destroyed 46

Difficulty

Score Model: 0.857 Win Model: -0.201

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.121 Win Model: -0.081
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 3774 50.22% 23.69 58.48%
2 1562 46.09% 25.76 65.04%
3 763 38.96% 27.75 68.81%
4 410 35.43% 27.99 62.68%
5 52 28.85% 19.98 61.54%
6 288 23.34% 29.94 64.24%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-13 03:02:19 (Pacific Time)