Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 77 49.35% 22.31 55.84% 0.075 0.0456 0.0
Blitz 0 77 26.32% 13.96 37.66% -0.298 -0.0547 0.0
Dahan Insurrection 4 110 27.27% 42.37 54.55% -0.1 -0.0869 0.151
Despicable Theft 2 44 38.64% 26.61 56.82% 0.469 1.2353 -0.157
Elemental Invocation 1 51 33.33% 21.98 47.06% -0.785 -0.0318 0.0
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 361 14.96% 38.86 70.91% 0.736 0.1395 0.73
Powers Long Forgotten 1 78 44.87% 22.65 55.13% 0.0 0.7478 0.0
Rituals of Terror 3 44 43.18% 33.16 47.73% 0.0 0.4786 -0.08
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 16 31.25% 17.5 31.25% 0.245 0.9322 0.378
Second Wave 0 255 47.3% 26.14 67.84% 0.106 0.1015 0.0
The Great River 3 31 29.03% 16.94 35.48% 0.0 1.1295 0.0
Varied Terrains 2 75 48.0% 23.09 48.0% 0.187 0.967 -0.232
Ward the Shores 2 52 42.31% 21.19 48.08% -1.01 -0.1404 0.0

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 4442 50.49% 23.12 58.6% 0.035 0.2386 0.761
1 Thematic 218 43.46% 24.75 41.74% -0.088 0.5213 -0.248
2 Archipelago 9 11.11% 27.22 66.67% 0.0 0.1705 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1281 47.71% 24.14 59.8% -0.805 -0.7244 0.17
2 Coastline 208 37.5% 24.31 64.42% 0.407 0.3124 0.418
2 Fragment 35 51.43% 27.91 77.14% 0.0 -0.0429 0.0
2 Heart 22 68.18% 29.41 68.18% 0.277 -0.1841 0.0
2 Opposite Shores 300 37.25% 22.97 66.67% 0.071 0.2029 -0.758
2 Thematic 124 43.9% 27.22 54.84% -0.288 0.0709 -0.196
2 Top to Top 56 50.91% 21.68 64.29% 0.254 0.1654 -0.164
3 Archipelago 10 30.0% 37.2 80.0% 0.0 -0.1698 0.0
3 Coastline 12 33.33% 29.67 75.0% 0.0 -0.1724 0.0
3 Other 42 28.57% 19.76 57.14% 0.0 -0.3852 -0.241
3 Round (Default) 891 40.5% 27.46 69.36% 0.703 0.7082 0.161
3 Sunrise 16 18.75% 14.75 37.5% -0.578 -1.1844 0.0
3 Thematic 39 55.56% 20.77 38.46% 0.0 -0.4309 0.0
4 Archipelago 12 50.0% 27.83 58.33% 0.0 -0.2406 0.0
4 Coastline 8 62.5% 23.88 25.0% 0.0 -0.5981 -0.449
4 Leaf 6 83.33% 10.0 33.33% 0.0 -1.0224 0.0
4 Other 18 64.71% 22.56 72.22% 0.0 -0.8432 0.0
4 Thematic 38 34.21% 24.66 52.63% 0.166 -0.0361 0.399
4 Trapezoid (Default) 441 32.56% 27.34 65.53% -0.029 0.1606 -0.352
5 Archipelago 6 50.0% 27.83 50.0% 0.0 0.5989 0.0
5 Coastline 2 50.0% 31.0 100.0% 0.0 -0.6597 0.0
5 Other 67 37.31% 23.55 61.19% -0.075 -0.2356 -0.008
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.3382 0.0
6 Archipelago 13 7.69% 37.62 76.92% 0.0 -0.6534 0.0
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.4503 0.0
6 Other 61 44.26% 33.98 67.21% 0.296 0.257 0.252
6 Star 31 16.13% 30.32 77.42% 0.192 0.6579 0.0
6 Thematic 99 22.22% 33.55 54.55% 0.066 0.3144 0.0
6 Two Centers (Default) 139 17.52% 23.71 64.03% -0.591 0.6109 0.246
7 Other 7 0.0% 5.57 14.29% 0.0 0.1814 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 241 26.27 50.62% 0.316 0.4649 -0.439
Aid From Lesser Spirits 183 33.17 59.02% 0.474 0.3612 0.523
All Things Weaken 199 25.33 45.73% -1.024 -0.6488 -0.724
Attenuated Essence 115 24.63 53.04% -0.449 -0.3237 -0.253
Back Against the Wall 177 31.6 58.19% -0.85 -0.809 0.234
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 101 22.74 50.5% -0.046 0.1596 0.563
Burn Brightest Before the End 79 27.76 60.76% -0.606 -0.5615 0.86
Disintegrating Ecosystem 215 25.54 52.56% -0.023 0.475 0.38
Downward Spiral 361 23.0 54.02% -0.371 -0.1211 0.307
Erosion of Will 217 27.24 51.15% 0.023 0.281 0.008
Intensifying Exploitation 114 24.84 49.12% 0.517 0.7362 -0.494
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 68 27.57 76.47% 0.0 -0.386 0.0
Memory Fades to Dust 343 24.22 53.94% 0.023 0.2284 0.592
Power Corrodes the Spirit 200 26.25 50.5% 0.267 0.4652 0.094
Promising Farmlands 192 24.92 47.4% -0.575 -0.2193 -0.55
Shattered Fragments of Power 82 25.24 47.56% -0.527 -0.3097 -0.385
Slow Dissolution of Will 109 26.08 52.29% -0.03 0.3993 -0.545
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 60 26.03 66.67% 0.246 -0.3786 0.0
The Border of Life and Death 30 26.77 70.0% 0.119 -0.201 0.0
Thriving Communities 225 24.74 56.44% 0.224 0.5435 0.176
Thriving Crops 45 21.29 57.78% -0.176 -0.295 -0.22
Unnatural Proliferation 237 28.47 59.49% 0.544 0.6339 -0.186
Untended Land Crumbles 214 23.9 47.66% -1.114 -0.8886 -0.405

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 2121 41.2% 24.57 61.72% -0.179 0.6206 0.239
B 2101 40.97% 24.86 62.45% -0.22 0.5108 -0.155
C 2299 42.32% 25.41 63.81% 0.043 0.6469 -0.841
D 1924 40.64% 24.67 62.11% 0.119 0.8761 0.334
E 1828 42.61% 25.24 62.69% 0.072 0.6567 0.29
F 1700 42.78% 25.44 63.41% 0.083 0.7855 0.115
G 1496 43.65% 24.33 62.3% -0.082 0.6752 -0.059
H 1519 41.1% 25.76 64.25% 0.321 0.952 0.114
East 405 38.6% 28.14 49.63% -0.106 0.6772 -0.053
Northeast 255 36.4% 29.67 51.76% 0.219 0.9805 -0.196
Northwest 231 32.46% 28.0 49.78% -0.117 0.7251 -0.076
Southeast 190 34.21% 29.13 51.05% 0.288 0.9278 0.0
Southwest 168 33.33% 27.67 48.81% 0.0 1.0453 0.0
West 357 37.61% 25.89 47.34% -0.427 0.3486 0.28

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 309 0.0% 15.57 45.95% -0.472 0.402 0.0
Not Using Events or Tokens 478 43.21% 14.49 47.07% -0.322 0.0551 0.096
Skip Initial Invader Actions 229 7.93% 28.34 78.6% 0.386 0.0949 0.0
Start of Game Growth 343 16.85% 32.32 79.59% 0.495 -0.0621 0.0
Unlimited Undo 752 38.07% 23.04 55.32% -1.254 -1.1902 -0.596
Using Tokens but Not Events 1013 36.13% 21.68 68.21% -0.026 -0.1533 -0.606

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 298 34.02% 28.33 73.49% 0.082 -0.0141 -0.415
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 52 38.46% 24.77 63.46% 0.232 -0.0933 0.502
A Spread of Rampant Green — Tangles 2 0.0% 10.5 50.0% -0.133 -0.395 0.0
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 24 20.83% 22.5 62.5% -0.076 -0.7967 0.0
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 116 42.98% 27.36 64.66% -0.084 0.2144 0.299
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 71 38.03% 23.37 66.2% -0.51 -1.0993 -0.162
Dances Up Earthquakes 34 39.39% 20.03 44.12% -0.052 0.1297 -0.343
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 205 29.74% 22.22 58.54% -0.281 -0.4601 0.0
Downpour Drenches the World 241 34.27% 24.76 66.39% -0.324 0.0347 0.0
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 181 39.74% 29.57 71.27% 0.332 -0.1077 -0.162
Eyes Watch From the Trees 271 31.2% 27.01 67.53% 0.849 0.4991 0.64
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 234 31.03% 26.38 59.83% -0.308 -0.7082 -0.113
Finder of Paths Unseen 141 34.04% 25.01 65.25% -0.769 0.3058 -0.422
Fractured Days Split the Sky 88 28.74% 24.95 59.09% 0.142 0.5975 -0.18
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 184 36.41% 29.06 58.15% 0.503 0.4116 -0.18
Heart of the Wildfire 119 50.0% 22.85 49.58% -0.825 -0.3935 -0.457
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 270 34.96% 33.62 74.44% -0.268 -0.7109 0.113
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 89 19.1% 23.03 53.93% -0.221 -0.7302 0.0
Lightning's Swift Strike 134 40.8% 22.95 67.16% 0.168 0.3309 0.459
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 274 40.15% 27.43 74.09% 0.747 0.0681 0.72
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 113 43.75% 25.88 73.45% 0.0 -0.3591 0.0
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 107 21.7% 24.98 71.03% -0.569 -0.7156 0.056
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 266 36.64% 29.93 64.66% -0.018 -0.1955 -0.46
Many Minds Move as One 136 39.26% 25.57 58.82% -0.431 -0.5658 0.0
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 310 27.06% 32.78 70.0% 0.296 0.219 0.55
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 65 41.94% 25.37 66.15% 0.804 0.9958 0.113
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 229 40.0% 25.01 60.26% 0.24 0.1805 -0.663
River Surges in Sunlight 134 29.75% 23.17 59.7% -0.261 -0.2166 -0.322
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 77 25.33% 17.01 44.16% 0.614 0.8443 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 135 28.57% 20.78 62.96% -0.382 -0.333 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 384 34.39% 32.3 72.66% -0.124 0.043 0.651
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 188 42.7% 25.61 59.04% -0.066 -0.2594 0.236
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 36 41.67% 21.25 52.78% -0.563 -0.5772 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 163 33.33% 31.94 61.35% -0.179 -0.1217 0.521
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 4 0.0% 25.75 75.0% 0.207 -0.2966 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 101 33.0% 27.58 63.37% 0.0 -0.0371 0.0
Shifting Memory of Ages 160 45.0% 25.26 58.13% 0.5 0.862 -0.098
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 37 25.71% 18.81 51.35% 0.166 0.1488 0.378
Shroud of Silent Mist 132 38.93% 20.42 53.79% 0.401 0.9246 -0.504
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 4 25.0% 23.0 75.0% 0.241 -0.0996 0.0
Starlight Seeks its Form 182 41.11% 29.91 68.68% 0.715 0.5165 -0.147
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 176 49.43% 26.6 58.52% -0.621 -1.2357 0.491
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 196 31.38% 23.73 59.18% -0.331 -0.0982 0.285
Thunderspeaker 214 38.46% 29.2 58.88% -0.144 -0.1615 0.052
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 129 32.56% 26.19 62.79% -0.575 -0.3745 0.0
Towering Roots of the Jungle 59 31.03% 22.03 62.71% 0.499 0.6654 0.417
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 120 57.5% 23.96 50.83% 0.55 0.6006 -0.203
Vital Strength of the Earth 94 26.14% 21.51 63.83% 0.475 0.9453 0.14
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 286 32.86% 22.82 64.34% -0.552 -0.1424 -0.609
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 108 40.57% 22.47 53.7% -0.25 0.4171 -0.244
Volcano Looming High 151 54.0% 25.48 56.29% -0.01 -0.0261 -0.257
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 82 36.59% 24.91 64.63% 0.261 -0.019 -0.113

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Concealing Shadows 78.29%
Crops Wither and Fade 90.41%
Favors Called Due 88.82%
Mantle of Dread 89.24%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1937 12.44 2.53%
II 2556 29.94 53.64%
III 3080 34.9 88.64%
IV 1082 38.84 99.26%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 49
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2683
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1317
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 1064
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1810
Lose: Invader deck ran out 15
Lose: Adversary condition 411
Win: Sacrifice victory 26
Lose: Scenario condition 61
Win: Scenario condition 85
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 1077
Lose: Spirit destroyed 57

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.364 Win Model: -0.17

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.096 Win Model: 0.109
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 4691 50.01% 23.2 57.75%
2 2029 45.38% 24.3 61.71%
3 993 39.64% 26.72 67.37%
4 524 35.16% 26.81 63.74%
5 71 40.85% 23.34 61.97%
6 347 22.03% 29.04 62.25%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-10-18 23:57:56 (Pacific Time)