Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 71 49.3% 22.85 56.34% -0.089 -0.1162 -0.288
Blitz 0 66 27.69% 13.8 34.85% -0.752 -0.5017 -0.575
Dahan Insurrection 4 102 28.43% 42.18 52.94% 0.642 0.3937 0.67
Despicable Theft 2 38 39.47% 25.97 55.26% -0.349 0.113 -0.559
Elemental Invocation 1 42 35.71% 23.86 47.62% 0.0 0.7028 -0.009
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 320 15.63% 38.57 69.38% 0.473 -0.0793 1.292
Powers Long Forgotten 1 67 44.78% 24.48 59.7% 0.21 0.8339 0.324
Rituals of Terror 3 40 45.0% 36.48 52.5% -0.959 -0.7662 -0.034
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 14 21.43% 12.57 21.43% 0.0 0.9223 -0.186
Second Wave 0 213 47.78% 26.73 69.01% -0.816 -0.6986 0.0
The Great River 3 30 26.67% 17.5 36.67% -0.772 0.2955 0.0
Varied Terrains 2 67 47.76% 23.76 50.75% -1.022 -0.2807 -0.06
Ward the Shores 2 40 47.5% 23.77 52.5% 0.44 1.5238 0.591

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 3787 50.63% 23.56 59.36% 0.045 0.572 0.063
1 Thematic 189 44.92% 25.44 41.8% -0.499 0.3549 -0.313
2 Archipelago 9 11.11% 27.22 66.67% -0.319 0.7355 0.0
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 1088 47.76% 24.93 61.49% -0.044 0.2336 0.618
2 Coastline 172 38.41% 24.8 65.12% 0.262 0.3647 -0.781
2 Fragment 31 54.84% 28.77 77.42% 0.295 0.3076 0.0
2 Heart 16 68.75% 30.44 68.75% -0.264 -0.1523 -0.115
2 Opposite Shores 241 37.24% 24.7 71.37% -0.191 0.1454 0.167
2 Thematic 102 44.55% 28.74 58.82% -0.187 0.5025 0.294
2 Top to Top 41 52.5% 23.32 68.29% 0.424 0.6664 -0.316
3 Archipelago 10 30.0% 37.2 80.0% 0.0 -0.7206 0.505
3 Coastline 12 33.33% 29.67 75.0% 0.0 -0.3403 0.0
3 Other 32 25.0% 22.38 71.88% 0.219 -0.3826 -0.301
3 Round (Default) 760 40.33% 27.89 70.0% 0.961 0.9671 0.912
3 Sunrise 14 21.43% 15.71 35.71% 0.0 -0.0616 0.0
3 Thematic 32 62.07% 23.97 46.88% -0.49 -0.4055 -0.239
4 Archipelago 11 54.55% 27.45 54.55% -0.49 -0.3396 0.38
4 Coastline 4 25.0% 21.75 50.0% 0.0 -0.7584 0.0
4 Leaf 6 83.33% 10.0 33.33% -0.052 0.0849 0.0
4 Other 13 50.0% 22.31 69.23% 0.0 -0.619 0.425
4 Thematic 34 38.24% 23.21 47.06% 0.644 0.9117 0.367
4 Trapezoid (Default) 367 33.43% 28.48 64.31% 0.065 0.2289 0.307
5 Archipelago 6 50.0% 27.83 50.0% 0.0 -0.8784 -0.455
5 Coastline 1 0.0% 21.0 100.0% 0.0 0.0963 0.261
5 Other 51 25.49% 20.8 58.82% 0.112 -0.2737 -0.923
5 Thematic 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.7973 0.0
6 Archipelago 13 7.69% 37.62 76.92% -0.14 -1.2502 0.247
6 Coastline 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.8372 0.0
6 Other 58 46.55% 32.47 65.52% 0.0 -0.0305 -0.02
6 Star 25 16.0% 25.08 72.0% 0.434 0.4168 -0.038
6 Thematic 91 20.88% 34.1 53.85% 0.097 0.1998 -1.062
6 Two Centers (Default) 115 17.54% 23.87 66.09% -0.716 -0.1517 0.285
7 Other 6 0.0% 6.5 16.67% -0.137 -0.5715 -0.288

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 215 26.8 50.7% 0.35 0.5989 -0.166
Aid From Lesser Spirits 159 32.58 59.12% 0.326 0.2077 0.634
All Things Weaken 168 25.18 46.43% -0.644 -0.307 0.259
Attenuated Essence 93 26.34 54.84% 0.036 0.0623 -0.302
Back Against the Wall 155 32.77 59.35% 0.658 0.6593 0.419
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 82 21.02 46.34% -0.791 -0.5743 -0.87
Burn Brightest Before the End 64 29.02 64.06% 0.205 0.1865 0.711
Disintegrating Ecosystem 183 26.48 54.1% 0.3 0.6928 1.121
Downward Spiral 301 24.47 55.81% -0.505 -0.397 -0.097
Erosion of Will 196 27.64 51.02% 0.675 1.0274 -0.14
Intensifying Exploitation 90 25.26 46.67% -0.182 0.0631 0.164
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 59 27.95 79.66% 0.093 -0.4313 1.227
Memory Fades to Dust 286 25.02 56.64% 0.293 0.5408 0.426
Power Corrodes the Spirit 170 25.52 46.47% -0.792 -0.5704 -0.2
Promising Farmlands 158 25.7 48.1% -0.374 -0.0908 0.057
Shattered Fragments of Power 62 25.42 48.39% -1.109 -1.032 -0.709
Slow Dissolution of Will 83 26.47 53.01% 0.546 0.9426 0.182
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 53 25.19 66.04% 0.175 -0.5201 0.356
The Border of Life and Death 28 27.25 71.43% -0.426 -1.0268 1.306
Thriving Communities 204 25.33 58.33% 0.4 0.7564 0.426
Thriving Crops 38 21.82 60.53% 0.185 -0.0114 -0.561
Unnatural Proliferation 212 28.88 58.49% 0.624 0.7866 0.453
Untended Land Crumbles 181 24.98 50.83% -0.817 -0.5853 -0.183

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 1794 41.56% 24.92 62.26% 0.077 1.082 0.216
B 1772 40.69% 25.27 62.81% -0.169 0.7509 0.248
C 1936 41.71% 25.84 65.24% 0.525 1.2591 0.421
D 1618 40.27% 25.47 63.35% -0.231 0.7473 0.227
E 1552 43.0% 25.78 63.53% 0.064 0.8832 -0.065
F 1441 42.35% 25.83 63.91% 0.829 1.703 0.079
G 1279 44.46% 24.94 62.63% -0.149 0.6608 -0.118
H 1263 40.49% 26.15 65.32% -0.483 0.3314 -0.075
East 349 39.65% 29.44 51.0% 0.592 1.4945 -0.663
Northeast 230 36.44% 30.66 52.61% -0.061 0.747 -0.393
Northwest 207 31.37% 28.5 49.76% -0.322 0.578 0.616
Southeast 171 33.92% 29.57 50.88% -0.747 0.1035 0.04
Southwest 149 32.21% 28.25 48.99% -0.125 1.2503 -0.45
West 310 37.91% 26.52 47.74% 0.228 1.1833 -0.103

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 253 0.0% 16.35 47.04% -1.384 -0.6765 0.273
Not Using Events or Tokens 360 44.49% 14.54 48.89% -0.32 0.0484 -0.053
Skip Initial Invader Actions 179 7.52% 30.16 82.12% 1.394 0.8095 0.0
Start of Game Growth 282 16.67% 33.94 79.79% 0.247 -0.2672 0.735
Unlimited Undo 652 37.81% 23.39 55.52% -0.19 -0.2992 0.186
Using Tokens but Not Events 871 35.47% 21.89 69.12% 0.348 0.3224 -0.767

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Spread of Rampant Green 269 33.21% 28.8 74.35% 0.615 0.5098 0.403
A Spread of Rampant Green — Regrowth 34 35.29% 23.41 61.76% -0.1 -0.58 0.267
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 100 38.78% 27.12 65.0% -0.845 -0.7199 0.006
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 45 37.78% 24.0 60.0% -0.234 -1.0806 0.354
Dances Up Earthquakes 14 23.08% 10.29 35.71% -0.364 -0.3277 0.0
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 178 29.24% 22.45 58.99% 0.054 -0.0828 -1.099
Downpour Drenches the World 219 34.72% 25.41 67.58% 0.211 0.4174 0.448
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 151 39.2% 29.04 71.52% 0.829 0.2178 -0.244
Eyes Watch From the Trees 220 29.95% 27.08 70.45% 1.05 0.6748 -0.131
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 202 31.5% 26.13 59.9% -0.952 -1.3424 -0.101
Finder of Paths Unseen 127 35.43% 26.37 68.5% -0.083 0.6367 0.088
Fractured Days Split the Sky 76 29.33% 25.92 60.53% -0.217 0.3938 0.185
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 160 35.0% 29.22 57.5% 0.515 0.4157 -0.052
Heart of the Wildfire 94 43.96% 23.46 52.13% 0.721 1.058 -0.994
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 252 35.48% 33.91 75.0% -0.135 -0.5656 0.18
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 72 20.83% 21.08 50.0% 0.26 -0.0542 -0.801
Lightning's Swift Strike 110 41.75% 23.04 64.55% -0.516 -0.2859 -0.151
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 240 38.82% 27.53 74.58% 0.235 -0.2094 -0.226
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 99 44.9% 25.52 73.74% 1.001 0.6903 0.585
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 87 19.77% 25.37 70.11% 0.428 0.2855 0.693
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 234 36.09% 30.1 64.96% 0.794 0.5665 0.136
Many Minds Move as One 116 36.52% 25.81 56.9% -0.353 -0.596 0.72
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 283 26.81% 33.14 69.26% 0.428 0.5374 0.688
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 41 34.21% 25.88 53.66% -0.575 -0.4566 0.322
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 194 41.67% 25.65 61.34% -0.725 -0.7714 -0.201
River Surges in Sunlight 112 31.0% 23.06 60.71% -1.733 -1.6024 0.173
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 36 26.47% 23.86 58.33% -1.204 -1.0287 -0.034
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 114 26.55% 19.74 62.28% -0.046 0.2521 -0.429
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 345 32.94% 33.28 73.33% 0.662 0.5778 0.739
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 172 43.37% 26.26 59.88% -0.019 -0.1303 0.344
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 19 42.11% 22.53 47.37% -0.789 -0.9067 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 145 33.33% 31.86 60.69% 1.028 1.0765 0.214
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 94 33.33% 28.07 62.77% 0.164 -0.051 -0.262
Shifting Memory of Ages 145 46.21% 26.39 60.0% -0.359 -0.0647 -0.106
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 26 8.0% 14.5 46.15% -0.606 -0.7247 -0.017
Shroud of Silent Mist 100 40.4% 20.62 51.0% -0.284 0.0438 -0.31
Starlight Seeks its Form 153 39.07% 29.65 67.97% 0.359 0.26 0.252
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 152 50.0% 26.58 56.58% -0.684 -1.2148 -0.34
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 170 32.32% 23.29 60.0% -0.688 -0.6108 -0.093
Thunderspeaker 156 39.74% 32.58 64.74% 0.737 0.7727 0.78
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 112 30.36% 27.41 62.5% 0.008 0.0661 0.027
Towering Roots of the Jungle 43 30.23% 19.12 55.81% 0.321 0.4708 -0.536
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 95 57.89% 24.24 47.37% 0.227 0.3732 -0.333
Vital Strength of the Earth 80 29.33% 20.61 62.5% 0.18 0.7483 -0.606
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 248 32.1% 24.25 68.15% 0.697 1.2184 0.031
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 96 41.05% 22.84 52.08% -0.697 0.0448 -0.455
Volcano Looming High 138 54.74% 25.19 55.07% -0.814 -0.7993 -0.031
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 67 40.3% 24.18 64.18% 1.045 0.7532 0.112

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Concealing Shadows 77.87%
Crops Wither and Fade 90.08%
Favors Called Due 88.87%
Mantle of Dread 88.87%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 1600 13.33 2.69%
II 2204 30.1 54.72%
III 2616 34.83 89.37%
IV 919 38.67 99.13%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 43
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 2296
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 1158
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 902
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1455
Lose: Invader deck ran out 14
Lose: Adversary condition 359
Win: Sacrifice victory 24
Lose: Scenario condition 60
Win: Scenario condition 75
Lose: Blight pool ran out 905
Lose: Spirit destroyed 48

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.576 Win Model: -0.136

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.352 Win Model: -0.425
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 4005 50.15% 23.66 58.45%
2 1694 45.81% 25.27 63.93%
3 844 39.5% 27.38 68.84%
4 436 35.38% 27.6 62.16%
5 55 30.91% 20.53 60.0%
6 305 22.37% 28.87 61.97%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)