Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 165 21.82% 25.53 70.3% 0.079 -0.1413 0.226
Blitz 0 4166 23.94% 33.05 76.02% 0.039 0.3261 0.499
Dahan Insurrection 4 3468 22.01% 53.99 68.77% -0.045 -0.1595 0.416
Despicable Theft 2 256 30.47% 29.97 58.59% -0.946 -0.2073 -0.235
Elemental Invocation 1 658 40.49% 28.52 57.75% -0.042 0.7147 -1.571
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 12898 11.32% 42.69 72.58% 0.059 -0.5229 0.464
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1121 39.8% 33.93 64.76% -0.313 0.5407 -1.001
Rituals of Terror 3 1824 32.24% 45.71 73.14% 0.31 0.1402 0.992
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 604 55.24% 34.84 66.39% -0.023 0.8877 0.015
Second Wave 0 8860 32.58% 30.16 78.94% 0.335 0.4146 0.121
The Great River 3 377 36.53% 30.4 62.07% -0.752 0.6114 -1.444
Varied Terrains 2 511 33.66% 25.44 59.88% 0.075 0.9542 -0.674
Ward the Shores 2 1402 31.61% 32.3 62.05% -1.171 -0.1894 -1.123

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 87395 29.28% 26.3 71.21% 0.294 0.6383 0.414
1 Thematic 5413 34.87% 33.27 65.1% -0.016 0.5117 0.338
2 Archipelago 86 24.42% 28.9 67.44% -0.473 0.0257 0.531
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 66033 37.53% 30.13 74.33% 0.153 0.4371 0.519
2 Coastline 10079 31.04% 28.97 77.1% 0.348 0.3775 0.557
2 Fragment 1944 40.31% 26.78 74.38% 0.603 0.3656 1.109
2 Heart 1632 22.85% 25.58 84.07% -0.3 -0.4481 0.588
2 Opposite Shores 12891 35.14% 29.87 74.28% 0.35 0.4092 -0.143
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.4338 0.0
2 Thematic 4672 41.96% 35.61 63.93% -0.012 0.3584 0.347
2 Top to Top 2057 35.17% 29.71 72.82% -0.304 -0.1807 0.357
3 Archipelago 121 33.06% 43.07 83.47% 1.026 0.2289 0.715
3 Coastline 280 35.23% 31.71 74.64% -0.104 -0.653 0.506
3 Other 1726 32.47% 28.29 72.31% -0.407 -0.9443 0.396
3 Round (Default) 38943 32.63% 32.79 76.74% 0.293 0.1997 0.076
3 Sunrise 176 25.32% 26.38 73.86% 0.0 0.151 1.35
3 Thematic 1505 38.34% 38.77 64.65% -0.712 -1.2305 0.127
4 Archipelago 146 30.71% 34.5 76.71% 0.125 0.558 -0.12
4 Coastline 182 20.45% 32.32 72.53% 0.274 -0.486 0.162
4 Leaf 223 40.09% 32.36 72.65% -0.175 -0.386 -0.692
4 Other 1361 34.25% 34.35 75.75% -0.608 -0.6005 0.637
4 Reverse Snake 10 33.33% 26.0 80.0% 0.0 0.9371 0.0
4 Snake 9 22.22% 39.33 88.89% 0.0 -0.0705 -0.363
4 Thematic 6623 25.64% 53.09 73.82% -0.495 -0.3613 -0.167
4 Trapezoid (Default) 30841 27.05% 34.21 77.76% 0.089 0.1962 -0.529
5 Archipelago 36 50.0% 42.92 80.56% 0.0 0.168 -0.638
5 Coastline 37 8.82% 34.49 94.59% 0.0 -0.5066 0.223
5 Other 1315 27.43% 32.99 80.08% 0.371 -0.1438 -0.259
5 Thematic 213 30.05% 51.74 75.59% 0.721 -0.2612 0.291
6 Archipelago 265 8.5% 55.31 79.25% 0.684 -0.0458 -1.367
6 Coastline 85 8.16% 33.12 87.06% 0.05 -0.9895 -0.639
6 Other 621 23.24% 36.04 68.44% -1.111 -0.4762 -1.868
6 Star 335 25.75% 31.71 65.07% -0.29 -0.0457 -1.826
6 Thematic 1526 20.75% 32.94 57.8% -0.944 -0.6207 -1.792
6 Two Centers (Default) 2045 17.32% 32.32 68.02% -0.565 -0.6684 -2.207
7 Archipelago 23 30.43% 58.35 73.91% 0.329 0.9203 -0.656
7 Other 31 20.69% 27.9 67.74% 0.142 -1.2947 -0.962
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.039

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5434 32.1 55.37% -0.827 -0.7236 -0.099
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5362 33.36 59.18% 0.026 -0.1189 -0.022
All Things Weaken 2587 32.21 53.03% -0.464 -0.0984 -0.259
Attenuated Essence 348 27.24 48.56% 0.398 0.3969 -0.552
Back Against the Wall 5254 32.74 54.66% 0.545 0.6099 -0.171
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 304 27.98 44.74% -0.344 -0.1094 -0.561
Burn Brightest Before the End 281 30.57 43.42% 0.24 0.4009 -0.765
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5362 29.32 52.13% -0.762 -0.3861 -0.304
Downward Spiral 16270 24.64 54.25% -0.147 -0.0752 -0.195
Erosion of Will 5459 30.3 51.73% -0.552 -0.2959 -0.357
Intensifying Exploitation 353 27.35 46.46% -0.341 -0.0673 -0.058
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1275 36.59 73.25% 0.509 0.0219 0.292
Memory Fades to Dust 16165 24.38 51.23% -0.43 -0.2468 -0.292
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2520 30.31 51.75% -0.76 -0.5472 -0.324
Promising Farmlands 5385 29.39 52.31% -0.493 -0.1698 -0.527
Shattered Fragments of Power 272 33.67 52.21% -0.56 -0.3892 0.381
Slow Dissolution of Will 254 26.59 44.88% -0.381 0.0031 -0.692
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 855 36.59 79.06% 0.329 -0.3474 0.367
The Border of Life and Death 102 31.01 58.82% -0.095 -0.6116 0.371
Thriving Communities 2605 30.4 51.32% 0.008 0.3324 -0.343
Thriving Crops 176 29.75 57.39% 0.47 0.4713 -0.294
Tipping Point 2082 30.19 53.65% 0.0 0.0 -0.226
Unnatural Proliferation 2673 32.47 53.72% -0.976 -0.7893 -0.192
Untended Land Crumbles 2630 30.1 50.57% -0.327 0.0116 -0.234

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 103547 30.82% 30.62 75.53% -0.185 0.6786 -0.014
B 106913 30.96% 30.81 75.52% -0.281 0.5406 -0.142
C 104104 31.61% 30.75 75.29% -0.325 0.373 -0.11
D 98378 31.76% 30.33 75.04% -0.369 0.4873 -0.06
E 30537 33.42% 32.6 72.81% -0.127 0.5613 -0.181
F 41192 32.24% 32.31 74.49% -0.104 0.7141 0.035
G 37209 31.83% 32.28 74.82% -0.158 0.7225 -0.11
H 37232 31.51% 32.41 75.06% -0.19 0.5909 -0.095
East 16680 31.28% 42.9 68.17% -0.03 0.7627 -0.445
Northeast 12133 29.3% 44.92 68.75% -0.432 0.4488 -0.206
Northwest 10393 29.34% 45.15 67.64% -0.391 0.4799 0.164
Southeast 3808 26.74% 37.47 65.91% 0.29 1.1491 -0.378
Southwest 3591 27.65% 36.19 64.94% -0.539 0.6706 -0.991
West 15232 32.14% 42.73 66.78% -0.355 0.7052 -0.997

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 18619 0.0% 18.58 67.69% -0.557 0.1585 0.635
Not Using Events or Tokens 79531 28.4% 23.94 73.53% -0.221 0.2531 -0.436
Skip Initial Invader Actions 11790 8.45% 38.61 85.73% 0.416 -0.1516 -0.31
Start of Game Growth 16274 10.84% 38.23 84.83% 0.213 -0.4509 0.386
Unlimited Undo 29802 22.9% 32.84 80.34% 0.247 0.2698 0.357
Using Tokens but Not Events 29949 21.93% 31.0 79.09% 0.266 0.3139 -0.16

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 9063 40.89% 29.17 70.41% 0.105 0.373 -0.099
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 282 22.78% 26.11 55.67% 0.055 -0.5126 -1.123
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 7005 29.81% 31.57 78.56% 0.123 -0.0076 -0.13
Downpour Drenches the World 2690 24.41% 31.72 63.49% -0.151 0.1186 0.017
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1895 28.82% 28.5 64.75% 0.088 -0.3441 0.272
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7903 25.26% 31.78 77.98% 0.131 -0.2919 -0.254
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6448 27.27% 32.85 76.13% 0.245 -0.2006 -0.347
Finder of Paths Unseen 1231 25.64% 34.16 68.07% -0.181 0.4765 0.781
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3855 26.39% 43.99 74.94% -0.042 0.7659 0.704
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1741 37.08% 31.53 69.27% -0.498 -0.6154 0.175
Heart of the Wildfire 17115 48.19% 36.57 74.37% -0.004 0.2835 0.154
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 27058 29.06% 36.35 78.02% 0.227 -0.1656 -0.068
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 445 23.7% 30.13 64.04% -0.154 -0.559 -0.715
Lightning's Swift Strike 27547 30.4% 30.1 76.67% -0.21 0.0568 -0.423
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1409 27.64% 39.37 67.99% -0.021 -0.3721 0.051
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1580 30.94% 33.64 71.14% -0.13 -0.5711 0.349
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2206 31.3% 35.79 71.26% 0.197 0.1543 0.122
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 7011 33.98% 34.24 73.31% 0.214 -0.0367 -0.065
Many Minds Move as One 2940 30.76% 32.68 76.97% 0.173 -0.0575 0.325
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 31405 28.79% 37.34 76.26% 0.304 0.1998 0.429
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 7944 26.54% 35.23 79.9% 0.069 -0.0872 0.692
River Surges in Sunlight 26948 26.56% 35.53 77.76% 0.427 0.5156 0.745
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 20 21.05% 17.0 55.0% -0.242 -0.3537 -0.466
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2394 23.67% 35.48 69.63% -0.51 -0.12 -0.287
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1208 31.35% 31.11 60.68% -0.838 -0.7009 -0.352
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 30845 30.44% 36.27 74.96% 0.011 -0.1824 0.244
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 8753 42.54% 26.3 72.99% -0.015 0.4709 -0.477
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 219 30.66% 29.55 76.71% -0.16 -0.1044 1.0
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 248 38.11% 34.75 75.0% 0.435 -0.0329 0.792
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 282 25.71% 27.13 72.7% -0.35 -0.1348 0.037
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 705 38.05% 31.5 75.74% -0.076 -0.0465 -0.065
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 615 38.28% 29.91 77.4% -1.245 -1.0728 0.041
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 11815 27.56% 34.89 79.75% 0.41 0.2572 0.163
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 490 25.56% 24.92 56.33% 0.377 0.1783 -1.034
Shifting Memory of Ages 3660 31.1% 32.22 66.86% -0.314 0.1353 -0.109
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 66 17.19% 26.71 68.18% 0.41 0.1054 0.35
Shroud of Silent Mist 3046 34.68% 29.21 73.15% 0.184 0.5203 -0.173
Starlight Seeks its Form 4318 26.26% 34.22 69.57% 0.766 0.7107 0.254
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 8361 34.48% 35.98 71.43% 0.054 -0.5689 0.121
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5276 28.03% 34.74 80.67% 0.179 0.3722 0.716
Thunderspeaker 21046 30.84% 29.44 73.12% -0.251 -0.3051 -0.086
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 287 20.98% 20.62 52.26% -0.885 -0.7509 -0.809
Towering Roots of the Jungle 136 26.72% 25.51 67.65% 0.428 0.4368 -0.401
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3474 49.72% 32.62 72.63% -0.416 -0.3327 0.083
Vital Strength of the Earth 21140 20.5% 30.4 77.34% 0.146 0.74 0.052
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1535 22.51% 35.17 64.17% 0.009 0.4487 -0.226
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 1037 31.8% 30.56 66.06% 0.005 0.6965 -0.335
Volcano Looming High 4666 43.15% 33.12 70.92% 0.246 0.3492 0.158
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 723 23.16% 28.96 70.54% 0.692 0.4397 -0.375

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Fields Choked with Growth 81.4%
Gift of Proliferation 79.73%
Overgrow in a Night 82.54%
Stem the Flow of Fresh Water 83.61%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 49386 15.45 17.45%
II 106337 30.45 78.45%
III 94453 34.8 89.24%
IV 30832 38.47 99.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 8614
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 82691
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 80359
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 30481
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 18601
Lose: Invader deck ran out 4712
Lose: Adversary condition 17774
Win: Sacrifice victory 555
Lose: Scenario condition 3375
Win: Scenario condition 4313
Lose: Blight pool ran out 28436
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1097

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.297 Win Model: -0.116

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.011 Win Model: 0.047
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 93173 29.64% 26.69 70.77%
2 99729 36.56% 30.17 74.31%
3 42721 32.73% 33.03 76.22%
4 39422 27.09% 37.18 77.05%
5 1166 25.33% 29.34 71.18%
6 4797 18.89% 34.52 66.67%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-16 06:48:00 (Pacific Time)