Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 219 20.55% 25.28 72.15% 0.177 0.1493 0.292
Blitz 0 4556 23.47% 32.01 73.53% 0.283 0.5338 0.632
Dahan Insurrection 4 3794 21.87% 51.93 66.13% 0.177 -0.0713 0.48
Despicable Theft 2 296 30.74% 28.77 56.08% -0.584 -0.1226 -0.301
Elemental Invocation 1 763 38.45% 28.39 58.19% -0.615 0.0879 -1.471
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 14157 11.12% 42.03 71.11% 0.175 -0.3779 0.523
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1227 38.84% 32.31 61.7% -0.488 0.1352 -0.98
Rituals of Terror 3 2065 30.97% 43.79 69.78% -0.233 -0.0407 0.924
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 672 53.21% 32.98 63.24% -0.47 0.4522 -0.054
Second Wave 0 9560 32.22% 29.99 78.13% 0.32 0.4371 0.274
The Great River 3 429 34.66% 29.32 60.61% -0.595 0.4729 -1.463
Varied Terrains 2 654 32.72% 25.04 58.1% -0.426 0.3149 -0.852
Ward the Shores 2 1490 30.93% 31.51 61.07% -0.125 0.9592 -1.096

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 98449 28.63% 25.43 69.06% 0.75 1.2761 0.472
1 Thematic 5761 34.42% 32.54 63.67% 0.563 1.4173 0.397
2 Archipelago 106 26.67% 28.4 66.98% 0.373 1.4278 0.418
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 73054 37.09% 29.26 72.28% 0.535 0.8129 0.53
2 Coastline 11129 30.56% 28.34 75.24% 0.681 0.7833 0.466
2 Fragment 2168 39.47% 25.85 72.19% 0.911 0.9239 1.196
2 Heart 1747 23.86% 25.03 82.26% 0.311 0.4224 0.608
2 Opposite Shores 14378 34.89% 28.88 72.35% 0.563 0.8996 -0.144
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.1553 0.0
2 Thematic 5053 41.11% 34.91 62.3% 0.494 1.1832 0.292
2 Top to Top 2324 34.47% 28.8 71.0% 0.295 0.537 0.401
3 Archipelago 150 34.0% 41.73 75.33% 0.492 -0.2284 0.488
3 Coastline 313 34.01% 30.93 72.52% 0.872 0.5313 0.49
3 Other 1916 32.42% 27.09 70.15% 0.171 -0.4316 0.402
3 Round (Default) 43226 32.35% 31.95 75.19% 0.506 0.5121 0.033
3 Sunrise 190 23.26% 25.63 73.68% -0.357 -0.4184 1.376
3 Thematic 1684 38.12% 37.43 62.05% 0.011 0.095 0.195
4 Archipelago 170 30.49% 33.31 72.94% -0.352 -0.2012 -0.268
4 Coastline 197 20.42% 32.11 72.59% 0.343 -0.4159 0.316
4 Leaf 247 42.02% 31.15 70.45% 1.316 1.4526 -0.676
4 Other 1458 34.01% 32.91 73.32% -0.229 -0.8478 0.638
4 Reverse Snake 12 27.27% 24.83 83.33% 0.377 0.0507 0.0
4 Snake 10 20.0% 35.4 80.0% -0.372 -0.7621 -0.372
4 Thematic 6942 25.44% 51.85 72.15% -0.233 0.035 -0.239
4 Trapezoid (Default) 33911 26.65% 33.12 75.6% -0.205 -0.0409 -0.61
5 Archipelago 52 51.92% 39.15 75.0% 1.143 0.2642 -0.831
5 Coastline 50 8.51% 30.92 82.0% -0.563 -0.4662 -0.621
5 Other 1576 29.3% 31.7 77.54% -0.119 -0.5054 -0.395
5 Thematic 228 30.26% 49.74 73.25% -0.418 -1.2155 0.26
6 Archipelago 498 4.38% 61.98 79.72% 0.545 -0.5646 -1.176
6 Coastline 110 5.41% 36.87 84.55% -0.091 -0.9279 -0.625
6 Other 790 22.58% 32.63 62.41% -1.035 -1.0651 -2.246
6 Star 444 24.15% 30.37 64.41% -0.652 -0.6695 -2.027
6 Thematic 1773 20.26% 31.56 55.22% -1.394 -1.2906 -1.876
6 Two Centers (Default) 2457 17.32% 29.86 63.98% -2.256 -1.6909 -2.354
7 Archipelago 23 30.43% 58.35 73.91% 0.0 -0.0747 -0.583
7 Other 40 21.05% 23.4 57.5% -0.156 -0.5899 -1.339
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.048

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5781 31.77 54.63% -0.652 -0.4028 -0.042
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5673 33.08 58.58% -0.478 -0.5968 0.066
All Things Weaken 2859 31.71 51.98% -0.048 0.2894 -0.128
Attenuated Essence 498 27.02 49.0% 0.192 0.2188 -0.507
Back Against the Wall 5550 32.53 54.52% -0.306 -0.3048 -0.046
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 470 27.93 45.53% -0.797 -0.5797 -0.285
Burn Brightest Before the End 411 30.22 45.01% -0.294 -0.3126 -0.547
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5662 28.86 51.47% -0.635 -0.2419 -0.215
Downward Spiral 17924 23.95 53.18% -0.436 -0.328 -0.103
Erosion of Will 5783 29.97 51.08% -0.552 -0.1999 -0.266
Intensifying Exploitation 499 26.07 47.29% -0.3 -0.0543 -0.097
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1459 35.97 73.34% 1.214 0.6899 0.381
Memory Fades to Dust 17753 23.78 50.34% -0.286 -0.0388 -0.165
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2807 29.75 51.12% -0.372 -0.1503 -0.221
Promising Farmlands 5735 29.01 51.79% -0.383 -0.0998 -0.444
Shattered Fragments of Power 423 31.8 50.12% -0.349 -0.2718 0.147
Slow Dissolution of Will 398 26.84 44.22% -0.263 0.1345 -0.584
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 935 35.98 77.97% 0.421 -0.2742 0.378
The Border of Life and Death 146 30.1 62.33% 0.289 -0.3114 0.363
Thriving Communities 2893 29.84 50.64% -0.543 -0.1863 -0.266
Thriving Crops 247 29.28 57.49% -0.134 -0.3299 -0.315
Tipping Point 2083 30.18 53.62% 0.0 0.4341 -0.116
Unnatural Proliferation 2978 31.85 52.62% -0.393 -0.2305 -0.169
Untended Land Crumbles 2910 29.76 49.55% -0.625 -0.3933 -0.175

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 115401 30.33% 29.68 73.28% -0.281 0.7238 -0.108
B 118650 30.55% 29.91 73.39% -0.12 0.7992 -0.2
C 115568 31.13% 29.87 73.14% -0.324 0.4103 -0.209
D 109275 31.24% 29.44 72.88% -0.204 0.7744 -0.168
E 35208 32.84% 31.42 70.79% -0.145 0.6749 -0.273
F 46388 31.66% 31.33 72.73% -0.03 0.8439 -0.051
G 41897 31.29% 31.47 73.03% -0.057 0.7521 -0.194
H 41801 30.97% 31.69 73.3% -0.049 0.7661 -0.173
East 17982 30.92% 41.61 66.16% -0.221 0.6818 -0.476
Northeast 13084 28.98% 43.46 66.47% -0.593 0.215 -0.315
Northwest 11151 28.85% 43.64 65.55% -0.481 0.4193 0.031
Southeast 4249 26.23% 36.13 63.94% -0.053 0.7974 -0.502
Southwest 4000 26.96% 34.96 63.05% 0.482 1.8574 -1.039
West 16354 31.64% 41.42 64.9% -0.466 0.4892 -1.071

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 21282 0.0% 17.75 64.66% -1.019 -0.3109 0.515
Not Using Events or Tokens 91431 27.87% 22.99 70.51% -0.08 0.2885 -0.524
Skip Initial Invader Actions 12666 8.39% 37.78 84.11% 0.015 -0.5694 -0.155
Start of Game Growth 17576 10.93% 37.34 82.92% 0.236 -0.2785 0.258
Unlimited Undo 33036 22.71% 31.9 78.08% 0.182 0.0722 0.336
Using Tokens but Not Events 33451 21.98% 30.44 77.02% 0.003 -0.0224 -0.235

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 10060 40.03% 27.95 67.77% -0.602 -0.4763 -0.165
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 445 25.0% 25.86 51.46% -0.201 -1.0479 -1.127
Dances Up Earthquakes 359 27.65% 25.77 66.02% 0.038 0.0744 -0.101
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 7717 29.37% 30.66 76.55% -0.043 -0.1795 -0.087
Downpour Drenches the World 3248 23.91% 30.16 61.39% 0.053 0.2599 -0.066
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2471 27.04% 27.99 64.27% 0.018 -0.5931 0.238
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8906 25.07% 30.92 76.02% -0.114 -0.4898 -0.267
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7371 26.45% 33.0 74.06% -0.224 -0.6142 -0.399
Finder of Paths Unseen 1510 26.67% 32.13 65.96% -0.137 0.5823 0.738
Fractured Days Split the Sky 4346 26.32% 41.16 71.65% -0.358 0.2532 0.613
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2096 35.28% 29.65 66.56% -0.264 -0.364 0.039
Heart of the Wildfire 18302 47.67% 35.57 72.92% -0.046 0.2909 0.168
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 28812 28.82% 35.78 76.96% 0.133 -0.2976 -0.01
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 636 24.68% 29.2 63.84% -0.03 -0.3446 -0.641
Lightning's Swift Strike 30190 29.9% 29.09 74.33% -0.374 -0.1447 -0.412
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1975 25.75% 41.03 67.04% 0.179 -0.2654 0.077
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1840 30.39% 32.17 67.77% 0.057 -0.2533 0.285
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2551 30.23% 34.7 69.58% 0.196 0.054 0.172
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 7862 33.6% 33.09 71.5% 0.001 -0.2274 -0.051
Many Minds Move as One 3406 30.39% 32.09 75.07% 0.366 0.123 0.378
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 34687 28.46% 36.16 74.06% 0.115 0.2241 0.468
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 531 31.31% 26.6 64.41% 0.283 0.4018 -0.148
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 8801 25.79% 35.27 78.67% 0.32 0.2739 0.745
River Surges in Sunlight 29693 26.25% 34.56 75.63% 0.195 0.325 0.754
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 119 18.64% 18.55 43.7% -0.597 -0.4212 -0.958
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2714 23.42% 34.04 67.54% -0.691 -0.3931 -0.255
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1516 30.76% 30.41 58.51% -0.052 -0.1358 -0.224
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 33162 29.92% 35.43 73.51% 0.13 0.019 0.279
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 177 26.86% 25.27 61.02% -0.442 -0.5601 0.778
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 9767 41.42% 25.21 70.52% -0.08 0.4144 -0.576
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 269 33.21% 28.8 74.35% 0.637 0.5853 0.854
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 373 36.96% 32.75 72.65% 1.047 0.5368 0.414
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 326 25.93% 26.85 72.09% 0.547 0.4197 0.185
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 782 38.66% 30.36 74.42% -0.024 -0.0128 0.042
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 693 38.42% 29.11 75.47% 0.294 0.4291 0.107
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 12452 27.6% 34.19 78.35% -0.26 -0.2111 0.156
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 681 24.41% 25.76 58.88% 0.057 -0.1576 -1.008
Shifting Memory of Ages 4164 30.59% 30.86 65.78% 0.004 0.2978 -0.002
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 302 17.91% 23.96 58.94% -0.298 -0.416 -0.318
Shroud of Silent Mist 3525 34.4% 28.11 70.89% -0.107 0.2208 -0.131
Starlight Seeks its Form 5292 25.26% 33.07 68.73% 0.623 0.5233 0.275
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 9157 34.03% 35.08 69.87% 0.314 -0.2164 0.134
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5715 27.93% 34.04 78.92% 0.089 0.166 0.743
Thunderspeaker 23514 30.71% 28.14 69.98% -0.524 -0.4879 -0.153
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 384 21.26% 20.03 50.52% 0.138 0.1967 -0.482
Towering Roots of the Jungle 471 24.95% 25.73 64.54% -0.044 0.106 -0.276
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3772 49.3% 31.76 71.1% -0.129 0.0174 0.078
Vital Strength of the Earth 23253 20.38% 29.45 75.11% 0.023 0.5909 0.026
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1797 22.63% 34.27 63.16% 0.084 0.6054 -0.156
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 1150 31.8% 29.55 64.09% -0.119 0.6223 -0.274
Volcano Looming High 5402 42.26% 32.44 69.49% 0.29 0.3049 0.339
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1064 24.48% 28.82 68.23% -0.033 -0.3255 -0.37

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Fields Choked with Growth 81.84%
Gift of Proliferation 80.16%
Overgrow in a Night 82.97%
Stem the Flow of Fresh Water 84.02%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 60935 13.33 15.21%
II 116063 30.1 77.84%
III 102531 34.83 89.1%
IV 33267 38.67 99.52%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 9260
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 89678
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 87168
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 32888
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 28869
Lose: Invader deck ran out 5087
Lose: Adversary condition 19053
Win: Sacrifice victory 599
Lose: Scenario condition 3584
Win: Scenario condition 4477
Lose: Blight pool ran out 30932
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1201

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.681 Win Model: -0.094

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.238 Win Model: 0.397
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 104641 28.97% 25.8 68.67%
2 110322 36.14% 29.31 72.32%
3 47448 32.46% 32.18 74.61%
4 42931 26.75% 35.93 75.01%
5 1473 27.74% 28.7 69.38%
6 5981 17.91% 33.66 63.74%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-08-07 03:46:17 (Pacific Time)