Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 71 16.9% 25.83 80.28% -0.127 -0.302 0.346
Blitz 0 3175 26.34% 34.35 80.98% 0.503 0.7941 0.123
Dahan Insurrection 4 2773 23.45% 60.05 76.24% -0.801 -1.0446 0.507
Despicable Theft 2 152 35.53% 36.54 73.03% -0.496 0.1286 0.087
Elemental Invocation 1 443 48.64% 30.25 61.4% -1.17 -0.3466 -1.333
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 10550 11.87% 44.95 76.38% 0.086 -0.4247 0.304
Powers Long Forgotten 1 919 42.53% 37.4 70.73% -0.312 0.0741 -0.886
Rituals of Terror 3 1412 34.63% 48.0 78.4% 0.212 0.01 1.029
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 497 57.89% 37.94 72.23% -0.796 0.0154 0.049
Second Wave 0 7243 33.26% 30.57 80.88% 0.482 0.6204 0.03
The Great River 3 272 39.63% 34.62 69.85% -2.267 -0.766 -1.158
Varied Terrains 2 173 35.84% 31.38 73.99% -0.263 0.2484 -0.6
Ward the Shores 2 1127 33.48% 36.09 68.94% -0.142 0.7916 -0.485

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 70366 30.08% 28.1 75.94% 0.317 0.629 0.057
1 Thematic 4632 36.74% 34.85 68.18% -0.624 0.0445 -0.22
2 Archipelago 51 25.49% 34.86 80.39% -0.538 0.3393 0.709
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 53923 38.45% 32.01 78.94% 0.364 0.6156 0.462
2 Coastline 7954 31.74% 30.91 82.66% 0.557 0.7447 0.434
2 Fragment 1579 40.61% 27.98 76.82% 0.304 0.3216 1.021
2 Heart 1452 21.38% 26.59 88.15% 0.17 0.0811 0.462
2 Opposite Shores 10331 36.32% 31.49 77.72% 0.359 0.5766 -0.432
2 Thematic 3938 43.6% 37.91 67.93% 0.248 0.9158 0.109
2 Top to Top 1609 35.67% 32.0 78.87% -0.461 -0.2043 0.364
3 Archipelago 69 30.43% 36.22 86.96% 0.38 -0.0235 0.029
3 Coastline 209 37.56% 33.94 77.99% 0.571 0.2579 0.397
3 Other 1374 35.12% 31.59 79.48% 0.313 -0.2328 0.397
3 Round (Default) 30928 32.94% 34.35 81.14% 0.188 0.208 0.188
3 Sunrise 115 33.33% 32.75 89.57% 0.47 -0.135 1.199
3 Thematic 1197 40.14% 42.67 71.43% -0.376 -0.5855 -0.074
4 Archipelago 80 36.49% 36.83 82.5% 0.569 0.7373 -0.134
4 Coastline 158 21.43% 35.06 77.22% 0.137 0.1427 0.699
4 Leaf 154 39.07% 36.53 76.62% 0.116 -0.3471 -0.345
4 Other 1128 34.46% 37.93 82.89% 0.47 -0.2167 0.631
4 Reverse Snake 8 28.57% 32.5 100.0% 0.0 -0.1864 0.0
4 Snake 7 28.57% 39.14 100.0% 0.0 0.4972 0.0
4 Thematic 6031 25.3% 55.26 76.7% -1.187 -1.2247 -0.023
4 Trapezoid (Default) 25582 27.64% 36.45 82.8% -0.319 -0.4673 -0.091
5 Archipelago 29 44.83% 39.28 75.86% 0.07 -0.848 -1.027
5 Coastline 20 0.0% 36.9 100.0% 0.436 0.25 0.22
5 Other 750 31.33% 38.77 88.53% -0.212 -0.6476 0.458
5 Thematic 162 30.25% 54.99 82.1% -0.262 -0.6529 0.511
6 Archipelago 84 21.21% 42.63 85.71% -0.678 -0.4373 -2.133
6 Coastline 47 18.18% 28.64 95.74% -0.399 -1.025 -0.619
6 Other 354 25.6% 40.71 76.84% -0.71 -1.0701 -1.437
6 Star 185 28.8% 36.0 63.78% -1.593 -0.9539 -1.488
6 Thematic 745 24.15% 42.82 76.64% -1.533 -1.3539 -0.771
6 Two Centers (Default) 929 19.41% 39.52 84.5% -1.389 -0.8755 -1.083
7 Archipelago 17 41.18% 61.65 82.35% 0.453 -0.9175 -0.61
7 Other 12 30.0% 36.08 100.0% 0.089 -0.5561 -0.094

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4818 32.7 56.75% -0.455 0.2712 -0.532
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4748 33.9 60.07% -0.476 0.0397 -0.452
All Things Weaken 2029 33.77 55.25% -0.547 0.2971 -0.597
Attenuated Essence 24 21.96 33.33% -1.15 -0.4372 -1.006
Back Against the Wall 4646 33.21 54.82% -0.618 -0.024 -0.601
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 15 22.07 26.67% -1.457 -0.4187 -1.101
Burn Brightest Before the End 13 20.0 23.08% -1.587 -0.7616 -1.502
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4678 29.9 52.54% -1.037 -0.1119 -0.733
Downward Spiral 13684 25.71 56.08% -0.836 -0.0941 -0.578
Erosion of Will 4785 30.94 52.62% -0.797 0.0636 -0.715
Intensifying Exploitation 16 33.0 37.5% -1.228 -0.2244 0.319
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1023 37.72 76.64% -0.217 -0.4149 -0.004
Memory Fades to Dust 13563 25.41 53.0% -1.089 -0.2036 -0.698
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1902 31.76 54.42% -0.722 -0.0251 -0.656
Promising Farmlands 4727 29.86 53.12% -1.12 -0.1715 -0.89
Shattered Fragments of Power 19 41.05 68.42% -0.037 0.6453 0.965
Slow Dissolution of Will 16 27.06 62.5% -0.173 0.8895 -1.231
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 670 37.39 81.64% 0.258 -0.1883 0.025
The Border of Life and Death 4 31.75 50.0% -0.213 0.0299 0.431
Thriving Communities 2021 31.32 52.45% -0.994 -0.0659 -0.787
Thriving Crops 8 28.25 37.5% -0.423 0.1758 -0.156
Tipping Point 2082 30.19 53.65% 0.0 -0.0768 -0.684
Unnatural Proliferation 2095 33.45 55.42% -0.534 0.1833 -0.601
Untended Land Crumbles 2064 31.42 52.52% -0.684 0.1041 -0.569

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 83491 31.82% 32.49 80.4% -0.413 0.4873 0.063
B 87170 31.91% 32.69 80.25% -0.551 0.2519 -0.057
C 84927 32.53% 32.57 80.05% -0.374 0.2739 -0.017
D 79935 32.62% 32.22 80.0% -0.419 0.4369 0.012
E 21358 34.82% 35.37 79.0% -0.294 0.3999 -0.088
F 31126 33.38% 34.7 79.74% -0.404 0.3746 0.042
G 28307 32.85% 34.47 80.13% -0.174 0.5864 -0.075
H 28325 32.76% 34.43 80.27% -0.194 0.5241 -0.032
East 13863 32.42% 46.3 73.11% -0.261 0.5589 -0.374
Northeast 10016 30.24% 48.87 74.26% -0.518 0.4069 0.089
Northwest 8594 30.37% 49.26 73.31% -0.503 0.113 0.491
Southeast 2592 29.46% 43.55 76.43% -0.066 0.6449 -0.416
Southwest 2417 30.04% 42.53 76.54% -0.938 0.334 -1.007
West 12666 33.26% 46.34 72.0% -0.457 0.6406 -0.991

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 14529 0.0% 20.34 74.32% -1.249 0.0015 0.548
Not Using Events or Tokens 62271 29.33% 25.9 79.8% 0.071 0.3046 -0.444
Skip Initial Invader Actions 9346 8.68% 40.54 91.71% 0.293 -0.3123 0.067
Start of Game Growth 13093 11.0% 40.24 90.12% 0.364 -0.0912 0.156
Unlimited Undo 23728 23.5% 34.75 86.16% 0.55 0.3577 0.603
Using Tokens but Not Events 23957 22.41% 32.67 83.98% -0.104 -0.1407 -0.059

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7326 100.0% 31.64 100.0% -0.622 -0.5804 -0.292
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5716 100.0% 33.26 100.0% 0.446 0.2968 -0.337
Downpour Drenches the World 1104 100.0% 39.15 100.0% 0.089 0.3659 0.147
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 316 100.0% 30.24 100.0% -0.063 -0.4402 -0.45
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6006 100.0% 34.51 100.0% 0.316 -0.1961 -0.191
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5198 100.0% 33.69 100.0% 0.134 -0.3091 -0.619
Finder of Paths Unseen 515 100.0% 41.9 100.0% -0.121 0.4972 1.057
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2646 100.0% 48.84 100.0% 0.156 0.6519 0.531
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1000 100.0% 36.15 100.0% 0.21 0.0712 0.157
Heart of the Wildfire 14734 100.0% 38.8 100.0% 0.115 0.3004 0.145
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 23155 100.0% 38.02 100.0% 0.121 -0.4405 -0.121
Lightning's Swift Strike 23378 108.73% 31.92 102.52% 0.038 0.3044 -0.448
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 450 28.41% 43.64 83.33% 0.301 -0.4688 0.654
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1079 33.12% 39.11 82.21% 0.284 -0.1037 0.446
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1505 32.15% 40.33 78.54% -0.257 -0.5143 -0.023
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 4889 100.0% 37.19 100.0% 0.399 0.2076 -0.062
Many Minds Move as One 2069 100.0% 35.3 100.0% 0.036 -0.3166 0.235
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 25606 100.0% 40.23 100.0% 0.271 0.1862 0.372
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 6469 100.0% 36.69 100.0% 0.017 -0.0812 0.36
River Surges in Sunlight 22715 106.46% 37.41 101.8% 0.343 0.2612 0.465
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1649 24.72% 41.19 78.96% -0.243 -0.0769 -0.422
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 362 31.64% 42.3 82.6% 0.026 -0.2106 0.429
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 25427 100.0% 38.36 100.0% 0.1 -0.0638 0.121
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 7298 110.54% 28.48 102.92% -0.145 0.2721 -0.422
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 98 25.0% 35.23 87.76% 0.418 0.4839 0.56
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 108 28.04% 31.36 87.04% -0.082 -0.0742 0.051
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 534 35.59% 34.14 80.71% 0.53 0.4778 -0.284
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 478 40.43% 32.72 82.43% 0.645 0.7824 0.033
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 10533 100.36% 36.34 100.21% 0.112 -0.0799 0.144
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 56 30.91% 23.68 60.71% -0.726 -0.7793 -0.592
Shifting Memory of Ages 2086 100.0% 37.8 100.0% -0.321 -0.06 -0.331
Shroud of Silent Mist 2052 100.0% 32.91 100.0% -0.488 -0.2057 0.16
Starlight Seeks its Form 2104 100.0% 39.91 100.0% -0.182 -0.3609 0.207
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6509 100.0% 38.08 100.0% 0.003 -0.5089 -0.04
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4369 100.0% 36.79 100.0% 0.08 0.1513 0.457
Thunderspeaker 17322 100.12% 31.92 100.06% -0.201 -0.26 -0.267
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 28 25.0% 21.14 64.29% -0.295 -0.15 -0.628
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2771 100.0% 33.52 100.0% -0.63 -0.6503 -0.3
Vital Strength of the Earth 17994 105.06% 32.13 101.68% -0.16 0.4469 -0.216
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 535 21.4% 43.35 82.43% 0.494 0.8108 0.228
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 767 34.61% 34.69 72.75% -0.893 0.0765 -0.384
Volcano Looming High 3192 100.0% 34.85 100.0% 0.055 0.051 -0.211

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Fields Choked with Growth 80.67%
Gift of Proliferation 78.62%
Overgrow in a Night 81.75%
Stem the Flow of Fresh Water 82.72%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 29746 21.93 25.74%
II 90206 31.09 79.89%
III 80241 34.71 89.47%
IV 26061 37.98 99.49%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 7650
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 70336
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 69272
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 25759
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 1078
Lose: Invader deck ran out 4075
Lose: Adversary condition 15434
Win: Sacrifice victory 476
Lose: Scenario condition 3037
Win: Scenario condition 3950
Lose: Blight pool ran out 24250
Lose: Spirit destroyed 937

Difficulty

Score Model: 2.181 Win Model: -0.125

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.311 Win Model: 0.337
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 75192 30.56% 28.53 75.44%
2 81149 37.45% 32.01 78.78%
3 33879 33.24% 34.76 80.85%
4 33224 27.43% 39.73 81.67%
5 481 28.06% 35.02 82.95%
6 2329 22.56% 40.55 80.08%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-15 02:23:33 (Pacific Time)