Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 91 15.38% 25.59 78.02% 0.29 0.0244 -0.29
Blitz 0 3306 25.86% 34.12 80.31% 0.139 0.2959 0.193
Dahan Insurrection 4 2870 23.0% 59.0 74.95% -0.511 -0.7792 0.504
Despicable Theft 2 157 35.03% 36.27 71.97% -0.739 0.0237 0.05
Elemental Invocation 1 466 47.74% 30.12 61.16% -0.575 0.1859 -1.301
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 10935 11.83% 44.51 75.53% 0.172 -0.4604 0.33
Powers Long Forgotten 1 946 42.16% 36.89 69.87% -0.424 0.1098 -1.005
Rituals of Terror 3 1447 34.83% 47.96 77.68% 0.374 0.4761 1.041
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 511 58.07% 37.47 71.43% -0.798 0.2082 0.01
Second Wave 0 7485 33.0% 30.5 80.57% 0.366 0.4319 0.026
The Great River 3 287 37.89% 33.77 68.64% -1.389 -0.066 -1.24
Varied Terrains 2 243 32.51% 28.13 66.26% -0.316 0.263 -1.001
Ward the Shores 2 1152 33.72% 35.76 68.14% -0.957 0.1975 -0.526

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 72274 29.99% 27.91 75.36% 0.794 0.9635 0.2
1 Thematic 4713 36.51% 34.66 67.77% -0.114 0.4764 -0.03
2 Archipelago 55 25.45% 33.69 80.0% 0.076 0.4519 0.664
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 55495 38.27% 31.73 78.25% 0.55 0.6621 0.501
2 Coastline 8246 31.65% 30.61 81.66% 0.592 0.5583 0.505
2 Fragment 1617 40.38% 27.8 76.25% 0.684 0.568 1.015
2 Heart 1467 21.45% 26.6 88.14% 1.283 0.9352 0.61
2 Opposite Shores 10679 36.36% 31.27 77.16% 0.687 0.7562 -0.314
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.332 0.8321 0.0
2 Thematic 4030 43.21% 37.54 67.27% -0.326 0.267 0.231
2 Top to Top 1673 35.81% 31.82 78.18% 0.268 0.2165 0.398
3 Archipelago 81 32.1% 43.75 86.42% 1.921 0.5001 0.349
3 Coastline 215 36.45% 33.64 78.14% 0.897 0.4234 0.549
3 Other 1414 34.91% 31.34 78.85% 0.568 0.8389 0.443
3 Round (Default) 31991 32.77% 34.12 80.47% 0.33 0.1723 0.204
3 Sunrise 116 33.0% 32.47 88.79% -0.558 -0.631 1.229
3 Thematic 1232 39.8% 42.29 70.86% -0.197 -0.1642 0.06
4 Archipelago 86 35.0% 37.59 82.56% 0.56 -0.0947 0.012
4 Coastline 163 22.01% 34.36 74.85% -0.819 -0.643 0.375
4 Leaf 168 38.79% 34.49 76.19% 0.132 -0.5793 -0.287
4 Other 1145 34.59% 37.61 82.36% 0.707 -0.3886 0.674
4 Reverse Snake 8 28.57% 32.5 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 9 22.22% 39.33 88.89% -0.139 -0.5471 -0.397
4 Thematic 6126 25.33% 54.9 76.2% -0.9 -1.0589 -0.007
4 Trapezoid (Default) 26183 27.58% 36.19 82.2% -0.332 -0.5701 -0.121
5 Archipelago 31 45.16% 42.65 77.42% 0.009 -1.0416 -1.148
5 Coastline 21 0.0% 35.14 95.24% 0.316 0.0202 0.255
5 Other 828 31.61% 37.54 86.35% -0.556 -1.1161 0.316
5 Thematic 167 29.94% 54.64 81.44% -0.445 -0.5633 0.531
6 Archipelago 100 17.07% 42.65 82.0% -1.662 -1.481 -2.352
6 Coastline 55 15.79% 28.85 94.55% -0.489 -1.2502 -0.918
6 Other 392 24.05% 41.04 76.53% -0.713 -1.1109 -1.369
6 Star 230 31.88% 33.56 64.35% -1.684 -1.6517 -1.536
6 Thematic 893 22.71% 39.23 69.43% -2.082 -1.6716 -1.147
6 Two Centers (Default) 1177 17.37% 37.93 78.84% -1.153 -1.1904 -1.543
7 Archipelago 19 36.84% 55.16 73.68% -0.258 -0.8588 -0.577
7 Other 16 21.43% 32.81 87.5% -0.237 -1.2087 -0.329

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4887 32.68 56.52% -0.019 0.1715 -0.401
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4826 33.82 59.84% -0.117 -0.1808 -0.337
All Things Weaken 2094 33.5 54.82% -0.242 0.1444 -0.502
Attenuated Essence 67 26.19 41.79% -0.247 -0.1414 -1.12
Back Against the Wall 4717 33.11 54.74% -0.491 -0.4288 -0.472
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 54 23.2 33.33% -0.88 -0.5966 -1.113
Burn Brightest Before the End 53 30.0 30.19% -0.681 -0.4897 -1.351
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4776 29.87 52.6% -0.425 0.0072 -0.625
Downward Spiral 13973 25.57 55.77% -0.568 -0.3073 -0.505
Erosion of Will 4891 30.79 52.42% -0.486 -0.1565 -0.648
Intensifying Exploitation 69 30.23 50.72% -0.158 0.1405 0.261
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1056 37.45 76.14% 0.128 -0.3705 0.071
Memory Fades to Dust 13827 25.28 52.74% -0.749 -0.3548 -0.621
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1978 31.54 54.3% -0.047 0.1979 -0.586
Promising Farmlands 4818 29.82 52.93% -0.467 0.0203 -0.79
Shattered Fragments of Power 73 38.82 67.12% 0.725 0.8014 0.674
Slow Dissolution of Will 48 25.75 54.17% -0.141 0.2931 -1.094
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 703 37.83 81.37% 0.847 0.2152 0.158
The Border of Life and Death 23 35.04 65.22% 0.54 0.1794 0.51
Thriving Communities 2107 31.15 52.06% -0.27 0.1077 -0.668
Thriving Crops 40 32.3 65.0% 0.349 0.2927 -0.09
Tipping Point 2082 30.19 53.65% 0.0 -0.1719 -0.554
Unnatural Proliferation 2194 33.3 55.42% -0.053 0.1468 -0.476
Untended Land Crumbles 2141 31.09 51.94% -0.31 -0.0407 -0.528

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 86010 31.63% 32.29 79.73% -0.677 0.185 0.058
B 89649 31.76% 32.44 79.59% -0.783 0.0447 -0.075
C 87391 32.35% 32.36 79.4% -0.689 -0.0004 -0.029
D 82335 32.46% 31.98 79.31% -0.698 0.1306 0.024
E 22692 34.44% 34.92 77.86% -0.508 0.1502 -0.063
F 32504 33.18% 34.33 78.87% -0.578 0.1747 0.041
G 29520 32.67% 34.13 79.25% -0.604 0.1664 -0.086
H 29597 32.52% 34.1 79.34% -0.431 0.258 -0.05
East 14273 32.12% 45.7 72.16% -0.374 0.2727 -0.442
Northeast 10323 29.95% 48.13 73.17% -0.717 0.1165 0.021
Northwest 8873 30.06% 48.47 72.14% -0.65 0.1419 0.398
Southeast 2802 28.71% 42.03 73.59% -0.551 0.2134 -0.426
Southwest 2615 29.33% 41.08 73.73% -0.321 0.7637 -0.926
West 13040 32.93% 45.73 71.07% -0.684 0.2714 -1.005

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 14862 0.0% 20.2 73.81% -0.831 -0.005 0.703
Not Using Events or Tokens 63990 29.15% 25.72 79.19% 0.068 0.4051 -0.404
Skip Initial Invader Actions 9736 8.64% 40.21 90.46% 0.419 -0.1881 -0.23
Start of Game Growth 13575 10.94% 39.93 89.08% 0.245 -0.033 0.249
Unlimited Undo 24612 23.43% 34.42 85.01% 0.079 0.0789 0.472
Using Tokens but Not Events 24738 22.19% 32.44 83.29% -0.007 -0.0771 -0.043

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7527 100.0% 31.29 100.0% -0.474 -0.3532 -0.262
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5886 100.0% 33.04 100.0% 0.309 0.1531 -0.26
Downpour Drenches the World 1411 100.0% 36.81 100.0% 0.116 0.3167 0.165
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 688 100.0% 30.0 100.0% 0.445 -0.3705 0.029
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6181 100.0% 34.36 100.0% 0.657 0.0651 -0.097
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5345 100.0% 33.54 100.0% -0.023 -0.5061 -0.525
Finder of Paths Unseen 635 100.0% 40.71 100.0% -0.051 0.6303 1.323
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2868 100.0% 48.1 100.0% 0.244 0.8895 0.588
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1107 100.0% 35.22 100.0% 0.156 0.0704 0.164
Heart of the Wildfire 15127 100.0% 38.42 100.0% -0.215 0.0339 0.142
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 23804 100.0% 37.7 100.0% 0.004 -0.4211 -0.122
Lightning's Swift Strike 23870 109.53% 31.71 103.07% 0.034 0.26 -0.384
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 594 29.46% 42.48 77.27% 0.239 -0.4027 0.303
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1134 32.57% 38.32 80.78% -0.195 -0.4106 0.499
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1628 31.56% 39.42 76.66% -0.029 -0.1825 -0.037
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5197 100.0% 36.74 100.0% 0.318 0.1878 -0.051
Many Minds Move as One 2203 100.0% 34.61 100.0% 0.131 -0.0533 0.307
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 26307 100.0% 39.85 100.0% 0.189 0.189 0.426
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 6683 100.0% 36.48 100.0% 0.314 0.1755 0.448
River Surges in Sunlight 23229 107.05% 37.15 102.29% 0.147 0.1975 0.498
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1761 24.47% 39.72 76.26% -0.429 -0.1725 -0.311
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 479 31.21% 40.02 76.2% 0.003 -0.1097 0.219
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 26287 100.0% 38.06 100.0% 0.215 -0.0095 0.149
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 7491 111.28% 28.17 103.47% -0.387 0.1117 -0.502
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 116 21.93% 33.45 83.62% 0.102 0.0676 0.554
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 137 25.74% 29.22 81.02% 0.246 0.2275 -0.526
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 569 36.28% 33.46 78.91% -0.265 -0.3418 -0.22
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 501 39.76% 32.1 81.04% 0.034 0.1269 -0.011
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 10707 100.83% 36.14 100.46% -0.014 -0.1309 0.155
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 121 25.83% 25.52 59.5% 0.163 -0.2831 -0.719
Shifting Memory of Ages 2346 100.0% 36.38 100.0% -0.34 0.0449 -0.188
Shroud of Silent Mist 2182 100.0% 32.23 100.0% -0.448 -0.1621 0.116
Starlight Seeks its Form 2475 100.0% 38.46 100.0% -0.062 -0.3177 0.213
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6738 100.0% 37.79 100.0% 0.303 -0.1952 0.031
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4524 100.0% 36.42 100.0% -0.019 0.0403 0.505
Thunderspeaker 17752 100.41% 31.62 100.28% -0.504 -0.5166 -0.228
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 89 19.1% 18.57 44.94% -0.525 -0.6652 -0.989
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2880 100.0% 33.59 100.0% 0.124 0.1769 -0.222
Vital Strength of the Earth 18432 105.89% 31.86 102.24% 0.043 0.5898 -0.149
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 722 21.26% 39.49 74.79% 0.208 0.4601 -0.259
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 802 34.13% 33.89 71.32% -0.707 0.1732 -0.35
Volcano Looming High 3395 100.0% 34.61 100.0% 0.364 0.3574 -0.088

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Fields Choked with Growth 80.8%
Gift of Proliferation 78.85%
Overgrow in a Night 81.88%
Stem the Flow of Fresh Water 82.88%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 32193 20.73 24.18%
II 92265 31.02 79.73%
III 82043 34.75 89.47%
IV 26674 38.04 99.49%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 7779
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 71925
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 70736
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 26364
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3200
Lose: Invader deck ran out 4167
Lose: Adversary condition 15739
Win: Sacrifice victory 488
Lose: Scenario condition 3095
Win: Scenario condition 3995
Lose: Blight pool ran out 24736
Lose: Spirit destroyed 951

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.426 Win Model: -0.112

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.206 Win Model: 0.409
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 77209 30.45% 28.33 74.85%
2 83577 37.31% 31.74 78.11%
3 35029 33.07% 34.53 80.18%
4 33963 27.4% 39.43 81.1%
5 579 28.26% 32.91 78.07%
6 2818 21.13% 38.73 75.62%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-05 04:04:23 (Pacific Time)