Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 196 22.45% 25.9 72.45% 0.372 -0.1293 0.28
Blitz 0 4391 23.65% 32.35 74.22% 0.01 0.3867 0.578
Dahan Insurrection 4 3660 22.01% 52.53 66.83% -0.322 -0.8012 0.46
Despicable Theft 2 275 31.27% 29.56 57.45% -0.298 0.2378 -0.253
Elemental Invocation 1 731 38.49% 28.82 58.55% -0.076 0.6668 -1.484
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 13580 11.2% 42.45 71.93% 0.403 -0.2603 0.526
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1181 39.25% 32.81 62.4% -1.104 -0.5306 -0.955
Rituals of Terror 3 1975 31.33% 44.7 71.04% 0.441 0.287 0.922
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 640 53.85% 33.61 64.06% -1.624 -0.8432 -0.044
Second Wave 0 9253 32.37% 30.1 78.47% 0.233 0.3252 0.156
The Great River 3 405 35.48% 29.87 61.23% 0.047 1.2152 -1.413
Varied Terrains 2 580 33.1% 25.18 58.1% -0.846 0.0489 -0.753
Ward the Shores 2 1455 31.34% 31.76 61.24% -0.926 -0.0485 -1.109

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 93546 28.92% 25.82 69.98% 0.128 0.5318 0.365
1 Thematic 5596 34.53% 32.86 64.33% -0.12 0.5884 0.281
2 Archipelago 94 25.53% 29.49 67.02% 0.203 0.8676 0.416
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 69760 37.24% 29.67 73.2% 0.098 0.2867 0.468
2 Coastline 10625 30.7% 28.57 76.01% 0.274 0.1046 0.394
2 Fragment 2066 40.0% 26.2 72.89% 0.128 0.1217 1.092
2 Heart 1692 23.36% 25.33 83.1% 0.382 0.1031 0.54
2 Opposite Shores 13686 34.97% 29.32 73.29% 0.348 0.4872 -0.218
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.4517 0.0
2 Thematic 4895 41.44% 35.12 62.88% -0.46 0.1755 0.25
2 Top to Top 2203 34.74% 29.26 71.99% 0.376 0.3027 0.31
3 Archipelago 144 33.33% 42.0 75.69% -0.126 -0.8453 0.493
3 Coastline 298 34.75% 31.45 73.49% 1.287 0.4477 0.413
3 Other 1812 32.43% 27.76 71.25% 0.205 -0.6325 0.306
3 Round (Default) 41176 32.49% 32.32 75.71% 0.301 0.2916 -0.011
3 Sunrise 180 24.69% 26.08 73.33% -0.054 -0.3593 1.327
3 Thematic 1598 38.05% 38.01 63.45% -0.62 -0.8591 0.162
4 Archipelago 159 29.41% 34.06 74.21% -0.697 -0.734 -0.16
4 Coastline 188 20.33% 32.41 72.87% -0.564 -0.3675 0.238
4 Leaf 239 40.43% 30.8 69.87% -1.382 -0.7666 -0.834
4 Other 1402 34.01% 33.71 74.68% 0.319 -0.3555 0.6
4 Reverse Snake 10 33.33% 26.0 80.0% 0.0 -0.0475 0.0
4 Snake 9 22.22% 39.33 88.89% 0.0 0.0 -0.373
4 Thematic 6785 25.36% 52.45 72.9% 0.17 0.2417 -0.25
4 Trapezoid (Default) 32605 26.8% 33.52 76.36% -0.198 -0.1647 -0.624
5 Archipelago 39 51.28% 40.9 74.36% 0.524 0.3303 -0.881
5 Coastline 41 7.89% 31.98 87.8% -0.057 -0.8426 0.252
5 Other 1468 28.71% 32.17 78.88% 0.19 -0.0893 -0.295
5 Thematic 223 30.04% 50.43 73.99% 0.166 -0.0788 0.26
6 Archipelago 418 5.25% 61.13 79.67% 1.308 0.1952 -1.273
6 Coastline 100 6.25% 35.55 85.0% 0.748 -0.4503 -0.613
6 Other 710 23.03% 33.93 63.94% -1.027 -1.043 -2.089
6 Star 391 24.62% 30.52 64.45% -0.748 -0.1297 -1.885
6 Thematic 1672 20.4% 32.11 55.98% -0.848 -0.794 -1.825
6 Two Centers (Default) 2248 17.1% 31.25 66.19% -1.12 -0.7169 -2.259
7 Archipelago 23 30.43% 58.35 73.91% 0.389 0.0675 -0.554
7 Other 37 20.0% 23.92 59.46% 0.115 -0.5941 -1.09
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.052

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5627 31.97 55.07% -0.206 -0.1516 -0.036
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5516 33.28 58.99% -0.136 -0.2641 0.049
All Things Weaken 2718 31.86 52.13% -1.087 -0.9186 -0.201
Attenuated Essence 429 26.94 49.65% 0.198 0.2564 -0.439
Back Against the Wall 5396 32.67 54.63% 0.347 0.3178 -0.08
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 403 28.1 46.15% 0.418 0.5777 -0.364
Burn Brightest Before the End 349 30.33 44.7% 0.332 0.356 -0.519
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5532 29.07 51.79% -0.37 -0.0788 -0.248
Downward Spiral 17190 24.25 53.55% -0.445 -0.3644 -0.134
Erosion of Will 5632 30.14 51.53% -0.287 -0.133 -0.274
Intensifying Exploitation 431 26.66 46.64% -0.431 -0.2537 -0.072
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1364 36.21 73.17% 0.745 0.2833 0.379
Memory Fades to Dust 16999 24.05 50.59% -0.553 -0.3352 -0.205
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2657 29.97 51.15% -0.327 -0.2282 -0.264
Promising Farmlands 5576 29.16 51.92% -0.679 -0.3515 -0.459
Shattered Fragments of Power 355 32.24 51.55% 0.133 0.2033 0.282
Slow Dissolution of Will 325 26.32 41.54% -1.043 -0.5893 -0.81
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 898 36.16 78.4% 0.483 -0.1932 0.392
The Border of Life and Death 133 29.8 61.65% 1.315 0.8477 0.483
Thriving Communities 2777 30.08 50.81% -0.258 -0.0485 -0.295
Thriving Crops 219 30.1 58.45% -0.149 -0.3515 -0.323
Tipping Point 2083 30.18 53.62% 0.0 0.1113 -0.157
Unnatural Proliferation 2832 32.33 53.14% -0.255 -0.1633 -0.143
Untended Land Crumbles 2796 30.08 50.0% -0.146 0.0477 -0.17

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 110006 30.51% 30.11 74.26% 0.021 0.9474 -0.084
B 113347 30.66% 30.31 74.24% -0.064 0.7874 -0.201
C 110349 31.29% 30.26 74.02% -0.09 0.605 -0.193
D 104367 31.41% 29.84 73.73% -0.05 0.8 -0.146
E 32988 33.18% 31.97 71.62% -0.045 0.6234 -0.247
F 43967 31.89% 31.73 73.42% 0.018 0.7945 -0.041
G 39729 31.57% 31.85 73.7% 0.153 0.9149 -0.192
H 39642 31.2% 32.06 74.04% 0.033 0.7641 -0.166
East 17398 30.96% 42.16 67.01% 0.241 1.0732 -0.457
Northeast 12653 28.91% 44.09 67.49% -0.623 0.096 -0.283
Northwest 10812 28.84% 44.3 66.45% -1.018 -0.1995 0.071
Southeast 4062 26.52% 36.65 64.43% -0.381 0.4555 -0.506
Southwest 3819 27.29% 35.46 63.6% -0.3 1.1217 -1.08
West 15845 31.74% 41.97 65.69% -0.688 0.1703 -1.08

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 20010 0.0% 18.2 66.1% -0.645 0.0616 0.446
Not Using Events or Tokens 86070 28.06% 23.4 71.73% -0.265 0.2242 -0.5
Skip Initial Invader Actions 12298 8.43% 38.24 84.78% 0.599 -0.1367 -0.265
Start of Game Growth 16987 10.93% 37.81 83.81% 0.152 -0.3057 0.347
Unlimited Undo 31725 22.74% 32.31 78.9% -0.006 -0.0334 0.354
Using Tokens but Not Events 31983 21.98% 30.76 77.87% 0.248 0.0916 -0.205

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 9613 40.27% 28.55 69.05% -0.225 -0.0538 -0.074
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 396 25.32% 25.49 50.76% 0.084 -0.7125 -1.279
Dances Up Earthquakes 117 29.06% 27.03 70.94% 0.47 0.3018 -0.015
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 7379 29.61% 31.12 77.44% -0.019 -0.2101 -0.059
Downpour Drenches the World 3016 24.05% 30.65 61.41% -0.59 -0.2435 -0.067
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2194 28.55% 28.17 64.08% 0.246 -0.2254 0.259
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8515 24.95% 31.19 76.81% 0.153 -0.2008 -0.218
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6954 26.52% 33.22 75.24% -0.294 -0.6501 -0.309
Finder of Paths Unseen 1388 25.4% 32.89 66.35% 0.163 0.9057 0.754
Fractured Days Split the Sky 4138 26.58% 42.23 72.5% -0.029 0.3893 0.671
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1960 35.53% 30.29 67.45% -0.098 -0.101 0.091
Heart of the Wildfire 17714 47.78% 36.05 73.69% 0.168 0.4912 0.189
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 28006 28.92% 36.02 77.44% 0.184 -0.3035 0.011
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 571 24.78% 29.79 64.1% 0.14 -0.3764 -0.611
Lightning's Swift Strike 28957 30.13% 29.55 75.33% 0.011 0.2105 -0.375
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1729 26.46% 41.45 68.02% 0.164 -0.2962 0.102
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1718 30.96% 32.87 69.09% -0.437 -0.7556 0.347
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2366 30.83% 35.19 70.2% 0.006 0.0986 0.175
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 7480 33.79% 33.62 72.27% -0.219 -0.3666 -0.043
Many Minds Move as One 3180 30.15% 32.45 75.69% 0.056 -0.0952 0.353
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 33313 28.56% 36.62 74.85% 0.033 0.1434 0.489
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 173 34.68% 26.13 67.05% 0.506 0.6177 -0.639
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 8392 25.93% 35.46 79.22% 0.076 0.0152 0.762
River Surges in Sunlight 28468 26.37% 35.02 76.4% 0.139 0.1633 0.777
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 73 19.44% 17.97 43.84% -0.601 -0.3631 -1.291
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2555 23.7% 34.93 68.92% 0.276 0.4165 -0.226
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1337 30.89% 30.73 59.91% 0.156 0.1474 -0.212
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 32186 30.04% 35.69 73.93% -0.006 -0.1359 0.292
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 52 23.08% 29.79 76.92% 0.715 0.2431 0.861
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 9319 41.65% 25.72 71.45% -0.222 0.3026 -0.501
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 248 32.37% 29.52 75.0% 0.472 0.5021 1.08
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 307 35.64% 33.54 73.29% 0.082 -0.3274 0.536
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 308 25.49% 27.05 72.73% 0.543 0.5814 0.19
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 741 38.37% 30.96 75.3% -0.215 -0.3692 0.036
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 651 38.47% 29.32 76.04% -0.445 -0.3426 0.08
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 12159 27.51% 34.53 79.0% -0.281 -0.3866 0.178
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 582 26.16% 24.96 57.56% 0.279 0.0673 -0.923
Shifting Memory of Ages 3924 30.81% 31.45 66.06% 0.217 0.6067 0.004
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 198 14.06% 22.41 58.08% -0.288 -0.3363 -0.207
Shroud of Silent Mist 3309 34.12% 28.57 72.11% -0.1 0.3245 -0.116
Starlight Seeks its Form 4804 25.86% 33.5 68.46% 0.381 0.3437 0.297
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 8791 34.12% 35.44 70.29% -0.09 -0.6309 0.164
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5526 27.92% 34.37 79.61% 0.255 0.3386 0.798
Thunderspeaker 22433 30.78% 28.68 71.21% -0.352 -0.3628 -0.122
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 341 21.3% 19.27 49.27% -0.877 -0.5047 -0.845
Towering Roots of the Jungle 308 26.4% 26.41 62.01% -0.202 -0.0166 -0.557
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3630 49.42% 32.12 71.68% -0.247 -0.1983 0.122
Vital Strength of the Earth 22251 20.48% 29.93 76.14% 0.017 0.4701 0.069
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1686 22.8% 34.73 63.64% 0.196 0.6753 -0.159
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 1103 31.52% 29.98 64.73% -0.708 0.0028 -0.267
Volcano Looming High 5040 42.51% 32.82 70.08% 0.065 0.1339 0.28
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 941 24.28% 28.92 68.86% 0.376 0.11 -0.498

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Fields Choked with Growth 81.72%
Gift of Proliferation 80.02%
Overgrow in a Night 82.8%
Stem the Flow of Fresh Water 83.89%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 55754 14.21 16.13%
II 111600 30.29 78.1%
III 98799 34.84 89.15%
IV 32132 38.62 99.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 8986
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 86438
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 84047
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 31760
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 24269
Lose: Invader deck ran out 4933
Lose: Adversary condition 18523
Win: Sacrifice victory 579
Lose: Scenario condition 3483
Win: Scenario condition 4395
Lose: Blight pool ran out 29719
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1153

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.42 Win Model: -0.111

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.22 Win Model: 0.102
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 99545 29.27% 26.2 69.57%
2 105371 36.29% 29.7 73.21%
3 45181 32.57% 32.57 75.17%
4 41396 26.84% 36.42 75.77%
5 1341 26.78% 28.88 70.25%
6 5451 18.13% 34.31 64.96%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-06-24 05:20:05 (Pacific Time)