Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 248 20.56% 24.98 72.18% 0.184 0.1547 0.0
Blitz 0 4857 23.43% 31.33 72.06% -0.171 0.072 0.889
Dahan Insurrection 4 4044 21.74% 50.77 64.56% 0.342 0.3555 0.788
Despicable Theft 2 321 30.84% 28.08 54.52% -0.334 0.4324 -0.4
Elemental Invocation 1 809 38.37% 28.14 57.85% 1.217 1.9698 -0.497
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 15031 11.12% 41.55 69.95% 0.099 -0.4972 0.711
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1278 38.15% 31.69 60.33% -0.748 -0.0005 -0.673
Rituals of Terror 3 2228 30.31% 43.35 68.45% -0.157 0.3216 0.561
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 708 52.77% 32.14 61.72% 0.887 1.575 -0.415
Second Wave 0 10026 32.12% 29.9 77.97% 0.898 0.8937 1.502
The Great River 3 464 35.28% 28.57 58.41% -0.744 0.3855 0.474
Varied Terrains 2 743 34.05% 24.95 56.26% -0.361 0.4187 -1.724
Ward the Shores 2 1551 30.41% 31.1 60.28% -0.318 0.5508 -0.075

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 105048 28.41% 25.07 68.12% -0.04 0.1642 0.413
1 Thematic 6014 34.28% 32.12 62.67% -0.479 0.13 0.76
2 Archipelago 115 24.78% 27.57 66.09% 0.08 0.2509 -0.141
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 77958 36.83% 28.77 71.07% 0.211 0.2913 0.254
2 Coastline 11857 30.27% 28.0 74.38% 0.349 0.2542 0.464
2 Fragment 2324 39.33% 25.44 71.69% 0.519 0.4763 0.839
2 Heart 1818 24.25% 24.74 81.19% -0.067 -0.5283 -0.017
2 Opposite Shores 15549 34.39% 28.3 70.81% 0.023 0.1552 -0.3
2 Other 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.2838 0.0
2 Thematic 5252 40.51% 34.71 61.58% 0.005 0.3638 -0.048
2 Top to Top 2519 34.38% 28.14 69.63% -0.493 -0.5823 -0.185
3 Archipelago 158 33.54% 41.23 75.32% 0.663 0.493 0.358
3 Coastline 341 34.15% 30.44 70.67% 1.042 0.8701 1.629
3 Other 2026 31.89% 26.39 68.95% -0.005 -0.3907 0.439
3 Round (Default) 46191 32.11% 31.46 74.33% 0.314 0.3195 -0.125
3 Sunrise 203 22.7% 25.62 74.88% 0.0 -0.6066 0.0
3 Thematic 1811 38.18% 36.64 60.46% 0.414 -0.0173 -0.646
4 Archipelago 177 29.24% 32.89 72.32% -0.131 -0.3718 -0.21
4 Coastline 208 21.78% 31.85 71.63% 0.224 -0.3738 0.449
4 Leaf 258 41.53% 31.11 70.16% 1.412 0.3897 0.0
4 Other 1524 33.19% 32.38 73.23% -0.057 -0.9001 0.332
4 Reverse Snake 13 25.0% 27.38 84.62% 0.316 -0.2622 0.0
4 Snake 10 20.0% 35.4 80.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 7177 25.24% 51.21 71.14% 0.081 -0.1209 0.014
4 Trapezoid (Default) 36107 26.26% 32.52 74.58% -0.082 0.108 -0.161
5 Archipelago 58 46.55% 36.78 70.69% -0.95 -0.3515 0.28
5 Coastline 53 10.0% 31.23 79.25% 0.3 -0.3597 -0.555
5 Other 1695 29.3% 31.07 76.28% -0.699 -0.8597 -1.022
5 Thematic 236 29.66% 48.67 72.03% -0.646 -0.3076 -0.609
6 Archipelago 602 3.94% 64.24 81.06% 1.443 0.7893 0.405
6 Coastline 122 8.14% 38.02 84.43% 0.413 -0.0368 0.813
6 Other 883 23.45% 32.28 61.95% -0.011 -0.0495 -1.007
6 Star 506 23.17% 30.38 62.65% -0.154 0.3122 -1.947
6 Thematic 1907 20.05% 30.88 54.48% -0.928 -0.6793 -0.46
6 Two Centers (Default) 2839 17.69% 28.25 60.69% -1.495 -0.2932 -1.746
7 Archipelago 25 28.0% 56.12 72.0% 0.0 1.1557 0.0
7 Other 49 19.57% 22.98 53.06% -0.729 -0.5476 0.047
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6009 31.63 54.52% 0.537 0.6856 0.137
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5884 33.03 58.45% 0.653 0.54 0.752
All Things Weaken 3044 31.22 51.25% 0.164 0.5385 0.317
Attenuated Essence 596 27.43 48.15% -0.159 -0.0333 0.686
Back Against the Wall 5739 32.4 54.33% -0.337 -0.2955 0.256
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 570 28.24 47.02% 0.667 0.8728 0.308
Burn Brightest Before the End 492 29.77 45.12% -0.116 -0.0714 0.206
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5905 28.65 51.35% -0.798 -0.3006 0.095
Downward Spiral 19047 23.67 52.59% -0.023 0.2266 0.57
Erosion of Will 5993 29.84 51.03% 0.141 0.3986 0.188
Intensifying Exploitation 616 25.96 46.92% 0.09 0.3091 0.258
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1569 35.64 73.04% 0.314 -0.0722 0.393
Memory Fades to Dust 18861 23.55 49.8% -0.255 -0.0494 0.292
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3000 29.39 50.53% -0.466 -0.2675 0.525
Promising Farmlands 5957 28.83 51.17% -0.558 -0.202 0.224
Shattered Fragments of Power 501 32.29 51.5% -0.177 0.04 1.086
Slow Dissolution of Will 495 26.91 43.23% -0.718 -0.2884 0.381
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 989 35.76 77.76% 0.259 -0.365 -0.091
The Border of Life and Death 181 29.54 59.67% 0.149 -0.1712 -0.151
Thriving Communities 3085 29.53 50.37% -0.582 -0.2631 0.353
Thriving Crops 295 29.14 56.27% 0.467 0.3482 0.607
Tipping Point 2084 30.16 53.6% 0.0 0.6615 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 3136 31.59 52.04% -0.311 -0.2213 -0.239
Untended Land Crumbles 3078 29.51 49.25% -0.268 -0.0429 0.035

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 123299 30.0% 29.18 72.14% 0.259 1.0583 0.294
B 126652 30.18% 29.41 72.25% 0.24 0.9705 0.025
C 123210 30.81% 29.39 72.04% 0.082 0.6862 -0.036
D 116496 30.92% 28.98 71.81% 0.01 0.7671 0.168
E 38473 32.48% 30.82 69.7% 0.149 0.7339 0.013
F 50031 31.33% 30.74 71.5% 0.325 1.0271 0.338
G 45137 31.0% 31.02 72.04% 0.198 0.9556 0.177
H 45028 30.8% 31.26 72.35% 0.315 0.9465 -0.05
East 18815 30.67% 41.0 65.12% -0.29 0.4933 0.728
Northeast 13720 28.77% 42.75 65.38% -0.185 0.5766 0.03
Northwest 11636 28.46% 42.88 64.49% -0.658 0.184 -0.504
Southeast 4496 26.03% 35.48 62.97% 0.45 1.0893 -1.125
Southwest 4230 26.52% 34.29 62.06% -0.416 0.6294 0.225
West 17067 31.36% 40.81 63.9% -0.927 -0.1514 -0.344

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 22913 0.0% 17.36 63.58% -0.71 0.1633 0.814
Not Using Events or Tokens 99463 27.59% 22.58 69.08% -0.106 0.2707 -0.462
Skip Initial Invader Actions 13328 8.24% 36.94 82.62% -0.533 -0.8247 -2.107
Start of Game Growth 18484 10.92% 36.63 81.6% 0.078 -0.4791 0.816
Unlimited Undo 35061 22.52% 31.31 76.96% 0.097 0.1603 0.073
Using Tokens but Not Events 35479 21.83% 30.02 75.89% -0.121 -0.2486 -0.429

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 314 18.77% 29.46 71.02% 0.975 0.2545 1.126
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 10719 39.24% 27.37 66.21% -0.014 0.2846 -0.441
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 511 24.8% 25.71 52.64% -0.3 -0.8898 0.577
Dances Up Earthquakes 624 27.24% 25.41 64.42% -0.808 -0.6262 -0.005
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 8181 29.38% 30.24 75.8% 0.358 0.179 0.06
Downpour Drenches the World 3598 24.34% 29.38 60.23% -0.411 -0.052 -0.168
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2775 26.61% 27.8 64.11% 0.082 -0.3576 0.308
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9594 24.58% 30.54 75.13% 0.146 -0.2035 -0.076
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7904 26.27% 32.97 73.2% 0.321 -0.0797 -0.607
Finder of Paths Unseen 1690 25.91% 31.03 64.67% -0.926 0.1489 -0.042
Fractured Days Split the Sky 4615 26.07% 40.18 70.92% -0.44 0.0152 0.26
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2283 34.53% 29.16 66.14% 0.077 -0.0135 -0.371
Heart of the Wildfire 19107 47.47% 35.0 71.83% -0.176 0.2552 -0.216
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 30027 28.64% 35.35 76.08% 0.33 -0.1127 -0.26
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 753 24.01% 27.92 61.49% 0.766 0.2567 -0.53
Lightning's Swift Strike 32223 29.52% 28.55 73.13% 0.07 0.2331 -0.577
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 2257 24.68% 41.28 67.35% 0.281 -0.3975 1.569
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1972 29.73% 31.6 66.38% -1.65 -2.0095 0.095
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2752 29.69% 34.4 69.4% 0.354 0.2075 0.959
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 8442 33.02% 32.58 70.8% 0.225 0.0482 -0.162
Many Minds Move as One 3676 30.3% 31.53 73.86% -0.204 -0.3381 0.267
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 36987 28.02% 35.39 72.8% -0.254 -0.3306 -0.152
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 955 31.43% 25.48 60.21% -0.462 -0.2701 -0.598
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 9409 25.58% 35.18 78.22% 0.254 0.1949 0.055
River Surges in Sunlight 31675 25.95% 33.97 74.73% 0.289 0.334 0.338
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 206 16.59% 20.43 47.57% -0.054 0.1757 -0.602
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2870 23.76% 33.46 66.79% -0.201 -0.1518 -1.003
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1751 30.7% 30.52 58.31% 0.505 0.6712 0.721
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 34907 29.61% 35.0 72.55% 0.453 0.2594 -0.104
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 296 25.94% 25.25 61.49% -0.214 -0.2283 0.297
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 10423 41.17% 24.63 69.07% -0.507 0.1174 -0.554
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 298 34.02% 28.33 73.49% 0.31 0.3256 -0.125
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 437 36.19% 31.73 70.02% -0.107 -0.5415 -0.12
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 372 26.49% 26.6 70.7% -0.457 -0.4349 0.277
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 845 38.25% 29.53 72.31% -0.247 -0.3342 -0.374
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 728 38.63% 28.82 75.41% -0.155 0.2536 0.966
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 12855 27.53% 33.7 77.37% -0.246 -0.1886 -0.326
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 14 14.29% 27.79 100.0% 0.919 0.415 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 802 23.47% 26.08 59.48% -0.137 -0.1745 -0.413
Shifting Memory of Ages 4415 30.17% 30.36 65.35% -0.29 0.0719 0.433
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 452 21.8% 26.87 59.96% 0.322 0.3046 0.199
Shroud of Silent Mist 3782 33.9% 27.56 69.59% -0.066 0.4581 -0.374
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 50 26.53% 33.6 72.0% 0.854 0.5134 0.39
Starlight Seeks its Form 6015 24.74% 32.44 67.61% 0.175 -0.0238 0.267
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 9831 33.66% 34.53 68.87% 0.104 -0.5109 0.036
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6061 28.2% 33.67 78.12% 0.178 0.4107 0.318
Thunderspeaker 24992 30.47% 27.58 68.54% -0.058 -0.0748 -0.401
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 430 22.25% 20.18 50.7% -0.558 -0.3574 0.088
Towering Roots of the Jungle 652 26.75% 24.63 63.04% 0.115 0.2819 -0.02
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3995 48.73% 31.02 70.01% -0.015 0.0347 -0.448
Vital Strength of the Earth 24812 20.31% 28.83 73.82% 0.141 0.6114 -0.242
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 2051 22.46% 33.5 62.41% -0.177 0.2322 0.136
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 1246 31.92% 28.75 63.4% 0.798 1.4644 -0.77
Volcano Looming High 5873 41.83% 31.63 68.33% -0.067 -0.0835 0.538
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1244 23.8% 27.76 67.85% -0.1 -0.3799 0.194

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Fields Choked with Growth 82.04%
Gift of Proliferation 80.45%
Overgrow in a Night 83.16%
Stem the Flow of Fresh Water 84.18%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 68156 12.44 14.09%
II 122670 29.94 77.54%
III 108081 34.9 88.99%
IV 34915 38.84 99.52%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 9596
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 94440
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 91846
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 34516
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 35380
Lose: Invader deck ran out 5330
Lose: Adversary condition 19978
Win: Sacrifice victory 645
Lose: Scenario condition 3766
Win: Scenario condition 4604
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 32462
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1259

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.384 Win Model: -0.107

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.248 Win Model: 0.097
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 111544 28.75% 25.43 67.72%
2 117756 35.84% 28.84 71.15%
3 50715 32.21% 31.7 73.72%
4 45444 26.38% 35.22 74.02%
5 1585 27.66% 28.31 68.83%
6 6778 17.92% 33.11 62.16%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-10-18 23:57:56 (Pacific Time)