Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 148 19.59% 24.8 70.95% -1.089 -1.0369 -0.381
Blitz 0 3975 24.43% 33.36 77.33% 0.463 0.6639 0.522
Dahan Insurrection 4 3328 22.35% 54.84 69.68% -0.302 -0.5129 0.412
Despicable Theft 2 233 31.33% 31.41 61.8% -0.914 -0.07 -0.133
Elemental Invocation 1 620 42.0% 28.41 57.42% -0.375 0.6959 -1.553
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 12505 11.57% 43.07 73.2% 0.367 -0.3576 0.476
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1083 39.81% 34.22 65.28% -1.237 -0.3306 -1.08
Rituals of Terror 3 1756 32.47% 46.16 73.92% 0.632 0.6617 1.028
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 582 55.79% 35.24 66.67% -0.887 0.3017 0.027
Second Wave 0 8637 32.58% 30.17 79.16% 0.362 0.4427 0.129
The Great River 3 370 36.96% 30.68 62.7% -1.217 0.1709 -1.493
Varied Terrains 2 481 32.85% 25.52 59.67% -0.668 0.2337 -0.67
Ward the Shores 2 1293 33.23% 34.15 65.58% -0.357 0.6979 -0.592

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 84576 29.43% 26.49 71.74% 0.694 0.7244 0.436
1 Thematic 5274 35.24% 33.38 65.42% 0.161 0.5932 0.352
2 Archipelago 83 25.3% 29.6 68.67% 0.107 0.6001 0.491
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 64118 37.63% 30.39 74.99% 0.464 0.4153 0.575
2 Coastline 9745 31.29% 29.21 77.73% 0.521 0.421 0.587
2 Fragment 1877 40.48% 27.03 74.8% 1.351 0.9385 1.065
2 Heart 1596 22.72% 25.83 84.9% 0.461 0.3715 0.579
2 Opposite Shores 12477 35.35% 30.06 74.7% 0.61 0.4298 -0.141
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.6379 0.0
2 Thematic 4564 42.11% 35.85 64.31% -0.239 -0.0527 0.372
2 Top to Top 1993 35.16% 30.04 73.71% 0.367 0.167 0.393
3 Archipelago 112 33.04% 43.54 84.82% 0.317 -0.8034 0.462
3 Coastline 267 36.9% 32.11 74.91% 0.946 0.2843 0.502
3 Other 1672 32.89% 28.79 73.39% -0.272 -0.6063 0.475
3 Round (Default) 37680 32.72% 33.02 77.26% 0.355 0.0892 0.11
3 Sunrise 176 25.32% 26.38 73.86% -0.468 0.0432 1.386
3 Thematic 1422 38.9% 39.96 66.24% -1.265 -1.7111 0.15
4 Archipelago 132 30.16% 36.08 80.3% -0.351 -0.9082 0.048
4 Coastline 182 20.45% 32.32 72.53% -0.439 -1.0578 0.202
4 Leaf 207 41.38% 33.36 74.88% -0.262 0.584 -0.642
4 Other 1311 33.65% 35.22 78.03% -0.092 -0.8299 0.65
4 Reverse Snake 10 33.33% 26.0 80.0% -0.494 0.0717 0.0
4 Snake 9 22.22% 39.33 88.89% 0.0 -0.9688 -0.357
4 Thematic 6514 25.7% 53.55 74.39% -0.612 -0.4089 -0.126
4 Trapezoid (Default) 29739 27.28% 34.65 78.72% -0.231 0.1094 -0.416
5 Archipelago 36 50.0% 42.92 80.56% 0.914 0.9136 -0.709
5 Coastline 36 9.09% 34.64 94.44% 0.467 -0.0609 0.225
5 Other 1240 28.56% 33.61 81.13% 0.121 -0.5997 -0.148
5 Thematic 204 29.41% 51.58 76.47% -0.839 -0.6788 0.327
6 Archipelago 224 10.19% 53.28 79.02% 0.984 0.2686 -1.506
6 Coastline 82 8.7% 33.93 89.02% 0.005 -0.4841 -0.619
6 Other 575 23.73% 37.4 71.48% -1.287 -0.8466 -1.714
6 Star 325 26.23% 32.01 65.23% -0.827 -0.5295 -1.763
6 Thematic 1408 21.28% 33.52 59.23% -1.629 -1.6041 -1.749
6 Two Centers (Default) 1906 17.79% 33.04 69.36% -1.112 -1.0141 -2.115
7 Archipelago 23 30.43% 58.35 73.91% 0.0 0.5266 -0.792
7 Other 30 21.43% 28.07 66.67% 0.535 -0.8809 -0.963
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.733 -0.4782 0.038

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5338 32.27 55.79% -0.28 -0.1408 -0.156
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5267 33.45 59.26% -0.123 -0.182 -0.071
All Things Weaken 2525 32.4 53.23% -0.225 0.1292 -0.302
Attenuated Essence 304 26.59 46.05% -0.316 -0.2048 -0.686
Back Against the Wall 5172 32.76 54.45% -0.396 -0.3194 -0.231
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 243 28.82 44.03% 0.084 0.2944 -0.495
Burn Brightest Before the End 232 31.15 42.67% -0.72 -0.5997 -0.878
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5267 29.45 52.5% 0.039 0.4078 -0.364
Downward Spiral 15843 24.72 54.31% -0.698 -0.5014 -0.248
Erosion of Will 5359 30.43 51.99% -0.331 -0.0641 -0.402
Intensifying Exploitation 305 27.69 46.23% -0.658 -0.3881 -0.076
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1250 36.57 73.36% 0.69 0.1785 0.235
Memory Fades to Dust 15732 24.49 51.43% -0.313 -0.0015 -0.342
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2447 30.54 52.35% -0.792 -0.4972 -0.359
Promising Farmlands 5296 29.46 52.49% -0.029 0.3069 -0.579
Shattered Fragments of Power 253 34.48 52.96% -0.142 -0.0337 0.298
Slow Dissolution of Will 206 27.58 48.54% -0.544 -0.1442 -0.513
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 831 36.67 79.42% 1.037 0.4234 0.313
The Border of Life and Death 87 31.46 58.62% -0.492 -0.7842 0.512
Thriving Communities 2500 30.43 51.2% -0.277 0.0557 -0.403
Thriving Crops 144 29.43 56.94% 0.57 0.4837 -0.328
Tipping Point 2082 30.19 53.65% 0.0 0.5146 -0.289
Unnatural Proliferation 2593 32.74 54.49% -0.325 -0.177 -0.223
Untended Land Crumbles 2531 30.32 50.85% -0.554 -0.247 -0.275

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 100071 30.99% 30.88 76.23% -0.796 0.1087 0.001
B 103455 31.18% 31.1 76.26% -0.631 0.1971 -0.119
C 100879 31.79% 31.01 75.95% -0.936 -0.2558 -0.073
D 95303 31.94% 30.6 75.74% -0.869 -0.0157 -0.047
E 29174 33.57% 32.99 73.56% -0.595 0.106 -0.174
F 39651 32.53% 32.66 75.18% -0.609 0.1723 0.05
G 35722 32.11% 32.65 75.68% -0.6 0.172 -0.103
H 35801 31.72% 32.74 75.86% -0.739 0.029 -0.065
East 16185 31.54% 43.38 68.86% -0.559 0.303 -0.442
Northeast 11744 29.51% 45.53 69.62% -0.619 0.1282 -0.203
Northwest 10082 29.6% 45.76 68.5% -0.963 -0.1297 0.175
Southeast 3617 27.15% 38.09 67.02% 0.143 0.9187 -0.345
Southwest 3408 27.99% 36.91 66.23% -0.543 0.776 -0.976
West 14789 32.36% 43.28 67.56% -1.251 -0.2445 -0.968

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 17778 0.0% 18.69 68.48% -0.876 -0.0447 0.838
Not Using Events or Tokens 76369 28.62% 24.15 74.38% -0.036 0.4047 -0.453
Skip Initial Invader Actions 11386 8.63% 38.78 86.4% 0.708 0.1454 -0.282
Start of Game Growth 15755 10.98% 38.45 85.44% 0.184 -0.3551 0.292
Unlimited Undo 28706 23.06% 33.03 81.05% 0.038 0.0794 0.336
Using Tokens but Not Events 28835 21.82% 31.14 79.72% -0.043 -0.0662 -0.172

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 8692 41.38% 29.56 71.23% -0.236 -0.0759 -0.116
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 193 27.08% 26.08 59.59% -0.92 -1.7562 -0.473
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 6798 29.94% 31.79 79.27% 0.161 0.0298 -0.211
Downpour Drenches the World 2480 24.45% 32.68 64.84% 0.011 0.3294 -0.003
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1733 29.21% 28.89 65.49% 0.121 -0.3634 0.315
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7609 25.47% 32.19 78.78% -0.135 -0.5881 -0.31
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6248 27.39% 32.89 76.52% 0.231 -0.2213 -0.422
Finder of Paths Unseen 1133 26.43% 35.19 69.46% -0.546 0.1206 0.817
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3709 26.42% 44.49 75.98% 0.204 0.8818 0.667
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1621 36.86% 32.23 70.94% -0.478 -0.417 0.141
Heart of the Wildfire 16706 48.46% 36.92 75.03% 0.095 0.355 0.136
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 26431 29.22% 36.63 78.55% 0.175 -0.2187 -0.079
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 389 24.55% 31.17 66.07% 0.409 0.0137 -0.716
Lightning's Swift Strike 26792 30.46% 30.42 77.5% -0.218 0.0354 -0.42
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1252 28.84% 39.5 69.25% 0.083 -0.4706 0.125
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1488 31.04% 34.27 72.65% 0.033 -0.2024 0.392
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2106 31.79% 36.19 71.98% 0.035 -0.2159 0.016
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 6661 34.48% 34.55 74.13% 0.015 -0.3094 -0.114
Many Minds Move as One 2836 30.51% 32.8 77.72% -0.102 -0.3021 0.298
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 30227 29.12% 37.88 77.21% -0.083 -0.1106 0.442
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 7705 26.7% 35.45 80.31% 0.242 0.1 0.613
River Surges in Sunlight 26208 26.67% 35.76 78.34% 0.131 0.2483 0.658
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2255 23.96% 36.27 71.04% 0.205 0.5427 -0.284
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 989 33.44% 34.12 67.44% 0.248 0.0995 -0.057
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 30064 30.72% 36.6 75.66% 0.265 0.0975 0.213
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 8457 42.82% 26.65 73.83% -0.282 0.2624 -0.459
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 200 31.09% 30.67 79.5% 0.001 0.087 0.812
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 210 39.13% 35.83 77.62% 0.849 0.4789 0.839
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 248 23.58% 28.04 76.61% -0.305 -0.1397 0.036
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 685 37.85% 31.85 76.5% -0.601 -0.57 -0.132
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 600 39.09% 30.48 78.67% 0.202 0.3731 0.003
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 11632 27.6% 35.03 80.04% -0.397 -0.4926 0.113
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 426 27.53% 25.14 56.1% -0.466 -0.7064 -1.087
Shifting Memory of Ages 3469 30.96% 32.63 68.09% -0.395 -0.017 -0.149
Shroud of Silent Mist 2906 35.31% 29.68 73.57% 0.039 0.4095 -0.238
Starlight Seeks its Form 4009 26.44% 34.72 69.79% 0.3 0.094 0.192
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 8120 34.69% 36.2 72.02% 0.239 -0.4774 0.069
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5148 28.14% 35.01 81.2% 0.092 0.274 0.627
Thunderspeaker 20337 31.02% 29.84 73.98% -0.364 -0.3499 -0.129
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 259 21.71% 21.42 53.28% 0.176 0.282 -0.839
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3387 49.87% 32.87 73.25% 0.154 0.2949 0.028
Vital Strength of the Earth 20536 20.63% 30.64 77.97% 0.048 0.5902 -0.016
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1399 22.04% 35.96 65.76% 0.747 1.0854 -0.283
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 995 32.15% 30.95 66.83% -0.224 0.4924 -0.362
Volcano Looming High 4434 43.69% 33.46 71.52% 0.127 0.0941 0.124
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 601 23.87% 29.24 71.05% 0.493 0.0559 -0.334

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Fields Choked with Growth 81.26%
Gift of Proliferation 79.54%
Overgrow in a Night 82.4%
Stem the Flow of Fresh Water 83.48%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 46077 16.23 18.27%
II 103595 30.54 78.59%
III 92176 34.77 89.28%
IV 30094 38.37 99.5%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 8410
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 80727
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 78422
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 29751
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 15667
Lose: Invader deck ran out 4612
Lose: Adversary condition 17402
Win: Sacrifice victory 542
Lose: Scenario condition 3331
Win: Scenario condition 4225
Lose: Blight pool ran out 27786
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1067

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.38 Win Model: -0.119

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.332 Win Model: 0.391
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 90189 29.81% 26.88 71.28%
2 96786 36.68% 30.42 74.92%
3 41295 32.85% 33.3 76.83%
4 38142 27.25% 37.71 77.97%
5 1069 26.43% 29.76 72.5%
6 4461 19.54% 35.01 67.99%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-03-13 05:04:05 (Pacific Time)