Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 161 21.74% 25.67 70.81% 0.092 0.1072 0.137
Blitz 0 4080 24.0% 33.26 76.74% 0.386 0.6745 0.552
Dahan Insurrection 4 3413 22.14% 54.39 69.21% -0.299 -0.4759 0.425
Despicable Theft 2 245 31.02% 30.38 59.59% -1.366 -0.5045 -0.2
Elemental Invocation 1 643 41.12% 28.42 57.39% -0.622 0.3111 -1.562
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 12712 11.45% 42.91 72.92% 0.273 -0.3731 0.49
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1106 39.62% 34.08 65.19% -0.494 0.4517 -1.018
Rituals of Terror 3 1790 32.18% 45.76 73.24% 0.138 0.2148 0.98
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 597 55.72% 34.99 66.5% -0.238 0.8772 0.002
Second Wave 0 8791 32.61% 30.16 79.01% 0.404 0.4347 0.126
The Great River 3 376 36.36% 30.48 62.23% -1.035 0.3899 -1.461
Varied Terrains 2 503 33.6% 25.55 60.04% -0.286 0.4883 -0.668
Ward the Shores 2 1373 31.77% 32.79 63.07% -1.144 -0.0998 -1.12

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 86248 29.38% 26.35 71.33% 0.143 0.4034 0.42
1 Thematic 5370 34.95% 33.39 65.33% 0.246 0.7116 0.338
2 Archipelago 83 25.3% 29.6 68.67% -0.052 0.4216 0.513
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 65291 37.59% 30.21 74.55% 0.07 0.255 0.538
2 Coastline 9942 31.08% 29.07 77.4% 0.365 0.348 0.572
2 Fragment 1914 40.34% 26.84 74.45% 0.506 0.1892 1.082
2 Heart 1613 22.7% 25.7 84.62% 0.21 0.1158 0.6
2 Opposite Shores 12727 35.14% 29.98 74.54% 0.46 0.4202 -0.147
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 4623 42.07% 35.74 64.11% 0.3 0.5871 0.349
2 Top to Top 2026 35.38% 29.88 73.15% -0.07 -0.1133 0.352
3 Archipelago 118 33.9% 43.23 83.05% 0.158 -0.9817 0.659
3 Coastline 275 35.77% 31.85 75.27% 1.605 0.8554 0.517
3 Other 1701 32.65% 28.58 72.96% -0.007 -0.4694 0.442
3 Round (Default) 38479 32.64% 32.86 76.95% 0.345 0.1257 0.086
3 Sunrise 176 25.32% 26.38 73.86% 0.0 0.0754 1.364
3 Thematic 1482 38.4% 39.17 65.11% -0.575 -0.867 0.131
4 Archipelago 143 30.66% 35.04 77.62% -0.296 -0.1034 -0.065
4 Coastline 182 20.45% 32.32 72.53% 0.242 -0.1176 0.187
4 Leaf 216 39.62% 33.0 74.07% -0.195 -0.3038 -0.705
4 Other 1344 34.01% 34.66 76.56% -0.344 -0.6005 0.684
4 Reverse Snake 10 33.33% 26.0 80.0% 0.0 0.2463 0.0
4 Snake 9 22.22% 39.33 88.89% 0.0 -1.136 -0.36
4 Thematic 6562 25.74% 53.35 74.18% -0.708 -0.4555 -0.148
4 Trapezoid (Default) 30381 27.19% 34.39 78.16% -0.083 0.1314 -0.47
5 Archipelago 36 50.0% 42.92 80.56% 0.0 0.2735 -0.686
5 Coastline 37 8.82% 34.49 94.59% 0.0 -0.1045 0.226
5 Other 1286 27.91% 33.27 80.17% -0.052 -0.6179 -0.254
5 Thematic 209 30.62% 51.78 75.6% 0.107 -0.3137 0.287
6 Archipelago 251 9.01% 54.29 78.88% 1.017 0.0845 -1.528
6 Coastline 85 8.16% 33.12 87.06% -0.401 -1.1985 -0.641
6 Other 594 23.47% 36.66 70.37% -0.649 -0.2233 -1.834
6 Star 329 25.91% 31.75 64.74% -0.63 -0.5175 -1.811
6 Thematic 1491 20.7% 33.07 58.42% -1.069 -0.9672 -1.768
6 Two Centers (Default) 2005 17.5% 32.58 68.38% -0.674 -0.9314 -2.18
7 Archipelago 23 30.43% 58.35 73.91% 0.0 1.0709 -0.757
7 Other 31 20.69% 27.9 67.74% 0.193 -0.8228 -0.972
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.04

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5398 32.14 55.48% -1.072 -0.897 -0.119
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5329 33.39 59.19% -0.094 -0.1483 -0.038
All Things Weaken 2567 32.3 53.1% -0.369 -0.076 -0.275
Attenuated Essence 328 27.1 48.17% 0.225 0.3087 -0.547
Back Against the Wall 5225 32.74 54.56% 0.522 0.5691 -0.189
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 284 28.59 45.07% 0.377 0.5804 -0.52
Burn Brightest Before the End 263 30.81 42.59% 0.107 0.2944 -0.894
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5324 29.39 52.29% -0.055 0.354 -0.326
Downward Spiral 16122 24.65 54.27% -0.194 -0.0665 -0.218
Erosion of Will 5417 30.36 51.86% -0.261 0.0214 -0.378
Intensifying Exploitation 335 27.6 46.27% -0.398 -0.1507 -0.097
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1268 36.62 73.26% 1.227 0.7117 0.266
Memory Fades to Dust 16001 24.43 51.32% -0.399 -0.1617 -0.301
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2489 30.43 51.99% -0.86 -0.6424 -0.331
Promising Farmlands 5352 29.42 52.37% -0.09 0.2052 -0.539
Shattered Fragments of Power 267 33.91 52.43% -0.123 0.0787 0.361
Slow Dissolution of Will 232 27.09 46.98% -0.429 -0.045 -0.652
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 847 36.69 79.34% 0.732 0.1513 0.367
The Border of Life and Death 99 31.75 60.61% -0.015 -0.5325 0.485
Thriving Communities 2562 30.48 51.29% 0.185 0.5237 -0.36
Thriving Crops 162 29.75 56.17% 0.15 0.1077 -0.276
Tipping Point 2082 30.19 53.65% 0.0 0.0 -0.244
Unnatural Proliferation 2632 32.59 54.18% -0.356 -0.2153 -0.193
Untended Land Crumbles 2596 30.11 50.46% -1.038 -0.5889 -0.256

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 102150 30.89% 30.72 75.8% -0.156 0.7054 -0.014
B 105496 31.06% 30.93 75.8% -0.128 0.6884 -0.135
C 102848 31.7% 30.84 75.52% -0.285 0.3938 -0.102
D 97145 31.84% 30.43 75.31% -0.202 0.6025 -0.053
E 30001 33.48% 32.75 73.09% 0.002 0.6702 -0.173
F 40582 32.36% 32.44 74.76% -0.033 0.7654 0.046
G 36660 31.97% 32.4 75.12% -0.062 0.7638 -0.102
H 36712 31.59% 32.52 75.33% -0.117 0.6556 -0.082
East 16491 31.4% 43.11 68.5% -0.031 0.8149 -0.44
Northeast 11987 29.38% 45.17 69.16% -0.334 0.4372 -0.19
Northwest 10267 29.45% 45.39 68.04% -0.586 0.2217 0.197
Southeast 3738 26.87% 37.7 66.35% 0.544 1.4139 -0.382
Southwest 3524 27.7% 36.46 65.44% -0.477 0.8051 -0.997
West 15059 32.23% 42.95 67.14% -0.5 0.4959 -0.989

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 18262 0.0% 18.6 67.98% -0.634 0.1619 0.827
Not Using Events or Tokens 78277 28.51% 24.01 73.81% -0.019 0.3685 -0.438
Skip Initial Invader Actions 11668 8.5% 38.68 85.92% 0.834 0.2197 -0.267
Start of Game Growth 16113 10.87% 38.3 84.99% 0.106 -0.4755 0.335
Unlimited Undo 29368 22.95% 32.93 80.61% 0.088 0.1322 0.36
Using Tokens but Not Events 29485 21.86% 31.07 79.41% 0.41 0.352 -0.153

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 8917 41.15% 29.28 70.58% -0.178 0.0855 -0.109
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 240 24.27% 26.64 59.17% -0.237 -1.0461 -0.827
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 6912 29.88% 31.67 78.98% 0.159 -0.0056 -0.152
Downpour Drenches the World 2616 24.57% 32.04 64.11% -0.167 0.1064 -0.009
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1834 29.02% 28.57 64.99% -0.036 -0.4626 0.244
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7810 25.31% 31.9 78.21% -0.107 -0.4668 -0.294
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6385 27.33% 32.83 76.13% 0.253 -0.1915 -0.391
Finder of Paths Unseen 1196 26.04% 34.47 68.56% -0.292 0.3967 0.804
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3800 26.35% 44.37 75.61% 0.397 0.9859 0.705
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1687 36.96% 31.86 69.89% -0.436 -0.5003 0.143
Heart of the Wildfire 16941 48.28% 36.72 74.64% -0.189 0.1388 0.147
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 26835 29.08% 36.44 78.26% 0.207 -0.0879 -0.066
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 423 23.75% 30.64 65.01% 0.266 -0.1048 -0.693
Lightning's Swift Strike 27236 30.4% 30.23 77.0% -0.453 -0.113 -0.425
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1338 28.79% 39.76 69.13% 0.256 -0.2177 0.192
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1538 31.2% 34.11 72.04% 0.199 -0.1612 0.393
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2166 31.6% 35.95 71.47% 0.018 0.0254 0.081
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 6885 34.1% 34.36 73.68% 0.255 -0.0402 -0.092
Many Minds Move as One 2909 30.78% 32.6 77.07% -0.141 -0.2862 0.302
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 30922 28.91% 37.54 76.66% 0.269 0.2103 0.432
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 7850 26.62% 35.31 80.06% 0.093 -0.0707 0.645
River Surges in Sunlight 26614 26.64% 35.64 78.05% 0.286 0.3841 0.696
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 9 33.33% 17.67 55.56% -0.541 -0.6768 0.0
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2345 23.65% 35.64 69.89% -0.511 -0.035 -0.326
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1125 32.14% 32.36 63.38% -0.211 -0.2464 -0.212
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 30560 30.54% 36.39 75.23% 0.274 0.0187 0.219
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 8625 42.69% 26.43 73.3% -0.266 0.2553 -0.459
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 210 31.03% 30.04 78.1% -0.391 -0.2495 0.931
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 233 37.39% 35.29 75.97% 0.824 0.2456 0.855
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 274 25.37% 27.46 73.36% -0.269 0.0817 0.038
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 698 38.29% 31.55 75.79% -0.697 -0.713 -0.1
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 610 38.6% 30.12 77.87% -0.9 -0.6507 0.019
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 11737 27.57% 34.96 79.89% 0.167 0.057 0.136
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 471 26.38% 24.89 56.26% 0.081 -0.081 -1.088
Shifting Memory of Ages 3611 31.08% 32.4 67.16% 0.003 0.3478 -0.125
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 36 8.33% 27.75 69.44% 0.328 0.019 0.521
Shroud of Silent Mist 2994 34.71% 29.37 73.35% 0.115 0.4465 -0.205
Starlight Seeks its Form 4222 26.42% 34.31 69.54% 0.593 0.4187 0.196
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 8256 34.52% 36.06 71.68% 0.161 -0.5488 0.101
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5224 28.07% 34.83 80.88% 0.022 0.2336 0.68
Thunderspeaker 20762 30.96% 29.59 73.43% -0.258 -0.2788 -0.085
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 278 21.3% 20.91 52.88% -0.701 -0.5034 -0.844
Towering Roots of the Jungle 87 28.05% 24.45 71.26% 0.53 0.5016 -0.776
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3441 49.74% 32.75 72.91% 0.135 0.2015 0.061
Vital Strength of the Earth 20903 20.52% 30.51 77.61% 0.242 0.7761 0.011
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1486 22.54% 35.47 64.67% 0.081 0.6482 -0.257
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 1016 31.87% 30.72 66.63% 0.339 1.0977 -0.345
Volcano Looming High 4572 43.28% 33.3 71.26% 0.319 0.4556 0.158
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 684 23.75% 28.6 69.59% 0.186 -0.1246 -0.411

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Fields Choked with Growth 81.34%
Gift of Proliferation 79.64%
Overgrow in a Night 82.49%
Stem the Flow of Fresh Water 83.55%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 48124 15.74 17.75%
II 105204 30.48 78.48%
III 93573 34.79 89.27%
IV 30516 38.41 99.51%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 8538
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 81944
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 79515
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 30171
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 17473
Lose: Invader deck ran out 4674
Lose: Adversary condition 17625
Win: Sacrifice victory 550
Lose: Scenario condition 3355
Win: Scenario condition 4286
Lose: Blight pool ran out 28202
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1084

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.172 Win Model: -0.128

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.109 Win Model: 0.098
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 91970 29.74% 26.75 70.89%
2 98554 36.61% 30.26 74.55%
3 42204 32.76% 33.12 76.46%
4 38876 27.2% 37.41 77.46%
5 1132 25.75% 29.46 71.2%
6 4681 19.04% 34.68 67.19%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-02 05:52:40 (Pacific Time)