Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 205 21.46% 25.59 72.68% 0.449 0.493 0.306
Blitz 0 4485 23.45% 32.14 73.76% 0.21 0.4205 0.617
Dahan Insurrection 4 3731 21.89% 52.14 66.44% -0.126 -0.4171 0.462
Despicable Theft 2 283 30.39% 29.13 56.89% -0.588 0.1839 -0.241
Elemental Invocation 1 746 38.26% 28.68 58.58% 0.037 0.6855 -1.481
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 13900 11.15% 42.16 71.4% 0.064 -0.5489 0.522
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1201 39.1% 32.66 62.28% -0.278 0.5865 -0.994
Rituals of Terror 3 2028 30.85% 44.12 70.32% 0.035 0.1297 0.907
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 649 54.02% 33.45 63.79% -0.456 0.4912 -0.065
Second Wave 0 9410 32.27% 30.07 78.36% 0.35 0.566 0.228
The Great River 3 419 34.77% 29.66 61.1% -0.546 0.5518 -1.464
Varied Terrains 2 607 32.45% 25.26 58.65% -0.14 0.6614 -0.742
Ward the Shores 2 1470 31.29% 31.63 61.02% -1.232 -0.0524 -1.098

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 96058 28.79% 25.59 69.47% 0.663 1.0284 0.401
1 Thematic 5673 34.44% 32.68 64.0% 0.351 0.9871 0.334
2 Archipelago 100 27.27% 29.12 67.0% 0.414 1.2401 0.448
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 71513 37.2% 29.43 72.66% 0.455 0.6045 0.484
2 Coastline 10861 30.57% 28.44 75.69% 0.777 0.653 0.429
2 Fragment 2125 39.59% 25.93 72.47% 0.734 0.5049 1.17
2 Heart 1719 23.57% 25.18 82.61% 0.476 -0.0076 0.575
2 Opposite Shores 14073 34.89% 29.05 72.78% 0.604 0.6757 -0.191
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.5373 0.0
2 Thematic 4972 41.32% 34.99 62.61% 0.503 0.9083 0.269
2 Top to Top 2265 34.66% 29.01 71.48% 0.385 0.2769 0.356
3 Archipelago 145 33.79% 41.96 75.17% 0.25 -0.7533 0.474
3 Coastline 305 34.6% 31.06 72.79% 0.687 -0.2643 0.431
3 Other 1857 32.2% 27.54 70.92% 0.448 -0.1912 0.348
3 Round (Default) 42114 32.46% 32.16 75.49% 0.63 0.5671 0.007
3 Sunrise 188 23.53% 25.73 73.94% 0.324 0.2533 1.352
3 Thematic 1651 37.98% 37.55 62.51% -0.136 -0.2199 0.145
4 Archipelago 166 30.63% 33.73 74.1% -0.363 -0.6433 -0.201
4 Coastline 193 19.79% 32.37 73.06% 0.379 0.3891 0.317
4 Leaf 243 41.03% 31.0 69.96% -0.437 -0.594 -0.67
4 Other 1434 33.9% 33.16 73.78% 0.068 -0.628 0.66
4 Reverse Snake 12 27.27% 24.83 83.33% 0.407 -0.3275 0.0
4 Snake 9 22.22% 39.33 88.89% 0.0 0.2389 -0.369
4 Thematic 6871 25.27% 52.09 72.55% -0.32 -0.4547 -0.247
4 Trapezoid (Default) 33206 26.68% 33.37 76.07% -0.001 -0.2323 -0.626
5 Archipelago 42 47.62% 37.98 69.05% -1.087 0.2268 -0.867
5 Coastline 47 9.09% 32.36 85.11% -0.49 -1.0789 -0.357
5 Other 1527 29.25% 32.02 78.59% 0.031 -0.7492 -0.297
5 Thematic 226 29.65% 49.98 73.89% 0.044 -0.3326 0.268
6 Archipelago 454 4.82% 61.5 79.74% 1.37 0.4095 -1.22
6 Coastline 105 5.8% 36.0 84.76% 0.165 -0.6387 -0.634
6 Other 760 22.69% 32.97 62.37% -1.468 -1.7097 -2.202
6 Star 417 25.24% 30.24 64.27% -1.208 -0.8146 -1.979
6 Thematic 1734 20.37% 31.74 55.36% -1.868 -1.8531 -1.843
6 Two Centers (Default) 2347 17.58% 30.61 65.32% -1.651 -1.4294 -2.277
7 Archipelago 23 30.43% 58.35 73.91% 0.0 -0.093 -0.554
7 Other 38 19.44% 23.29 57.89% -0.324 -1.1852 -1.198
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.9397 0.052

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5703 31.89 54.87% -0.399 -0.2962 -0.031
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5584 33.23 58.76% -0.307 -0.3952 0.06
All Things Weaken 2799 31.73 51.88% -0.389 -0.1393 -0.158
Attenuated Essence 462 26.75 48.7% -0.187 -0.1975 -0.531
Back Against the Wall 5470 32.57 54.61% -0.039 -0.0025 -0.065
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 429 28.52 46.39% -0.051 0.1183 -0.32
Burn Brightest Before the End 379 29.86 44.06% -0.112 -0.1325 -0.58
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5598 28.93 51.59% -0.401 -0.1997 -0.241
Downward Spiral 17581 24.08 53.35% -0.392 -0.2981 -0.111
Erosion of Will 5705 30.02 51.27% -0.886 -0.7032 -0.267
Intensifying Exploitation 459 26.37 47.06% 0.048 0.1946 -0.106
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1414 35.99 73.2% 0.598 -0.0162 0.362
Memory Fades to Dust 17390 23.88 50.43% -0.4 -0.1926 -0.191
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2741 29.74 51.22% -0.244 -0.0484 -0.264
Promising Farmlands 5649 29.12 51.96% 0.03 0.2379 -0.448
Shattered Fragments of Power 392 32.1 51.28% -0.265 -0.2503 0.168
Slow Dissolution of Will 362 27.04 44.2% -0.068 0.2084 -0.655
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 915 36.04 78.03% 0.487 -0.208 0.391
The Border of Life and Death 139 29.92 61.15% 0.512 0.0337 0.411
Thriving Communities 2828 29.96 50.74% -0.425 -0.2329 -0.28
Thriving Crops 232 29.71 57.76% -0.454 -0.7315 -0.331
Tipping Point 2083 30.18 53.62% 0.0 0.42 -0.135
Unnatural Proliferation 2919 32.0 52.89% -0.345 -0.2228 -0.162
Untended Land Crumbles 2856 29.92 49.82% -0.269 -0.1007 -0.167

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 112684 30.44% 29.89 73.76% -0.438 0.5415 -0.093
B 116004 30.6% 30.1 73.8% -0.217 0.6684 -0.197
C 112941 31.23% 30.06 73.57% -0.398 0.2945 -0.202
D 106803 31.33% 29.63 73.3% -0.391 0.5194 -0.155
E 34057 33.08% 31.71 71.22% -0.198 0.5455 -0.259
F 45156 31.83% 31.52 73.07% -0.212 0.6336 -0.055
G 40807 31.4% 31.65 73.43% 0.058 0.8533 -0.2
H 40723 31.12% 31.86 73.67% -0.239 0.5571 -0.18
East 17708 30.86% 41.82 66.55% -0.382 0.4831 -0.475
Northeast 12867 28.85% 43.69 66.92% -0.59 0.2052 -0.286
Northwest 10997 28.8% 43.89 65.93% -1.169 -0.3808 0.066
Southeast 4179 26.29% 36.35 64.15% 0.268 1.1506 -0.483
Southwest 3942 27.08% 35.15 63.27% -0.035 1.2651 -1.048
West 16145 31.61% 41.63 65.25% -0.76 0.2389 -1.087

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 20729 0.0% 17.97 65.28% -0.758 -0.0698 0.491
Not Using Events or Tokens 88839 27.96% 23.16 71.02% -0.237 0.1572 -0.523
Skip Initial Invader Actions 12508 8.4% 38.02 84.5% 0.698 -0.0726 -0.146
Start of Game Growth 17339 10.95% 37.54 83.29% 0.146 -0.323 0.232
Unlimited Undo 32436 22.76% 32.08 78.45% 0.053 -0.0127 0.342
Using Tokens but Not Events 32725 22.0% 30.58 77.41% 0.059 0.006 -0.227

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 9819 40.24% 28.28 68.5% -0.296 -0.1085 -0.117
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 422 25.42% 25.88 51.66% 0.214 -0.67 -1.187
Dances Up Earthquakes 254 30.83% 27.34 68.9% 0.251 0.1687 0.148
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 7557 29.6% 30.84 76.86% -0.287 -0.4906 -0.054
Downpour Drenches the World 3118 23.75% 30.36 61.58% 0.084 0.3881 -0.068
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2352 27.69% 28.15 64.67% 0.39 -0.1652 0.267
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8702 25.05% 31.05 76.45% -0.211 -0.6264 -0.218
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7183 26.56% 33.07 74.5% -0.096 -0.5181 -0.367
Finder of Paths Unseen 1453 26.41% 32.48 66.48% 0.045 0.7177 0.747
Fractured Days Split the Sky 4224 26.35% 41.77 71.99% -0.576 -0.0298 0.633
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2031 35.57% 29.96 66.91% -0.316 -0.4018 0.063
Heart of the Wildfire 18028 47.75% 35.76 73.21% -0.128 0.1606 0.174
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 28385 28.84% 35.92 77.27% 0.346 -0.068 0.012
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 597 24.87% 29.64 64.49% 0.285 -0.0003 -0.624
Lightning's Swift Strike 29568 29.95% 29.32 74.86% -0.18 0.0642 -0.392
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1849 26.51% 41.23 67.28% -0.262 -0.5966 0.078
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1774 30.88% 32.47 68.15% -0.551 -0.9068 0.287
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2455 30.56% 34.96 70.14% 0.665 0.7147 0.181
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 7659 33.65% 33.36 71.99% -0.159 -0.3547 -0.047
Many Minds Move as One 3285 30.31% 32.28 75.53% 0.345 0.1396 0.367
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 34013 28.48% 36.39 74.42% -0.073 0.099 0.476
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 368 32.79% 26.7 66.03% 0.388 0.42 -0.265
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 8588 25.95% 35.34 78.99% 0.257 0.1427 0.777
River Surges in Sunlight 29045 26.29% 34.77 76.0% 0.083 0.1034 0.779
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 94 20.43% 17.26 44.68% -0.513 -0.2499 -1.535
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2638 23.75% 34.57 68.35% 0.007 0.2216 -0.228
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1439 31.16% 30.65 58.93% 0.278 0.08 -0.226
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 32642 29.98% 35.57 73.77% 0.137 -0.0056 0.304
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 122 26.67% 26.56 65.57% 0.068 -0.2614 0.641
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 9550 41.48% 25.43 70.93% -0.343 0.2247 -0.539
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 256 33.33% 29.26 75.0% 0.358 0.291 1.093
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 343 36.87% 32.96 73.18% 0.643 0.1959 0.441
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 318 25.32% 26.99 72.33% -0.429 -0.4531 0.209
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 762 38.62% 30.6 74.67% -0.274 -0.3348 0.054
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 677 38.44% 29.0 75.63% 0.212 0.3878 0.079
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 12299 27.48% 34.37 78.71% -0.21 -0.1519 0.17
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 629 25.16% 25.43 59.3% 0.566 0.4389 -0.914
Shifting Memory of Ages 4049 30.82% 31.12 65.87% -0.143 0.1901 0.011
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 252 17.07% 23.39 59.13% -0.083 -0.0248 -0.245
Shroud of Silent Mist 3410 34.41% 28.32 71.64% -0.299 0.0594 -0.108
Starlight Seeks its Form 5061 25.53% 33.23 68.41% 0.167 0.0835 0.282
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 8988 34.04% 35.25 69.98% -0.086 -0.5745 0.156
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5620 27.92% 34.22 79.29% 0.536 0.6954 0.764
Thunderspeaker 22983 30.69% 28.38 70.58% -0.437 -0.3958 -0.132
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 354 20.8% 19.39 50.28% -0.042 0.1293 -0.836
Towering Roots of the Jungle 379 25.94% 26.27 64.38% 0.257 0.3852 -0.396
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3689 49.49% 31.95 71.51% -0.109 -0.096 0.11
Vital Strength of the Earth 22727 20.38% 29.69 75.56% -0.191 0.3984 0.046
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1748 22.93% 34.45 63.27% -0.05 0.4304 -0.177
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 1124 31.58% 29.74 64.41% -0.529 0.0929 -0.244
Volcano Looming High 5219 42.5% 32.63 69.88% 0.211 0.2455 0.318
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 997 24.82% 29.19 68.91% 0.44 0.0873 -0.374

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Fields Choked with Growth 81.79%
Gift of Proliferation 80.08%
Overgrow in a Night 82.89%
Stem the Flow of Fresh Water 83.97%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 58377 13.72 15.64%
II 113857 30.18 77.96%
III 100714 34.82 89.11%
IV 32677 38.64 99.51%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 9123
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 88082
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 85624
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 32303
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 26622
Lose: Invader deck ran out 5013
Lose: Adversary condition 18764
Win: Sacrifice victory 589
Lose: Scenario condition 3541
Win: Scenario condition 4434
Lose: Blight pool ran out 30356
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1174

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.374 Win Model: -0.101

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.207 Win Model: 0.34
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 102145 29.13% 25.97 69.07%
2 107991 36.22% 29.47 72.7%
3 46221 32.53% 32.39 74.93%
4 42133 26.73% 36.21 75.45%
5 1409 27.28% 28.83 70.12%
6 5726 18.26% 33.9 64.23%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-15 03:21:49 (Pacific Time)