Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 207 21.26% 25.72 72.95% 0.697 0.8846 0.32
Blitz 0 4512 23.44% 32.1 73.67% 0.131 0.3813 0.624
Dahan Insurrection 4 3744 21.9% 52.1 66.4% 0.056 -0.2097 0.475
Despicable Theft 2 287 30.66% 29.09 56.79% -0.478 0.2906 -0.251
Elemental Invocation 1 755 38.33% 28.52 58.28% -0.368 0.3072 -1.478
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 14010 11.09% 42.1 71.26% -0.018 -0.6455 0.516
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1205 38.97% 32.61 62.24% -0.159 0.7947 -0.986
Rituals of Terror 3 2042 30.93% 43.99 70.08% 0.017 0.1376 0.917
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 656 53.6% 33.42 63.87% -0.042 0.8361 -0.057
Second Wave 0 9459 32.26% 30.04 78.23% 0.267 0.4503 0.235
The Great River 3 423 34.92% 29.64 61.23% -0.22 0.8888 -1.467
Varied Terrains 2 621 32.37% 25.51 59.26% 0.42 1.1281 -0.763
Ward the Shores 2 1474 31.21% 31.65 61.13% -0.605 0.6081 -1.091

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 96783 28.74% 25.54 69.32% 0.681 0.9492 0.412
1 Thematic 5705 34.48% 32.63 63.86% 0.428 0.9819 0.343
2 Archipelago 102 26.73% 28.98 67.65% 0.736 1.411 0.452
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 71989 37.14% 29.37 72.53% 0.427 0.5135 0.487
2 Coastline 10949 30.59% 28.39 75.46% 0.749 0.5857 0.421
2 Fragment 2130 39.56% 25.92 72.49% 0.747 0.5335 1.176
2 Heart 1729 23.54% 25.15 82.65% 0.576 0.1568 0.584
2 Opposite Shores 14164 34.88% 28.99 72.63% 0.463 0.5249 -0.185
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.4963 0.0
2 Thematic 5011 41.16% 34.98 62.36% 0.501 0.872 0.245
2 Top to Top 2274 34.65% 28.95 71.37% 0.286 0.1191 0.362
3 Archipelago 148 34.46% 41.8 75.0% 0.164 -0.7653 0.453
3 Coastline 305 34.6% 31.06 72.79% 0.781 0.1788 0.471
3 Other 1871 32.17% 27.42 70.82% 0.356 -0.2993 0.359
3 Round (Default) 42504 32.39% 32.09 75.36% 0.454 0.3406 -0.001
3 Sunrise 188 23.53% 25.73 73.94% 0.209 -0.0232 1.353
3 Thematic 1657 38.08% 37.53 62.4% -0.202 -0.2805 0.174
4 Archipelago 166 30.63% 33.73 74.1% 0.023 -0.2202 -0.208
4 Coastline 193 19.79% 32.37 73.06% 0.323 0.1972 0.315
4 Leaf 246 41.77% 31.2 70.33% 0.896 0.8343 -0.688
4 Other 1440 33.95% 33.1 73.68% -0.057 -0.9065 0.611
4 Reverse Snake 12 27.27% 24.83 83.33% 0.425 -0.2858 0.0
4 Snake 9 22.22% 39.33 88.89% 0.0 0.2497 -0.368
4 Thematic 6890 25.38% 52.03 72.45% -0.188 -0.3476 -0.239
4 Trapezoid (Default) 33407 26.65% 33.31 75.95% -0.051 -0.2355 -0.629
5 Archipelago 49 48.98% 39.41 73.47% 0.031 0.224 -0.836
5 Coastline 47 9.09% 32.36 85.11% -0.464 -1.028 -0.374
5 Other 1551 28.99% 31.84 78.34% -0.278 -0.9202 -0.302
5 Thematic 227 29.96% 49.82 73.57% -0.203 -0.3384 0.277
6 Archipelago 476 4.59% 61.64 79.62% 0.915 -0.0443 -1.182
6 Coastline 108 5.56% 36.35 84.26% -0.514 -1.0734 -0.638
6 Other 773 22.7% 32.92 62.48% -1.318 -1.5808 -2.198
6 Star 421 25.0% 30.4 64.61% -0.812 -0.7302 -1.949
6 Thematic 1746 20.41% 31.73 55.5% -1.637 -1.537 -1.849
6 Two Centers (Default) 2381 17.5% 30.38 64.89% -2.096 -1.6342 -2.303
7 Archipelago 23 30.43% 58.35 73.91% 0.0 -0.2092 -0.556
7 Other 39 18.92% 22.69 56.41% -0.536 -1.1931 -1.312
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.9463 0.053

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5724 31.85 54.8% -0.529 -0.3668 -0.032
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5608 33.2 58.68% -0.355 -0.4443 0.059
All Things Weaken 2823 31.65 51.86% -0.44 -0.1495 -0.158
Attenuated Essence 476 26.91 48.74% -0.508 -0.5241 -0.544
Back Against the Wall 5489 32.57 54.56% -0.158 -0.1 -0.055
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 436 28.36 45.87% -0.164 0.0119 -0.298
Burn Brightest Before the End 389 29.82 43.44% -0.65 -0.653 -0.572
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5619 28.93 51.61% -0.435 -0.1774 -0.231
Downward Spiral 17663 24.06 53.3% -0.35 -0.257 -0.108
Erosion of Will 5725 30.02 51.21% -0.752 -0.5096 -0.263
Intensifying Exploitation 478 26.3 46.86% 0.043 0.2697 -0.127
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1434 35.98 73.22% 0.831 0.2352 0.379
Memory Fades to Dust 17493 23.85 50.39% -0.415 -0.1955 -0.184
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2760 29.77 51.16% -0.155 0.0775 -0.247
Promising Farmlands 5676 29.07 51.83% -0.187 0.0442 -0.451
Shattered Fragments of Power 404 31.89 50.5% -0.534 -0.4473 0.138
Slow Dissolution of Will 380 26.83 44.21% -0.045 0.2797 -0.638
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 919 36.03 78.13% 0.558 -0.0931 0.397
The Border of Life and Death 140 30.09 61.43% -0.124 -0.6627 0.401
Thriving Communities 2855 29.9 50.75% -0.295 -0.0673 -0.272
Thriving Crops 232 29.71 57.76% -0.384 -0.65 -0.324
Tipping Point 2083 30.18 53.62% 0.0 0.6412 -0.125
Unnatural Proliferation 2939 31.94 52.77% -0.561 -0.3821 -0.162
Untended Land Crumbles 2875 29.86 49.67% -0.481 -0.2558 -0.169

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 113541 30.41% 29.82 73.59% -0.446 0.5309 -0.103
B 116828 30.57% 30.04 73.67% -0.188 0.6992 -0.196
C 113745 31.18% 30.01 73.44% -0.422 0.2802 -0.199
D 107528 31.28% 29.59 73.19% -0.351 0.5649 -0.16
E 34439 32.98% 31.63 71.1% -0.262 0.5081 -0.257
F 45582 31.75% 31.45 72.96% -0.155 0.6957 -0.061
G 41164 31.32% 31.6 73.29% 0.021 0.8267 -0.198
H 41103 31.03% 31.81 73.54% -0.213 0.6075 -0.176
East 17808 30.91% 41.76 66.39% -0.584 0.2516 -0.49
Northeast 12945 28.93% 43.63 66.74% -0.612 0.1685 -0.323
Northwest 11034 28.85% 43.84 65.86% -0.942 -0.0756 0.063
Southeast 4199 26.31% 36.32 64.21% 0.229 1.0768 -0.503
Southwest 3962 27.07% 35.13 63.33% -0.033 1.2517 -1.033
West 16202 31.65% 41.58 65.17% -0.779 0.1949 -1.094

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 20879 0.0% 17.92 65.17% -0.698 -0.0043 0.503
Not Using Events or Tokens 89567 27.91% 23.11 70.87% -0.165 0.2198 -0.527
Skip Initial Invader Actions 12563 8.36% 37.96 84.41% 0.561 -0.1177 -0.141
Start of Game Growth 17431 10.94% 37.48 83.17% 0.182 -0.3287 0.243
Unlimited Undo 32639 22.73% 32.0 78.24% 0.023 -0.0615 0.327
Using Tokens but Not Events 32988 21.99% 30.52 77.24% -0.027 -0.0342 -0.231

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 9877 40.16% 28.21 68.31% -0.499 -0.3212 -0.146
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 430 25.17% 25.77 51.16% -0.176 -1.0357 -1.237
Dances Up Earthquakes 291 29.66% 27.02 67.35% 0.225 0.1686 0.02
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 7608 29.55% 30.77 76.72% -0.315 -0.4998 -0.073
Downpour Drenches the World 3151 23.79% 30.26 61.38% -0.117 0.1507 -0.08
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2391 27.28% 28.12 64.66% 0.297 -0.2901 0.262
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8770 25.08% 31.02 76.34% 0.205 -0.2378 -0.247
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7259 26.52% 33.06 74.28% -0.09 -0.5599 -0.395
Finder of Paths Unseen 1466 26.45% 32.44 66.37% 0.084 0.7768 0.737
Fractured Days Split the Sky 4270 26.28% 41.52 71.83% -0.553 0.1011 0.621
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2054 35.41% 29.83 66.85% -0.226 -0.3792 0.036
Heart of the Wildfire 18101 47.73% 35.71 73.15% -0.092 0.2516 0.161
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 28525 28.8% 35.88 77.15% 0.285 -0.1048 -0.01
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 611 24.96% 29.62 64.65% 0.534 0.2169 -0.646
Lightning's Swift Strike 29741 29.94% 29.27 74.76% -0.245 -0.022 -0.401
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1894 26.29% 41.29 67.32% 0.139 -0.204 0.058
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1806 30.5% 32.41 68.16% -0.292 -0.6124 0.3
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2495 30.31% 34.85 70.02% 0.427 0.424 0.162
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 7720 33.58% 33.25 71.72% -0.227 -0.4455 -0.056
Many Minds Move as One 3342 30.34% 32.21 75.49% 0.529 0.3291 0.342
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 34196 28.48% 36.34 74.32% -0.005 0.151 0.464
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 443 32.43% 27.25 66.14% 0.352 0.4177 -0.062
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 8670 25.81% 35.32 78.84% 0.159 0.0616 0.76
River Surges in Sunlight 29243 26.27% 34.72 75.89% 0.002 0.047 0.762
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 106 19.05% 18.26 43.4% -0.816 -0.6278 -0.942
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2662 23.57% 34.43 68.26% -0.303 -0.0643 -0.247
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1470 30.84% 30.58 58.84% 0.055 -0.1173 -0.243
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 32810 29.96% 35.51 73.62% 0.032 -0.1105 0.279
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 143 26.24% 26.55 64.34% -0.151 -0.3535 0.794
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 9606 41.44% 25.37 70.8% -0.325 0.2399 -0.557
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 262 32.55% 29.18 75.57% 0.889 0.7442 1.074
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 351 36.02% 32.98 73.5% 0.73 0.2803 0.421
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 320 25.16% 26.95 72.5% -0.128 -0.1803 0.202
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 764 38.65% 30.56 74.74% -0.031 -0.1387 0.038
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 687 38.17% 28.98 75.4% 0.147 0.3441 0.072
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 12345 27.49% 34.32 78.61% -0.245 -0.1564 0.16
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 643 25.08% 25.83 59.72% 0.56 0.4296 -0.907
Shifting Memory of Ages 4087 30.63% 31.03 65.87% -0.114 0.1719 -0.009
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 274 17.54% 23.4 58.76% -0.193 -0.2109 -0.237
Shroud of Silent Mist 3454 34.38% 28.27 71.4% -0.151 0.1959 -0.133
Starlight Seeks its Form 5160 25.46% 33.12 68.53% 0.318 0.2189 0.274
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 9038 34.02% 35.23 69.94% 0.139 -0.3603 0.143
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5655 27.94% 34.17 79.24% 0.46 0.6313 0.748
Thunderspeaker 23116 30.71% 28.33 70.47% -0.442 -0.3918 -0.144
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 361 20.67% 19.31 50.14% -0.158 -0.0341 -0.847
Towering Roots of the Jungle 412 25.12% 26.36 65.05% 0.42 0.5256 -0.41
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3720 49.4% 31.92 71.48% 0.069 0.124 0.097
Vital Strength of the Earth 22888 20.4% 29.64 75.43% -0.122 0.4702 0.028
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1764 22.77% 34.41 63.21% -0.18 0.3154 -0.185
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 1133 31.69% 29.64 63.99% -0.513 0.1495 -0.288
Volcano Looming High 5286 42.34% 32.56 69.73% 0.225 0.2875 0.31
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1019 24.58% 28.87 68.2% -0.134 -0.4892 -0.42

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Fields Choked with Growth 81.82%
Gift of Proliferation 80.12%
Overgrow in a Night 82.91%
Stem the Flow of Fresh Water 83.99%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 59208 13.6 15.5%
II 114549 30.16 77.93%
III 101278 34.82 89.1%
IV 32831 38.65 99.51%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 9172
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 88576
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 86114
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 32455
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 27353
Lose: Invader deck ran out 5042
Lose: Adversary condition 18866
Win: Sacrifice victory 592
Lose: Scenario condition 3563
Win: Scenario condition 4445
Lose: Blight pool ran out 30508
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1180

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.486 Win Model: -0.097

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.307 Win Model: 0.414
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 102906 29.09% 25.91 68.93%
2 108709 36.18% 29.42 72.56%
3 46640 32.48% 32.33 74.81%
4 42357 26.73% 36.14 75.34%
5 1440 27.25% 28.79 70.14%
6 5814 18.13% 33.89 64.16%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-22 02:53:19 (Pacific Time)