Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 84 15.48% 25.44 78.57% 0.093 0.0148 -0.045
Blitz 0 3267 25.98% 34.19 80.59% 0.244 0.3902 0.184
Dahan Insurrection 4 2837 23.24% 59.37 75.4% -0.604 -0.8115 0.521
Despicable Theft 2 156 35.26% 36.5 72.44% -0.382 0.301 0.107
Elemental Invocation 1 459 47.6% 30.15 61.44% -0.496 0.2355 -1.259
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 10820 11.86% 44.64 75.78% 0.072 -0.5348 0.33
Powers Long Forgotten 1 937 42.25% 37.04 70.12% -0.48 0.008 -0.926
Rituals of Terror 3 1443 34.93% 47.88 77.69% 0.359 0.4644 1.015
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 508 57.82% 37.48 71.46% -0.993 -0.0006 -0.001
Second Wave 0 7431 32.99% 30.5 80.62% 0.325 0.388 0.025
The Great River 3 283 38.43% 34.03 69.26% -1.525 -0.1772 -1.143
Varied Terrains 2 229 32.75% 28.61 67.69% -0.285 0.2773 -1.132
Ward the Shores 2 1150 33.69% 35.76 68.17% -0.97 0.2391 -0.517

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 71724 30.02% 27.95 75.53% 0.75 0.9602 0.143
1 Thematic 4690 36.58% 34.72 67.93% -0.237 0.3615 -0.091
2 Archipelago 54 25.93% 33.85 79.63% -0.351 0.006 0.667
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 55073 38.3% 31.8 78.44% 0.483 0.6435 0.479
2 Coastline 8170 31.67% 30.69 81.96% 0.552 0.6132 0.476
2 Fragment 1603 40.44% 27.88 76.54% 0.629 0.5656 1.067
2 Heart 1463 21.35% 26.61 88.17% 1.376 1.1376 0.577
2 Opposite Shores 10589 36.32% 31.29 77.19% 0.519 0.6522 -0.37
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.357 0.8867 0.0
2 Thematic 4005 43.3% 37.63 67.32% -0.325 0.3111 0.168
2 Top to Top 1655 35.9% 31.8 78.19% -0.051 -0.0103 0.34
3 Archipelago 77 33.77% 43.13 85.71% 1.576 0.4891 0.258
3 Coastline 215 36.45% 33.64 78.14% 0.873 0.3751 0.529
3 Other 1404 35.0% 31.4 78.85% 0.527 0.6371 0.405
3 Round (Default) 31710 32.79% 34.18 80.6% 0.242 0.2008 0.179
3 Sunrise 116 33.0% 32.47 88.79% -0.261 -0.0651 1.22
3 Thematic 1225 39.78% 42.24 70.94% -0.291 -0.2549 -0.001
4 Archipelago 83 36.36% 36.66 81.93% 0.306 0.0909 -0.068
4 Coastline 160 21.15% 34.63 76.25% -0.599 -0.477 0.688
4 Leaf 164 39.75% 34.91 75.61% -0.376 -0.7512 -0.312
4 Other 1139 34.51% 37.73 82.62% 0.895 0.0454 0.652
4 Reverse Snake 8 28.57% 32.5 100.0% 0.0 -0.3842 0.0
4 Snake 9 22.22% 39.33 88.89% -0.084 -0.1041 -0.408
4 Thematic 6101 25.32% 55.0 76.28% -0.93 -0.947 -0.036
4 Trapezoid (Default) 25999 27.62% 36.28 82.41% -0.156 -0.342 -0.127
5 Archipelago 30 46.67% 41.27 76.67% 0.111 -1.1141 -1.099
5 Coastline 21 0.0% 35.14 95.24% 0.397 0.3544 0.243
5 Other 807 31.91% 37.97 87.24% -0.342 -0.8499 0.362
5 Thematic 166 30.12% 54.97 81.93% -0.186 -0.516 0.502
6 Archipelago 94 18.42% 44.01 85.11% -0.496 -0.8014 -2.178
6 Coastline 54 16.67% 28.81 94.44% -0.561 -1.2045 -0.944
6 Other 380 24.58% 41.0 76.58% -0.662 -1.0561 -1.39
6 Star 213 29.72% 34.19 62.44% -1.883 -1.4072 -1.539
6 Thematic 845 23.06% 40.2 71.6% -1.864 -1.465 -0.982
6 Two Centers (Default) 1103 17.92% 38.51 80.78% -1.128 -1.0841 -1.308
7 Archipelago 19 36.84% 55.16 73.68% -0.255 -0.8446 -0.594
7 Other 16 21.43% 32.81 87.5% -0.475 -1.2483 -0.408

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4869 32.68 56.54% -0.053 0.2184 -0.442
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4799 33.86 59.99% 0.012 0.0511 -0.369
All Things Weaken 2083 33.58 54.97% -0.221 0.2392 -0.531
Attenuated Essence 57 25.61 43.86% -0.347 -0.1409 -1.158
Back Against the Wall 4692 33.16 54.73% -0.448 -0.2865 -0.502
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 43 24.35 34.88% -0.939 -0.5248 -0.721
Burn Brightest Before the End 42 30.86 28.57% -0.85 -0.545 -1.38
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4758 29.87 52.56% -0.544 -0.0173 -0.657
Downward Spiral 13898 25.59 55.85% -0.608 -0.2551 -0.524
Erosion of Will 4862 30.82 52.45% -0.524 -0.1161 -0.671
Intensifying Exploitation 59 31.71 49.15% -0.27 0.1167 0.124
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1044 37.6 76.25% 0.241 -0.2848 0.03
Memory Fades to Dust 13765 25.3 52.8% -0.788 -0.3068 -0.647
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1947 31.64 54.44% 0.097 0.4016 -0.611
Promising Farmlands 4790 29.82 52.96% -0.68 -0.0944 -0.833
Shattered Fragments of Power 51 40.57 68.63% 0.553 0.732 0.71
Slow Dissolution of Will 35 23.69 51.43% -0.296 0.238 -1.525
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 693 37.95 81.53% 0.976 0.2983 0.13
The Border of Life and Death 16 34.5 56.25% 0.169 0.0395 0.25
Thriving Communities 2078 31.3 52.36% -0.229 0.2639 -0.698
Thriving Crops 35 30.94 62.86% 0.175 0.2632 -0.39
Tipping Point 2082 30.19 53.65% 0.0 -0.1422 -0.591
Unnatural Proliferation 2165 33.32 55.52% -0.169 0.1274 -0.51
Untended Land Crumbles 2116 31.22 52.17% -0.264 0.0939 -0.525

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 85258 31.67% 32.34 79.92% -0.63 0.2099 0.06
B 88968 31.8% 32.51 79.75% -0.774 0.0043 -0.07
C 86692 32.41% 32.41 79.56% -0.67 -0.0163 -0.025
D 81682 32.5% 32.05 79.5% -0.616 0.1836 0.02
E 22293 34.58% 35.04 78.19% -0.518 0.1103 -0.074
F 32113 33.22% 34.46 79.13% -0.52 0.1992 0.05
G 29189 32.7% 34.24 79.53% -0.472 0.2696 -0.072
H 29258 32.58% 34.21 79.65% -0.355 0.2932 -0.042
East 14158 32.2% 45.86 72.4% -0.359 0.2454 -0.388
Northeast 10233 30.03% 48.34 73.48% -0.627 0.2541 0.034
Northwest 8788 30.15% 48.69 72.49% -0.31 0.3626 0.413
Southeast 2738 28.91% 42.5 74.4% -0.416 0.2201 -0.441
Southwest 2550 29.53% 41.55 74.55% -0.632 0.533 -0.968
West 12933 33.01% 45.9 71.3% -0.641 0.3229 -0.984

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 14759 0.0% 20.24 73.94% -0.929 -0.0453 0.7
Not Using Events or Tokens 63537 29.22% 25.76 79.33% 0.071 0.4027 -0.415
Skip Initial Invader Actions 9633 8.62% 40.27 90.76% 0.487 -0.0477 -0.249
Start of Game Growth 13435 10.96% 40.01 89.35% 0.208 -0.1222 0.22
Unlimited Undo 24373 23.41% 34.49 85.28% 0.158 0.1365 0.503
Using Tokens but Not Events 24534 22.26% 32.51 83.46% -0.029 -0.0826 -0.037

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7461 100.0% 31.42 100.0% -0.569 -0.4477 -0.256
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5846 100.0% 33.08 100.0% 0.299 0.1315 -0.272
Downpour Drenches the World 1324 100.0% 37.28 100.0% 0.158 0.3373 0.145
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 614 100.0% 30.32 100.0% 0.398 -0.3232 -0.048
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6121 100.0% 34.44 100.0% 0.608 0.0193 -0.124
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5304 100.0% 33.58 100.0% -0.007 -0.4781 -0.545
Finder of Paths Unseen 598 100.0% 40.74 100.0% -0.347 0.3469 1.204
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2809 100.0% 48.43 100.0% 0.348 1.0324 0.578
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1070 100.0% 35.68 100.0% 0.199 0.0981 0.2
Heart of the Wildfire 15022 100.0% 38.55 100.0% -0.064 0.1798 0.159
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 23616 100.0% 37.8 100.0% 0.076 -0.374 -0.112
Lightning's Swift Strike 23722 109.27% 31.76 102.85% 0.041 0.2441 -0.386
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 550 28.71% 42.83 79.64% 0.359 -0.3375 0.452
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1116 32.73% 38.52 81.18% -0.179 -0.4188 0.497
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1581 31.74% 39.81 77.67% -0.052 -0.212 0.06
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5116 100.0% 36.9 100.0% 0.345 0.1995 -0.045
Many Minds Move as One 2169 100.0% 34.73 100.0% -0.086 -0.3067 0.306
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 26104 100.0% 39.96 100.0% 0.235 0.2263 0.414
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 6626 100.0% 36.52 100.0% 0.255 0.1135 0.431
River Surges in Sunlight 23077 106.93% 37.23 102.21% 0.129 0.1321 0.491
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1738 24.45% 39.88 76.58% -0.462 -0.1923 -0.38
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 449 31.29% 40.9 77.06% -0.016 -0.1453 0.333
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 26027 100.0% 38.18 100.0% 0.176 -0.0376 0.155
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 7433 111.09% 28.26 103.31% -0.332 0.1042 -0.493
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 112 22.73% 34.13 84.82% 0.401 0.4003 0.46
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 127 27.78% 29.44 82.68% 0.248 0.24 -0.453
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 565 36.3% 33.62 79.47% 0.051 -0.0213 -0.254
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 495 40.04% 32.34 81.62% 0.427 0.4851 0.046
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 10663 100.74% 36.19 100.43% 0.021 -0.1077 0.13
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 108 26.17% 24.59 57.41% -0.066 -0.4289 -0.802
Shifting Memory of Ages 2266 100.0% 36.7 100.0% -0.437 -0.0301 -0.22
Shroud of Silent Mist 2135 100.0% 32.52 100.0% -0.371 -0.0561 0.125
Starlight Seeks its Form 2361 100.0% 38.86 100.0% -0.122 -0.3945 0.197
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6679 100.0% 37.83 100.0% 0.172 -0.3232 0.023
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4475 100.0% 36.53 100.0% -0.057 -0.0263 0.49
Thunderspeaker 17635 100.34% 31.69 100.23% -0.463 -0.4823 -0.225
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 73 17.81% 17.62 43.84% -0.733 -0.7958 -0.896
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2853 100.0% 33.6 100.0% -0.051 0.0107 -0.227
Vital Strength of the Earth 18317 105.66% 31.94 102.1% -0.022 0.5303 -0.157
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 665 20.36% 40.38 75.79% 0.163 0.419 -0.234
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 790 34.27% 34.17 71.77% -0.641 0.2557 -0.312
Volcano Looming High 3332 100.0% 34.65 100.0% 0.365 0.3752 -0.132

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Fields Choked with Growth 80.76%
Gift of Proliferation 78.77%
Overgrow in a Night 81.85%
Stem the Flow of Fresh Water 82.84%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 31508 21.03 24.57%
II 91673 31.04 79.77%
III 81559 34.74 89.47%
IV 26504 38.02 99.49%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 7737
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 71497
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 70310
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 26196
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2610
Lose: Invader deck ran out 4134
Lose: Adversary condition 15651
Win: Sacrifice victory 485
Lose: Scenario condition 3082
Win: Scenario condition 3982
Lose: Blight pool ran out 24613
Lose: Spirit destroyed 947

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.661 Win Model: -0.11

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.268 Win Model: 0.399
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 76631 30.48% 28.38 75.02%
2 82930 37.34% 31.8 78.27%
3 34729 33.09% 34.58 80.31%
4 33736 27.43% 39.54 81.29%
5 542 29.27% 34.13 81.18%
6 2676 21.33% 39.19 76.72%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-11-29 03:49:58 (Pacific Time)