Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 88 15.91% 25.67 77.27% 0.187 -0.0 -0.285
Blitz 0 3287 25.94% 34.15 80.44% 0.17 0.3206 0.187
Dahan Insurrection 4 2850 23.16% 59.25 75.26% -0.641 -0.8696 0.519
Despicable Theft 2 157 35.03% 36.27 71.97% -0.768 -0.0273 0.047
Elemental Invocation 1 463 47.4% 30.06 60.91% -0.576 0.1987 -1.293
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 10890 11.85% 44.55 75.6% 0.086 -0.5347 0.323
Powers Long Forgotten 1 943 42.19% 36.97 69.99% -0.41 0.0923 -1.012
Rituals of Terror 3 1445 34.88% 47.87 77.72% 0.357 0.4206 1.033
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 510 57.99% 37.52 71.57% -0.732 0.309 0.004
Second Wave 0 7467 33.01% 30.5 80.59% 0.369 0.4263 0.033
The Great River 3 284 38.3% 33.91 69.01% -1.529 -0.1734 -1.142
Varied Terrains 2 239 32.22% 28.49 67.36% -0.19 0.3144 -0.999
Ward the Shores 2 1152 33.72% 35.76 68.14% -0.888 0.286 -0.533

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 71990 30.01% 27.93 75.44% 0.777 0.9989 0.2
1 Thematic 4697 36.57% 34.7 67.89% -0.143 0.4854 -0.024
2 Archipelago 54 25.93% 33.85 79.63% -0.165 0.2078 0.667
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 55306 38.28% 31.75 78.33% 0.519 0.6667 0.5
2 Coastline 8218 31.65% 30.64 81.77% 0.563 0.5986 0.499
2 Fragment 1610 40.52% 27.85 76.34% 0.685 0.583 1.033
2 Heart 1467 21.45% 26.6 88.14% 1.317 0.9765 0.605
2 Opposite Shores 10643 36.36% 31.26 77.15% 0.624 0.7316 -0.33
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.339 0.8647 0.0
2 Thematic 4017 43.22% 37.57 67.26% -0.374 0.3171 0.214
2 Top to Top 1664 35.82% 31.78 78.13% 0.094 0.0871 0.378
3 Archipelago 80 32.5% 44.0 86.25% 1.871 0.5687 0.344
3 Coastline 215 36.45% 33.64 78.14% 0.949 0.4311 0.535
3 Other 1411 34.97% 31.32 78.81% 0.457 0.5437 0.431
3 Round (Default) 31864 32.78% 34.15 80.53% 0.296 0.1692 0.192
3 Sunrise 116 33.0% 32.47 88.79% -0.23 0.0788 1.23
3 Thematic 1228 39.85% 42.2 70.93% -0.205 -0.2184 0.011
4 Archipelago 84 35.9% 37.42 82.14% 0.522 0.0055 0.0
4 Coastline 162 22.15% 34.57 75.31% -0.901 -0.7322 0.498
4 Leaf 168 38.79% 34.49 76.19% 0.089 -0.5079 -0.297
4 Other 1143 34.57% 37.65 82.41% 0.777 -0.293 0.655
4 Reverse Snake 8 28.57% 32.5 100.0% 0.0 -0.4421 0.0
4 Snake 9 22.22% 39.33 88.89% -0.093 -0.477 -0.41
4 Thematic 6118 25.35% 54.92 76.22% -0.951 -0.9991 -0.037
4 Trapezoid (Default) 26109 27.62% 36.23 82.28% -0.27 -0.5066 -0.138
5 Archipelago 30 46.67% 41.27 76.67% -0.119 -1.2684 -1.142
5 Coastline 21 0.0% 35.14 95.24% 0.416 0.2601 0.239
5 Other 815 31.58% 37.81 86.99% -0.361 -0.9269 0.327
5 Thematic 167 29.94% 54.64 81.44% -0.402 -0.568 0.505
6 Archipelago 96 17.95% 43.09 83.33% -1.291 -1.215 -2.227
6 Coastline 55 15.79% 28.85 94.55% -0.501 -1.274 -0.938
6 Other 390 24.18% 41.17 76.67% -0.684 -1.145 -1.381
6 Star 226 32.0% 33.54 63.72% -1.81 -1.6507 -1.558
6 Thematic 880 22.71% 39.52 70.11% -1.925 -1.5553 -1.115
6 Two Centers (Default) 1131 17.65% 38.51 80.46% -1.062 -1.1566 -1.376
7 Archipelago 19 36.84% 55.16 73.68% -0.311 -0.7861 -0.586
7 Other 16 21.43% 32.81 87.5% -0.518 -1.418 -0.429

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4881 32.68 56.53% -0.019 0.2289 -0.419
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4814 33.83 59.89% -0.17 -0.1845 -0.352
All Things Weaken 2087 33.56 54.91% -0.221 0.2044 -0.512
Attenuated Essence 63 25.95 42.86% -0.26 -0.0975 -1.118
Back Against the Wall 4703 33.13 54.73% -0.443 -0.3348 -0.485
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 50 24.66 34.0% -0.858 -0.4949 -0.963
Burn Brightest Before the End 47 29.87 27.66% -0.851 -0.5841 -1.488
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4764 29.87 52.58% -0.447 0.0296 -0.636
Downward Spiral 13938 25.58 55.8% -0.613 -0.3093 -0.517
Erosion of Will 4873 30.81 52.47% -0.439 -0.0728 -0.657
Intensifying Exploitation 67 29.78 50.75% -0.207 0.146 0.194
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1051 37.47 76.21% 0.234 -0.2778 0.048
Memory Fades to Dust 13803 25.29 52.76% -0.733 -0.2976 -0.634
Power Corrodes the Spirit 1969 31.62 54.49% 0.11 0.3719 -0.586
Promising Farmlands 4807 29.81 52.94% -0.503 0.0203 -0.819
Shattered Fragments of Power 68 39.34 69.12% 0.716 0.8321 0.71
Slow Dissolution of Will 41 22.59 48.78% -0.414 0.0689 -1.502
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 697 37.96 81.49% 0.943 0.3172 0.131
The Border of Life and Death 20 34.2 65.0% 0.467 0.2164 0.25
Thriving Communities 2092 31.21 52.25% -0.223 0.2095 -0.678
Thriving Crops 39 32.59 66.67% 0.387 0.3773 -0.091
Tipping Point 2082 30.19 53.65% 0.0 -0.1579 -0.569
Unnatural Proliferation 2182 33.31 55.41% -0.064 0.1971 -0.491
Untended Land Crumbles 2128 31.17 52.11% -0.234 0.0821 -0.52

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 85694 31.65% 32.31 79.82% -0.657 0.2031 0.051
B 89344 31.79% 32.47 79.66% -0.748 0.0665 -0.066
C 87063 32.37% 32.39 79.49% -0.615 0.0728 -0.03
D 82062 32.5% 32.01 79.39% -0.64 0.1957 0.023
E 22498 34.54% 34.98 78.02% -0.514 0.1388 -0.067
F 32330 33.21% 34.39 78.99% -0.551 0.2011 0.045
G 29360 32.71% 34.19 79.4% -0.479 0.2924 -0.084
H 29411 32.57% 34.18 79.52% -0.392 0.2914 -0.049
East 14224 32.15% 45.75 72.26% -0.448 0.2007 -0.435
Northeast 10290 29.97% 48.2 73.28% -0.654 0.1729 0.028
Northwest 8843 30.08% 48.53 72.26% -0.455 0.272 0.42
Southeast 2781 28.72% 42.18 73.86% -0.527 0.1829 -0.434
Southwest 2595 29.36% 41.21 73.99% -0.382 0.7305 -0.961
West 13001 32.96% 45.78 71.15% -0.662 0.3066 -0.995

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 14815 0.0% 20.22 73.86% -0.861 -0.0165 0.684
Not Using Events or Tokens 63786 29.2% 25.73 79.25% 0.093 0.4195 -0.403
Skip Initial Invader Actions 9683 8.67% 40.23 90.63% 0.472 -0.121 -0.203
Start of Game Growth 13503 10.95% 39.96 89.21% 0.183 -0.0857 0.222
Unlimited Undo 24504 23.45% 34.44 85.12% 0.125 0.1214 0.48
Using Tokens but Not Events 24656 22.21% 32.48 83.38% 0.019 -0.0417 -0.03

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7499 100.0% 31.35 100.0% -0.519 -0.4067 -0.257
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5864 100.0% 33.06 100.0% 0.228 0.0649 -0.262
Downpour Drenches the World 1372 100.0% 36.98 100.0% 0.071 0.2596 0.125
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 663 100.0% 30.14 100.0% 0.39 -0.3804 0.004
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6158 100.0% 34.4 100.0% 0.622 0.0354 -0.107
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5331 100.0% 33.57 100.0% -0.027 -0.5053 -0.533
Finder of Paths Unseen 618 100.0% 40.86 100.0% -0.151 0.5198 1.29
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2831 100.0% 48.36 100.0% 0.325 0.9601 0.59
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1089 100.0% 35.43 100.0% 0.235 0.1513 0.17
Heart of the Wildfire 15083 100.0% 38.47 100.0% -0.125 0.1285 0.146
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 23717 100.0% 37.76 100.0% 0.03 -0.4012 -0.107
Lightning's Swift Strike 23813 109.42% 31.71 103.01% -0.026 0.2032 -0.39
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 584 29.28% 42.43 77.4% 0.289 -0.3899 0.275
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1128 32.65% 38.43 80.94% -0.142 -0.3616 0.501
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1606 31.81% 39.56 76.96% -0.163 -0.2819 -0.001
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5169 100.0% 36.79 100.0% 0.323 0.181 -0.054
Many Minds Move as One 2187 100.0% 34.63 100.0% -0.026 -0.2347 0.29
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 26232 100.0% 39.89 100.0% 0.177 0.1637 0.42
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 6657 100.0% 36.52 100.0% 0.288 0.147 0.448
River Surges in Sunlight 23159 107.0% 37.19 102.26% 0.144 0.1749 0.495
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1748 24.48% 39.8 76.49% -0.426 -0.1671 -0.351
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 472 31.68% 40.28 76.27% -0.033 -0.1507 0.238
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 26173 100.0% 38.12 100.0% 0.241 0.0167 0.163
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 7465 111.19% 28.2 103.36% -0.412 0.0429 -0.483
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 114 22.32% 34.04 85.09% 0.454 0.4281 0.527
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 132 26.72% 29.91 82.58% 0.386 0.3622 -0.335
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 568 36.28% 33.52 79.05% -0.135 -0.1813 -0.232
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 498 40.0% 32.3 81.53% 0.132 0.1854 0.054
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 10685 100.8% 36.17 100.45% 0.036 -0.078 0.145
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 116 25.22% 25.21 58.62% 0.065 -0.3463 -0.706
Shifting Memory of Ages 2309 100.0% 36.54 100.0% -0.434 -0.0529 -0.223
Shroud of Silent Mist 2165 100.0% 32.29 100.0% -0.557 -0.247 0.113
Starlight Seeks its Form 2422 100.0% 38.68 100.0% -0.09 -0.3566 0.186
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6705 100.0% 37.83 100.0% 0.208 -0.2768 0.038
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4500 100.0% 36.5 100.0% 0.018 0.0581 0.499
Thunderspeaker 17691 100.4% 31.66 100.27% -0.496 -0.5192 -0.206
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 84 16.67% 18.29 44.05% -0.664 -0.7622 -1.081
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2867 100.0% 33.58 100.0% 0.142 0.1799 -0.221
Vital Strength of the Earth 18381 105.79% 31.89 102.18% 0.029 0.5766 -0.16
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 703 21.7% 39.84 75.25% 0.216 0.4942 -0.222
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 798 34.18% 34.03 71.55% -0.568 0.3202 -0.338
Volcano Looming High 3363 100.0% 34.59 100.0% 0.374 0.3998 -0.11

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Fields Choked with Growth 80.79%
Gift of Proliferation 78.81%
Overgrow in a Night 81.87%
Stem the Flow of Fresh Water 82.85%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 31896 20.88 24.35%
II 91987 31.03 79.75%
III 81803 34.74 89.47%
IV 26601 38.02 99.49%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 7760
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 71717
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 70540
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 26292
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 2939
Lose: Invader deck ran out 4150
Lose: Adversary condition 15700
Win: Sacrifice victory 485
Lose: Scenario condition 3090
Win: Scenario condition 3989
Lose: Blight pool ran out 24677
Lose: Spirit destroyed 948

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.524 Win Model: -0.114

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.25 Win Model: 0.425
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 76907 30.47% 28.35 74.94%
2 83294 37.32% 31.76 78.16%
3 34896 33.08% 34.55 80.24%
4 33876 27.44% 39.47 81.17%
5 565 28.2% 33.11 78.76%
6 2749 21.34% 39.1 76.5%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-02 03:54:23 (Pacific Time)