Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 253 20.55% 25.02 71.94% 0.073 -0.1487 0.0
Blitz 0 4885 23.42% 31.25 71.93% 0.083 0.3018 0.751
Dahan Insurrection 4 4058 21.69% 50.7 64.49% -0.009 0.1671 0.902
Despicable Theft 2 323 30.65% 28.04 54.49% -0.055 0.4201 -0.393
Elemental Invocation 1 824 37.91% 28.36 58.37% 1.003 1.5834 -0.561
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 15087 11.09% 41.54 69.93% 0.398 -0.1024 0.823
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1282 38.03% 31.63 60.3% -0.732 0.1537 -0.718
Rituals of Terror 3 2249 30.21% 43.19 68.21% -0.221 0.3354 0.52
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 713 52.54% 32.06 61.57% -0.169 0.662 -0.401
Second Wave 0 10073 32.11% 29.91 77.98% 1.057 0.9996 1.74
The Great River 3 470 35.26% 28.39 58.09% -1.518 -0.3253 0.325
Varied Terrains 2 758 33.91% 25.19 56.6% 0.426 0.9901 -1.703
Ward the Shores 2 1556 30.58% 31.05 60.15% -0.438 0.4839 -0.108

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 105470 28.39% 25.04 68.07% -0.113 0.2791 0.334
1 Thematic 6027 34.33% 32.09 62.6% -0.594 0.1427 0.917
2 Archipelago 117 24.35% 27.96 66.67% 0.569 0.4333 -0.152
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 78396 36.83% 28.73 70.93% -0.081 0.1816 0.152
2 Coastline 11914 30.27% 27.98 74.31% 0.347 0.4431 0.519
2 Fragment 2335 39.36% 25.44 71.65% 0.157 0.6474 0.798
2 Heart 1824 24.34% 24.77 81.2% 0.346 0.0775 -0.102
2 Opposite Shores 15645 34.39% 28.27 70.74% 0.282 0.4935 -0.389
2 Other 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 5273 40.48% 34.66 61.5% 0.084 0.6416 -0.228
2 Top to Top 2527 34.47% 28.12 69.57% -0.243 -0.3671 -0.166
3 Archipelago 160 33.13% 41.42 75.63% 0.43 0.8548 0.36
3 Coastline 345 33.74% 30.26 70.14% 0.808 -0.066 1.879
3 Other 2035 31.79% 26.37 68.89% 0.147 -0.0644 0.262
3 Round (Default) 46467 32.06% 31.4 74.21% 0.036 0.2489 -0.228
3 Sunrise 203 22.7% 25.62 74.88% 0.0 -0.3763 0.0
3 Thematic 1818 38.11% 36.5 60.23% 0.338 0.154 -0.852
4 Archipelago 180 28.74% 32.87 72.78% 0.662 0.0294 -0.188
4 Coastline 212 22.33% 31.71 71.7% 0.236 0.0766 0.417
4 Leaf 260 41.2% 31.08 70.38% 0.605 0.332 0.0
4 Other 1527 33.19% 32.34 73.22% 0.592 0.1918 0.362
4 Reverse Snake 13 25.0% 27.38 84.62% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 10 20.0% 35.4 80.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 7202 25.25% 51.09 71.01% -0.346 -0.157 0.251
4 Trapezoid (Default) 36316 26.24% 32.47 74.49% -0.078 0.1853 -0.102
5 Archipelago 58 46.55% 36.78 70.69% 0.0 0.4122 0.236
5 Coastline 53 10.0% 31.23 79.25% 0.0 -0.8368 -0.497
5 Other 1712 29.54% 30.95 75.99% -0.721 -0.9814 -1.142
5 Thematic 237 29.54% 48.46 71.73% -0.421 -0.628 -0.602
6 Archipelago 620 3.82% 64.47 81.13% 0.76 0.0295 0.169
6 Coastline 122 8.14% 38.02 84.43% 0.545 0.4259 0.901
6 Other 886 23.37% 32.25 61.96% -0.096 -0.0954 -0.743
6 Star 506 23.17% 30.38 62.65% -0.121 0.119 -1.694
6 Thematic 1915 20.07% 30.88 54.57% -0.269 -0.0065 -0.512
6 Two Centers (Default) 2875 17.64% 28.05 60.42% -1.576 -0.4968 -1.68
7 Archipelago 26 26.92% 53.96 69.23% -0.17 0.8921 -0.142
7 Other 49 19.57% 22.98 53.06% -0.633 -0.594 0.158
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6028 31.65 54.55% 0.222 0.2943 0.114
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5900 33.01 58.39% 0.171 0.1241 0.76
All Things Weaken 3057 31.22 51.26% 0.029 0.3976 0.394
Attenuated Essence 606 27.5 48.35% 0.44 0.4679 0.667
Back Against the Wall 5750 32.38 54.31% -0.472 -0.5526 0.252
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 579 28.13 46.8% 0.246 0.4489 0.289
Burn Brightest Before the End 500 29.6 44.8% -0.519 -0.4187 0.008
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5922 28.64 51.37% -0.243 0.1192 0.218
Downward Spiral 19148 23.65 52.56% 0.05 0.2524 0.692
Erosion of Will 6012 29.81 50.98% -0.454 -0.1283 0.17
Intensifying Exploitation 625 26.02 47.04% -0.113 0.2049 0.567
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1577 35.56 72.92% -0.052 -0.5711 0.469
Memory Fades to Dust 18945 23.52 49.73% -0.539 -0.2625 0.286
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3022 29.35 50.33% -1.097 -0.8996 0.507
Promising Farmlands 5986 28.81 51.1% -0.448 -0.0767 0.351
Shattered Fragments of Power 506 32.19 51.38% -0.29 -0.0987 1.238
Slow Dissolution of Will 500 26.89 43.2% -1.059 -0.6831 0.457
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 994 35.8 77.77% 0.412 -0.171 0.18
The Border of Life and Death 183 29.38 59.02% -0.027 -0.6874 -0.194
Thriving Communities 3107 29.52 50.47% 0.027 0.2478 0.463
Thriving Crops 300 29.05 55.67% 0.141 0.0337 0.775
Tipping Point 2084 30.16 53.6% 0.0 0.5727 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 3150 31.6 52.06% 0.123 0.2195 -0.032
Untended Land Crumbles 3102 29.47 49.32% 0.103 0.3024 0.135

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 123975 29.98% 29.15 72.05% 0.257 1.1647 0.33
B 127339 30.16% 29.37 72.15% 0.231 1.0611 0.067
C 123882 30.78% 29.35 71.93% 0.054 0.806 0.054
D 117127 30.89% 28.94 71.71% 0.2 1.0709 0.19
E 38749 32.47% 30.76 69.57% 0.175 0.8779 0.046
F 50349 31.33% 30.69 71.42% 0.421 1.2324 0.316
G 45417 30.99% 30.99 71.98% 0.433 1.2534 0.128
H 45331 30.77% 31.21 72.23% 0.316 1.0743 -0.16
East 18883 30.68% 40.93 65.02% -0.106 0.8147 0.666
Northeast 13775 28.74% 42.65 65.25% -0.216 0.5076 -0.012
Northwest 11682 28.45% 42.79 64.38% -1.131 -0.1474 -0.203
Southeast 4515 26.08% 35.42 62.92% 0.292 1.1437 -1.354
Southwest 4250 26.56% 34.23 62.02% -0.491 0.7856 0.222
West 17125 31.35% 40.73 63.81% -0.095 0.5966 -0.345

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 22991 0.0% 17.34 63.54% -0.633 0.2759 0.767
Not Using Events or Tokens 100001 27.58% 22.55 68.99% -0.151 0.237 -0.615
Skip Initial Invader Actions 13370 8.23% 36.9 82.54% 0.005 -0.7187 -2.034
Start of Game Growth 18549 10.93% 36.6 81.53% 0.161 -0.3269 0.811
Unlimited Undo 35213 22.51% 31.28 76.88% 0.254 0.3343 -0.019
Using Tokens but Not Events 35676 21.82% 30.0 75.84% 0.266 0.2218 -0.359

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 364 18.11% 28.55 67.86% 0.133 -0.5075 0.928
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 10776 39.18% 27.33 66.12% 0.091 0.3183 -0.315
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 516 24.76% 25.72 52.71% -0.229 -0.8872 0.585
Dances Up Earthquakes 644 27.49% 24.98 63.04% -1.067 -0.8645 0.091
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 8226 29.43% 30.19 75.67% -0.051 -0.2377 0.177
Downpour Drenches the World 3625 24.41% 29.36 60.28% -0.152 0.1971 -0.228
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2799 26.74% 27.8 64.06% 0.138 -0.3448 0.395
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9656 24.55% 30.46 74.95% -0.035 -0.3041 -0.165
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7967 26.28% 32.99 73.11% 0.045 -0.3196 -0.56
Finder of Paths Unseen 1713 25.97% 30.86 64.33% -0.992 -0.0659 -0.124
Fractured Days Split the Sky 4625 26.08% 40.13 70.88% -0.34 0.1276 0.266
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2304 34.61% 29.12 66.1% 0.127 0.1001 -0.26
Heart of the Wildfire 19201 47.44% 34.92 71.69% -0.24 0.123 -0.371
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 30157 28.61% 35.29 75.99% 0.108 -0.2795 -0.335
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 776 23.54% 27.61 60.7% -0.326 -0.6709 -0.521
Lightning's Swift Strike 32396 29.49% 28.5 73.02% -0.076 0.0805 -0.663
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 2294 24.47% 41.33 67.35% 0.412 -0.1933 1.771
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1978 29.79% 31.54 66.28% -0.809 -1.1194 -0.059
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2771 29.85% 34.37 69.47% 0.699 0.4415 1.03
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 8507 33.05% 32.54 70.68% 0.222 0.0871 -0.387
Many Minds Move as One 3697 30.34% 31.5 73.76% -0.095 -0.1115 0.04
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 37235 27.97% 35.32 72.71% -0.149 -0.197 -0.239
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 979 31.38% 25.2 59.55% -0.48 -0.3199 -0.698
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 9467 25.44% 35.2 78.23% 0.585 0.3659 -0.026
River Surges in Sunlight 31853 25.86% 33.94 74.67% 0.444 0.4713 0.4
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 213 17.92% 20.37 47.42% -0.474 -0.3488 -0.632
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2879 23.75% 33.41 66.76% -0.582 -0.4329 -0.96
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1770 30.71% 30.5 58.19% -0.193 -0.077 0.717
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 35019 29.6% 34.97 72.49% 0.21 -0.0434 -0.069
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 312 25.24% 24.61 59.94% -0.306 -0.5052 0.275
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 10487 41.2% 24.59 68.9% -0.336 0.2523 -0.539
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 302 34.58% 28.17 72.85% -0.165 -0.1308 0.123
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 443 35.7% 31.57 69.98% 0.03 -0.3541 -0.006
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 372 26.49% 26.6 70.7% -0.854 -0.8296 0.427
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 848 38.23% 29.48 72.29% -0.06 -0.16 -0.361
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 732 38.42% 28.87 75.41% -0.194 0.073 0.97
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 12897 27.52% 33.66 77.33% 0.5 0.3382 -0.31
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 21 9.52% 25.48 95.24% 1.093 0.599 0.0
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 816 23.93% 26.15 59.31% 0.086 0.1052 0.297
Shifting Memory of Ages 4436 30.23% 30.35 65.35% 0.071 0.4178 0.537
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 459 22.12% 27.02 60.35% 1.04 1.0691 0.186
Shroud of Silent Mist 3801 33.87% 27.49 69.35% -0.186 0.3829 -0.393
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 58 29.82% 33.33 72.41% 1.316 1.0064 0.428
Starlight Seeks its Form 6057 24.66% 32.4 67.56% 0.146 0.0521 0.268
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 9890 33.64% 34.44 68.72% -0.126 -0.6871 -0.001
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6102 28.24% 33.59 77.94% 0.17 0.3644 0.497
Thunderspeaker 25116 30.45% 27.52 68.41% -0.286 -0.2735 -0.453
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 434 22.74% 20.63 51.15% 1.2 1.2472 0.196
Towering Roots of the Jungle 669 27.27% 24.64 63.23% 0.721 0.8982 -0.468
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4008 48.64% 30.97 69.94% -0.276 -0.2576 -0.329
Vital Strength of the Earth 24947 20.28% 28.78 73.71% 0.033 0.545 -0.428
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 2067 22.48% 33.37 62.12% -0.701 -0.3525 0.176
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 1254 31.95% 28.63 63.16% 0.313 1.112 -1.072
Volcano Looming High 5921 41.89% 31.55 68.11% -0.347 -0.3768 0.387
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1258 23.86% 27.76 67.81% 0.261 0.0101 0.154

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Fields Choked with Growth 82.06%
Gift of Proliferation 80.48%
Overgrow in a Night 83.18%
Stem the Flow of Fresh Water 84.2%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 68797 12.37 14.02%
II 123176 29.93 77.51%
III 108488 34.92 88.98%
IV 35064 38.86 99.52%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 9636
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 94795
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 92197
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 34662
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 35953
Lose: Invader deck ran out 5346
Lose: Adversary condition 20072
Win: Sacrifice victory 648
Lose: Scenario condition 3771
Win: Scenario condition 4611
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 32571
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1263

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.227 Win Model: -0.118

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.112 Win Model: 0.067
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 111982 28.74% 25.4 67.67%
2 118400 35.84% 28.8 71.04%
3 51008 32.16% 31.63 73.59%
4 45688 26.36% 35.16 73.93%
5 1601 27.95% 28.21 68.58%
6 6846 17.88% 33.09 62.11%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-10-25 23:57:52 (Pacific Time)