Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 208 21.15% 25.88 73.08% 0.808 0.9016 0.299
Blitz 0 4534 23.4% 32.07 73.62% 0.236 0.4694 0.631
Dahan Insurrection 4 3769 21.91% 51.99 66.2% 0.122 -0.1309 0.474
Despicable Theft 2 289 30.45% 28.98 56.4% -0.258 0.3971 -0.263
Elemental Invocation 1 757 38.49% 28.5 58.39% -0.325 0.3559 -1.474
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 14081 11.1% 42.07 71.14% -0.022 -0.5988 0.512
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1211 38.94% 32.5 62.01% -0.472 0.3869 -0.988
Rituals of Terror 3 2053 30.91% 43.92 69.95% -0.322 -0.2365 0.926
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 663 53.64% 33.29 63.8% 0.112 1.0117 -0.058
Second Wave 0 9497 32.24% 30.0 78.17% 0.244 0.3874 0.232
The Great River 3 427 34.82% 29.46 60.89% -0.519 0.641 -1.467
Varied Terrains 2 639 32.39% 25.34 59.0% 0.127 0.8974 -0.755
Ward the Shores 2 1482 31.03% 31.59 61.13% -0.327 0.7643 -1.099

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 97398 28.68% 25.5 69.23% 0.717 1.0261 0.433
1 Thematic 5727 34.51% 32.61 63.8% 0.459 1.1205 0.365
2 Archipelago 102 26.73% 28.98 67.65% 0.212 0.8991 0.46
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 72429 37.11% 29.33 72.44% 0.511 0.6404 0.502
2 Coastline 11028 30.55% 28.36 75.34% 0.721 0.6435 0.431
2 Fragment 2143 39.52% 25.95 72.47% 0.933 0.7465 1.201
2 Heart 1733 23.67% 25.15 82.63% 0.691 0.3853 0.598
2 Opposite Shores 14255 34.87% 28.95 72.54% 0.556 0.6715 -0.174
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 1.6409 0.0
2 Thematic 5031 41.15% 34.94 62.31% 0.452 0.9292 0.267
2 Top to Top 2289 34.64% 28.87 71.08% -0.053 -0.0745 0.349
3 Archipelago 150 34.0% 41.73 75.33% 0.376 -0.3334 0.462
3 Coastline 312 34.12% 31.03 72.76% 0.872 0.2249 0.475
3 Other 1884 32.14% 27.35 70.65% 0.456 -0.2606 0.374
3 Round (Default) 42808 32.35% 32.03 75.27% 0.492 0.4248 0.011
3 Sunrise 188 23.53% 25.73 73.94% 0.254 0.3089 1.363
3 Thematic 1671 38.0% 37.46 62.12% -0.43 -0.3009 0.171
4 Archipelago 167 30.43% 33.7 74.25% 0.169 -0.1948 -0.202
4 Coastline 193 19.79% 32.37 73.06% 0.492 0.5729 0.307
4 Leaf 247 42.02% 31.15 70.45% 0.922 0.8975 -0.689
4 Other 1443 33.94% 33.09 73.67% -0.047 -0.6953 0.623
4 Reverse Snake 12 27.27% 24.83 83.33% 0.364 0.0247 0.0
4 Snake 10 20.0% 35.4 80.0% -0.358 -0.8028 -0.37
4 Thematic 6925 25.4% 51.89 72.23% -0.089 0.0488 -0.246
4 Trapezoid (Default) 33607 26.62% 33.24 75.81% -0.113 -0.1243 -0.626
5 Archipelago 49 48.98% 39.41 73.47% 0.112 0.4313 -0.838
5 Coastline 48 8.89% 32.21 85.42% -0.432 -0.8225 -0.384
5 Other 1563 29.09% 31.77 77.93% -0.32 -0.8809 -0.319
5 Thematic 227 29.96% 49.82 73.57% -0.144 -0.4381 0.289
6 Archipelago 489 4.46% 61.83 79.55% 0.812 -0.2733 -1.171
6 Coastline 110 5.41% 36.87 84.55% -0.521 -1.404 -0.628
6 Other 783 22.79% 32.81 62.58% -1.251 -1.3803 -2.203
6 Star 432 24.59% 30.18 64.12% -0.831 -0.7674 -2.112
6 Thematic 1756 20.35% 31.64 55.3% -1.711 -1.3059 -1.864
6 Two Centers (Default) 2407 17.44% 30.23 64.56% -2.13 -1.5579 -2.321
7 Archipelago 23 30.43% 58.35 73.91% 0.0 0.0586 -0.579
7 Other 39 18.92% 22.69 56.41% -0.504 -0.9674 -1.323
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 -0.947 0.049

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5746 31.82 54.77% -0.561 -0.3403 -0.031
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5630 33.16 58.61% -0.382 -0.4338 0.062
All Things Weaken 2827 31.64 51.89% -0.428 -0.0837 -0.152
Attenuated Essence 481 26.89 48.65% -0.424 -0.3977 -0.549
Back Against the Wall 5503 32.58 54.52% -0.328 -0.2997 -0.056
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 452 28.33 45.58% -0.78 -0.6263 -0.273
Burn Brightest Before the End 396 30.01 43.94% -0.619 -0.5626 -0.536
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5632 28.92 51.58% -0.355 -0.0531 -0.222
Downward Spiral 17763 24.02 53.27% -0.362 -0.2539 -0.112
Erosion of Will 5751 30.03 51.21% -0.538 -0.2992 -0.253
Intensifying Exploitation 488 25.97 46.93% -0.574 -0.3195 -0.132
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1438 35.94 73.23% 0.838 0.2404 0.381
Memory Fades to Dust 17601 23.83 50.37% -0.353 -0.117 -0.171
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2779 29.75 51.21% -0.114 0.095 -0.245
Promising Farmlands 5693 29.08 51.85% -0.263 -0.0194 -0.448
Shattered Fragments of Power 413 31.71 50.12% -0.422 -0.3345 0.117
Slow Dissolution of Will 387 26.66 44.19% -0.037 0.3382 -0.653
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 929 35.95 77.93% 0.529 -0.1731 0.374
The Border of Life and Death 142 29.82 61.27% -0.023 -0.6002 0.362
Thriving Communities 2866 29.86 50.73% -0.297 -0.0605 -0.269
Thriving Crops 238 29.43 56.3% -0.873 -1.0805 -0.351
Tipping Point 2083 30.18 53.62% 0.0 0.3902 -0.123
Unnatural Proliferation 2960 31.88 52.7% -0.451 -0.2458 -0.166
Untended Land Crumbles 2886 29.83 49.72% -0.467 -0.2542 -0.168

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 114284 30.36% 29.77 73.47% -0.401 0.5666 -0.105
B 117566 30.54% 29.99 73.56% -0.164 0.7204 -0.197
C 114488 31.14% 29.95 73.32% -0.383 0.3264 -0.204
D 108196 31.25% 29.54 73.08% -0.277 0.6546 -0.163
E 34737 32.88% 31.55 70.97% -0.16 0.6224 -0.265
F 45933 31.66% 31.39 72.85% -0.094 0.7542 -0.057
G 41467 31.3% 31.56 73.18% -0.057 0.7567 -0.198
H 41392 30.97% 31.77 73.46% -0.198 0.6253 -0.174
East 17897 30.91% 41.67 66.22% -0.461 0.3523 -0.484
Northeast 13018 28.95% 43.53 66.54% -0.527 0.1948 -0.315
Northwest 11098 28.87% 43.71 65.67% -0.719 0.1306 0.045
Southeast 4216 26.22% 36.23 64.04% 0.107 0.8996 -0.5
Southwest 3978 27.03% 35.05 63.2% 0.383 1.6567 -1.036
West 16281 31.66% 41.48 65.01% -0.833 0.1016 -1.089

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 21029 0.0% 17.86 65.0% -0.875 -0.1474 0.508
Not Using Events or Tokens 90263 27.89% 23.08 70.75% -0.03 0.3326 -0.522
Skip Initial Invader Actions 12592 8.36% 37.92 84.32% 0.441 -0.2147 -0.147
Start of Game Growth 17483 10.94% 37.43 83.05% 0.162 -0.3631 0.255
Unlimited Undo 32801 22.72% 31.96 78.16% 0.058 -0.0123 0.325
Using Tokens but Not Events 33198 21.97% 30.49 77.16% 0.027 0.0046 -0.232

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 9958 40.05% 28.1 68.07% -0.638 -0.5002 -0.147
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 435 24.88% 25.75 51.49% -0.371 -1.2158 -1.231
Dances Up Earthquakes 323 28.57% 26.25 66.56% 0.127 0.0946 -0.148
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 7655 29.43% 30.73 76.67% -0.121 -0.2614 -0.077
Downpour Drenches the World 3191 23.74% 30.19 61.42% -0.068 0.1496 -0.065
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2419 27.09% 28.05 64.53% 0.151 -0.4673 0.254
Eyes Watch From the Trees 8826 25.06% 30.99 76.23% 0.03 -0.3726 -0.242
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7311 26.49% 33.03 74.16% -0.093 -0.5376 -0.392
Finder of Paths Unseen 1484 26.67% 32.4 66.24% 0.098 0.8279 0.761
Fractured Days Split the Sky 4307 26.26% 41.34 71.74% -0.276 0.38 0.617
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2075 35.35% 29.71 66.65% -0.273 -0.4041 0.045
Heart of the Wildfire 18180 47.72% 35.64 73.04% -0.127 0.2138 0.172
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 28646 28.79% 35.84 77.08% 0.302 -0.0935 0.0
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 621 24.64% 29.35 63.77% 0.248 -0.0824 -0.651
Lightning's Swift Strike 29927 29.88% 29.2 74.6% -0.274 -0.0388 -0.397
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1927 25.88% 41.13 67.0% -0.06 -0.4088 0.065
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1818 30.43% 32.25 67.88% -0.062 -0.3793 0.292
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2523 30.33% 34.8 69.8% 0.464 0.3607 0.176
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 7778 33.69% 33.2 71.57% -0.19 -0.3883 -0.04
Many Minds Move as One 3369 30.34% 32.2 75.36% 0.567 0.3485 0.368
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 34402 28.46% 36.27 74.21% 0.066 0.2223 0.469
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 482 32.01% 27.29 65.56% 0.484 0.5548 -0.056
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 8720 25.75% 35.32 78.77% 0.367 0.2579 0.767
River Surges in Sunlight 29419 26.22% 34.67 75.78% 0.09 0.209 0.767
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 111 18.18% 17.98 42.34% -0.736 -0.5838 -0.967
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2683 23.54% 34.24 67.91% -0.629 -0.3587 -0.236
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1493 30.83% 30.58 58.81% -0.125 -0.2292 -0.203
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 32979 29.93% 35.47 73.58% 0.192 0.0508 0.287
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 155 25.49% 25.27 61.29% -0.384 -0.5095 0.814
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 9662 41.36% 25.33 70.74% -0.26 0.2605 -0.564
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 265 33.33% 29.04 74.72% 0.647 0.5528 0.866
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 357 36.08% 32.89 73.39% 0.701 0.2282 0.367
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 325 26.01% 26.84 72.0% 0.23 0.1209 0.186
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 774 38.41% 30.5 74.68% 0.045 -0.0273 0.047
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 689 38.35% 28.92 75.33% -0.062 0.0947 0.062
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 12386 27.52% 34.27 78.54% -0.227 -0.1396 0.17
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 664 24.89% 25.89 58.89% 0.115 -0.0414 -1.038
Shifting Memory of Ages 4118 30.59% 30.94 65.78% 0.071 0.3423 -0.004
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 293 17.77% 23.78 58.7% 0.019 -0.1132 -0.303
Shroud of Silent Mist 3484 34.28% 28.14 71.1% -0.363 -0.0321 -0.144
Starlight Seeks its Form 5209 25.42% 33.12 68.63% 0.444 0.3397 0.281
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 9092 33.98% 35.17 69.91% 0.318 -0.1729 0.147
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5681 27.93% 34.11 79.05% 0.097 0.2452 0.745
Thunderspeaker 23281 30.67% 28.27 70.27% -0.443 -0.4071 -0.144
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 371 21.2% 19.7 50.4% 0.124 0.214 -0.624
Towering Roots of the Jungle 431 24.94% 26.21 64.5% 0.202 0.3187 -0.253
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3744 49.33% 31.8 71.18% -0.044 0.0442 0.079
Vital Strength of the Earth 23027 20.4% 29.58 75.3% -0.035 0.56 0.036
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1776 22.67% 34.4 63.23% 0.278 0.7213 -0.164
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 1142 31.94% 29.63 63.92% -0.366 0.3209 -0.269
Volcano Looming High 5329 42.24% 32.48 69.58% 0.187 0.234 0.33
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1037 24.54% 28.86 68.27% -0.011 -0.308 -0.41

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Fields Choked with Growth 81.83%
Gift of Proliferation 80.14%
Overgrow in a Night 82.94%
Stem the Flow of Fresh Water 84.01%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 59903 13.49 15.39%
II 115159 30.14 77.9%
III 101760 34.83 89.1%
IV 33013 38.66 99.52%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 9212
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 89001
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 86541
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 32636
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 27963
Lose: Invader deck ran out 5064
Lose: Adversary condition 18943
Win: Sacrifice victory 598
Lose: Scenario condition 3581
Win: Scenario condition 4459
Lose: Blight pool ran out 30653
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1184

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.552 Win Model: -0.098

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.289 Win Model: 0.396
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 103548 29.03% 25.88 68.84%
2 109373 36.15% 29.38 72.47%
3 46986 32.44% 32.27 74.7%
4 42589 26.71% 36.05 75.2%
5 1453 27.35% 28.74 69.79%
6 5886 18.05% 33.83 63.97%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-07-29 03:27:58 (Pacific Time)