Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 256 20.31% 24.94 71.48% -0.26 -0.2642 0.0
Blitz 0 4907 23.42% 31.19 71.84% -0.289 -0.0338 0.58
Dahan Insurrection 4 4090 21.67% 50.56 64.35% -0.223 -0.1903 0.843
Despicable Theft 2 325 30.77% 27.94 54.15% -0.349 0.1679 -0.184
Elemental Invocation 1 830 38.12% 28.26 58.07% -0.245 0.2886 -0.504
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 15160 11.1% 41.55 69.85% 0.103 -0.4384 0.855
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1292 37.89% 31.45 59.98% -1.064 -0.3627 -0.689
Rituals of Terror 3 2262 30.31% 43.1 68.08% -0.158 -0.1469 0.568
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 716 52.31% 31.97 61.31% -1.098 -0.3092 -0.405
Second Wave 0 10112 32.12% 29.9 77.93% 0.764 0.7613 1.562
The Great River 3 474 35.38% 28.32 57.81% -1.273 -0.1376 0.093
Varied Terrains 2 759 33.86% 25.16 56.52% 0.181 0.8126 -1.621
Ward the Shores 2 1562 30.72% 31.04 60.05% -0.62 0.2105 0.098

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 105967 28.38% 25.01 67.99% 0.012 0.3255 0.169
1 Thematic 6041 34.36% 32.06 62.52% -0.314 0.3443 0.865
2 Archipelago 117 24.35% 27.96 66.67% 0.398 -0.041 -0.128
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 78772 36.83% 28.7 70.86% 0.057 0.2016 0.061
2 Coastline 11969 30.25% 27.95 74.29% 0.5 0.4924 0.391
2 Fragment 2349 39.31% 25.41 71.65% 0.632 0.7552 0.841
2 Heart 1828 24.34% 24.73 81.07% 0.302 0.246 -0.314
2 Opposite Shores 15726 34.34% 28.25 70.74% 0.795 0.9293 -0.414
2 Other 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 Thematic 5292 40.41% 34.61 61.45% 0.324 0.8543 -0.269
2 Top to Top 2539 34.39% 28.11 69.55% 0.234 0.2406 -0.512
3 Archipelago 160 33.13% 41.42 75.63% 0.83 1.1353 0.373
3 Coastline 346 33.64% 30.18 69.94% 0.054 -0.7551 1.881
3 Other 2049 31.76% 26.26 68.62% -0.13 -0.4356 0.167
3 Round (Default) 46728 32.05% 31.36 74.13% 0.071 0.1667 -0.397
3 Sunrise 203 22.7% 25.62 74.88% 0.0 -0.6352 0.0
3 Thematic 1828 38.01% 36.37 60.01% -1.117 -0.8093 -1.002
4 Archipelago 181 28.57% 32.99 72.93% 0.43 -0.05 0.0
4 Coastline 213 22.22% 31.79 71.83% 0.353 0.4482 0.421
4 Leaf 260 41.2% 31.08 70.38% 0.678 0.7196 0.0
4 Other 1531 33.17% 32.31 73.15% 0.564 0.018 0.394
4 Reverse Snake 14 30.77% 25.43 78.57% -0.478 -0.2198 0.0
4 Snake 10 20.0% 35.4 80.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Thematic 7228 25.19% 50.98 70.86% -0.236 0.4684 0.157
4 Trapezoid (Default) 36497 26.21% 32.43 74.46% 0.225 0.2278 -0.12
5 Archipelago 59 45.76% 36.15 69.49% -0.484 0.7205 0.226
5 Coastline 53 10.0% 31.23 79.25% 0.0 -0.5976 0.215
5 Other 1724 30.04% 30.9 75.81% -0.886 -1.3042 -1.325
5 Thematic 237 29.54% 48.46 71.73% -0.148 -0.2662 -0.446
6 Archipelago 647 3.66% 64.71 81.14% 0.51 -0.7266 0.101
6 Coastline 122 8.14% 38.02 84.43% 0.0 0.433 0.877
6 Other 892 23.33% 32.25 61.88% 0.372 0.535 -0.506
6 Star 510 22.99% 30.33 62.55% -0.424 -0.0175 -1.546
6 Thematic 1922 20.05% 30.85 54.53% -0.054 0.018 -0.219
6 Two Centers (Default) 2893 17.74% 28.04 60.42% -1.14 -0.6112 -1.32
7 Archipelago 36 27.78% 50.36 52.78% -0.414 0.3276 -1.258
7 Other 49 19.57% 22.98 53.06% 0.0 -0.5494 0.314
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 6042 31.65 54.52% -0.01 0.2108 0.214
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5921 32.99 58.3% -0.377 -0.3081 0.658
All Things Weaken 3063 31.22 51.29% 0.278 0.6742 0.251
Attenuated Essence 610 27.49 48.2% 0.626 0.7021 0.698
Back Against the Wall 5765 32.35 54.24% -0.568 -0.5869 0.049
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 586 28.08 46.93% -0.164 0.1215 0.235
Burn Brightest Before the End 508 29.66 44.88% -1.085 -0.8595 0.176
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5939 28.63 51.34% -0.074 0.2085 0.152
Downward Spiral 19228 23.63 52.52% -0.338 -0.1053 0.634
Erosion of Will 6034 29.8 50.91% -0.858 -0.5211 0.218
Intensifying Exploitation 638 25.98 46.71% -0.238 0.0977 0.458
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1584 35.54 72.92% 0.316 -0.2389 0.475
Memory Fades to Dust 19043 23.5 49.67% -0.78 -0.4402 0.235
Power Corrodes the Spirit 3051 29.39 50.25% -0.696 -0.4664 0.56
Promising Farmlands 5999 28.82 51.13% -0.181 0.1742 0.42
Shattered Fragments of Power 518 32.38 52.12% 0.601 0.6579 1.333
Slow Dissolution of Will 503 26.93 43.34% -0.138 0.186 0.205
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 1000 35.67 77.7% 0.719 0.0787 -0.078
The Border of Life and Death 183 29.38 59.02% -0.712 -1.1246 -0.18
Thriving Communities 3125 29.52 50.4% 0.218 0.4497 0.368
Thriving Crops 304 28.96 55.92% 0.205 0.0486 0.721
Tipping Point 2084 30.16 53.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Unnatural Proliferation 3167 31.58 51.97% -0.297 -0.1703 0.104
Untended Land Crumbles 3123 29.47 49.31% -0.119 0.0875 0.136

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 124625 29.95% 29.13 71.99% 0.173 1.1069 0.351
B 128012 30.14% 29.35 72.07% 0.145 0.9768 -0.031
C 124546 30.76% 29.32 71.85% -0.007 0.7539 0.043
D 117725 30.86% 28.92 71.63% 0.025 0.9053 0.198
E 39019 32.47% 30.73 69.49% 0.225 0.9426 0.172
F 50591 31.31% 30.66 71.35% 0.322 1.1606 0.262
G 45665 31.01% 31.0 71.93% 0.264 1.0853 0.067
H 45610 30.77% 31.2 72.19% 0.394 1.1767 -0.197
East 18951 30.64% 40.85 64.91% -0.834 0.0041 0.599
Northeast 13832 28.71% 42.57 65.13% -0.112 0.5626 -0.0
Northwest 11732 28.39% 42.7 64.27% -0.882 -0.047 -0.02
Southeast 4530 26.03% 35.36 62.83% 0.061 1.1012 -1.293
Southwest 4262 26.53% 34.21 61.99% -0.419 0.7961 0.221
West 17184 31.3% 40.66 63.72% -0.145 0.5497 -0.421

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 23117 0.0% 17.3 63.46% -0.649 0.1975 0.751
Not Using Events or Tokens 100604 27.56% 22.53 68.9% 0.024 0.3893 -0.635
Skip Initial Invader Actions 13411 8.26% 36.87 82.48% 0.078 -0.7148 -1.774
Start of Game Growth 18631 10.97% 36.55 81.45% 0.262 -0.2637 0.686
Unlimited Undo 35380 22.53% 31.24 76.82% 0.391 0.4577 -0.109
Using Tokens but Not Events 35850 21.79% 29.99 75.77% 0.094 0.0936 -0.231

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
Breath of Darkness Down Your Spine 410 19.51% 28.7 69.02% 0.348 -0.2504 0.992
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 10840 39.13% 27.3 66.04% -0.109 0.066 -0.235
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 519 24.61% 25.74 52.99% 0.174 -0.6361 0.716
Dances Up Earthquakes 655 27.8% 24.9 62.75% -1.424 -1.2884 -0.036
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 8277 29.32% 30.17 75.67% 0.414 0.2137 0.379
Downpour Drenches the World 3649 24.53% 29.34 60.32% 0.363 0.6514 -0.221
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2813 26.76% 27.77 63.99% 0.034 -0.4547 0.47
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9708 24.55% 30.42 74.89% 0.031 -0.387 -0.014
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 8016 26.23% 33.12 73.18% 0.179 -0.0741 -0.428
Finder of Paths Unseen 1727 26.17% 30.78 64.22% -0.802 -0.0159 -0.156
Fractured Days Split the Sky 4638 26.05% 40.1 70.91% 0.687 1.2236 0.332
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2321 34.62% 29.05 65.88% -0.077 -0.0199 -0.198
Heart of the Wildfire 19240 47.46% 34.91 71.65% -0.329 -0.0086 -0.314
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 30225 28.61% 35.28 75.97% 0.143 -0.2774 -0.236
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 783 23.46% 27.57 60.54% -0.521 -0.8331 -0.707
Lightning's Swift Strike 32579 29.44% 28.45 72.93% -0.234 -0.0112 -0.524
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 2329 24.3% 41.65 67.5% 0.646 0.1447 1.765
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 2017 30.21% 31.52 65.49% -0.003 -0.3246 -0.197
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2795 29.81% 34.32 69.48% 0.732 0.4992 1.093
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 8554 33.09% 32.51 70.59% 0.191 -0.0051 -0.41
Many Minds Move as One 3723 30.32% 31.47 73.76% 0.535 0.4296 0.124
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 37472 27.92% 35.27 72.63% 0.002 -0.0137 -0.285
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 1015 31.25% 25.28 58.72% -0.471 -0.3648 -0.751
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 9528 25.36% 35.27 78.22% 1.071 0.9246 0.103
River Surges in Sunlight 32060 25.79% 33.92 74.58% 0.281 0.3228 0.442
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 217 17.59% 20.22 47.47% -0.275 -0.193 -0.627
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2898 23.84% 33.35 66.67% 0.021 0.1944 -0.679
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1790 30.65% 30.42 58.27% -0.297 -0.1863 0.904
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 35139 29.6% 34.96 72.45% 0.128 -0.0819 -0.008
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 318 24.76% 24.7 60.06% -0.599 -0.8457 0.302
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 10558 41.17% 24.56 68.75% -0.34 0.3072 -0.574
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 302 34.58% 28.17 72.85% -0.643 -0.5796 0.303
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 447 36.05% 31.49 70.02% 0.461 0.0017 -0.264
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 381 26.46% 26.4 70.6% 0.034 -0.091 0.378
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 852 38.17% 29.45 72.18% -0.615 -0.6396 -0.311
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 735 38.26% 28.75 75.1% -0.84 -0.7333 -0.082
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 12936 27.53% 33.63 77.28% 0.479 0.2008 -0.509
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Encircle 26 26.92% 23.85 88.46% 0.51 0.1165 -0.404
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 825 23.91% 26.23 59.52% 0.116 0.1408 0.373
Shifting Memory of Ages 4471 30.31% 30.27 65.22% 0.132 0.6284 0.412
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 473 21.89% 27.03 60.47% 0.701 0.7054 0.374
Shroud of Silent Mist 3821 33.82% 27.44 69.25% -0.898 -0.292 -0.411
Shroud of Silent Mist — Stranded 61 31.67% 32.08 70.49% 0.56 0.3262 0.508
Starlight Seeks its Form 6106 24.61% 32.41 67.56% 0.12 0.108 0.213
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 9927 33.65% 34.4 68.61% -0.129 -0.7327 0.097
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 6119 28.22% 33.58 77.95% 0.344 0.4872 0.666
Thunderspeaker 25245 30.47% 27.47 68.29% -0.629 -0.5144 -0.343
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 434 22.74% 20.63 51.15% 1.362 1.3059 0.109
Towering Roots of the Jungle 674 27.07% 24.64 63.5% 0.734 0.8932 -0.392
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 4026 48.57% 30.91 69.77% -0.68 -0.6485 -0.395
Vital Strength of the Earth 25036 20.3% 28.76 73.67% 0.089 0.5813 -0.306
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 2098 22.54% 33.28 61.77% -0.457 -0.045 0.191
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 1261 31.77% 28.55 62.97% -1.178 -0.2735 -1.112
Volcano Looming High 5950 41.84% 31.5 68.07% -0.264 -0.389 0.141
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1273 23.89% 27.71 67.87% 0.316 0.0807 -0.013

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Fields Choked with Growth 82.08%
Gift of Proliferation 80.51%
Overgrow in a Night 83.19%
Stem the Flow of Fresh Water 84.21%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 69355 12.31 13.95%
II 123709 29.92 77.48%
III 108937 34.93 88.98%
IV 35184 38.88 99.52%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 9669
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 95186
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 92563
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 34780
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 36454
Lose: Invader deck ran out 5367
Lose: Adversary condition 20130
Win: Sacrifice victory 650
Lose: Scenario condition 3785
Win: Scenario condition 4628
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 32704
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1269

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.181 Win Model: -0.125

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.316 Win Model: 0.122
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 112498 28.73% 25.37 67.59%
2 118961 35.82% 28.77 70.98%
3 51293 32.15% 31.59 73.5%
4 45903 26.32% 35.1 73.87%
5 1614 28.42% 28.14 68.34%
6 6916 17.85% 33.22 62.09%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-11-01 23:57:53 (Pacific Time)