Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 165 21.82% 25.53 70.3% 0.488 0.3957 0.216
Blitz 0 4134 23.92% 33.12 76.32% 0.255 0.5537 0.505
Dahan Insurrection 4 3453 22.09% 54.08 68.84% -0.274 -0.4012 0.414
Despicable Theft 2 253 30.43% 29.91 58.89% -1.083 -0.34 -0.225
Elemental Invocation 1 654 40.74% 28.48 57.65% -0.318 0.54 -1.57
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 12840 11.35% 42.75 72.64% 0.123 -0.4316 0.454
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1113 39.64% 33.96 64.87% -0.307 0.6014 -1.002
Rituals of Terror 3 1805 32.19% 45.67 73.24% 0.153 -0.0073 0.978
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 600 55.44% 35.03 66.67% 0.439 1.3023 0.012
Second Wave 0 8832 32.57% 30.19 79.01% 0.45 0.5437 0.117
The Great River 3 377 36.53% 30.4 62.07% -1.013 0.5323 -1.448
Varied Terrains 2 508 33.86% 25.46 59.84% 0.179 0.9957 -0.677
Ward the Shores 2 1399 31.61% 32.35 62.12% -1.179 -0.1581 -1.124

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 86953 29.31% 26.32 71.28% 0.102 0.4546 0.416
1 Thematic 5397 34.88% 33.31 65.17% -0.044 0.4504 0.34
2 Archipelago 84 25.0% 29.58 69.05% 0.269 0.7699 0.52
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 65770 37.54% 30.16 74.4% -0.009 0.2658 0.526
2 Coastline 10034 31.07% 29.0 77.19% 0.213 0.257 0.56
2 Fragment 1925 40.36% 26.82 74.49% 0.483 0.2414 1.091
2 Heart 1624 22.76% 25.61 84.24% -0.324 -0.4642 0.588
2 Opposite Shores 12826 35.13% 29.91 74.35% 0.283 0.3533 -0.146
2 Other 2 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.4325 0.0
2 Thematic 4649 42.01% 35.69 64.08% 0.05 0.2991 0.344
2 Top to Top 2047 35.19% 29.8 73.03% -0.045 0.0231 0.355
3 Archipelago 120 33.33% 43.0 83.33% 0.556 -0.1918 0.706
3 Coastline 279 35.23% 31.83 74.91% 0.704 0.0976 0.505
3 Other 1717 32.53% 28.41 72.57% -0.008 -0.5555 0.416
3 Round (Default) 38781 32.65% 32.81 76.83% 0.273 0.1521 0.076
3 Sunrise 176 25.32% 26.38 73.86% 0.0 0.1668 1.351
3 Thematic 1496 38.51% 38.92 64.77% -0.558 -1.0903 0.128
4 Archipelago 145 30.22% 34.74 77.24% -0.072 0.4805 -0.052
4 Coastline 182 20.45% 32.32 72.53% 0.143 -0.3877 0.168
4 Leaf 222 40.28% 32.41 72.52% -0.313 -0.7285 -0.691
4 Other 1355 34.03% 34.49 76.09% -0.544 -0.6364 0.64
4 Reverse Snake 10 33.33% 26.0 80.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 9 22.22% 39.33 88.89% 0.0 -1.1264 -0.365
4 Thematic 6596 25.73% 53.18 74.0% -0.392 -0.3975 -0.161
4 Trapezoid (Default) 30713 27.07% 34.24 77.84% 0.054 0.2475 -0.529
5 Archipelago 36 50.0% 42.92 80.56% 0.0 -0.1529 -0.658
5 Coastline 37 8.82% 34.49 94.59% 0.0 0.1805 0.228
5 Other 1311 27.52% 33.04 80.17% 0.1 -0.3003 -0.267
5 Thematic 210 30.48% 51.81 75.71% 0.588 0.0225 0.289
6 Archipelago 262 8.61% 54.94 79.01% 0.677 -0.042 -1.403
6 Coastline 85 8.16% 33.12 87.06% -0.387 -1.2415 -0.64
6 Other 606 23.16% 36.36 69.8% -0.876 -0.281 -1.837
6 Star 333 25.6% 31.63 64.86% -0.349 0.0929 -1.816
6 Thematic 1515 20.57% 32.96 57.95% -0.738 -0.6146 -1.793
6 Two Centers (Default) 2038 17.37% 32.36 68.01% -0.613 -0.7685 -2.204
7 Archipelago 23 30.43% 58.35 73.91% 0.307 0.9216 -0.667
7 Other 31 20.69% 27.9 67.74% 0.129 -1.0835 -0.971
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.038

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5420 32.11 55.39% -1.04 -0.8993 -0.102
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5348 33.37 59.18% 0.023 -0.072 -0.024
All Things Weaken 2576 32.27 53.11% -0.285 0.0295 -0.261
Attenuated Essence 341 27.12 48.09% 0.387 0.4128 -0.504
Back Against the Wall 5239 32.76 54.65% 0.719 0.7636 -0.171
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 297 28.25 45.12% -0.283 -0.056 -0.536
Burn Brightest Before the End 273 30.47 43.22% 0.233 0.4227 -0.834
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5352 29.35 52.19% -0.519 -0.1088 -0.303
Downward Spiral 16214 24.66 54.27% 0.001 0.0519 -0.203
Erosion of Will 5450 30.3 51.71% -0.689 -0.4242 -0.359
Intensifying Exploitation 340 27.64 46.47% -0.195 0.116 -0.052
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1273 36.58 73.29% 0.777 0.2989 0.282
Memory Fades to Dust 16113 24.41 51.28% -0.316 -0.0951 -0.298
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2504 30.39 51.92% -0.529 -0.3418 -0.316
Promising Farmlands 5368 29.4 52.33% -0.491 -0.1951 -0.524
Shattered Fragments of Power 270 33.91 52.59% -0.321 -0.1076 0.401
Slow Dissolution of Will 247 26.89 45.75% -0.453 -0.0739 -0.666
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 851 36.64 79.2% 0.571 -0.1901 0.38
The Border of Life and Death 100 31.63 60.0% 0.295 -0.2568 0.422
Thriving Communities 2587 30.43 51.37% 0.096 0.4096 -0.344
Thriving Crops 170 29.27 55.88% -0.003 0.048 -0.296
Tipping Point 2082 30.19 53.65% 0.0 0.0 -0.229
Unnatural Proliferation 2658 32.5 53.84% -1.015 -0.8314 -0.185
Untended Land Crumbles 2622 30.09 50.53% -0.522 -0.1596 -0.239

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 103076 30.84% 30.65 75.63% -0.137 0.7143 -0.016
B 106438 30.99% 30.84 75.61% -0.241 0.5796 -0.142
C 103677 31.63% 30.78 75.37% -0.301 0.3787 -0.109
D 97950 31.78% 30.37 75.14% -0.247 0.5805 -0.061
E 30345 33.39% 32.66 72.95% 0.01 0.6968 -0.178
F 40996 32.23% 32.34 74.56% -0.055 0.7482 0.036
G 37046 31.85% 32.31 74.87% -0.166 0.6886 -0.108
H 37069 31.5% 32.44 75.14% -0.19 0.5749 -0.092
East 16603 31.35% 42.97 68.3% -0.102 0.7729 -0.451
Northeast 12073 29.36% 45.0 68.91% -0.476 0.3695 -0.197
Northwest 10338 29.41% 45.23 67.82% -0.185 0.6968 0.191
Southeast 3782 26.74% 37.55 66.05% 0.08 0.9261 -0.382
Southwest 3564 27.58% 36.33 65.15% -0.436 0.8422 -0.992
West 15155 32.18% 42.82 66.95% -0.409 0.6255 -0.996

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 18482 0.0% 18.59 67.84% -0.539 0.1824 0.634
Not Using Events or Tokens 79066 28.43% 23.97 73.65% -0.154 0.2774 -0.42
Skip Initial Invader Actions 11739 8.47% 38.64 85.82% 0.581 -0.0281 -0.31
Start of Game Growth 16204 10.86% 38.27 84.92% 0.343 -0.2808 0.389
Unlimited Undo 29617 22.94% 32.89 80.47% 0.149 0.1551 0.359
Using Tokens but Not Events 29780 21.87% 31.03 79.23% 0.389 0.4052 -0.139

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 9002 40.98% 29.19 70.47% -0.095 0.2143 -0.087
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 263 22.52% 26.5 58.17% 0.266 -0.4144 -1.015
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 6970 29.83% 31.59 78.71% 0.046 -0.1005 -0.13
Downpour Drenches the World 2655 24.32% 31.82 63.84% -0.161 0.0505 0.024
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 1865 29.18% 28.59 64.99% 0.128 -0.2752 0.276
Eyes Watch From the Trees 7877 25.29% 31.82 78.05% -0.273 -0.6619 -0.256
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 6429 27.24% 32.85 76.15% 0.291 -0.1607 -0.346
Finder of Paths Unseen 1216 25.69% 34.21 68.34% -0.343 0.3218 0.816
Fractured Days Split the Sky 3835 26.39% 44.15 75.18% 0.365 1.0568 0.709
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1720 37.0% 31.62 69.48% -0.526 -0.6017 0.174
Heart of the Wildfire 17072 48.19% 36.61 74.48% 0.032 0.3042 0.159
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 26986 29.06% 36.37 78.08% 0.17 -0.1825 -0.065
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 439 23.8% 30.35 64.46% 0.056 -0.393 -0.723
Lightning's Swift Strike 27439 30.4% 30.14 76.79% -0.375 -0.0982 -0.41
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 1396 27.79% 39.29 67.91% 0.1 -0.2677 0.047
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1560 30.89% 33.79 71.41% -0.17 -0.5985 0.376
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2199 31.26% 35.81 71.31% 0.084 0.0613 0.12
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 6970 33.98% 34.25 73.36% 0.267 -0.0015 -0.072
Many Minds Move as One 2933 30.8% 32.69 77.02% 0.177 0.0153 0.333
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 31278 28.78% 37.37 76.33% 0.235 0.1382 0.429
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 7913 26.55% 35.26 79.97% 0.191 0.0177 0.698
River Surges in Sunlight 26855 26.58% 35.55 77.83% 0.375 0.4654 0.738
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 18 17.65% 17.67 55.56% -0.26 -0.3859 -0.468
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2386 23.67% 35.51 69.7% -0.444 -0.002 -0.29
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1198 31.17% 31.23 60.93% -0.484 -0.4032 -0.343
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 30737 30.48% 36.31 75.06% 0.167 -0.0418 0.248
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 8709 42.62% 26.34 73.13% -0.181 0.3311 -0.452
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 217 30.95% 29.72 76.96% -0.37 -0.2966 0.995
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 243 38.08% 35.04 75.31% 0.499 0.0341 0.802
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 279 25.63% 27.23 72.76% -0.009 0.2794 0.033
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 704 38.11% 31.5 75.71% -0.44 -0.5072 -0.068
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 615 38.28% 29.91 77.4% -1.397 -1.1386 0.042
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 11793 27.56% 34.9 79.75% 0.208 0.0344 0.168
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 483 25.73% 24.69 56.11% -0.105 -0.237 -1.065
Shifting Memory of Ages 3644 31.0% 32.3 67.01% 0.011 0.4034 -0.111
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 57 16.36% 26.21 68.42% 0.24 -0.0584 0.623
Shroud of Silent Mist 3023 34.64% 29.27 73.27% 0.237 0.5589 -0.17
Starlight Seeks its Form 4290 26.36% 34.23 69.53% 0.783 0.6714 0.242
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 8331 34.52% 35.96 71.47% -0.1 -0.7211 0.12
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5253 27.99% 34.78 80.79% 0.206 0.4013 0.721
Thunderspeaker 20941 30.87% 29.49 73.24% -0.231 -0.2688 -0.086
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 282 21.0% 20.81 52.84% -0.642 -0.4748 -0.815
Towering Roots of the Jungle 120 28.7% 24.94 66.67% 0.341 0.3366 -0.881
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3465 49.74% 32.68 72.73% -0.025 0.0566 0.083
Vital Strength of the Earth 21048 20.52% 30.45 77.48% 0.251 0.8467 0.054
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1523 22.38% 35.26 64.22% -0.013 0.5112 -0.232
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 1030 31.73% 30.62 66.21% 0.036 0.7481 -0.336
Volcano Looming High 4628 43.19% 33.22 71.18% 0.543 0.6431 0.173
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 712 23.1% 28.9 70.51% 0.32 0.0153 -0.377

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Fields Choked with Growth 81.38%
Gift of Proliferation 79.7%
Overgrow in a Night 82.52%
Stem the Flow of Fresh Water 83.59%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 48932 15.54 17.56%
II 105936 30.46 78.47%
III 94141 34.79 89.26%
IV 30716 38.44 99.51%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 8587
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 82430
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 80068
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 30369
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 18185
Lose: Invader deck ran out 4693
Lose: Adversary condition 17722
Win: Sacrifice victory 551
Lose: Scenario condition 3371
Win: Scenario condition 4304
Lose: Blight pool ran out 28352
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1093

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.141 Win Model: -0.13

Number of Players

Score Model: -0.01 Win Model: 0.02
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 92711 29.67% 26.72 70.84%
2 99292 36.57% 30.21 74.4%
3 42539 32.76% 33.06 76.32%
4 39263 27.1% 37.24 77.16%
5 1158 25.42% 29.38 71.42%
6 4762 18.84% 34.55 66.82%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-04-11 06:22:48 (Pacific Time)