Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 93 15.05% 25.04 76.34% 0.148 -0.0412 -0.475
Blitz 0 3319 25.82% 34.06 80.14% 0.045 0.2287 0.203
Dahan Insurrection 4 2874 22.97% 58.96 74.91% -0.532 -0.8465 0.511
Despicable Theft 2 159 34.59% 36.09 71.7% -0.598 0.147 0.056
Elemental Invocation 1 466 47.74% 30.12 61.16% -0.384 0.3876 -1.299
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 10982 11.8% 44.44 75.41% 0.108 -0.5124 0.339
Powers Long Forgotten 1 948 42.07% 36.85 69.83% -0.343 0.1989 -1.002
Rituals of Terror 3 1459 34.68% 47.83 77.52% 0.434 0.5412 1.016
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 513 58.04% 37.4 71.35% -0.708 0.2626 0.015
Second Wave 0 7513 32.96% 30.45 80.45% 0.236 0.3044 0.022
The Great River 3 287 37.89% 33.77 68.64% -1.244 0.0539 -1.227
Varied Terrains 2 251 33.86% 27.9 65.34% -0.348 0.2252 -1.014
Ward the Shores 2 1152 33.72% 35.76 68.14% -0.895 0.2382 -0.521

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 72481 29.98% 27.89 75.29% 0.812 0.9252 0.215
1 Thematic 4732 36.47% 34.66 67.71% 0.149 0.7132 -0.001
2 Archipelago 55 25.45% 33.69 80.0% 0.078 0.4022 0.676
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 55664 38.26% 31.69 78.16% 0.56 0.6548 0.506
2 Coastline 8267 31.66% 30.6 81.6% 0.597 0.5373 0.51
2 Fragment 1618 40.42% 27.79 76.21% 0.63 0.4767 1.035
2 Heart 1467 21.45% 26.6 88.14% 1.323 1.0008 0.623
2 Opposite Shores 10716 36.39% 31.22 77.04% 0.653 0.713 -0.305
2 Other 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% -0.323 0.8085 0.0
2 Thematic 4042 43.18% 37.5 67.24% -0.232 0.3273 0.222
2 Top to Top 1677 35.8% 31.83 78.18% 0.343 0.2657 0.422
3 Archipelago 82 31.71% 44.39 86.59% 1.993 0.3944 0.393
3 Coastline 216 36.27% 33.62 78.24% 0.883 0.4373 0.557
3 Other 1426 34.68% 31.09 78.19% 0.224 0.761 0.461
3 Round (Default) 32079 32.77% 34.1 80.39% 0.319 0.1591 0.217
3 Sunrise 116 33.0% 32.47 88.79% -0.534 -0.3671 1.233
3 Thematic 1235 39.79% 42.19 70.69% -0.293 -0.2275 0.065
4 Archipelago 86 35.0% 37.59 82.56% 0.564 -0.0928 0.025
4 Coastline 163 22.01% 34.36 74.85% -0.422 -0.1977 0.378
4 Leaf 168 38.79% 34.49 76.19% 0.126 -0.4149 -0.274
4 Other 1147 34.53% 37.58 82.39% 0.847 -0.2697 0.664
4 Reverse Snake 8 28.57% 32.5 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 Snake 9 22.22% 39.33 88.89% -0.139 -0.5269 -0.389
4 Thematic 6135 25.33% 54.86 76.17% -0.76 -0.9337 -0.008
4 Trapezoid (Default) 26234 27.57% 36.17 82.18% -0.282 -0.4842 -0.11
5 Archipelago 31 45.16% 42.65 77.42% 0.021 -1.1194 -1.141
5 Coastline 22 0.0% 34.68 95.45% 0.338 -0.1005 0.252
5 Other 835 31.33% 37.44 86.11% -0.608 -1.0725 0.327
5 Thematic 167 29.94% 54.64 81.44% -0.502 -0.478 0.537
6 Archipelago 102 16.67% 42.54 81.37% -1.615 -1.2465 -2.292
6 Coastline 55 15.79% 28.85 94.55% -0.547 -1.1666 -0.913
6 Other 396 23.8% 41.14 76.52% -0.677 -1.0453 -1.353
6 Star 230 31.88% 33.56 64.35% -1.711 -1.5348 -1.531
6 Thematic 906 22.72% 39.12 68.98% -2.046 -1.5739 -1.145
6 Two Centers (Default) 1198 17.14% 37.83 78.46% -1.167 -1.0851 -1.53
7 Archipelago 21 33.33% 54.67 71.43% -0.835 -0.9386 -0.999
7 Other 16 21.43% 32.81 87.5% -0.226 -0.9893 -0.324

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 4898 32.68 56.49% -0.033 0.1656 -0.379
Aid From Lesser Spirits 4831 33.8 59.82% -0.1 -0.1663 -0.321
All Things Weaken 2106 33.47 54.7% -0.345 0.0227 -0.492
Attenuated Essence 69 25.49 40.58% -0.284 -0.2139 -1.106
Back Against the Wall 4726 33.09 54.7% -0.494 -0.4254 -0.465
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 58 24.09 32.76% -0.841 -0.5843 -1.018
Burn Brightest Before the End 54 30.5 31.48% -0.607 -0.4326 -1.343
Disintegrating Ecosystem 4782 29.85 52.57% -0.403 0.0353 -0.616
Downward Spiral 13998 25.57 55.77% -0.503 -0.2565 -0.49
Erosion of Will 4897 30.78 52.44% -0.406 -0.0884 -0.639
Intensifying Exploitation 71 29.7 49.3% -0.197 0.0718 0.258
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1060 37.41 75.94% 0.006 -0.5033 0.082
Memory Fades to Dust 13848 25.27 52.74% -0.697 -0.3329 -0.609
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2006 31.58 54.39% 0.012 0.2484 -0.568
Promising Farmlands 4828 29.8 52.9% -0.394 0.0665 -0.777
Shattered Fragments of Power 77 37.6 63.64% 0.61 0.6648 0.496
Slow Dissolution of Will 53 24.91 50.94% -0.215 0.1929 -1.155
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 708 37.86 81.36% 0.981 0.339 0.15
The Border of Life and Death 23 35.04 65.22% 0.504 0.1171 0.504
Thriving Communities 2118 31.12 51.98% -0.216 0.1413 -0.669
Thriving Crops 43 30.95 60.47% 0.221 0.1059 -0.187
Tipping Point 2082 30.19 53.65% 0.0 -0.1815 -0.537
Unnatural Proliferation 2199 33.31 55.43% 0.02 0.1932 -0.469
Untended Land Crumbles 2145 31.08 51.93% -0.294 -0.0458 -0.52

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 86264 31.61% 32.26 79.65% -0.648 0.1845 0.049
B 89883 31.73% 32.41 79.51% -0.758 0.0422 -0.084
C 87636 32.32% 32.34 79.34% -0.64 0.0169 -0.029
D 82556 32.45% 31.95 79.24% -0.671 0.123 0.017
E 22828 34.37% 34.89 77.72% -0.514 0.114 -0.071
F 32628 33.17% 34.31 78.78% -0.559 0.1538 0.039
G 29618 32.69% 34.1 79.17% -0.585 0.1534 -0.092
H 29691 32.49% 34.08 79.29% -0.427 0.2316 -0.058
East 14325 32.09% 45.64 72.08% -0.368 0.2396 -0.435
Northeast 10364 29.92% 48.07 73.1% -0.708 0.0404 0.028
Northwest 8901 30.06% 48.39 72.05% -0.687 0.1291 0.406
Southeast 2818 28.66% 41.98 73.39% -0.679 0.0494 -0.432
Southwest 2634 29.31% 40.98 73.42% -0.417 0.648 -0.938
West 13078 32.93% 45.67 70.97% -0.712 0.2373 -0.981

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 14887 0.0% 20.19 73.78% -0.767 0.0459 0.711
Not Using Events or Tokens 64163 29.12% 25.7 79.11% 0.011 0.3475 -0.4
Skip Initial Invader Actions 9764 8.62% 40.2 90.38% 0.494 -0.1397 -0.253
Start of Game Growth 13608 10.92% 39.92 89.0% 0.192 -0.0975 0.245
Unlimited Undo 24688 23.4% 34.39 84.92% 0.038 0.0408 0.474
Using Tokens but Not Events 24835 22.22% 32.42 83.19% 0.029 -0.0454 -0.04

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 7552 100.0% 31.26 100.0% -0.454 -0.3312 -0.251
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 5899 100.0% 33.03 100.0% 0.295 0.1388 -0.265
Downpour Drenches the World 1446 100.0% 36.73 100.0% 0.157 0.3455 0.121
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 711 100.0% 29.95 100.0% 0.455 -0.3785 0.036
Eyes Watch From the Trees 6201 100.0% 34.33 100.0% 0.647 0.0456 -0.102
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 5356 100.0% 33.52 100.0% -0.019 -0.5035 -0.53
Finder of Paths Unseen 653 100.0% 40.74 100.0% -0.013 0.6554 1.297
Fractured Days Split the Sky 2890 100.0% 48.1 100.0% 0.274 0.8946 0.583
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 1113 100.0% 35.19 100.0% 0.179 0.0883 0.174
Heart of the Wildfire 15187 100.0% 38.33 100.0% -0.27 -0.02 0.107
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 23853 100.0% 37.69 100.0% 0.025 -0.4018 -0.121
Lightning's Swift Strike 23918 109.59% 31.69 103.14% 0.048 0.2733 -0.39
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 605 30.1% 42.68 77.36% 0.264 -0.3715 0.374
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1143 32.31% 38.02 80.14% -0.411 -0.5585 0.496
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 1641 31.68% 39.27 76.42% -0.123 -0.2442 -0.036
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 5217 100.0% 36.7 100.0% 0.272 0.1315 -0.063
Many Minds Move as One 2209 100.0% 34.6 100.0% 0.147 -0.05 0.291
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 26362 100.0% 39.81 100.0% 0.178 0.1839 0.419
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 6694 100.0% 36.46 100.0% 0.324 0.1826 0.437
River Surges in Sunlight 23292 107.08% 37.11 102.33% 0.094 0.1607 0.499
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 1764 24.43% 39.65 76.13% -0.497 -0.2619 -0.32
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 491 31.12% 39.46 75.36% -0.052 -0.1696 0.206
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 26347 100.0% 38.05 100.0% 0.257 0.0145 0.149
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 7508 111.28% 28.15 103.48% -0.359 0.1446 -0.501
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 116 21.93% 33.45 83.62% 0.201 0.1455 0.543
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 138 26.28% 29.39 81.16% 0.278 0.2449 -0.521
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 571 36.28% 33.42 78.98% -0.136 -0.189 -0.221
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 503 39.6% 32.02 80.91% -0.019 0.1097 -0.01
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 10719 100.84% 36.13 100.46% -0.003 -0.1448 0.153
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 124 26.83% 26.19 60.48% 0.26 -0.1896 -0.555
Shifting Memory of Ages 2391 100.0% 36.03 100.0% -0.379 0.0052 -0.194
Shroud of Silent Mist 2191 100.0% 32.17 100.0% -0.408 -0.1247 0.125
Starlight Seeks its Form 2514 100.0% 38.39 100.0% -0.048 -0.2821 0.217
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 6759 100.0% 37.79 100.0% 0.318 -0.1827 0.037
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 4537 100.0% 36.37 100.0% -0.053 -0.005 0.505
Thunderspeaker 17783 100.41% 31.59 100.28% -0.491 -0.4988 -0.231
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 91 19.78% 18.51 45.05% -0.528 -0.6534 -0.975
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 2889 100.0% 33.63 100.0% 0.206 0.2882 -0.203
Vital Strength of the Earth 18476 105.95% 31.83 102.31% 0.064 0.6133 -0.169
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 733 21.07% 39.15 74.08% 0.178 0.4063 -0.303
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 808 34.0% 33.72 70.79% -0.835 0.0398 -0.385
Volcano Looming High 3411 100.0% 34.6 100.0% 0.409 0.3915 -0.079

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Fields Choked with Growth 80.81%
Gift of Proliferation 78.86%
Overgrow in a Night 81.9%
Stem the Flow of Fresh Water 82.89%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 32481 20.63 24.02%
II 92439 31.02 79.72%
III 82226 34.75 89.47%
IV 26718 38.05 99.49%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 7795
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 72086
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 70864
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 26408
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 3454
Lose: Invader deck ran out 4174
Lose: Adversary condition 15767
Win: Sacrifice victory 490
Lose: Scenario condition 3101
Win: Scenario condition 3997
Lose: Blight pool ran out 24777
Lose: Spirit destroyed 951

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.397 Win Model: -0.11

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.22 Win Model: 0.42
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 77437 30.43% 28.31 74.78%
2 83821 37.31% 31.71 78.02%
3 35136 33.05% 34.49 80.08%
4 34023 27.39% 39.41 81.09%
5 591 27.83% 32.71 77.33%
6 2856 20.95% 38.7 75.39%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2025-12-07 04:03:52 (Pacific Time)