Results in Scenarios

Scenario Diffi­culty Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Diversity of Spirits 0 238 21.01% 25.22 71.85% 0.31 0.0475 0.287
Blitz 0 4706 23.37% 31.6 72.95% -0.213 0.1513 0.676
Dahan Insurrection 4 3940 21.85% 51.3 65.28% -0.153 -0.2855 0.494
Despicable Theft 2 310 30.97% 28.23 54.52% -0.797 -0.1736 -0.343
Elemental Invocation 1 796 38.62% 28.15 57.54% -0.407 0.5415 -1.443
Guard the Isle's Heart 0 14684 11.08% 41.78 70.49% 0.024 -0.4368 0.531
Powers Long Forgotten 1 1268 38.13% 31.89 60.73% -1.636 -0.6334 -1.022
Rituals of Terror 3 2152 30.5% 43.83 69.52% 0.363 0.5005 0.909
Rituals of the Destroying Flame 3 697 52.45% 32.17 61.69% -1.236 -0.3534 -0.084
Second Wave 0 9876 32.14% 29.98 78.07% 0.716 0.7659 0.399
The Great River 3 449 36.24% 29.03 59.47% -1.304 -0.0127 -1.255
Varied Terrains 2 719 33.94% 25.03 56.33% -0.932 0.0083 -1.21
Ward the Shores 2 1531 30.55% 31.19 60.48% -0.762 0.1966 -1.088

Results using Layouts

# Boards Layout Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
1 Single Board 102848 28.45% 25.22 68.52% 0.086 0.5684 0.449
1 Thematic 5923 34.27% 32.35 63.21% -0.23 0.6187 0.432
2 Archipelago 113 25.0% 27.84 66.37% 0.34 1.0379 0.426
2 Bottom to Bottom (Default) 76268 36.95% 28.93 71.48% 0.1 0.4037 0.462
2 Coastline 11581 30.39% 28.14 74.7% 0.359 0.4901 0.44
2 Fragment 2274 39.33% 25.54 71.77% 0.466 0.4521 1.137
2 Heart 1800 24.13% 24.83 81.44% -0.192 -0.4321 0.543
2 Opposite Shores 15100 34.62% 28.53 71.39% 0.047 0.3085 -0.181
2 Other 3 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.8849 0.0
2 Thematic 5182 40.74% 34.81 61.87% -0.052 0.7339 0.236
2 Top to Top 2440 34.44% 28.24 70.0% 0.041 0.1486 0.35
3 Archipelago 155 33.55% 41.55 75.48% 0.0 -1.2338 0.499
3 Coastline 332 34.49% 30.92 71.39% 0.726 0.2351 0.673
3 Other 1990 32.04% 26.68 69.5% -0.106 -0.7201 0.369
3 Round (Default) 45089 32.24% 31.63 74.66% 0.076 0.0673 -0.029
3 Sunrise 199 22.65% 25.7 74.87% 0.248 0.1437 1.347
3 Thematic 1749 37.73% 37.01 61.23% -0.567 -0.2976 0.007
4 Archipelago 172 30.12% 33.16 72.67% 0.466 -0.4908 -0.294
4 Coastline 204 21.72% 31.83 71.57% -0.382 -0.7827 0.215
4 Leaf 249 41.67% 30.9 69.88% -0.992 -1.2407 -0.691
4 Other 1502 33.47% 32.56 73.44% 0.618 -0.2554 0.631
4 Reverse Snake 12 27.27% 24.83 83.33% 0.0 0.5257 0.0
4 Snake 10 20.0% 35.4 80.0% 0.0 0.0 -0.372
4 Thematic 7068 25.38% 51.61 71.72% -0.027 0.3052 -0.281
4 Trapezoid (Default) 35185 26.53% 32.78 75.0% -0.415 -0.4979 -0.64
5 Archipelago 53 50.94% 39.51 75.47% 0.515 -0.6128 -0.78
5 Coastline 53 10.0% 31.23 79.25% 0.0 -0.1898 -0.62
5 Other 1656 29.49% 31.41 77.17% -0.186 -0.9304 -0.538
5 Thematic 234 29.91% 48.99 72.65% 0.058 -0.4558 0.189
6 Archipelago 557 4.08% 63.48 80.61% 0.863 0.0291 -1.193
6 Coastline 117 6.17% 38.68 85.47% -0.258 0.7085 -0.359
6 Other 842 23.01% 32.67 62.47% -0.381 -0.1507 -2.299
6 Star 471 23.83% 30.33 64.54% -1.331 -1.044 -2.408
6 Thematic 1856 20.05% 31.18 55.01% -1.065 -0.6861 -1.895
6 Two Centers (Default) 2705 17.6% 28.94 61.92% -1.372 -0.9422 -2.453
7 Archipelago 24 29.17% 58.46 75.0% 0.085 0.0387 -0.633
7 Other 41 20.51% 22.83 56.1% -1.091 -0.9642 -1.348
8 Archipelago 1 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.094 -0.3796 0.049

Results using Blight Cards

Blight Card Com­pleted Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A Pall Upon the Land 5932 31.67 54.5% -0.36 -0.184 -0.016
Aid From Lesser Spirits 5810 33.12 58.52% 0.15 0.0458 0.113
All Things Weaken 2986 31.38 51.37% -0.724 -0.4948 -0.118
Attenuated Essence 558 27.59 48.92% -0.362 -0.3269 -0.331
Back Against the Wall 5672 32.47 54.46% -0.146 -0.1679 -0.019
Blight Corrodes the Spirit 531 27.95 46.33% -0.246 -0.1407 -0.3
Burn Brightest Before the End 471 29.66 44.8% -1.144 -1.004 -0.525
Disintegrating Ecosystem 5798 28.78 51.45% -0.014 0.3446 -0.192
Downward Spiral 18672 23.75 52.76% -0.56 -0.4774 -0.046
Erosion of Will 5918 29.9 51.01% -0.424 -0.1702 -0.24
Intensifying Exploitation 576 25.6 46.53% 0.178 0.4348 -0.168
Invaders Find the Land to Their Liking 1528 35.84 73.23% 0.671 0.2687 0.393
Memory Fades to Dust 18477 23.65 50.01% -0.828 -0.549 -0.125
Power Corrodes the Spirit 2939 29.47 50.73% -0.466 -0.194 -0.183
Promising Farmlands 5878 28.86 51.36% -0.871 -0.578 -0.413
Shattered Fragments of Power 472 32.59 51.91% 0.327 0.4614 0.265
Slow Dissolution of Will 454 27.02 44.49% -0.445 -0.0835 -0.459
Strong Earth Shatters Slowly 975 35.77 77.85% 0.137 -0.4228 0.399
The Border of Life and Death 167 29.43 59.28% 0.04 -0.3263 0.141
Thriving Communities 3014 29.71 50.6% -0.495 -0.1776 -0.226
Thriving Crops 282 29.1 56.38% 0.316 0.1936 -0.239
Tipping Point 2084 30.16 53.6% -0.529 0.7438 -0.064
Unnatural Proliferation 3086 31.7 52.27% -0.385 -0.2951 -0.167
Untended Land Crumbles 3008 29.61 49.34% -0.605 -0.3367 -0.15

Results using Boards

Board Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
A 120384 30.18% 29.37 72.57% -0.03 1.1189 -0.126
B 123638 30.36% 29.6 72.69% 0.053 1.1217 -0.23
C 120317 30.97% 29.58 72.48% -0.002 0.9165 -0.244
D 113786 31.08% 29.17 72.24% -0.041 1.022 -0.175
E 37318 32.68% 31.04 70.11% 0.064 1.0183 -0.285
F 48667 31.51% 30.95 71.96% -0.016 0.9867 -0.084
G 43930 31.18% 31.2 72.44% 0.055 1.024 -0.22
H 43831 30.88% 31.42 72.75% 0.091 1.0496 -0.218
East 18476 30.73% 41.31 65.67% 0.35 1.3536 -0.422
Northeast 13440 28.82% 43.14 66.01% -0.427 0.4412 -0.302
Northwest 11421 28.59% 43.3 65.1% -0.473 0.369 0.037
Southeast 4409 26.0% 35.73 63.44% -0.333 0.7242 -0.544
Southwest 4149 26.54% 34.58 62.55% -0.384 1.0046 -1.001
West 16765 31.43% 41.12 64.41% -0.616 0.5979 -1.039

Results Using Options

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
No Blight Card 22351 0.0% 17.5 64.0% -0.603 0.179 0.614
Not Using Events or Tokens 96731 27.69% 22.74 69.63% -0.204 0.1174 -0.565
Skip Initial Invader Actions 13104 8.28% 37.23 83.24% 0.798 0.1565 -0.27
Start of Game Growth 18166 10.98% 36.87 82.11% -0.021 -0.5995 0.29
Unlimited Undo 34373 22.63% 31.51 77.43% 0.276 0.0634 0.337
Using Tokens but Not Events 34640 21.88% 30.21 76.43% 0.211 0.1279 -0.238

Results With Allies

Option Com­pleted Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate Win Model Differ­ential Model (Diff≥10)
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares 10465 39.55% 27.64 66.83% -0.393 -0.391 -0.18
Bringer of Dreams And Nightmares — Violence 485 25.26% 26.06 52.58% 0.171 -0.8755 -0.954
Dances Up Earthquakes 522 27.31% 26.33 66.67% 0.259 0.0905 0.017
Devouring Teeth Lurk Underfoot 8011 29.4% 30.43 76.13% 0.228 -0.1062 -0.083
Downpour Drenches the World 3486 24.24% 29.69 60.73% 0.149 0.1511 -0.09
Ember-Eyed Behemoth 2665 27.0% 27.97 64.39% 0.399 -0.4208 0.215
Eyes Watch From the Trees 9305 24.6% 30.75 75.71% 0.313 -0.4727 -0.225
Fathomless Mud of the Swamp 7700 26.4% 32.98 73.45% -0.284 -0.8752 -0.42
Finder of Paths Unseen 1633 26.08% 31.36 65.22% -0.579 -0.0619 0.686
Fractured Days Split the Sky 4527 26.14% 40.54 71.26% -0.328 -0.0153 0.63
Grinning Trickster Stirs Up Trouble 2234 34.62% 29.29 66.29% -0.185 -0.4538 0.049
Heart of the Wildfire 18783 47.63% 35.28 72.34% -0.054 0.1586 0.146
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds 29594 28.75% 35.5 76.37% 0.03 -0.7184 -0.031
Keeper of the Forbidden Wilds — Spreading Hostility 706 24.54% 28.62 62.75% 0.037 -0.7123 -0.685
Lightning's Swift Strike 31495 29.74% 28.74 73.51% 0.17 0.1688 -0.454
Lightning's Swift Strike — Immense 2136 25.16% 41.24 67.13% 0.976 0.1713 0.157
Lightning's Swift Strike — Pandemonium 1924 30.06% 31.71 67.15% -0.386 -1.1504 0.201
Lightning's Swift Strike — Wind 2664 29.85% 34.71 69.44% 0.587 0.3458 0.239
Lure of the Deep Wilderness 8209 33.28% 32.77 71.12% 0.354 -0.0924 -0.07
Many Minds Move as One 3580 30.33% 31.74 74.33% -0.058 -0.5287 0.337
Ocean's Hungry Grasp 36075 28.28% 35.73 73.32% -0.158 -0.3233 0.431
Ocean's Hungry Grasp — Deeps 803 31.33% 26.23 63.64% -0.077 -0.1922 -0.322
Rising Heat of Stone and Sand 9199 25.66% 35.21 78.41% 0.353 0.0336 0.738
River Surges in Sunlight 30893 26.23% 34.2 75.07% 0.243 0.0509 0.735
River Surges in Sunlight — Haven 157 17.95% 21.72 52.23% 0.859 0.8562 -0.629
River Surges in Sunlight — Sunshine 2822 23.45% 33.65 67.19% -0.34 -0.5055 -0.251
River Surges in Sunlight — Travel 1673 30.86% 30.56 58.46% -0.282 -0.5394 -0.142
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island 34227 29.76% 35.16 72.9% 0.371 0.0751 0.252
Serpent Slumbering Beneath the Island — Locus 251 25.7% 25.5 64.14% 0.262 0.0161 0.607
Shadows Flicker Like Flame 10159 41.33% 24.84 69.71% -0.208 0.1404 -0.604
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Amorphous 288 33.1% 28.53 73.26% -0.016 -0.11 0.937
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Dark Fire 415 36.59% 32.2 71.81% -0.285 -1.0273 0.221
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Foreboding 355 26.63% 27.3 72.39% 0.104 -0.0916 0.275
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Madness 821 38.04% 29.82 73.08% -1.129 -1.4132 0.004
Shadows Flicker Like Flame — Reach 718 38.76% 28.94 75.77% 1.355 1.1918 0.119
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves 12715 27.55% 33.9 77.75% -0.495 -0.8321 0.093
Sharp Fangs Behind the Leaves — Unconstrained 760 23.72% 25.89 59.74% 0.448 0.1074 -0.888
Shifting Memory of Ages 4316 30.28% 30.57 65.62% -0.117 0.022 0.036
Shifting Memory of Ages — Mentor 412 20.0% 26.1 60.44% -0.03 -0.3551 -0.219
Shroud of Silent Mist 3695 33.72% 27.66 70.12% -0.393 -0.1747 -0.162
Starlight Seeks its Form 5737 24.98% 32.66 68.24% 0.2 -0.0687 0.28
Stone's Unyielding Defiance 9563 33.82% 34.75 69.23% 0.091 -0.7729 0.138
Sun-Bright Whirlwind 5938 28.26% 33.92 78.48% 0.424 0.3814 0.731
Thunderspeaker 24434 30.63% 27.79 69.05% -0.653 -0.8143 -0.161
Thunderspeaker — Tactician 419 22.36% 20.19 51.07% -1.25 -1.3057 -0.605
Towering Roots of the Jungle 598 27.03% 25.16 63.55% -0.218 -0.4553 -0.288
Vengeance as a Burning Plague 3934 48.95% 31.17 70.26% -0.327 -0.4121 0.067
Vital Strength of the Earth 24236 20.42% 29.03 74.29% -0.09 0.2815 0.008
Vital Strength of the Earth — Might 1915 22.6% 34.12 63.86% 0.045 0.3374 -0.201
Vital Strength of the Earth — Resilience 1211 32.02% 28.94 63.42% -0.169 0.3148 -0.32
Volcano Looming High 5688 42.06% 32.0 69.02% -0.167 -0.4127 0.338
Wandering Voice Keens Delirium 1177 24.08% 28.12 68.39% 0.441 -0.2085 -0.269

Minor Power Cards

Major Power Cards

Unique Power Cards

Power Card Kept
Fields Choked with Growth 82.01%
Gift of Proliferation 80.4%
Overgrow in a Night 83.13%
Stem the Flow of Fresh Water 84.15%

Terror Level

Terror Level Completed Average Score Win Rate
I 65447 12.75 14.5%
II 120340 30.01 77.68%
III 106133 34.87 89.05%
IV 34318 38.76 99.52%

Results

Result Completed
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror I) 9484
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror III) 92786
Win: Invaders destroyed (Terror II) 90254
Win: Terror victory (Terror IV) 33922
Game abandoned (v.3.0+) 32816
Lose: Invader deck ran out 5236
Lose: Adversary condition 19693
Win: Sacrifice victory 637
Lose: Scenario condition 3693
Win: Scenario condition 4556
Lose: Unique spirit condition 0
Lose: Blight pool ran out 31925
Lose: Spirit destroyed 1236

Difficulty

Score Model: 1.548 Win Model: -0.116

Number of Players

Score Model: 0.191 Win Model: 0.209
Num. Completed Blight Flip Rate Average Score Win Rate
1 109240 28.79% 25.58 68.13%
2 115120 35.97% 29.0 71.55%
3 49495 32.32% 31.87 74.07%
4 44373 26.63% 35.54 74.46%
5 1551 27.73% 28.57 69.5%
6 6459 17.92% 33.41 62.98%

Notes

Win Model

Logistic regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and whether the game was won or not as the outcome. Higher values indicate greater likelihood of winning when present in the game. For continuous variables (e.g. number of players), this number is per unit. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Win Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Score Model

Ridge regression coefficient using all independent variables as predictors, and the score as the outcome. This corresponds 1:1 with score, e.g. a coefficient of +1 means a predicted score 1 higher than average. Ridge regression is used instead of standard linear regression because of high multicollinearity. Only games completed within the last 30 days are included in the model. Exception: For Difficulty, the Score Model is a separate model, using only difficulty as a predictor.

Differential

The difference between the logistic regression coefficient for this item using this Spirit, as compared to using this item in general. A negative number means that this Spirit underperforms using this item, and a positive number means that it overperforms.

Model (Diff ≥10)

Same as Win Model, but instead counts all games of difficulty 10 or higher, for all time.

Layouts

Diagrams of the layouts are on the main page. Data collected before v.2.7.1 (May 2, 2025) use the end game state, even if the island layout changed due to powers like Cast Down Into the Briny Deep. Data collected from v.2.7.1 onward uses the layout as it was at setup.

Boards

All stats other than the Models include all times this spirit and that board appeared in the same game together. The Models count only games in which this spirit started on that board.

Power Cards

Power card stats include the average difficulty level, average score, and win percentage when the card is owned by the player at the end of the game. "Discarded" is how often the card is in the discard pile, which could be by having not been chosen or by being forgotten, and not shuffled back in.

Data last updated: 2026-10-09 13:08:08 (Pacific Time)